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Derby County v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Aug, 12:30 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Vitor Matos pays counterpart John Eustace a visit on Saturday lunch time in the Championship, as their Swansea City and Derby County sides go head to head at the Pride Park Stadium. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
46%
--
Draw
27%
--
Swansea
27%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Derby 1-0
12%
--
Derby 2-1
9%
--
Swansea 1-0
9%
--
Derby 2-0
9%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Swansea 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Swansea 2-0
5%
--
Derby 3-1
4%
--
Derby 3-0
4%
--
Swansea 3-1
2%
--
Derby 3-2
2%
--
Swansea 3-2
2%
--
Swansea 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
49%
--
BTTS - No
51%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
65%
--
Away DNB
46%
--
Derby win to nil
27%
--
Swansea win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Swansea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
QPR110023 
Feb 16
Oct 14
Dec 29
Oct 24
2
Millwall110023 
Jan 23
Oct 31
Feb 17
Oct 13
3
M'Boro110013 
Mar 16
Dec 5
May 1
Nov 24
4
West Brom110013 
Sep 9
Apr 7
Nov 21
Feb 6
5
Swansea110013 
Aug 29
Apr 17
-
-
6
Charlton110013 
Mar 6
l
 
2-1F
Jan 1
Dec 12
7
Bolton110013 
Nov 6
Jan 30
Dec 8
Apr 24
8
Blackburn101001 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Oct 31
Jan 23
9
Wolves101001 
May 1
Nov 24
Mar 20
Dec 26
10
Sheff Utd101001 
Dec 29
Oct 24
Aug 22
Mar 3
11
Birmingham101001 
Sep 12
Feb 13
Jan 30
Nov 7
12
West Ham000000 
Apr 10
Sep 5
Oct 17
Jan 16
13
Watford000000 
Nov 28
Mar 13
Sep 1
Apr 21
14
Burnley000000 
Feb 20
Sep 19
Sep 12
Feb 13
15
Southampton000000 
Feb 6
Nov 21
Apr 6
Sep 8
16
Cardiff000000 
Aug 22
Mar 2
Nov 29
Mar 13
17
Wrexham000000 
Oct 10
Feb 27
Sep 5
Apr 10
18
Preston1001-10 
Mar 20
Dec 26
Dec 19
Apr 3
19
Norwich1001-10 
Nov 3
Jan 26
Oct 10
Feb 27
20
Derby1001-10 
-
-
Apr 17
Aug 29
21
Lincoln1001-10 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Feb 20
Sep 19
22
Stoke1001-10 
Oct 17
Jan 16
Mar 6
w
 
1-2A
23
Portsmouth1001-20 
Apr 20
Sep 1
Jan 27
Nov 3
24
Bristol C1001-20 
Dec 9
Apr 24
Mar 16
Dec 5
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Relegation
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby1 - 2Sheff Utd
Derby1 - 0Oxford Utd
Derby2 - 0Stoke
Derby1 - 0Birmingham
Derby2 - 1Sheff Wed
Derby3 - 1Blackburn
Derby2 - 0Swansea
Derby1 - 2Ipswich
Derby1 - 1West Brom
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Derby1 - 0QPR
Derby1 - 0Norwich
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Charlton
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
1
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Utd
ADerby3 - 2QPR
ADerby1 - 2Norwich
HDerby1 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 2Southampton
HDerby2 - 0Stoke
ADerby2 - 3Coventry
HDerby1 - 0Birmingham
ADerby1 - 0Portsmouth
ADerby0 - 1Millwall
HDerby2 - 1Sheff Wed
HDerby3 - 1Blackburn
ADerby2 - 4Hull
ADerby0 - 2Watford
HDerby2 - 0Swansea
HDerby1 - 2Ipswich
ADerby5 - 0Bristol C
HDerby1 - 1West Brom
ADerby2 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 0Preston
Swansea 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Norwich1 - 1Swansea
QPR1 - 2Swansea
Leicester0 - 1Swansea
Sheff Utd3 - 3Swansea
Wrexham2 - 0Swansea
Portsmouth1 - 2Swansea
Ipswich3 - 0Swansea
Derby2 - 0Swansea
Watford0 - 2Swansea
Hull2 - 1Swansea
Millwall2 - 1Swansea
Oxford Utd0 - 1Swansea
Coventry1 - 0Swansea
Stoke2 - 1Swansea
West Brom3 - 2Swansea
Bristol C3 - 0Swansea
Preston2 - 1Swansea
Charlton1 - 1Swansea
Southampton0 - 0Swansea
Blackburn1 - 2Swansea
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSwansea3 - 1Charlton
ASwansea1 - 1Norwich
ASwansea2 - 1QPR
HSwansea1 - 2Southampton
ASwansea1 - 0Leicester
HSwansea2 - 2M'Boro
ASwansea3 - 3Sheff Utd
HSwansea0 - 3Coventry
ASwansea0 - 2Wrexham
ASwansea2 - 1Portsmouth
HSwansea2 - 0Stoke
ASwansea0 - 3Ipswich
HSwansea1 - 1Preston
HSwansea1 - 0Bristol C
ASwansea0 - 2Derby
HSwansea4 - 0Sheff Wed
ASwansea2 - 0Watford
ASwansea1 - 2Hull
HSwansea3 - 1Blackburn
HSwansea1 - 1Birmingham
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 2009
Derby
Swansea
Goals: Scored
11
7
Games: Scored
6 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
3 / 9
DER
4
D
3
SWA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby2 - 0
1 - 2Swansea
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby2 - 1
Derby2 - 1
0 - 1Swansea
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Swansea since 2008
Swansea
Derby
Goals: Scored
11
9
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
DER
2
D
3
SWA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
1 - 2Derby
Swansea1 - 0
Swansea2 - 1
Swansea2 - 1
2 - 3Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swansea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Derby 20th Swansea 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Swansea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Swansea
1.4
1
Attack rating
%
better
DER
SWA
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
DER
SWA
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Derby v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Swansea Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE