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NAC Breda v Excelsior : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 6th Feb, 19:00 BST, Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Eredivisie, and Carl Hoefkens’s NAC Breda will have the joy of it on Friday evening. Ruben den Uil’s Excelsior are their opponents at the Rat Verlegh Stadion. This preview has odds for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be viewed, while there's also head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that NAC and Excelsior will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Carl Hoefkens or Ruben den Uil has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.22 equating to about a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think NAC are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
NAC
49%
1.911.83
6%
Draw
24%
3.503.80
9%
Excelsior
27%
3.604.00
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.006.50
NAC 2-1
10%
8.507.50
6%
NAC 1-0
9%
8.507.50
NAC 2-0
8%
10.008.50
6%
Excelsior 2-1
7%
13.0011.00
Excelsior 1-0
6%
12.0011.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0012.00
9%
NAC 3-1
6%
15.0012.00
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
12.0011.00
16%
NAC 3-0
5%
17.0013.00
Excelsior 2-0
4%
21.0017.00
13%
NAC 3-2
3%
23.0017.00
11%
Excelsior 3-1
3%
29.0023.00
Excelsior 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
13%
NAC 4-1
2%
29.0019.00
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
1.801.70
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
2.002.05
5%
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.671.60
4%
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.302.50
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
12.0011.00
16%
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.671.67
2%
BTTS - No
42%
2.102.10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3.753.40
8%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.504.50
4%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
6.506.50
Home/draw
73%
1.291.22
2%
Away/draw
51%
1.831.95
7%
Home/away
76%
1.291.25
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.221.22
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.003.90
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
3.002.75
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1.361.40
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5.505.00
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.141.15
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11.009.50
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.051.05
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.03
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12.0011.00
16%
Home DNB
66%
1.441.35
4%
Away DNB
44%
2.632.90
7%
NAC win to nil
24%
3.50-
Excelsior win to nil
12%
7.00-
NAC / NAC
28%
3.102.70
7%
NAC / Excelsior
3%
29.0026.00
NAC / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / NAC
16%
5.004.80
4%
Draw / Excelsior
10%
8.008.50
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.50
10%
Excelsior / NAC
4%
21.0019.00
Excelsior / Excelsior
13%
6.006.00
4%
Excelsior / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

NAC have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 7 and won 3. NAC have conceded 33 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

NAC have played 11 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Excelsior lay in 13th place on 23 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 8 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Excelsior have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Excelsior have played 10 away games, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
NAC
Excelsior
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2118213956 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-1A
2
Feyenoord2112361939 
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
3
NEC2011541838 
l
 
3-4A
l
 
3-0A
Apr 4
l
 
5-0A
4
Ajax2110831338 
Apr 25
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
5
S.Rotterdam211128-735 
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 17
6
AZ Alkmaar21957132 
l
 
0-1A
May 17
Feb 14
d
 
1-1A
7
Twente217104731 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
8
Groningen21948231 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
May 2
9
PEC Zwolle21759-1326 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 21
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
10
Heerenveen20677125 
May 10
d
 
3-3A
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
11
Fortuna217410-525 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
w
 
1-0F
Feb 20
12
Utrecht20668324 
d
 
1-1F
May 2
Apr 26
l
 
4-1A
13
Excelsior216510-1523 
Feb 6
l
 
1-0A
-
-
14
GA Eagles204106-322 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
15
FC Volendam214611-1418 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1F
May 10
w
 
1-2F
16
Heracles215214-2317 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 14
l
 
1-2F
Mar 20
17
NAC213711-1116 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Feb 6
18
Telstar213711-1216 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 27
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Excelsior have drawn 4 consecutive league games
10
NAC have not won in 10 consecutive league games
5
Excelsior have not won in 5 consecutive league games
NAC 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
10
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
NAC2 - 2Twente
NAC3 - 4NEC
NAC0 - 1Telstar
NAC1 - 1Utrecht
NAC0 - 1PSV
NAC1 - 0GA Eagles
NAC2 - 2PEC Zwolle
NAC1 - 2Groningen
NAC2 - 1Heracles
NAC0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
NAC2 - 1Fortuna
NAC1 - 1Willem II
NAC1 - 3PEC Zwolle
NAC1 - 1GA Eagles
NAC1 - 1Groningen
NAC1 - 1S.Rotterdam
NAC0 - 0Feyenoord
NAC1 - 1Heracles
NAC2 - 1Twente
NAC2 - 4Heerenveen
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNAC2 - 2Twente
ANAC2 - 2PSV
HNAC3 - 4NEC
ANAC0 - 0Groningen
HNAC0 - 1Telstar
HNAC1 - 1Utrecht
ANAC0 - 1S.Rotterdam
ANAC0 - 1Excelsior
HNAC0 - 1PSV
ANAC1 - 2FC Volendam
HNAC1 - 0GA Eagles
ANAC3 - 3Heerenveen
HNAC2 - 2PEC Zwolle
HNAC1 - 2Groningen
ANAC1 - 2Ajax
HNAC2 - 1Heracles
ANAC2 - 2Twente
HNAC0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
ANAC0 - 3NEC
HNAC2 - 1Fortuna
Excelsior 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
56
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Twente0 - 0Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Excelsior
PSV5 - 1Excelsior
Ajax1 - 2Excelsior
Telstar2 - 2Excelsior
GA Eagles2 - 0Excelsior
Heerenveen2 - 1Excelsior
FC Volendam1 - 2Excelsior
Utrecht4 - 1Excelsior
NEC5 - 0Excelsior
Feyenoord4 - 0Excelsior
Ajax2 - 2Excelsior
PEC Zwolle2 - 1Excelsior
GA Eagles3 - 0Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar4 - 0Excelsior
Fortuna5 - 2Excelsior
S.Rotterdam4 - 2Excelsior
Almere City2 - 1Excelsior
PSV3 - 1Excelsior
Twente4 - 2Excelsior
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HExcelsior2 - 2Ajax
AExcelsior0 - 0Twente
AExcelsior1 - 1AZ Alkmaar
HExcelsior2 - 2Telstar
AExcelsior1 - 5PSV
HExcelsior2 - 1PEC Zwolle
HExcelsior0 - 2Groningen
HExcelsior1 - 0NAC
AExcelsior2 - 1Ajax
HExcelsior1 - 2Heracles
AExcelsior2 - 2Telstar
AExcelsior0 - 2GA Eagles
HExcelsior1 - 0Fortuna
AExcelsior1 - 2Heerenveen
HExcelsior1 - 2PSV
AExcelsior2 - 1FC Volendam
HExcelsior0 - 1S.Rotterdam
HExcelsior1 - 0Twente
AExcelsior1 - 4Utrecht
HExcelsior1 - 2Feyenoord
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at NAC since 2017
NAC
Excelsior
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
BRE
1
EXC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NAC
0 - 2Excelsior
NAC3 - 1
League games at Excelsior since 2018
Excelsior
NAC
Goals: Scored
2
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
BRE
1
D
1
EXC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Excelsior
Excelsior1 - 0
1 - 2NAC
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics
NAC 18th Excelsior 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that NAC will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Excelsior will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
NAC have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-13
Excelsior have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
2.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
NAC
PG (predicted goals)
Excelsior
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
BRE
EXC
15%
better
view stats
Games scored13
16
Failed to score8
5
Scored first6
10
Goals scored23
22
Avg. goals scored1.1
1
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
12
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
BRE
EXC
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
17
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first14
10
Goals conceded34
37
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.9
KickOff rating
+10%

NAC v Excelsior Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

NAC Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21547
B Kemper S HooijdonkL HoltbyR Hillen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Kemper  DEF2132
3
-
K Sowah FWD211
3
-
D Bielica GLK20
2
-
C. Valerius DEF20
5
-
M. Balard MID201
3
1
J. Talvitie FWD2022
-
R Hillen DEF191
7
-
C Leemans MID19
2
-
M Nassoh MID1831
2
-
L Holtby MID1814
1
1
S Hooijdonk FWD1851
1
1
B Lucassen DEF15
1
-
C Brym FWD1424
3
-
R. Paula MID122
-
L Greiml DEF101
1
-
M Soumano FWD93
-
E Mahmutovic DEF7
2
-
D. Versluis FWD6
-
T Kongolo DEF5
-
F Jensen MID5
1
J. Candelaria DEF4
-
B Ghalidi FWD3
1
-
C Staring MID2
-
K Lamprou GLK1
-
D. van Reeuwijk DEF1
-
Excelsior Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21635
C WidellN NaujoksG RegtA Zagre
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Bronkhorst DEF211
4
-
C Widell DEF21
2
-
G Regt FWD2123
3
-
D Fernandes FWD2112
-
R Meissen DEF202
3
-
S Gassel GLK19
-
M Duinen FWD1911
1
-
A Zagre DEF182
4
1
N Naujoks MID186
2
-
I Yegoian MID1832
1
-
A Carlén MID161
4
-
J. Armantrading FWD15
1
-
S Wlodarczyk FWD1221
-
L Schouten DEF111
1
-
N. Martens DEF91
-
S Mitrovic FWD9
-
L Hartjes MID8
1
-
S Janssen DEF71
-
S. Hendrikx DEF7
1
C. Nadje MID7
2
-
S. Middendorp MID6
1
D. Yun FWD61
1
-
Z. Booth FWD3
-
C Raatsie GLK2
-
M Tielemans MID2
-
T. Holla GLK1
-
N. Groen FWD1
-