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Derby County v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Luke Williams leads his Swansea City team to the Pride Park Stadium in the Championship on Wednesday night, with Paul Warne's Derby County their challengers. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

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Derby County's next match is v Leeds at 12:30 on Saturday 7th December
Swansea City's next match is v Luton at 15:00 on Saturday 7th December
The last English Championship meeting between Derby and Swansea was on Wednesday 27th November 2024
English Championship
November 27th 2024
Derby 1
2 Swansea
 
N. Mendez-Laing 65'2' Ž. Vipotnik
14' R. Pereira Martins
 
DER
SWA
Shots On
7
2
Shots Off
6
Corners
6
2
Possession
43%
57%
Fouls
16
14
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
DerbySwansea
 
J. Widell Zetterström
K. Wilson
E. Cashin
C. Nelson
C. Elder (C. Forsyth 62')
E. Adams
K. Goudmijn (L. Thompson 62')
M. Harness (J. Collins 79')
K. Jackson (D. Brown 79')
N. Mendez-Laingfootball icon
C. Taylor (T. Barkhuizen 62')
L. Vigouroux
(J. Key 66') K. Naughton
(C. Christie 60') H. Darling
J. Tymon
B. Cabango
(J. Fulton 84') G. Franco
M. Grimes
(A. Abdulai 84') M. Peart-Harris
(F. Bianchini 66') football iconŽ. Vipotnik
football iconR. Pereira Martins
L. Cullen

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a thriller here. The statistics suggest Derby and Swansea both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
46%
7/5
2%
8/5
8%
Draw
30%
23/10
2%
21/10
6%
Swansea
24%
9/515/8
1%
Derby 1-0
16%
11/2
7%
11/2
Draw 0-0
13%
7/1
6%
6/1
7%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/219/4
4%
Swansea 1-0
11%
13/2
6%
6/1
Derby 2-0
10%
10/19/1
5%
Derby 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Swansea 2-1
5%
10/117/2
Swansea 2-0
4%
12/110/1
8%
Derby 3-0
4%
22/118/1
12%
Derby 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1
12%
12/1
Swansea 3-1
1%
25/118/1
Derby 3-2
1%
33/125/1
13%
Derby 4-0
1%
50/140/1
21%
Swansea 3-0
1%
28/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
13/10
5%
5/4
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
8/13
3%
4/7
3%
Home 1st Goal
51%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
40%
5/4-
No 1st Goal
9%
7/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
1/1
5%
19/20
BTTS - No
61%
8/11
4%
3/4
3%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
10%
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
5%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
11/219/4
Home/draw
76%
2/52/5
Away/draw
54%
8/15
3%
1/2
3%
Home/away
70%
1/37/20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
4/9
3%
4/9
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
7/4
8%
17/10
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
10/316/5
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
2/91/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
8/115/2
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/141/16
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/66
1%
1/150
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/12
1%
1/12
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
7/1
6%
6/1
7%
Home DNB
67%
8/113/4
3%
Away DNB
45%
1/119/20
5%
Derby win to nil
32%
11/4-
Swansea win to nil
16%
10/3
4%
-
Derby / Derby
19%
10/3
8%
3/1
5%
Derby / Swansea
3%
33/125/1
13%
Derby / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Derby
14%
9/29/2
5%
Draw / Swansea
14%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
19%
7/216/5
7%
Swansea / Derby
3%
28/122/1
Swansea / Swansea
18%
4/17/2
2%
Swansea / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 14th place in the Championship league table. Derby are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept 2 clean sheets out of 7 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 4 and lost no matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Derby have outscored their opponents by 20 goals to 14 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 7 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 11 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Swansea are in 15th position in the Championship on 19 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 7 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Swansea have conceded 11 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Swansea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd1812421638 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
Jan 21
l
 
1-0A
2
Burnley1810621736 
Apr 9
Dec 10
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
3
Leeds1810531835 
Dec 29
Dec 7
l
 
3-4F
Mar 29
4
Sunderland189631333 
Jan 21
l
 
2-0A
Dec 14
Apr 12
5
M'Boro189361130 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
6
Watford18936230 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 12
7
West Brom186102728 
Dec 26
Apr 21
Jan 4
l
 
1-0A
8
Blackburn17845428 
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
9
Norwich18675825 
l
 
2-3A
Feb 8
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
10
Millwall17674525 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
11
Bristol C18675325 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 4
d
 
1-1F
Feb 9
12
Sheff Wed18747-525 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 1
Feb 12
d
 
0-00-0
13
Swansea 18657123 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
-
-
14
Stoke18567-321 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
15
Derby 18558-220 
-
-
Apr 5
w
 
1-2F
16
Coventry18468-318 
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
Feb 1
w
 
1-2F
17
Oxford Utd18468-818 
Feb 11
d
 
1-1A
May 3
w
 
1-2F
18
Preston18396-818 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
19
Luton185310-1318 
Apr 18
Dec 20
Dec 29
Dec 7
20
Cardiff18459-1117 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
21
Plymouth18459-2017 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
Apr 9
Dec 10
22
Hull18369-915 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
Apr 18
Dec 21
23
QPR18297-1115 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
Dec 26
Apr 21
24
Portsmouth16277-1213 
Dec 13
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
Jan 1
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby1 - 1Plymouth
Derby1 - 1Hull
Derby2 - 0QPR
Derby2 - 3Norwich
Derby1 - 0Cardiff
Derby3 - 0Bristol C
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby2 - 0Carlisle
Derby3 - 0L Orient
Derby1 - 0Blackpool
Derby1 - 0Bolton
Derby2 - 1Reading
Derby3 - 0Port Vale
Derby1 - 2Charlton
Derby1 - 0Stevenage
Derby1 - 1Shrewsbury
Derby2 - 1Cheltenham
Derby3 - 2Burton
Derby2 - 3Peterborough
Derby3 - 1Lincoln
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby1 - 1Preston
HDerby1 - 1Plymouth
ADerby2 - 1Coventry
ADerby1 - 2Stoke
HDerby1 - 1Hull
ADerby1 - 1Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby2 - 0QPR
ADerby0 - 2Sunderland
HDerby2 - 3Norwich
ADerby0 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby1 - 0Cardiff
HDerby3 - 0Bristol C
ADerby1 - 2Watford
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby2 - 4Blackburn
HDerby2 - 0Carlisle
ADerby1 - 0Cambridge
HDerby3 - 0L Orient
ADerby0 - 0Wycombe
Swansea 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley1 - 0Swansea
Oxford Utd1 - 2Swansea
Sheff Wed0 - 0Swansea
Blackburn1 - 0Swansea
Sheff Utd1 - 0Swansea
Coventry1 - 2Swansea
West Brom1 - 0Swansea
M'Boro1 - 0Swansea
Norwich2 - 2Swansea
Huddersfield0 - 4Swansea
M'Boro2 - 0Swansea
Sheff Wed1 - 1Swansea
Bristol C1 - 0Swansea
Watford1 - 1Swansea
Sunderland1 - 2Swansea
Hull0 - 1Swansea
Leicester3 - 1Swansea
Birmingham2 - 2Swansea
Coventry2 - 2Swansea
Southampton5 - 0Swansea
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSwansea3 - 4Leeds
ASwansea0 - 1Burnley
HSwansea1 - 0Watford
ASwansea2 - 1Oxford Utd
HSwansea0 - 1Millwall
ASwansea0 - 0Sheff Wed
ASwansea0 - 1Blackburn
HSwansea0 - 0Stoke
ASwansea0 - 1Sheff Utd
HSwansea1 - 1Bristol C
ASwansea2 - 1Coventry
HSwansea1 - 0Norwich
ASwansea0 - 1West Brom
HSwansea1 - 1Cardiff
HSwansea3 - 0Preston
ASwansea0 - 1M'Boro
HSwansea0 - 1Millwall
ASwansea2 - 2Norwich
ASwansea4 - 0Huddersfield
HSwansea1 - 0Rotherham
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Derby have not lost to Swansea in 5 consecutive home league meetings
3
Derby have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Swansea
League games at Derby since 2009
Derby
Swansea
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
DER
3
D
3
SWA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby2 - 1
Derby2 - 1
0 - 1Swansea
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Swansea since 2008
Swansea
Derby
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
DER
1
D
3
SWA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
Swansea2 - 1
Swansea2 - 1
2 - 3Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swansea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Derby 15th Swansea 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
4+
There is a 66% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Swansea scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-7
Swansea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280290/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Swansea
1.2
0.8
Attack rating
31%
better
DER
SWA
view stats
Games scored14
8
Failed to score2
8
Scored first8
8
Goals scored20
14
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
12
Avg. XG for0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
DER
SWA
19%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded20
14
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against15%
10%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+19%

Derby v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18235
C NelsonC NelsonN Mendez-LaingE Cashin
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK16
-
K Wilson DEF131
-
C Nelson DEF182
2
-
E Cashin DEF16
5
-
C Elder DEF111
5
-
K Jackson DEF1822
2
-
K Goudmijn MID172
2
-
E Adams MID182
5
-
M Harness MID1211
4
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD1823
2
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD81
1
-
Subs
J Vickers GLK2
-
C Forsyth DEF1611
2
-
S Bradley DEF3
1
-
N Phillips DEF11
1
-
B Osborn MID131
2
-
L Thompson MID10
2
-
T Barkhuizen FWD6
1
-
D Brown FWD81
-
J Collins FWD12
1
-
Swansea Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18444
L VigourouxL CullenRonaldJ Tymon
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK18
-
K Naughton DEF10
1
-
B Cabango DEF1811
3
-
H Darling DEF1811
2
-
J Tymon DEF171
4
-
M Grimes MID1811
1
-
G Franco MID151
4
-
M Peart-Harris MID1512
4
-
L Cullen MID1541
3
-
Ronald MID1814
2
-
Z Vipotnik FWD163
-
Subs
J McLaughlin GLK
-
C Christie DEF4
-
N Abby DEF
-
J Key DEF18
2
-
N Tjoe-A-On DEF1
-
A Abdulai MID131
1
-
J Allen MID13
1
-
J Fulton MID9
2
-
F Bianchini FWD122
1
-