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Watford v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Nov, 15:00 BST, Vicarage Road, Watford

Watford and Middlesbrough go head to head at the Vicarage Road on Saturday afternoon, with both Alessio Dionisi and Kim Hellberg hoping for success in the Championship. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen major markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Watford
29%
--
Draw
24%
--
M'Boro
48%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
M'Boro 2-1
9%
--
M'Boro 1-0
8%
--
M'Boro 2-0
7%
--
Watford 2-1
7%
--
Watford 1-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
M'Boro 3-1
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
M'Boro 3-0
4%
--
Watford 2-0
4%
--
M'Boro 3-2
4%
--
Watford 3-1
3%
--
Watford 3-2
3%
--
M'Boro 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Home 1st Goal
46%
--
Away 1st Goal
52%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
60%
--
BTTS - No
40%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
25%
--
Home/draw
52%
--
Away/draw
71%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
45%
--
Away DNB
64%
--
Watford win to nil
13%
--
M'Boro win to nil
22%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Watford have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Watford have conceded 14 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Watford have played 6 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

M'Boro lay in 1st place on 25 points in the Championship league table having played 12 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 27 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. M'Boro have conceded 17 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

M'Boro have played 6 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Watford
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
M'Boro127411025 
Nov 7
Jan 30
-
-
2
Swansea11722823 
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
Nov 24
May 1
3
West Ham116411822 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 17
Apr 24
Dec 8
4
Birmingham11551920 
Apr 24
Dec 8
Feb 20
d
 
2-2F
5
West Brom11623320 
Apr 10
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 17
6
Stoke11614219 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 13
Feb 17
w
 
2-3F
7
Wolves11533318 
Dec 29
Oct 24
w
 
1-0F
Feb 27
8
Southampton116321117 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 6
Mar 13
Nov 27
9
QPR11452317 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Apr 10
w
 
0-1F
10
Blackburn11434115 
Nov 25
May 1
Mar 2
l
 
2-1F
11
Sheff Utd11434115 
Feb 6
Nov 21
Mar 20
Dec 26
12
Millwall11434015 
Dec 5
Mar 17
d
 
2-2A
Apr 6
13
Portsmouth11434015 
Mar 20
Dec 26
Dec 19
Apr 3
14
Wrexham11353-114 
Mar 2
d
 
1-1F
Jan 27
Nov 4
15
Bristol C11425-314 
Feb 20
l
 
1-0A
Nov 21
Feb 6
16
Charlton11353-514 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 16
Oct 31
Jan 23
17
Bolton12426-714 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Dec 29
w
 
1-5F
18
Lincoln11335-1012 
Nov 3
Jan 26
w
 
2-1A
Mar 6
19
Cardiff11254111 
Feb 16
l
 
5-1A
d
 
2-2A
Jan 16
20
Watford11326-911 
-
-
Jan 30
Nov 7
21
Norwich11308-49 
Jan 23
Oct 31
w
 
4-3A
Feb 13
22
Burnley11155-58 
l
 
0-4A
Feb 27
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
23
Derby11137-116 
Mar 13
Nov 28
Dec 5
Mar 16
24
Preston11119-154 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 7
Jan 1
Dec 12
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Watford 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford2 - 0Charlton
Watford0 - 4Burnley
Watford1 - 2Stoke
Watford2 - 1Preston
Watford1 - 1West Ham
Watford2 - 1Southampton
Watford0 - 4Coventry
Watford0 - 2Sheff Utd
Watford1 - 1Charlton
Watford0 - 0Leicester
Watford3 - 1Wrexham
Watford0 - 2Ipswich
Watford2 - 0Derby
Watford0 - 2Swansea
Watford1 - 1Portsmouth
Watford0 - 2Millwall
Watford3 - 0Birmingham
Watford1 - 0Stoke
Watford1 - 1Sheff Wed
Watford3 - 2Norwich
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWatford2 - 0Charlton
AWatford1 - 5Cardiff
HWatford0 - 4Burnley
AWatford0 - 1Bristol C
HWatford1 - 2Stoke
HWatford2 - 1Preston
AWatford0 - 1West Brom
AWatford0 - 2Swansea
HWatford1 - 1West Ham
AWatford1 - 1Wrexham
HWatford2 - 1Southampton
HWatford0 - 4Coventry
AWatford1 - 5M'Boro
AWatford0 - 3West Brom
HWatford0 - 2Sheff Utd
AWatford0 - 2Oxford Utd
HWatford1 - 1Charlton
AWatford1 - 2QPR
HWatford0 - 0Leicester
HWatford3 - 1Wrexham
M'Boro 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bolton1 - 5M'Boro
Stoke2 - 3M'Boro
Birmingham2 - 2M'Boro
QPR0 - 1M'Boro
Burnley1 - 1M'Boro
Blackburn2 - 1M'Boro
Hull1 - 0M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Wrexham2 - 2M'Boro
Ipswich2 - 2M'Boro
Swansea2 - 2M'Boro
Blackburn0 - 0M'Boro
QPR0 - 4M'Boro
Birmingham1 - 3M'Boro
Coventry3 - 1M'Boro
Sheff Utd1 - 2M'Boro
Stoke1 - 2M'Boro
West Brom2 - 3M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Bristol C2 - 0M'Boro
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AM'Boro5 - 1Bolton
HM'Boro2 - 2Cardiff
AM'Boro3 - 2Stoke
HM'Boro1 - 0Wolves
AM'Boro2 - 2Birmingham
HM'Boro2 - 2Millwall
HM'Boro4 - 3Norwich
AM'Boro1 - 0QPR
AM'Boro1 - 1Burnley
HM'Boro3 - 1West Brom
AM'Boro1 - 2Blackburn
HM'Boro2 - 1Lincoln
AM'Boro0 - 1Hull
AM'Boro1 - 1Southampton
HM'Boro0 - 0Southampton
AM'Boro2 - 2Wrexham
HM'Boro5 - 1Watford
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Wed
AM'Boro2 - 2Ipswich
HM'Boro0 - 1Portsmouth
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Watford since 1993
Watford
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
26
14
Games: Scored
15 / 16
9 / 16
Clean sheets
7 / 16
1 / 16
WAT
10
D
3
MID
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford3 - 0
Watford2 - 1
2 - 3M'Boro
Watford2 - 1
Watford1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Watford2 - 0
Watford1 - 0
1 - 2M'Boro
Watford2 - 1
Watford3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Watford2 - 0
1 - 3M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Watford2 - 0
League games at M'Boro since 1994
M'Boro
Watford
Goals: Scored
26
15
Games: Scored
13 / 16
13 / 16
Clean sheets
3 / 16
3 / 16
WAT
4
D
5
MID
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
M'Boro5 - 1
0 - 1Watford
M'Boro3 - 1
M'Boro2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Watford
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Watford
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro2 - 1
0 - 1Watford
M'Boro4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Championship outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Watford on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Watford 20th M'Boro 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that M'Boro will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-22
Watford have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted
+21
M'Boro have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Watford
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.3
1.7
Attack rating
%
better
WAT
MID
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
WAT
MID
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Watford v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Watford Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11324
F RavagliaA. NabizadaI BravoA. Nabizada
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Ravaglia GLK11
-
M Pollock DEF11
2
-
E Kayembe MID1111
3
-
H Kyprianou MID111
3
-
M. Doumbia FWD111
2
-
I Bravo FWD1112
3
-
J Zemura DEF101
2
-
K Keben DEF10
2
-
O. Maamma FWD10
2
-
A. Nabizada FWD103
4
-
R Vata FWD91
-
L Kjerrumgaard FWD92
-
O Traoré DEF81
1
-
M Payero MID8
3
-
S Coulibaly DEF5
-
E Bove MID5
1
-
S Mavididi FWD5
-
B. Mlacic DEF4
1
-
M Boadu FWD4
1
-
A. Eames DEF3
-
M Bola DEF3
-
K Diatta MID2
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
121142
R VítekW. LankshearT ConwayS Berhalter
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Vítek GLK12
-
C Brittain DEF1212
1
-
N Borges DEF121
1
-
S Berhalter MID1221
2
-
R McGree MID123
2
-
W. Lankshear FWD1211
2
-
K Joseph FWD12
-
L Ayling DEF112
-
A Malanda DEF111
1
-
A Morris MID112
-
M Arfsten FWD111
-
M Peart-Harris MID10
1
-
T Conway FWD1014
-
A Phillips DEF91
1
-
J Sarmiento  FWD91
-
A Cozier-Duberry FWD734
-
A Jones DEF51
1
-
L. Castledine MID4
-
D Strelec FWD2
-
R Pukstas MID1
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds
Charlton v Norwich
Sat 24th Oct, 12:30
Sheff Utd v Derby
Sat 24th Oct, 12:30
Portsmouth v Millwall
Sat 24th Oct, 12:30
Cardiff v Birmingham
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
Blackburn v Wrexham
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
QPR v Swansea
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
Stoke v Bristol C
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
Lincoln v Burnley
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
Preston v West Brom
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
Wolves v Watford
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
West Ham v Southampton
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
Sheff Utd v Wrexham
Fri 30th Oct, 20:00
Lincoln v Birmingham
Sat 31st Oct, 12:30
Norwich v Watford
Sat 31st Oct, 12:30
Stoke v Preston
Sat 31st Oct, 12:30
Burnley v Portsmouth
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
Southampton v QPR
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
M'Boro v Charlton
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
West Ham v West Brom
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
Millwall v Derby
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
Bolton v Bristol C
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
Wolves v Cardiff
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
Swansea v Blackburn
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
Charlton v Bolton
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
Derby v Norwich
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
QPR v Burnley
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
Blackburn v Stoke
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
Watford v Lincoln
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
Preston v Sheff Utd
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
Portsmouth v Swansea
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
Birmingham v Millwall
Tue 3rd Nov, 20:00
West Brom v Southampton
Tue 3rd Nov, 20:00
Cardiff v West Ham
Wed 4th Nov, 19:45
Wrexham v M'Boro
Wed 4th Nov, 19:45
Bristol C v Wolves
Wed 4th Nov, 20:00
Derby v Bolton
Fri 6th Nov, 20:00
Portsmouth v Stoke
Sat 7th Nov, 12:30
Wrexham v Wolves
Sat 7th Nov, 12:30
Bristol C v Norwich
Sat 7th Nov, 12:30
Blackburn v West Ham
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
Preston v Southampton
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
Watford v M'Boro
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
QPR v Lincoln
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
West Brom v Millwall
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
Cardiff v Burnley
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
Charlton v Sheff Utd
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
Birmingham v Swansea
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00