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Portsmouth v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fratton Park, Portsmouth

Mark Warburton guides his Stoke City side to the Fratton Park in the Championship on Wednesday evening, with John Mousinho's Portsmouth waiting for them. Statistics for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

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Portsmouth's next match is v West Brom at 15:00 on Saturday 25th January
Stoke City's next match is v Oxford Utd at 12:30 on Saturday 25th January
The last English Championship meeting between Portsmouth and Stoke was on Wednesday 22nd January 2025
English Championship
January 22nd 2025
Portsmouth 3
1 Stoke
 
C. Bishop 5'27' B. Wilmot
C. Lang 9'
C. Ogilvie 49'
 
POR
STK
Shots On
7
2
Shots Off
7
3
Corners
7
1
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
12
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/0
 
PortsmouthStoke
 
N. Schmid
J. Williams (T. Devlin 88')
R. Atkinson
C. Ogilviefootball icon
I. Hayden (A. Dozzell 67')
M. Ritchie (Z. Swanson 84')
F. Potts
M. Pack
J. Murphy
C. Bishopfootball icon
C. Langfootball icon
V. Johansson
(E. Stevens 67') J. Wilson-Esbrand
A. Phillips
(M. Rose 59') J. Tchamadeu
(M. Bosun Lawal 90') football iconB. Wilmot
(N. Lowe 59') A. Moran
(J. Bae 59') T. Seko
L. Baker
W. Burger
L. Koumas
N. Ennis

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 77% chance of Portsmouth and Stoke 3 goals or less combined during this Championship match according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Portsmouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portsmouth
50%
11/8
1%
29/20
2%
Draw
27%
21/10
6%
21/10
6%
Stoke
23%
21/10
7%
2/1
4%
Portsmouth 1-0
14%
13/2
17%
6/1
13%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Portsmouth 2-0
10%
10/1
8%
9/1
9%
Draw 0-0
10%
15/2
23%
6/1
22%
Portsmouth 2-1
9%
17/28/1
6%
Stoke 1-0
9%
8/1
10%
13/2
12%
Stoke 2-1
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Portsmouth 3-0
5%
22/118/1
Portsmouth 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
15%
12/1
18%
Stoke 2-0
4%
14/111/1
8%
Portsmouth 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
21%
Portsmouth 4-0
2%
50/133/1
Stoke 3-1
2%
25/1
24%
18/1
12%
Portsmouth 4-1
2%
40/133/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
6/5
15%
23/20
16%
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
4/6
13%
13/20
11%
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
41%
13/10
10%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
15/2
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
5/6
10%
17/20
9%
BTTS - No
55%
5/6
13%
17/20
10%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/1
5%
4/1
15%
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/310/3
3%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
11/2
18%
19/4
15%
Home/draw
77%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
Away/draw
50%
8/158/15
1%
Home/away
73%
4/11
2%
7/20
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/11
5%
4/11
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
11/5
15%
15/8
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
3/1
25%
11/4
25%
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/4
8%
1/4
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7/1
33%
13/2
30%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/12
4%
1/14
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/1
31%
14/1
36%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40
2%
1/80
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/14
3%
1/12
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
15/2
27%
6/1
22%
Home DNB
69%
4/6
3%
4/6
2%
Away DNB
42%
11/10
5%
21/20
3%
Portsmouth win to nil
31%
11/4
13%
-
Stoke win to nil
14%
4/1-
Portsmouth / Portsmouth
21%
3/114/5
Portsmouth / Stoke
3%
33/1
31%
25/1
24%
Portsmouth / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Portsmouth
15%
9/2
8%
9/2
Draw / Stoke
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
14%
16/5
13%
Stoke / Portsmouth
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Stoke / Stoke
16%
4/1
11%
19/5
7%
Stoke / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Portsmouth have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 7 and won 6. Portsmouth have conceded 44 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Portsmouth have played 12 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Stoke lay in 18th place on 28 points in the Championship league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Stoke have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Stoke have played 13 away games, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Portsmouth
Stoke
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds2817833459 
Mar 8
d
 
3-3A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 21
2
Sheff Utd2818642258 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
3
Burnley28151122756 
Feb 1
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
4
Sunderland2815941854 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
5
M'Boro2812881244 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
-
l
 
2-0A
6
Blackburn2812610542 
Mar 29
l
 
3-0A
Mar 11
w
 
0-2F
7
West Brom289145941 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
8
Watford2812511041 
Apr 21
l
 
2-1F
Mar 1
l
 
3-0A
9
Bristol C289118238 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2F
Feb 12
10
QPR289118-338 
Feb 22
w
 
1-2A
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
11
Sheff Wed2810810-538 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 26
Apr 18
l
 
2-0A
12
Norwich289910236 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
Feb 22
13
Coventry289811035 
w
 
4-1A
Apr 9
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
14
Oxford Utd289811-1035 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
15
Swansea289712-434 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2F
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
16
Preston287138-534 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
17
Millwall2771010031 
Jan 28
Apr 5
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
18
Portsmouth Home277812-1129 
-
-
w
 
6-1F
l
 
3-1A
19
Stoke Away2861012-1028 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
6-1A
-
-
20
Cardiff2861012-1228 
Feb 11
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
21
Derby287615-727 
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 3
22
Hull286814-1126 
May 3
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-3F
Feb 1
23
Luton287516-1826 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
Apr 8
l
 
2-1F
24
Plymouth284915-3521 
Mar 11
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Portsmouth have won 3 consecutive home league games
3
Stoke have drawn 3 consecutive league games
6
Portsmouth have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
6
Stoke have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Portsmouth 22ND
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portsmouth2 - 1M'Boro
Portsmouth4 - 0Swansea
Portsmouth4 - 1Coventry
Portsmouth0 - 0Norwich
Portsmouth3 - 0Bristol C
Portsmouth3 - 1Preston
Portsmouth1 - 2Sheff Wed
Portsmouth1 - 1Oxford Utd
Portsmouth0 - 0Sheff Utd
Portsmouth0 - 3West Brom
Portsmouth1 - 3Sunderland
Portsmouth0 - 0Luton
Portsmouth1 - 2Wigan
Portsmouth3 - 2Barnsley
Portsmouth3 - 1Shrewsbury
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Portsmouth2 - 1Burton
Portsmouth2 - 1Oxford Utd
Portsmouth4 - 1Reading
Portsmouth3 - 1Cambridge
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPortsmouth2 - 1M'Boro
APortsmouth0 - 3Blackburn
APortsmouth0 - 1Sunderland
HPortsmouth4 - 0Swansea
APortsmouth0 - 3Bristol C
APortsmouth1 - 2Watford
HPortsmouth4 - 1Coventry
APortsmouth0 - 4Derby
HPortsmouth0 - 0Norwich
HPortsmouth3 - 0Bristol C
APortsmouth2 - 2Swansea
HPortsmouth3 - 1Preston
APortsmouth0 - 1Plymouth
APortsmouth1 - 1Hull
HPortsmouth1 - 2Sheff Wed
APortsmouth0 - 2Cardiff
APortsmouth2 - 1QPR
HPortsmouth1 - 1Oxford Utd
APortsmouth1 - 6Stoke
HPortsmouth0 - 0Sheff Utd
Stoke 18TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Brom1 - 1Stoke
Burnley0 - 0Stoke
Sheff Wed2 - 0Stoke
Luton2 - 1Stoke
Sunderland2 - 1Stoke
QPR1 - 1Stoke
Blackburn0 - 2Stoke
Sheff Utd2 - 0Stoke
Swansea0 - 0Stoke
M'Boro2 - 0Stoke
Oxford Utd1 - 0Stoke
Plymouth0 - 1Stoke
Watford3 - 0Stoke
Southampton0 - 1Stoke
Sheff Wed1 - 1Stoke
Swansea3 - 0Stoke
Hull0 - 2Stoke
Preston1 - 2Stoke
Leeds1 - 0Stoke
Cardiff2 - 1Stoke
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStoke1 - 1West Brom
HStoke0 - 0Plymouth
AStoke0 - 0Burnley
HStoke1 - 0Sunderland
HStoke0 - 2Leeds
AStoke0 - 2Sheff Wed
HStoke2 - 2Cardiff
AStoke1 - 2Luton
AStoke1 - 2Sunderland
HStoke0 - 2Burnley
HStoke0 - 0Preston
AStoke1 - 1QPR
HStoke1 - 1Millwall
AStoke2 - 0Blackburn
HStoke2 - 1Derby
AStoke0 - 2Sheff Utd
HStoke2 - 2Bristol C
HStoke1 - 1Norwich
AStoke0 - 0Swansea
HStoke6 - 1Portsmouth
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Stoke have beaten Portsmouth in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Portsmouth since 1997
Portsmouth
Stoke
Goals: Scored
8
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
POR
3
STK
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portsmouth
1 - 2Stoke
Portsmouth2 - 1
Portsmouth3 - 0
Portsmouth2 - 0
League games at Stoke since 1998
Stoke
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
D
2
STK
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Stoke6 - 1
Stoke1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stoke2 - 1
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Stoke City fans, as should a 6 Championship matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Portsmouth 22nd Stoke 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Portsmouth will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Stoke scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+35
Portsmouth have scored 35% more goals at home than predicted
-34
Stoke have scored 34% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280423/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Portsmouth
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1.4
0.9
Attack rating
7%
better
POR
STK
view stats
Games scored16
16
Failed to score10
11
Scored first9
13
Goals scored32
25
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.9
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for17
12
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
POR
STK
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
19
Clean sheets5
8
Conceded first14
10
Goals conceded45
33
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against17%
11%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+23%

Portsmouth v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26959
C OgilvieC Lang J MurphyM Pack
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Schmid GLK18
2
-
J Williams DEF13
4
-
M Pack DEF251
8
1
R Atkinson DEF3
-
C Ogilvie DEF262
2
-
I Hayden MID2
-
F Potts MID2213
4
-
M Ritchie MID213
3
-
C Lang  MID2393
8
-
J Murphy MID2355
5
-
C Bishop FWD1332
-
Subs
J Archer GLK2
-
R Towler DEF111
3
-
T Mcintyre DEF12
3
-
Z Swanson DEF1611
3
-
O Moxon MID10
3
-
A Dozzell MID21
5
-
T Devlin MID18
1
-
C Saydee FWD212
2
-
H Blair FWD8
3
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27359
V JohanssonA MoranJ. BaeJ Tchamadeu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK27
2
-
J Tchamadeu DEF231
9
-
A Phillips DEF5
2
-
B Wilmot DEF251
6
-
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF
-
L Baker MID31
-
T Seko MID17
-
A Moran MID2431
7
-
W Burger MID23
7
-
L. Koumas MID2631
5
-
N Ennis FWD8
-
Subs
J Bonham GLK
-
M Lawal DEF1
-
E Stevens DEF102
1
-
M Rose DEF14
1
-
J. Bae MID265
3
-
D Lipsiuc MID
-
A Vidigal MID10
-
N Lowe FWD11
-
E Tezgel FWD10
1
-