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Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 20th Feb, 19:00 BST, Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard-Geleen

We’ve Eredivisie action to enjoy on Friday evening, as Danny Buijs and his Fortuna Sittard side host Ruben den Uil’s Excelsior at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Fortuna should have reason to feel positive ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Excelsior. The bookmakers see them as well matched and so do we – there's no clear winner in this tie. So our tip looks to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookmakers odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fortuna are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Fortuna 48%	2.15	-
Draw 23%	3.40	-
Excelsior 29%	3.25	-
Draw 1-1 11%	7.00	-
Fortuna 2-1 9%	8.50	-
Fortuna 1-0 8%	9.00	-
Fortuna 2-0 7%	10.00	-
Excelsior 2-1 7%	12.00	-
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00	-
Excelsior 1-0 6%	12.00	-
Fortuna 3-1 5%	15.00	-
Draw 0-0 5%	13.00	-
Fortuna 3-0 4%	17.00	-
Excelsior 2-0 4%	19.00	-
Fortuna 3-2 4%	23.00	-
Excelsior 3-1 3%	26.00	-
Excelsior 3-2 3%	29.00	-
Fortuna 4-1 2%	29.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	1.73	-
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	2.08	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	1.67	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	2.25	-
No 1st Goal 3%	13.00	-
BTTS - Yes 61%	1.67	-
BTTS - No 39%	2.10	-
BTTS - Home Win 25%	3.75	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.50	-
BTTS - Away Win 16%	6.00	-
Home/draw 71%	1.33	-
Away/draw 52%	1.67	-
Home/away 77%	1.30	-
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1.22	-
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	4.00	-
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	2.75	-
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	1.40	-
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	5.50	-
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1.14	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	11.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1.05	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.04	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	13.00	-
Home DNB 64%	1.44	-
Away DNB 45%	2.63	-
Fortuna win to nil 22%	3.75	-
Excelsior win to nil 13%	7.00	-
Fortuna / Fortuna 27%	3.10	-
Fortuna / Excelsior 3%	29.00	-
Fortuna / Draw 6%	13.00	-
Draw / Fortuna 17%	5.00	-
Draw / Excelsior 10%	8.00	-
Draw / Draw 14%	6.00	-
Excelsior / Fortuna 4%	21.00	-
Excelsior / Excelsior 14%	6.00	-
Excelsior / Draw 6%	15.00	-

Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Fortuna have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Fortuna have outscored their opponents by 33 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

Fortuna have played 11 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Excelsior are in 10th position in the Eredivisie on 26 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Excelsior have conceded 21 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Fortuna Excelsior
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	PSV	22	19	2	1	40	59	l 1-2A	l 5-2A	l 1-2F	l 5-1A
2	Feyenoord	22	13	3	6	20	42	May 3	l 2-0A	l 1-2F	Mar 15
3	NEC	21	12	5	4	21	41	w 3-2F	Feb 28	Apr 4	l 5-0A
4	Ajax	22	10	9	3	13	39	l 1-3F	Feb 14	d 2-2A	w 1-2F
5	S.Rotterdam	22	11	3	8	-7	36	d 2-2F	d 1-1A	l 0-1A	May 17
6	Twente	22	8	10	4	12	34	Mar 21	l 3-2A	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
7	AZ Alkmaar	22	9	6	7	1	33	w 4-3F	Apr 4	Feb 14	d 1-1A
8	Groningen	22	9	4	9	1	31	l 1-2A	w 1-2A	l 0-2A	May 2
9	Fortuna	22	7	5	10	-5	26	-	-	w 1-0F	Feb 20
10	Excelsior	22	7	5	10	-13	26	Feb 20	l 1-0A	-	-
11	PEC Zwolle	22	7	5	10	-14	26	May 10	l 1-0A	w 2-1F	Apr 12
12	Heerenveen	21	6	7	8	-4	25	w 2-0F	Apr 25	Mar 7	l 2-1F
13	Utrecht	21	6	6	9	2	24	w 1-0F	May 17	Apr 26	l 4-1A
14	GA Eagles	21	4	11	6	-3	23	d 2-2A	d 2-2F	Mar 1	l 2-0A
15	FC Volendam	22	5	6	11	-13	21	w 1-0F	Mar 14	May 10	w 1-2F
16	Telstar	22	3	8	11	-12	17	Mar 8	w 1-3F	d 2-2A	d 2-2A
17	Heracles	22	5	2	15	-26	17	d 1-1F	l 2-1A	l 1-2F	Mar 20
18	NAC	22	3	7	12	-13	16	Apr 12	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	w 0-2F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fortuna	2 - 2	S.Rotterdam
Fortuna	1 - 2	PSV
Fortuna	4 - 3	AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna	1 - 3	Ajax
Fortuna	1 - 1	Heracles
Fortuna	2 - 0	Heerenveen
Fortuna	1 - 2	Groningen
Fortuna	1 - 0	FC Volendam
Fortuna	1 - 0	Utrecht
Fortuna	3 - 2	NEC
Fortuna	2 - 2	GA Eagles
Fortuna	0 - 0	Utrecht
Fortuna	1 - 0	NAC
Fortuna	1 - 0	Willem II
Fortuna	0 - 2	Feyenoord
Fortuna	0 - 3	S.Rotterdam
Fortuna	1 - 0	Heracles
Fortuna	0 - 2	Ajax
Fortuna	1 - 4	PEC Zwolle
Fortuna	0 - 3	GA Eagles

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fortuna	2 - 2	S.Rotterdam
A	Fortuna	1 - 2	Heracles
A	Fortuna	2 - 1	Groningen
H	Fortuna	1 - 2	PSV
A	Fortuna	2 - 2	GA Eagles
H	Fortuna	4 - 3	AZ Alkmaar
A	Fortuna	0 - 1	PEC Zwolle
H	Fortuna	1 - 3	Ajax
H	Fortuna	1 - 1	Heracles
A	Fortuna	1 - 1	S.Rotterdam
H	Fortuna	2 - 0	Heerenveen
A	Fortuna	2 - 5	PSV
H	Fortuna	1 - 2	Groningen
A	Fortuna	0 - 1	Excelsior
H	Fortuna	1 - 0	FC Volendam
A	Fortuna	2 - 3	Twente
H	Fortuna	1 - 0	Utrecht
A	Fortuna	0 - 2	Feyenoord
A	Fortuna	3 - 1	Telstar
H	Fortuna	3 - 2	NEC

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
NAC	0 - 2	Excelsior
Twente	0 - 0	Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar	1 - 1	Excelsior
PSV	5 - 1	Excelsior
Ajax	1 - 2	Excelsior
Telstar	2 - 2	Excelsior
GA Eagles	2 - 0	Excelsior
Heerenveen	2 - 1	Excelsior
FC Volendam	1 - 2	Excelsior
Utrecht	4 - 1	Excelsior
NEC	5 - 0	Excelsior
Feyenoord	4 - 0	Excelsior
Ajax	2 - 2	Excelsior
PEC Zwolle	2 - 1	Excelsior
GA Eagles	3 - 0	Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar	4 - 0	Excelsior
Fortuna	5 - 2	Excelsior
S.Rotterdam	4 - 2	Excelsior
Almere City	2 - 1	Excelsior
PSV	3 - 1	Excelsior

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Excelsior	2 - 0	NAC
H	Excelsior	2 - 2	Ajax
A	Excelsior	0 - 0	Twente
A	Excelsior	1 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
H	Excelsior	2 - 2	Telstar
A	Excelsior	1 - 5	PSV
H	Excelsior	2 - 1	PEC Zwolle
H	Excelsior	0 - 2	Groningen
H	Excelsior	1 - 0	NAC
A	Excelsior	2 - 1	Ajax
H	Excelsior	1 - 2	Heracles
A	Excelsior	2 - 2	Telstar
A	Excelsior	0 - 2	GA Eagles
H	Excelsior	1 - 0	Fortuna
A	Excelsior	1 - 2	Heerenveen
H	Excelsior	1 - 2	PSV
A	Excelsior	2 - 1	FC Volendam
H	Excelsior	0 - 1	S.Rotterdam
H	Excelsior	1 - 0	Twente
A	Excelsior	1 - 4	Utrecht

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Fortuna have beaten Excelsior in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Fortuna

Excelsior

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

FOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fortuna
Fortuna		5 - 2
Fortuna		1 - 0
Fortuna		4 - 1

Excelsior

Fortuna

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

0 / 4

EXC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Excelsior
Excelsior	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Excelsior	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Fortuna Sittard have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Eredivisie matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Excelsior on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Fortuna 9th	Excelsior 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Fortuna will score 1 or more goals	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 73% probability that Excelsior will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-23 Fortuna have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted	-14 Excelsior have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	2.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season

16%

better

FOR

EXC

view stats

Games scored	19		17
Failed to score	3		5
Scored first	10		11
Goals scored	33		24
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.1
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	16		13
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.3
KickOff rating		+16%

FOR

EXC

13%

better

view stats

Games conceded	19		17
Clean sheets	3		5
Conceded first	12		10
Goals conceded	38		37
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.9
KickOff rating		+13%

Fortuna v Excelsior Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Fortuna Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	8	6	8
M Branderhorst	K Sierhuis	M Ihattaren	J. Hubner

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Márquez DEF	22			3 -
D Limnios FWD	22		3	1 -
K Peterson FWD	22	2	2	1 -
M Branderhorst GLK	21			3 -
P. Brittijn MID	21	3	1	5 -
P Gladon FWD	21	4	2	1 -
S Adewoye DEF	20			5 -
I Pinto DEF	20		5	2 -
M Ihattaren MID	19	4	6	3 -
K Sierhuis FWD	19	8		3 -
R Fosso MID	17		1	4 -
J. Hubner DEF	15	1	1	7 1
J Dahlhaus DEF	15		1	3 -
J Lonwijk MID	15	4		1 -
Édouard Michut MID	14			3 -
M. Aiko FWD	13	2	2	2 -
L. Tunjic MID	12	2		1 -
S Ottele DEF	8			2 -
H Mendes DEF	6			-
S Bastien MID	5			-
M. Kerkez DEF	3			-
A Halilovic MID	3		1	-
T. Schenkhuizen MID	2			-
L Koopmans GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	24	6	5
K Sierhuis	M Ihattaren	M Ihattaren	M Ihattaren

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Sierhuis FWD	8	19		2
P Gladon FWD	4	5	2
M Ihattaren MID	4	24	6	5
J Lonwijk MID	4	5
P. Brittijn MID	3	3	1
K Peterson FWD	2	12	2	2
M. Aiko FWD	2	3	2	2
L. Tunjic MID	2	2
J. Hubner DEF	1	2	1	1
I Márquez DEF		2		1
D Limnios FWD		8	3	3
S Adewoye DEF		2
I Pinto DEF			5	3
R Fosso MID		1	1	1
J Dahlhaus DEF		2	1	1
Édouard Michut MID		2
S Ottele DEF		1
A Halilovic MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
752	52	98
I Márquez	P. Brittijn	I Márquez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Márquez DEF	752	28	98
M Branderhorst GLK	720	2	13
S Adewoye DEF	695	35	98
R Fosso MID	690	38	76
M Ihattaren MID	601	8	52
P. Brittijn MID	566	52	89
I Pinto DEF	566	27	63
J Dahlhaus DEF	503	33	66
Édouard Michut MID	477	23	66
D Limnios FWD	402	21	69
J. Hubner DEF	375	16	49
K Peterson FWD	336	12	60
K Sierhuis FWD	298	5	68
J Lonwijk MID	209	23	50
S Ottele DEF	182	11	21
P Gladon FWD	131	3	62
L. Tunjic MID	99	13	28
M. Aiko FWD	94	5	22
L Koopmans GLK	33		2
H Mendes DEF	18	3	4
A Halilovic MID	11	1	5
S Bastien MID	8	2	3
M. Kerkez DEF	4	1	1
T. Schenkhuizen MID	4

Excelsior Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	6	4	6
C Widell	N Naujoks	G Regt	A Zagre

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Bronkhorst DEF	22	1		4 -
C Widell DEF	22			2 -
G Regt FWD	22	2	4	3 -
R Meissen DEF	21		2	3 -
D Fernandes FWD	21	1	2	-
S Gassel GLK	20			-
A Zagre DEF	19	2		5 1
I Yegoian MID	19	4	2	1 -
N Naujoks MID	19	6		2 -
M Duinen FWD	19	1	1	1 -
A Carlén MID	17		1	4 -
J. Armantrading FWD	16			1 -
L Schouten DEF	12	1		1 -
S Wlodarczyk FWD	12	2	1	-
N. Martens DEF	9		1	-
L Hartjes MID	9			1 -
S Mitrovic FWD	9			-
S Janssen DEF	8		1	-
S. Hendrikx DEF	8			1
C. Nadje MID	7			2 -
S. Middendorp MID	6			1
D. Yun FWD	6	1		1 -
Z. Booth FWD	3			-
C Raatsie GLK	2			-
M Tielemans MID	2			-
T. Holla GLK	1			-
N. Groen FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	11	4	8
N Naujoks	D Fernandes	G Regt	G Regt

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Naujoks MID	6	11
I Yegoian MID	4	10	2	4
G Regt FWD	2	9	4	8
A Zagre DEF	2	4		1
S Wlodarczyk FWD	2	6	1	1
I Bronkhorst DEF	1	3		2
D Fernandes FWD	1	11	2	6
M Duinen FWD	1	4	1	2
L Schouten DEF	1	3
D. Yun FWD	1	2
C Widell DEF		2
R Meissen DEF		5	2	2
S Gassel GLK				1
A Carlén MID		1	1
J. Armantrading FWD		3		2
N. Martens DEF			1
S Mitrovic FWD		2		1
S Janssen DEF		3	1	2
S. Hendrikx DEF		3
Z. Booth FWD		1
M Tielemans MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1057	40	115
C Widell	A Zagre	I Bronkhorst

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Widell DEF	1057	25	79
S Gassel GLK	897		6
I Bronkhorst DEF	816	32	115
R Meissen DEF	791	17	54
I Yegoian MID	623	28	80
A Zagre DEF	601	40	74
D Fernandes FWD	517	13	68
G Regt FWD	441	17	62
A Carlén MID	414	35	68
N Naujoks MID	364	29	84
L Hartjes MID	304	9	28
S. Hendrikx DEF	265	10	22
N. Martens DEF	181	12	20
L Schouten DEF	180	10	26
J. Armantrading FWD	153	5	42
C Raatsie GLK	113	1	1
C. Nadje MID	108	4	23
S Wlodarczyk FWD	105	2	22
M Duinen FWD	100	10	44
S Janssen DEF	100	6	15
M Tielemans MID	77	1	2
S Mitrovic FWD	66	2	14
S. Middendorp MID	56	5	11
T. Holla GLK	40
Z. Booth FWD	29	1	1
D. Yun FWD	20	2	6
N. Groen FWD	4