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Derby County v Bolton Wanderers : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 6th Nov, 20:00 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

John Eustace and Steven Schumacher pit their wits in the Championship on Friday night, as Derby County face Bolton Wanderers at the Pride Park Stadium. Below you'll find unique statistics for the biggest betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
32%
--
Draw
26%
--
Bolton
43%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Bolton 1-0
10%
--
Bolton 2-1
9%
--
Derby 1-0
8%
--
Derby 2-1
7%
--
Bolton 2-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Derby 2-0
5%
--
Bolton 3-1
4%
--
Bolton 3-0
4%
--
Derby 3-1
3%
--
Bolton 3-2
3%
--
Derby 3-2
2%
--
Derby 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Home 1st Goal
46%
--
Away 1st Goal
50%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
55%
--
BTTS - No
45%
--
BTTS - Home Win
15%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
20%
--
Home/draw
57%
--
Away/draw
68%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
50%
--
Away DNB
61%
--
Derby win to nil
16%
--
Bolton win to nil
22%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league. Derby are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Derby have conceded 20 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Derby have played 6 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 4 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Bolton lay in 17th place on 14 points in the Championship league table having played 12 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 7 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Bolton have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Bolton have played 6 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Bolton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
M'Boro127411025 
Mar 16
Dec 5
l
 
1-5A
Dec 29
2
Swansea11722823 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 17
Apr 24
Dec 8
3
West Ham116411822 
Apr 10
l
 
3-0A
l
 
2-3A
Apr 6
4
Birmingham11551920 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 13
Mar 13
Nov 28
5
West Brom11623320 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 7
Nov 25
May 1
6
Stoke11614219 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 16
l
 
1-2A
Feb 27
7
Wolves11533318 
May 1
Nov 24
Feb 17
w
 
1-3F
8
Southampton116321117 
Feb 6
Nov 21
Jan 16
d
 
0-00-0
9
QPR11452317 
Feb 16
l
 
4-1A
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
10
Blackburn11434115 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Dec 5
Mar 17
11
Sheff Utd11434115 
Dec 29
Oct 24
Apr 20
l
 
3-2F
12
Millwall11434015 
Jan 23
Oct 31
Apr 10
l
 
4-0A
13
Portsmouth11434015 
Apr 20
w
 
0-2F
Nov 21
Feb 6
14
Wrexham11353-114 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 27
Dec 11
Jan 1
15
Bristol C11425-314 
Dec 9
Apr 24
Oct 31
Jan 23
16
Charlton11353-514 
Mar 6
l
 
2-1F
Jan 26
Nov 3
17
Bolton12426-714 
Nov 6
Jan 30
-
-
18
Lincoln11335-1012 
Dec 19
Apr 3
l
 
0-1A
Apr 17
19
Cardiff11254111 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 2
w
 
1-0F
Feb 13
20
Watford11326-911 
Nov 28
Mar 13
Apr 3
Dec 19
21
Norwich11308-49 
Nov 3
Jan 26
Feb 20
w
 
3-4A
22
Burnley11155-58 
Feb 20
d
 
1-1A
Dec 26
Mar 20
23
Derby11137-116 
-
-
Jan 30
Nov 6
24
Preston11119-154 
Mar 20
Dec 26
w
 
2-1F
Mar 6
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby0 - 1Stoke
Derby1 - 1Wrexham
Derby1 - 2Birmingham
Derby0 - 1West Brom
Derby0 - 3Swansea
Derby2 - 2Cardiff
Derby1 - 2Sheff Utd
Derby1 - 0Oxford Utd
Derby2 - 0Stoke
Derby1 - 0Birmingham
Derby2 - 1Sheff Wed
Derby3 - 1Blackburn
Derby2 - 0Swansea
Derby1 - 2Ipswich
Derby1 - 1West Brom
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby0 - 1Stoke
ADerby1 - 4QPR
HDerby1 - 1Wrexham
ADerby1 - 1Burnley
HDerby1 - 2Birmingham
HDerby0 - 1West Brom
ADerby0 - 3West Ham
ADerby2 - 0Portsmouth
HDerby0 - 3Swansea
HDerby2 - 2Cardiff
ADerby1 - 2Charlton
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Utd
ADerby3 - 2QPR
ADerby1 - 2Norwich
HDerby1 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 2Southampton
HDerby2 - 0Stoke
ADerby2 - 3Coventry
HDerby1 - 0Birmingham
ADerby1 - 0Portsmouth
Bolton 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton0 - 0Bolton
Wolves1 - 3Bolton
Norwich3 - 4Bolton
Millwall4 - 0Bolton
Sheff Utd3 - 2Bolton
QPR0 - 0Bolton
Bradford0 - 1Bolton
Bradford1 - 1Bolton
Cardiff2 - 0Bolton
Plymouth1 - 2Bolton
Port Vale1 - 0Bolton
Rotherham2 - 2Bolton
Exeter1 - 5Bolton
Reading1 - 1Bolton
Lincoln1 - 1Bolton
AFC Wim0 - 1Bolton
Stevenage0 - 0Bolton
Wigan0 - 1Bolton
Peterborough3 - 1Bolton
Doncaster1 - 1Bolton
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBolton1 - 5M'Boro
ABolton0 - 0Southampton
ABolton3 - 1Wolves
HBolton1 - 2Stoke
ABolton4 - 3Norwich
HBolton1 - 0Cardiff
HBolton2 - 3West Ham
ABolton0 - 4Millwall
ABolton2 - 3Sheff Utd
HBolton0 - 1Lincoln
ABolton0 - 0QPR
HBolton2 - 1Preston
HBolton4 - 1Stockport
ABolton1 - 0Bradford
HBolton1 - 0Bradford
HBolton2 - 3Luton
ABolton1 - 1Bradford
HBolton3 - 3Huddersfield
HBolton5 - 1Stevenage
ABolton0 - 2Cardiff
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Derby have beaten Bolton in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Derby since 1994
Derby
Bolton
Goals: Scored
29
6
Games: Scored
12 / 13
6 / 13
Clean sheets
7 / 13
1 / 13
DER
10
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby1 - 0
Derby2 - 1
Derby4 - 0
Derby3 - 0
Derby4 - 1
Derby4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby1 - 0
Derby4 - 0
Derby2 - 1
Derby2 - 0
League games at Bolton since 1993
Bolton
Derby
Goals: Scored
14
15
Games: Scored
9 / 13
7 / 13
Clean sheets
6 / 13
4 / 13
DER
4
D
4
BOL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bolton
Bolton2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Bolton1 - 0
1 - 2Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Derby
Draw2 - 2Draw
Bolton2 - 0
Bolton1 - 0
1 - 3Derby
Draw3 - 3Draw
Bolton1 - 0
0 - 2Derby
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Derby County of late. It has been 7 Championship matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday night against Bolton Wanderers.

Bolton Wanderers's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday night, not least because Derby County have conceded in each of their last 7 Championship outings. A PG of 1.5 for S. Schumacher's side suggests that run should continue.

Derby 23rd Bolton 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Bolton will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Derby have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+12
Bolton have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Bolton
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
DER
BOL
15%
better
view stats
Games scored7
7
Failed to score4
4
Scored first4
4
Goals scored9
15
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal10
8
Conversion rate for10
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
DER
BOL
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
8
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded20
18
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
16%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.9
KickOff rating
+21%

Derby v Bolton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10324
B ClarkS SzmodicsB ClarkS Langas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Clark MID1122
-
S Langas DEF10
4
-
D Sanderson DEF10
2
-
S Szmodics MID1031
1
-
L Salvesen FWD102
-
R Hedges FWD10
1
-
A Mowatt MID9
3
-
J Ward MID9
-
C Taylor DEF8
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD8
2
-
R Brewster FWD81
1
-
J Zetterström GLK7
-
D Ozoh MID7
3
-
O Fraulo MID71
1
-
C Morris FWD711
-
M Fuseini FWD711
2
-
H. Meister FWD6
1
-
M Johnston DEF5
1
-
R Nyambe DEF5
-
L Travis MID5
2
-
J Vickers GLK4
-
F Bilbija FWD4
-
E Cashin DEF2
-
C Forsyth DEF2
-
Bolton Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12433
J SheehanS DalbyG LarrazabalJ Sheehan
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Sheehan MID121
2
1
S Dalby FWD124
-
T Gale FWD1231
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF1113
2
-
M Conway DEF111
1
-
E Erhahon  MID111
1
-
S Junior FWD111
1
-
K Dong FWD101
1
-
R Rodrigues MID911
-
L Brunt DEF8
1
-
A Famewo DEF8
2
-
E Toal DEF8
-
R Hardie FWD8
1
-
G Bazunu GLK7
-
T Bair FWD721
1
-
B Davies DEF6
1
-
C Forino DEF6
1
-
A Ito MID62
-
X Simons MID61
-
J Nelson FWD6
1
-
J McAtee FWD61
1
-
J Bonham GLK5
-
L. Stephenson DEF2
1
-
D Watson MID1
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds
Charlton v Norwich
Sat 24th Oct, 12:30
Sheff Utd v Derby
Sat 24th Oct, 12:30
Portsmouth v Millwall
Sat 24th Oct, 12:30
Cardiff v Birmingham
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
Blackburn v Wrexham
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
QPR v Swansea
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
Stoke v Bristol C
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
Lincoln v Burnley
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
Preston v West Brom
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
Wolves v Watford
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
West Ham v Southampton
Sat 24th Oct, 15:00
Sheff Utd v Wrexham
Fri 30th Oct, 20:00
Lincoln v Birmingham
Sat 31st Oct, 12:30
Norwich v Watford
Sat 31st Oct, 12:30
Stoke v Preston
Sat 31st Oct, 12:30
Burnley v Portsmouth
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
Southampton v QPR
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
M'Boro v Charlton
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
West Ham v West Brom
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
Millwall v Derby
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
Bolton v Bristol C
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
Wolves v Cardiff
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
Swansea v Blackburn
Sat 31st Oct, 15:00
Charlton v Bolton
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
Derby v Norwich
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
QPR v Burnley
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
Blackburn v Stoke
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
Watford v Lincoln
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
Preston v Sheff Utd
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
Portsmouth v Swansea
Tue 3rd Nov, 19:45
Birmingham v Millwall
Tue 3rd Nov, 20:00
West Brom v Southampton
Tue 3rd Nov, 20:00
Cardiff v West Ham
Wed 4th Nov, 19:45
Wrexham v M'Boro
Wed 4th Nov, 19:45
Bristol C v Wolves
Wed 4th Nov, 20:00
Derby v Bolton
Fri 6th Nov, 20:00
Portsmouth v Stoke
Sat 7th Nov, 12:30
Wrexham v Wolves
Sat 7th Nov, 12:30
Bristol C v Norwich
Sat 7th Nov, 12:30
Blackburn v West Ham
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
Preston v Southampton
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
Watford v M'Boro
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
QPR v Lincoln
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
West Brom v Millwall
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
Cardiff v Burnley
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
Charlton v Sheff Utd
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00
Birmingham v Swansea
Sat 7th Nov, 15:00