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Derby County v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 15:00 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Alan Sheehan pays counterpart John Eustace a visit on Saturday afternoon in the Championship, as their Swansea City and Derby County teams go head to head at the Pride Park Stadium. For every Championship preview, KickOff dives into the statistics for seventeen major betting markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
42%
--
Draw
27%
--
Swansea
30%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Derby 1-0
12%
--
Swansea 1-0
10%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Derby 2-1
9%
--
Derby 2-0
8%
--
Swansea 2-1
7%
--
Swansea 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Derby 3-1
4%
--
Derby 3-0
3%
--
Swansea 3-1
2%
--
Derby 3-2
2%
--
Swansea 3-0
2%
--
Swansea 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
48%
--
BTTS - No
52%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
70%
--
Away/draw
58%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
61%
--
Away DNB
50%
--
Derby win to nil
25%
--
Swansea win to nil
18%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 6 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Derby have outscored their opponents by 44 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 15 games at home winning 4, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored 18 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 21 goals at home.

Swansea are in 15th position in the Championship on 39 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Swansea have conceded 27 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Swansea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3017762858 
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
Mar 21
l
 
1-0A
2
M'Boro3017761858 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
3
Hull291658853 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 24
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
4
Ipswich2914962151 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-4A
Feb 28
5
Millwall301488150 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
6
Wrexham3012117747 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 14
7
Derby301299745 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Feb 14
8
Preston3011118344 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Feb 24
l
 
2-1A
9
Bristol C3012711443 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
Feb 21
l
 
3-0A
10
Watford2911108443 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
11
QPR3012711-143 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
l
 
0-1A
Apr 21
12
Stoke3012612642 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
Mar 7
l
 
2-1A
13
Birmingham3011910342 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
14
Southampton30101010240 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
15
Swansea3011613-339 
Feb 14
w
 
1-2F
-
-
16
Leicester3010812-538 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-3A
Apr 11
17
Sheff Utd2911315-236 
May 2
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 3
18
Charlton299812-935 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
May 2
d
 
1-1A
19
Norwich309615-533 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
20
Portsmouth288911-1033 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
w
 
1-0F
Mar 10
21
West Brom309516-1532 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
22
Blackburn297814-1229 
Feb 28
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
23
Oxford Utd296914-1127 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
24
Sheff Wed291820-39-7 
Mar 7
w
 
0-3F
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby1 - 1West Brom
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Derby1 - 0QPR
Derby1 - 0Norwich
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Charlton
Derby0 - 1Preston
Derby1 - 1Bristol C
Derby3 - 5Coventry
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Derby0 - 1Luton
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Derby2 - 0Preston
Derby2 - 0Coventry
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby5 - 0Bristol C
HDerby1 - 1West Brom
ADerby2 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 0Preston
HDerby1 - 2Wrexham
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby1 - 2Leicester
ADerby1 - 1Birmingham
HDerby1 - 1Portsmouth
ADerby3 - 0Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby1 - 3Leicester
ADerby1 - 2M'Boro
ADerby2 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 3Watford
ADerby2 - 1Blackburn
HDerby2 - 1Hull
ADerby3 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby1 - 0QPR
HDerby1 - 0Norwich
Swansea 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford0 - 2Swansea
Hull2 - 1Swansea
Millwall2 - 1Swansea
Oxford Utd0 - 1Swansea
Coventry1 - 0Swansea
Stoke2 - 1Swansea
West Brom3 - 2Swansea
Bristol C3 - 0Swansea
Preston2 - 1Swansea
Charlton1 - 1Swansea
Southampton0 - 0Swansea
Blackburn1 - 2Swansea
Birmingham1 - 0Swansea
Sheff Wed0 - 2Swansea
M'Boro1 - 0Swansea
Millwall1 - 0Swansea
QPR1 - 2Swansea
Sunderland0 - 1Swansea
Leeds2 - 2Swansea
Watford1 - 0Swansea
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASwansea2 - 0Watford
ASwansea1 - 2Hull
HSwansea3 - 1Blackburn
HSwansea1 - 1Birmingham
ASwansea1 - 2Millwall
HSwansea1 - 0West Brom
ASwansea1 - 0Oxford Utd
ASwansea0 - 1Coventry
HSwansea2 - 1Wrexham
ASwansea1 - 2Stoke
HSwansea1 - 0Portsmouth
HSwansea2 - 0Oxford Utd
ASwansea2 - 3West Brom
HSwansea1 - 2Derby
ASwansea0 - 3Bristol C
HSwansea1 - 4Ipswich
ASwansea1 - 2Preston
ASwansea1 - 1Charlton
HSwansea2 - 1Norwich
HSwansea0 - 1QPR
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 2009
Derby
Swansea
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
5 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
3 / 8
DER
3
D
3
SWA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
1 - 2Swansea
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby2 - 1
Derby2 - 1
0 - 1Swansea
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Swansea since 2008
Swansea
Derby
Goals: Scored
11
9
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
DER
2
D
3
SWA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
1 - 2Derby
Swansea1 - 0
Swansea2 - 1
Swansea2 - 1
2 - 3Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swansea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Derby 14th Swansea 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
Swansea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Swansea
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
27%
better
DER
SWA
view stats
Games scored28
23
Failed to score2
6
Scored first17
12
Goals scored44
32
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
14
Avg. XG for1
1.1
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
2%
better
DER
SWA
view stats
Games conceded23
22
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first13
16
Goals conceded37
37
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+2%

Derby v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291067
M ClarkeC MorrisJ WardC Elder
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Clarke DEF2912
4
1
B Clark MID2932
4
-
J Zetterström GLK28
1
-
D Sanderson DEF261
6
-
P. Agyemang FWD2693
2
-
C Elder DEF2514
7
-
A Weimann  FWD2513
1
-
B Díaz FWD2533
4
-
E Adams MID231
7
-
L Salvesen FWD2332
3
-
J Ward MID2216
1
1
R Brewster FWD2031
1
-
S Langas DEF1921
2
-
K Jackson FWD19
2
-
D Ozoh MID171
6
-
L Thompson MID161
4
-
C Morris FWD1610
4
-
L Travis MID121
6
-
C Forsyth DEF11
2
-
M Johnston DEF9
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD91
-
D Batth DEF8
-
R Nyambe DEF7
1
-
R O'Donnell GLK2
-
C Nelson DEF2
-
Swansea Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301368
L VigourouxZ VipotnikJ TymonM Stamenić
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK30
-
C Burgess DEF30
7
-
E Galbraith MID3021
5
-
Ronald FWD3033
2
-
J Tymon DEF2916
7
-
B Cabango DEF291
6
-
G Franco MID2924
5
-
J Eom  FWD2911
1
-
Z Vipotnik FWD28132
1
-
Z Inoussa FWD252
4
-
L Cullen MID243
5
-
J Key DEF231
2
-
M Stamenić MID2322
8
-
M. Widell MID231
2
-
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID202
1
J Fulton MID191
3
-
A Idah FWD1831
1
-
K Casey DEF81
-
B Hedilazio FWD6
-
I Samuels-Smith DEF51
2
-
B Wales FWD4
-
R Santos DEF1
-