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Derby County v Blackburn Rovers : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Feb, 12:30 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Blackburn Rovers pay Championship rivals Derby County a visit on Saturday lunch time, as Valérien Ismaël guides his men into an away clash with John Eustace & co. at the Pride Park Stadium. Statistics power the predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
38%
--
Draw
28%
--
Blackburn
34%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Derby 1-0
12%
--
Blackburn 1-0
11%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
Derby 2-1
8%
--
Blackburn 2-1
7%
--
Derby 2-0
7%
--
Blackburn 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Derby 3-1
3%
--
Derby 3-0
3%
--
Blackburn 3-1
3%
--
Blackburn 3-0
2%
--
Derby 3-2
2%
--
Blackburn 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
47%
--
BTTS - No
53%
--
BTTS - Home Win
15%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
62%
--
Home/away
72%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
58%
--
Away DNB
53%
--
Derby win to nil
23%
--
Blackburn win to nil
20%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 7 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Derby have outscored their opponents by 47 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 17 games at home winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 23 goals at home.

Blackburn are in 19th position in the Championship on 35 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 6 and won 7. Blackburn have conceded 37 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Blackburn
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3218863062 
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
Apr 18
l
 
2-0A
2
M'Boro3218771761 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
Mar 21
d
 
0-00-0
3
Millwall321688456 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
w
 
2-0F
Mar 14
4
Ipswich3015962254 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
Sep 20
l
 
3-0A
5
Hull311669754 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 24
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
6
Derby3213910848 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Feb 28
7
Preston3212128448 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Feb 20
w
 
1-2F
8
Wrexham3112118547 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
9
Bristol C3113711546 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
Feb 24
w
 
0-1F
10
Southampton32121010446 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
w
 
2-1A
Apr 25
11
Birmingham32121010446 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2F
Apr 3
12
Watford3211129345 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
13
QPR3212812-344 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
14
Stoke3212713543 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
15
Sheff Utd3213316042 
May 2
w
 
1-3F
l
 
1-3F
Apr 22
16
Swansea3212614-142 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1A
17
Norwich3211615039 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
18
Charlton3110912-839 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
19
Blackburn329815-1135 
Feb 28
w
 
1-2F
-
-
20
West Brom329716-1534 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
21
Portsmouth308913-1233 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 16
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
22
Leicester3210814-732 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
May 2
w
 
0-2F
23
Oxford Utd3261016-1628 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 11
24
Sheff Wed321823-45-7 
Mar 7
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby2 - 0Swansea
Derby1 - 2Ipswich
Derby1 - 1West Brom
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Derby1 - 0QPR
Derby1 - 0Norwich
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Charlton
Derby0 - 1Preston
Derby1 - 1Bristol C
Derby3 - 5Coventry
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Derby0 - 1Luton
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby2 - 0Swansea
HDerby1 - 2Ipswich
ADerby5 - 0Bristol C
HDerby1 - 1West Brom
ADerby2 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 0Preston
HDerby1 - 2Wrexham
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby1 - 2Leicester
ADerby1 - 1Birmingham
HDerby1 - 1Portsmouth
ADerby3 - 0Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby1 - 3Leicester
ADerby1 - 2M'Boro
ADerby2 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 3Watford
ADerby2 - 1Blackburn
HDerby2 - 1Hull
ADerby3 - 1Sheff Utd
Blackburn 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
QPR1 - 3Blackburn
Norwich2 - 0Blackburn
Swansea3 - 1Blackburn
Ipswich3 - 0Blackburn
Sheff Wed0 - 0Blackburn
M'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
Portsmouth2 - 1Blackburn
Wrexham1 - 1Blackburn
Preston1 - 2Blackburn
Bristol C0 - 1Blackburn
Leicester0 - 2Blackburn
Coventry2 - 0Blackburn
Charlton3 - 0Blackburn
Watford0 - 1Blackburn
Hull0 - 3Blackburn
West Brom1 - 0Blackburn
Sheff Utd1 - 1Blackburn
Sunderland0 - 1Blackburn
Luton0 - 1Blackburn
Portsmouth1 - 0Blackburn
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABlackburn3 - 1QPR
ABlackburn0 - 2Norwich
HBlackburn1 - 0Sheff Wed
HBlackburn0 - 1Hull
HBlackburn1 - 1Watford
ABlackburn1 - 3Swansea
ABlackburn0 - 3Ipswich
HBlackburn2 - 2Charlton
HBlackburn0 - 2Wrexham
ABlackburn0 - 0Sheff Wed
ABlackburn0 - 0M'Boro
HBlackburn2 - 0Millwall
ABlackburn1 - 2Portsmouth
HBlackburn1 - 1Oxford Utd
HBlackburn1 - 1Ipswich
ABlackburn1 - 1Wrexham
HBlackburn0 - 1QPR
ABlackburn2 - 1Preston
HBlackburn1 - 2Derby
ABlackburn1 - 0Bristol C
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 1996
Derby
Blackburn
Goals: Scored
19
15
Games: Scored
12 / 15
9 / 15
Clean sheets
6 / 15
3 / 15
DER
7
D
4
BLB
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby2 - 1
1 - 2Blackburn
0 - 4Blackburn
Derby3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Blackburn
Derby1 - 0
Derby2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Blackburn
Derby2 - 1
Derby1 - 0
Derby3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Blackburn since 1996
Blackburn
Derby
Goals: Scored
24
14
Games: Scored
13 / 16
9 / 16
Clean sheets
7 / 16
3 / 16
DER
4
D
3
BLB
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Blackburn
1 - 2Derby
Blackburn4 - 2
Blackburn3 - 1
Blackburn2 - 1
Blackburn1 - 0
Blackburn2 - 0
Blackburn1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Blackburn2 - 0
Blackburn3 - 1
0 - 1Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
Blackburn1 - 0
1 - 2Derby
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Blackburn Rovers of late. It has been 6 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday lunch time against Derby County.

Derby 6th Blackburn 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Blackburn will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Derby have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-14
Blackburn have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Blackburn
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
35%
better
DER
BLB
view stats
Games scored30
21
Failed to score2
11
Scored first18
13
Goals scored47
30
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.9
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for20
12
Avg. XG for1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
6%
better
DER
BLB
view stats
Games conceded24
24
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first14
17
Goals conceded39
41
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+6%

Derby v Blackburn Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311068
M ClarkeP. AgyemangJ WardL Travis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Clarke DEF3112
5
1
B Clark MID3132
4
-
J Zetterström GLK28
1
-
P. Agyemang FWD28103
3
-
D Sanderson DEF271
6
-
B Díaz FWD2733
4
-
C Elder DEF2615
7
-
A Weimann  MID2513
1
-
L Salvesen FWD2532
3
-
J Ward MID2416
1
1
E Adams MID231
7
-
R Brewster FWD2251
1
-
S Langas DEF1921
2
-
D Ozoh MID191
6
-
K Jackson FWD19
2
-
L Thompson MID171
4
-
C Morris FWD1710
4
-
L Travis MID131
7
1
C Forsyth DEF11
2
-
M Johnston DEF9
1
-
D Batth DEF9
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD91
-
R Nyambe DEF7
1
-
R O'Donnell GLK2
-
J Vickers GLK2
-
C Nelson DEF2
-
Blackburn Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30749
S McLoughlinA GudjohnsenR Morishita T Cantwell
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Ohashi FWD3261
3
-
S McLoughlin DEF30
7
1
L Miller DEF2922
3
-
S Tronstad MID272
8
-
R Alebiosu DEF2512
3
-
R Morishita  MID2324
2
-
R Hedges FWD2212
3
-
D Neve MID211
-
A Gudjohnsen FWD217
1
-
B Tóth GLK20
-
T Gardner-Hickman DEF20
7
-
T Cantwell MID2043
9
-
M. Baradji MID182
2
-
A Henriksson MID18
2
-
M Gueye FWD16
1
-
A Pears GLK13
1
-
Y Ribeiro DEF11
-
K. Montgomery MID11
-
S Tavares MID111
2
-
A Forshaw MID11
2
-
A Kargbo FWD1011
-
S Wharton DEF9
1
-
H Pickering DEF8
-
H Carter DEF4
-