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Watford v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Vicarage Road, Watford

Saturday afternoon at the Vicarage Road, and it’s a Championship showdown between Watford and Middlesbrough. Tom Cleverley and Michael Carrick going all-out to claim victory. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Championship clash.

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Watford's next match is v Luton at 12:30 on Saturday 19th October
Middlesbrough's next match is v Bristol C at 15:00 on Saturday 19th October
The last English Championship meeting between Watford and M'Boro was on Saturday 5th October 2024
English Championship
October 5th 2024
Watford 2
1 M'Boro
 
E. Kayembe 76'54' S. Edmundson
K. Baah 87'
 
WAT
MID
Shots On
4
5
Shots Off
3
3
Corners
7
5
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
15
11
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
WatfordM'Boro
 
J. Bond
R. Porteous
M. Pollock
A. Obinze Ogbonna
R. Andrews
M. Sissoko (E. Kayembe 68')
A. Dele-Bashiru
G. Chakvetadze
D. Jebbison (K. Baah 61')
K. Sema (Y. Larouci 90')
T. Ince (V. Bayo 62')
S. Dieng
L. Ayling
V. Borges dos Santos Neto
football iconS. Edmundson
R. van den Berg
(M. Forss 89') A. Morris
F. Azaz
H. Hackney
(D. Burgzorg 76') E. Latte Lath
(I. Jones 64') M. Hamilton
(R. McGree 64') B. Doak
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Watford and M'Boro combined during a standard 90 mins. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this prediction, and we're suggest there's a 79% chance of it coming in. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Watford
40%
12/5
9%
5/2
6%
Draw
28%
14/5
6%
27/10
M'Boro
32%
1/1
5%
1/1
2%
Draw 1-1
13%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
Watford 1-0
12%
12/1
18%
10/1
10%
M'Boro 1-0
10%
9/1
43%
15/2
13%
Draw 0-0
9%
14/1
50%
10/1
10%
Watford 2-1
8%
11/1
8%
9/1
Watford 2-0
8%
18/1
10%
16/1
13%
M'Boro 2-1
7%
8/1
6%
7/1
M'Boro 2-0
6%
10/1
22%
9/1
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
10/1
Watford 3-1
3%
22/1
32%
18/1
Watford 3-0
3%
40/125/1
M'Boro 3-1
3%
14/111/1
8%
M'Boro 3-0
2%
18/1
27%
14/1
Watford 3-2
2%
25/1
37%
20/1
9%
M'Boro 3-2
2%
20/1
19%
16/1
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
8/13
19%
8/13
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
13/10
28%
6/5
10%
Home 1st Goal
49%
11/8
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
8/13
3%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
14/1
50%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
4/7
14%
4/7
6%
BTTS - No
52%
5/4
23%
13/10
10%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/2
27%
17/4
5%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
10/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
5/2
13%
12/5
9%
Home/draw
68%
4/5
2%
4/5
4%
Away/draw
60%
3/10
4%
3/10
2%
Home/away
72%
1/4
3%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/5
8%
1/5
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
7/2
29%
16/5
12%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
13/8
25%
29/20
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/2
15%
1/2
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7/2
31%
10/3
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/5
8%
1/5
5%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
8/1
40%
7/1
16%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/14
4%
1/18
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/33
3%
1/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
14/1
50%
10/1
10%
Home DNB
60%
6/4
9%
6/4
5%
Away DNB
52%
1/2
7%
10/21
1%
Watford win to nil
24%
6/1
8%
-
M'Boro win to nil
19%
3/1
23%
-
Watford / Watford
14%
9/2
15%
9/2
10%
Watford / M'Boro
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Watford / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Watford
10%
7/1
6%
13/2
7%
Draw / M'Boro
16%
9/2
16%
4/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
5%
M'Boro / Watford
3%
25/1
24%
22/1
M'Boro / M'Boro
26%
11/5
7%
21/10
3%
M'Boro / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Watford have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league. Watford are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won 1. Watford have conceded 6 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Watford have played 4 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 3 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

M'Boro lay in 8th place on 14 points in the Championship league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 8 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. M'Boro have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

M'Boro have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Watford
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
M'Boro
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
w
 
2-1F
Feb 8
 Sunderland96121019 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
Jan 4
l
 
1-0A
 Sheff Utd9630919 
Oct 23
Feb 12
Apr 18
Dec 21
 Burnley95311018 
Dec 29
Dec 6
Dec 15
Apr 12
 West Brom9522617 
Jan 21
w
 
0-1F
Feb 11
Oct 22
 Leeds9441816 
Apr 8
Dec 10
-
-
 Watford Home9513016 
Feb 15
l
 
2-1F
Feb 1
l
 
4-1A
 Norwich9432615 
Apr 26
Oct 27
Oct 26
Apr 26
 Blackburn9432415 
Nov 27
Apr 5
w
 
2-1A
Feb 15
 M'Boro Away9423314 
-
-
Nov 8
Mar 15
 Oxford Utd9333212 
Mar 29
Nov 23
Mar 12
Nov 5
 Swansea9333212 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
w
 
2-1A
Jan 18
 Derby9405012 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Apr 8
Dec 11
 Hull9333-112 
Nov 30
Jan 1
Mar 29
Nov 22
 Plymouth9324-311 
Apr 18
Dec 21
May 3
Nov 2
 Sheff Wed9324-411 
Dec 26
Apr 21
Nov 26
Apr 5
 Bristol C9252-411 
Oct 19
Feb 21
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
 Stoke9315-210 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 8
Mar 8
w
 
2-3F
 Millwall923419 
Dec 14
Apr 12
Jan 21
l
 
3-0A
 Preston9234-59 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
Jan 25
 Coventry9225-38 
Nov 2
May 3
Feb 22
Oct 19
 Luton9225-78 
Nov 9
Mar 15
Nov 30
Jan 1
 QPR9144-77 
Mar 11
Nov 5
Dec 26
Apr 21
 Portsmouth9054-115 
d
 
2-2A
Jan 18
Dec 29
Dec 7
 Cardiff9126-145 
Jan 4
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Watford 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford2 - 1Sunderland
Watford1 - 1Coventry
Watford2 - 1Derby
Watford3 - 0Stoke
Watford1 - 0Sunderland
Watford0 - 0Hull
Watford0 - 0Preston
Watford2 - 2Leeds
Watford1 - 2Coventry
Watford1 - 1Swansea
Watford1 - 2Huddersfield
Watford1 - 2Leicester
Watford0 - 1Cardiff
Watford1 - 1Stoke
Watford1 - 4Bristol C
Watford1 - 2Ipswich
Watford1 - 1Southampton
Watford3 - 2Norwich
Watford5 - 0Rotherham
Watford2 - 2Millwall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWatford0 - 3Preston
HWatford2 - 1Sunderland
AWatford1 - 4Norwich
HWatford1 - 1Coventry
AWatford0 - 1Sheff Utd
HWatford2 - 1Derby
HWatford3 - 0Stoke
AWatford3 - 2Millwall
AWatford1 - 3M'Boro
HWatford1 - 0Sunderland
HWatford0 - 0Hull
AWatford2 - 3Southampton
AWatford0 - 0Ipswich
HWatford0 - 0Preston
AWatford2 - 2West Brom
HWatford2 - 2Leeds
AWatford1 - 0Birmingham
HWatford1 - 2Coventry
HWatford1 - 1Swansea
AWatford0 - 1Millwall
M'Boro 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Brom0 - 1M'Boro
Sunderland1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff0 - 2M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff1 - 4M'Boro
Ipswich1 - 1M'Boro
Hull2 - 2M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Birmingham0 - 1M'Boro
QPR0 - 2M'Boro
Stoke2 - 0M'Boro
Leicester1 - 2M'Boro
Preston2 - 1M'Boro
Millwall1 - 3M'Boro
Huddersfield1 - 2M'Boro
Rotherham1 - 0M'Boro
Swansea1 - 2M'Boro
Leeds3 - 2M'Boro
Bristol C3 - 2M'Boro
Plymouth3 - 3M'Boro
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AM'Boro1 - 0West Brom
HM'Boro2 - 0Stoke
AM'Boro0 - 1Sunderland
HM'Boro1 - 1Preston
AM'Boro2 - 0Cardiff
HM'Boro2 - 2Portsmouth
AM'Boro0 - 1Derby
HM'Boro1 - 0Swansea
HM'Boro3 - 1Watford
AM'Boro4 - 1Cardiff
HM'Boro3 - 4Leeds
AM'Boro1 - 1Ipswich
AM'Boro2 - 2Hull
HM'Boro2 - 0Swansea
HM'Boro2 - 0Sheff Wed
AM'Boro1 - 1Southampton
HM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
AM'Boro1 - 0Birmingham
AM'Boro2 - 0QPR
HM'Boro3 - 1Norwich
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
M'Boro have beaten Watford in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Watford since 1993
Watford
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
21
13
Games: Scored
13 / 14
8 / 14
Clean sheets
6 / 14
1 / 14
WAT
8
D
3
MID
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
2 - 3M'Boro
Watford2 - 1
Watford1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Watford2 - 0
Watford1 - 0
1 - 2M'Boro
Watford2 - 1
Watford3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Watford2 - 0
1 - 3M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Watford2 - 0
League games at M'Boro since 1994
M'Boro
Watford
Goals: Scored
21
13
Games: Scored
12 / 14
11 / 14
Clean sheets
3 / 14
2 / 14
WAT
3
D
5
MID
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
M'Boro3 - 1
M'Boro2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Watford
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Watford
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro2 - 1
0 - 1Watford
M'Boro4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough's defensive record is very strong, M. Carrick's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Championship matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Watford makes sense in this context.

Watford 6th M'Boro 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Watford’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+5
M'Boro’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280195/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Watford
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
5%
better
WAT
MID
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score2
2
Scored first3
5
Goals scored12
9
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
13
Avg. shots per goal7
11
Conversion rate for15
9
Avg. XG for1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
WAT
MID
45%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
4
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded13
5
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against1.8
0.8
KickOff rating
+45%

Watford v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Watford Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9423
M PollockE KayembeM PollockR Porteous
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Bond GLK4
-
M Pollock DEF92
1
-
A Ogbonna DEF3
-
R Porteous DEF6
3
-
R Andrews MID821
-
M Sissoko MID91
1
-
T Dele-Bashiru MID82
-
K Sema MID81
-
T Ince FWD5
-
G Chakvetadze FWD912
2
-
D Jebbison FWD5
2
-
Subs
A. Marriott GLK
-
J Morris DEF7
-
F Ebosele DEF31
1
-
Y Larouci DEF81
-
E Kayembe MID84
-
I Louza  MID2
-
R Vata FWD3
-
V Bayo FWD91
1
-
K Baah FWD61
1
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9222
S DiengH HackneyF AzazH Hackney
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dieng GLK9
-
L Ayling DEF91
-
R Berg DEF5
-
G Edmundson DEF51
1
-
N Borges DEF6
-
A Morris MID9
1
-
H Hackney MID92
2
-
B Doak MID51
2
-
F Azaz MID92
1
-
M. Hamilton MID7
-
E Lath FWD91
2
-
Subs
S Brynn GLK
-
A Dijksteel DEF3
-
G. McCormick DEF1
-
M Clarke DEF62
-
R McGree MID42
-
I Jones MID9
1
-
D Barlaser MID4
-
D Burgzorg FWD9
-
M Forss FWD1
-