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Derby County v Norwich City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 21st Oct, 19:45 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

the Pride Park Stadium masses welcome Norwich City's travelling contingent on Tuesday evening, as John Eustace's Derby County clash with Liam Manning's charges in the Championship. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our top tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 mins. Both Derby and Norwich's current form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.35.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
33%
-7/5
1%
Draw
25%
-9/4
2%
Norwich
42%
-2/1
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
-5/1
Norwich 1-0
9%
-7/1
7%
Norwich 2-1
9%
-9/1
5%
Derby 1-0
8%
-6/1
Derby 2-1
8%
-15/2
Norwich 2-0
7%
-11/1
Draw 0-0
6%
-7/1
Draw 2-2
6%
-12/1
Derby 2-0
5%
-9/1
Norwich 3-1
5%
-18/1
Norwich 3-0
3%
-22/1
Derby 3-1
3%
-16/1
Norwich 3-2
3%
-25/1
Derby 3-2
3%
-22/1
Derby 3-0
2%
-18/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
-21/20
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
-7/10
Home 1st Goal
46%
-10/11
Away 1st Goal
50%
-6/5
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
-13/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
57%
-17/20
BTTS - No
43%
-17/20
BTTS - Home Win
17%
-19/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
-10/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
-19/4
5%
Home/draw
58%
-4/11
3%
Away/draw
67%
-11/20
Home/away
75%
-1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
-7/20
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
-2/1
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
-13/5
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
-1/4
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
-6/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
-1/12
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
-14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
-1/66
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
-1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
-7/1
Home DNB
50%
-4/6
Away DNB
60%
-21/20
Derby win to nil
16%
--
Norwich win to nil
21%
--
Derby / Derby
21%
-27/10
Derby / Norwich
3%
-22/1
Derby / Draw
6%
-11/1
Draw / Derby
14%
-9/2
Draw / Norwich
12%
-11/2
Draw / Draw
17%
-7/2
2%
Norwich / Derby
4%
-20/1
Norwich / Norwich
17%
-18/5
2%
Norwich / Draw
6%
-11/1
8%
Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league. Derby are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Derby have conceded 15 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Derby have played 5 games at home, winning 0, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Norwich lay in 19th place on 8 points in the Championship league table having played 9 matches. Norwich have won all their 1 games against teams below them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 1 game against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 2 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Norwich have conceded 0 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Norwich have played 5 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Norwich
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry95402019 
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
Jan 24
d
 
1-1F
2
M'Boro9531618 
Jan 1
Nov 29
l
 
1-2A
Jan 31
3
Leicester9441516 
Dec 6
Dec 29
Nov 8
Feb 28
4
Preston9441416 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
Mar 14
Dec 20
5
Stoke9432515 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
Jan 4
d
 
1-1F
6
QPR9432-115 
Oct 25
Apr 25
Nov 29
Jan 1
7
West Brom9423-114 
Jan 24
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Jan 20
8
Millwall9423-314 
Dec 10
Mar 10
l
 
1-2A
Apr 6
9
Ipswich8341713 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
Apr 11
l
 
3-1A
10
Bristol C9342513 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 31
Oct 18
Apr 18
11
Watford9333012 
Nov 22
Feb 21
Dec 29
Dec 6
12
Swansea9333012 
Feb 14
Nov 25
Apr 25
Oct 25
13
Charlton9333012 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 21
Dec 26
Mar 21
14
Portsmouth9333-112 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Apr 3
w
 
1-2F
15
Hull9333-212 
Nov 4
Feb 24
Nov 1
May 2
16
Birmingham9333-312 
Mar 21
Dec 26
Feb 21
Nov 22
17
Southampton9252-111 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
Dec 13
Mar 7
18
Wrexham9243-110 
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3F
Jan 17
19
Norwich9225-38 
Oct 21
Apr 21
-
-
20
Derby9153-48 
-
-
Apr 21
Oct 21
21
Blackburn8215-47 
Feb 28
Nov 8
Feb 7
w
 
0-2F
22
Oxford Utd9135-36 
Apr 18
Oct 18
Nov 25
Feb 14
23
Sheff Wed9135-126 
Mar 7
Dec 15
Feb 25
Nov 5
24
Sheff Utd9108-133 
May 2
Nov 1
Mar 10
Dec 9
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
8
Derby have not won in 8 consecutive home league games
Derby 20TH
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Norwich 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 1996
Derby
Norwich
Goals: Scored
17
17
Games: Scored
10 / 13
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
3 / 13
DER
5
D
4
NOR
4
League games at Norwich since 1996
Norwich
Derby
Goals: Scored
20
16
Games: Scored
12 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
1 / 13
DER
5
D
2
NOR
6
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Derby County of late. It has been 5 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday evening against Norwich City.

Derby 20th Norwich 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Norwich will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Derby have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-14
Norwich have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Norwich
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
DER
NOR
4%
better
view stats
Games scored8
8
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
5
Goals scored11
11
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.2
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for22
14
Avg. XG for0.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
DER
NOR
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
8
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first7
4
Goals conceded15
14
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
2
KickOff rating
+10%

Derby v Norwich Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9414
J ZetterströmC MorrisA Weimann E Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK9
1
-
D Sanderson DEF9
3
-
M Clarke DEF91
2
-
A Weimann  MID911
1
-
E Adams MID91
4
-
C Morris FWD94
3
-
B Clark MID8
1
-
D Ozoh MID7
3
-
K Jackson FWD7
1
-
M Johnston DEF6
1
-
C Elder DEF61
1
-
C Forsyth DEF6
1
-
L Travis MID61
4
-
J Ward MID5
-
D Batth DEF4
-
R Nyambe DEF4
1
-
B Díaz FWD41
1
-
L Thompson MID3
1
-
R Brewster FWD31
-
L Salvesen FWD3
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD11
-
Norwich Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9513
V KovacevicJ SargentJ StaceyH Darling
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Kovacevic GLK9
1
-
H Darling DEF91
3
-
M Topic MID9
3
-
J Sargent FWD95
-
A. Crnac FWD9
2
-
J Stacey DEF811
-
K. Fisher DEF8
1
-
J Medić DEF71
1
-
O Schwartau MID71
-
J Makama FWD72
-
J Córdoba DEF61
1
-
K McLean MID61
1
-
E Marcondes MID5
-
J Schlupp MID51
-
P Diallo FWD5
1
-
M Kvistgaarden FWD51
-
L Gibbs MID4
-
P Mattsson MID4
1
-
B Chrisene DEF3
-
J. Wright MID3
1
1
M Jurásek FWD31
-
L Mahovo DEF2
-
A Forson MID1
-