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Palmeiras v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira welcomes Fernando Santos to the Allianz Parque on Wednesday night, as their Palmeiras and Vasco da Gama charges do battle in the Serie A. All of the key stats for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds across seventeen major markets are included in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.

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Palmeiras's next match is v Sao Paulo at 20:00 on Sunday 5th October
Vasco da Gama's next match is v Vitoria at 20:00 on Sunday 5th October

The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Palmeiras and Vasco d Gama was on Wednesday 1st October 2025

Brazillian Serie A

October 1st 2025

Palmeiras 3	0 Vasco d Gama

J. López 6'
J. López 18'
V. Roque Ferreira 24'

	PAL VDG
Shots On	6 3
Shots Off	3 5
Corners	1 3
Possession	44% 56%
Fouls	7 15
Yellow/red cards	1/0 1/0

Palmeiras	Vasco d Gama

A. Giay A. Moreno A. Hoelgebaum Pereira (A. Andrade Elias 82') F. Anderson Pereira Gomes (F. Torres Pérez 66') V. Roque Ferreira (B. Rodrigues do Nascimento 76') G. Gómez Portillo W. Pereira da Silva J. Piquerez Moreira M. Cerqueira Paim R. Cavalcante Veiga (R. Sosa 66') J. López (M. Magalhães Prado 76')	L. Jardim J. Rodríguez Bebanz D. das Neves Pinheiro P. Coutinho Correia (A. Gomez 61') N. Rocha Moreira (M. Carvalho dos Santos 79') L. da Cruz Oliveira R. Alves Barbosa P. de Oliveira Alves H. Moura Arruda da Silva R. Rocha (D. Correia da Fonseca 67') P. Vegetti Pfaffen

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Palmeiras are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Palmeiras 54%	1/3	1/1000
Draw 23%	17/4	50/1
Vasco d Gama 23%	8/1	125/1
Draw 1-1 11%	9/1	9/1
Palmeiras 2-1 10%	8/1	17/2
Palmeiras 1-0 9%	6/1	15/2
Palmeiras 2-0 9%	5/1	7/1
Palmeiras 3-1 6%	11/1	13/2
Vasco d Gama 2-1 6%	22/1	20/1
Vasco d Gama 1-0 6%	18/1	14/1
Draw 2-2 6%	22/1	16/1
Palmeiras 3-0 5%	7/1	16/5
Draw 0-0 5%	12/1	9/1
Palmeiras 3-2 3%	28/1	18/1
Vasco d Gama 2-0 3%	40/1	28/1
Palmeiras 4-1 3%	18/1	6/1
Palmeiras 4-0 3%	12/1	29/10
Vasco d Gama 3-1 2%	66/1	40/1
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	7/10	1/16
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	11/10	7/1
Home 1st Goal 54%	1/3	1/3
Away 1st Goal 44%	5/2	29/10
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1	9/1
BTTS - Yes 58%	11/10	13/10
BTTS - No 42%	4/6	11/20
BTTS - Home Win 27%	9/4	11/8
BTTS - Draw 18%	6/1	40/1
BTTS - Away Win 13%	16/1	90/1
Home/draw 77%	1/14	1/1000
Away/draw 46%	9/4	40/1
Home/away 77%	1/6	1/1000
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	2/9	1/18
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	10/3	15/2
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	7/4	1/5
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	4/9	16/5
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	4/1	19/20
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1/6	4/5
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	9/1	29/10
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/16	2/9
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	1/33
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12/1	10/1
Home DNB 70%	1/10	1/1000
Away DNB 39%	6/1	90/1
Palmeiras win to nil 27%	1/1	-
Vasco d Gama win to nil 10%	14/1	-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras 42%	10/11	1/1000
Palmeiras / Vasco d Gama 2%	40/1	80/1
Palmeiras / Draw 5%	18/1	40/1
Draw / Palmeiras 21%	3/1	1/50
Draw / Vasco d Gama 5%	16/1	1/50
Draw / Draw 12%	13/2	1/50
Vasco d Gama / Palmeiras 4%	20/1	1/50
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama 6%	16/1	1/50
Vasco d Gama / Draw 4%	20/1	1/50

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Fortaleza
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Internacional
Palmeiras	3 - 0	S. Recife
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Ceara
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
Palmeiras	3 - 2	A Mineiro
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
Palmeiras	0 - 2	Flamengo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Corinthians
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Botafogo
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Fluminense
Palmeiras	1 - 3	Botafogo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
Palmeiras	2 - 2	Fortaleza
Palmeiras	2 - 1	A Mineiro
Palmeiras	5 - 0	Criciuma
Palmeiras	5 - 0	Cuiaba
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Sao Paulo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Fortaleza
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Internacional
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Corinthians
H	Palmeiras	3 - 0	S. Recife
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Botafogo
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Ceara
A	Palmeiras	2 - 2	Vitoria
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
H	Palmeiras	3 - 2	A Mineiro
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Palmeiras	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Palmeiras	0 - 2	Flamengo
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Internacional

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
S. Recife	2 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Juventude	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Santos	0 - 6	Vasco d Gama
Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Internacional	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	0 - 1	Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Bahia
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Flamengo
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 2	Ceara
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 2	S. Recife
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 3	Corinthians
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Juventude
A	Vasco d Gama	6 - 0	Santos
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 3	Mirassol
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Botafogo
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Bragantino
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Vitoria
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Cruzeiro

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Palmeiras have beaten Vasco d Gama in 4 consecutive league meetings

Palmeiras have not lost to Vasco d Gama in 11 consecutive league meetings

Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Vasco d Gama

Palmeiras

Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

2 / 5

Clean sheets

3 / 5

0 / 5

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras	2 - 0
Palmeiras	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Palmeiras	1 - 0

Vasco d Gama

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 6

6 / 6

Clean sheets

0 / 6

4 / 6

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
	0 - 1	Palmeiras
	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Palmeiras
	1 - 2	Palmeiras
	0 - 1	Palmeiras

Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is very strong, Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Vasco da Gama makes sense in this context.

	Palmeiras 2nd	Vasco d Gama 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+18 Palmeiras have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted	+35 Vasco d Gama have scored 35% more goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

15%

better

PAL

VDG

view stats

Games scored	19		17
Failed to score	3		7
Scored first	14		10
Goals scored	36		36
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.4
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	15		14
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.3
KickOff rating		+15%

35%

better

PAL

VDG

view stats

Games conceded	14		21
Clean sheets	8		3
Conceded first	7		13
Goals conceded	18		35
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	12%		15%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.4
KickOff rating		+35%

Palmeiras v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	9	3	5
Weverton	V Roque	V Roque	G Portillo

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Weverton GLK	23			2 -
A Giay DEF	20			1 -
G Portillo DEF	19	1	1	5 -
Murilo DEF	10	1		4 -
J Piquerez DEF	22	3	1	2 -
R Veiga MID	13	1	1	-
A Moreno MID	18			4 -
A Pereira MID	4	2		-
J López MID	22	8	1	4 -
F Anderson MID	19	1	2	-
V Roque FWD	23	9	3	2 -
Subs
M Lomba GLK	1			-
C Miguel GLK				-
B Fuchs DEF	14			4 -
J Dias DEF	3		1	-
Micael DEF	10		1	3 -
M Maurício MID	17	3	3	-
E Martínez MID	18	1		2 -
B Rodrigues FWD	2			-
F Torres FWD	22	4	3	2 -
R Sosa FWD	12	1	2	-
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD	1			-
A. Andrade Elias FWD	16	1		1 1

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	24	3	6
V Roque	V Roque	V Roque	F Torres

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Roque FWD	9	24	3	3
J López MID	8	17	1	2
Subs
F Torres FWD	4	12	3	6
J Piquerez DEF	3	6	1	4
Subs
M Maurício MID	3	8	3	2
A Pereira MID	2	3
G Portillo DEF	1	2	1	4
Murilo DEF	1	2
R Veiga MID	1	4	1	2
F Anderson MID	1	7	2	2
Subs
E Martínez MID	1	5		4
R Sosa FWD	1	3	2	3
A. Andrade Elias FWD	1	3
A Giay DEF				2
A Moreno MID		2		3
Subs
B Fuchs DEF				1
J Dias DEF			1
Micael DEF		1	1	1
B Rodrigues FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
878	44	137
J Piquerez	A Giay	J López

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Piquerez DEF	878	37	70
G Portillo DEF	814	41	102
A Giay DEF	743	44	95
A Moreno MID	678	36	63
Weverton GLK	599	1	10
Subs
E Martínez MID	532	32	57
F Anderson MID	503	41	83
Subs
F Torres FWD	496	12	58
B Fuchs DEF	475	16	50
Micael DEF	463	19	49
Murilo DEF	462	14	39
Subs
M Maurício MID	323	6	19
J López MID	263	24	137
R Veiga MID	205	8	36
V Roque FWD	198	10	103
Subs
R Sosa FWD	148	3	30
A. Andrade Elias FWD	128	15	39
A Pereira MID	95	4	8
Subs
J Dias DEF	76	1	10
M Lomba GLK	23
B Rodrigues FWD	5		1
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD	2

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	12	5	7
L Jardim	P Vegetti	N Moreira	P Henrique

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Jardim GLK	25			1 2
P Henrique DEF	20	1	4	7 -
L Oliveira DEF	7			1 -
R Renan DEF	4			-
J Bebanz DEF	16	2	2	-
T Tchê MID	18	1		1 -
H Moura MID	24		1	6 -
R Rocha MID	24	7	1	3 -
P Coutinho MID	20	5	2	1
N Moreira MID	26	4	5	1 -
P Vegetti FWD	24	12	1	3 -
Subs
D Fuzato GLK	2			-
V Luis DEF	4			-
P Babilônia DEF				-
L Freitas DEF	19	1		4 -
G. de Paiva MID				-
B Garré MID	10			1 -
Paulinho MID	9			2 -
E. Galdino da Silva MID				-
M Santos MID	14			1 -
David FWD	14	1	3	2 -
A Gomez FWD	6		2	1 -
G. Souza da Silva FWD	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	25	5	8
P Vegetti	R Rocha	N Moreira	N Moreira

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Vegetti FWD	12	20	1	3
R Rocha MID	7	25	1	5
P Coutinho MID	5	21	2	6
N Moreira MID	4	13	5	8
J Bebanz DEF	2	8	2	3
P Henrique DEF	1	8	4	3
T Tchê MID	1	2
Subs
L Freitas DEF	1	1
David FWD	1	5	3	5
H Moura MID		5	1	3
Subs
V Luis DEF		1
B Garré MID		1		1
A Gomez FWD		1	2	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1296	69	166
H Moura	P Henrique	P Henrique

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
H Moura MID	1296	46	76
Subs
L Freitas DEF	1093	15	54
P Coutinho MID	901	16	71
T Tchê MID	792	12	59
N Moreira MID	777	27	99
P Henrique DEF	754	69	166
L Jardim GLK	686		13
J Bebanz DEF	533	17	51
R Rocha MID	457	26	120
Subs
M Santos MID	375	16	29
P Vegetti FWD	279	15	100
R Renan DEF	194	4	10
Subs
David FWD	175	7	30
Paulinho MID	159	6	19
B Garré MID	140	6	9
V Luis DEF	97		5
L Oliveira DEF	91	3	11
Subs
D Fuzato GLK	52		1
A Gomez FWD	34	4	21
G. Souza da Silva FWD	30	3	7