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Middlesbrough v Portsmouth : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Apr, 15:00 BST, Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

John Mousinho pays counterpart Kim Hellberg a visit on Saturday afternoon in the Championship, as their Portsmouth and Middlesbrough charges face each other at the Riverside Stadium. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head stats across all the main betting markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Championship clash.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
M'Boro
56%
--
Draw
25%
--
Portsmouth
19%
--
M'Boro 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
M'Boro 2-0
11%
--
M'Boro 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Portsmouth 1-0
7%
--
M'Boro 3-0
6%
--
M'Boro 3-1
5%
--
Portsmouth 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Portsmouth 2-0
3%
--
M'Boro 4-0
2%
--
M'Boro 3-2
2%
--
M'Boro 4-1
2%
--
Portsmouth 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Home 1st Goal
56%
--
Away 1st Goal
39%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
21%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
81%
--
Away/draw
44%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
73%
--
Away DNB
37%
--
M'Boro win to nil
35%
--
Portsmouth win to nil
11%
--
Win / draw / win Championship table

M'Boro have played 39 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 37 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 11 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 10 fixtures. M'Boro have outscored their opponents by 59 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

M'Boro have played 19 games at home winning 10, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Portsmouth are in 21st position in the Championship on 40 points having played 38 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 34 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 9 and won 8. Portsmouth have conceded 51 goals, scored 34, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
M'Boro
Portsmouth
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3924874180 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 21
2
M'Boro39201182271 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 11
3
Ipswich38191272869 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 19
-
l
 
2-1A
4
Millwall3920910969 
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
5
Hull3920613566 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2F
6
Southampton391712101563 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
7
Wrexham39171210963 
d
 
1-1A
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
8
Derby3917913860 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
9
Watford39141411456 
Apr 25
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
10
Norwich3916617654 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
Apr 3
11
Birmingham39141114-153 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
May 2
l
 
4-0A
12
QPR3915816-653 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
6-1A
13
Preston39131313-452 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
14
Swansea3915717-552 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
15
Stoke3914916351 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 25
16
Bristol C3914916-151 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-0A
17
Sheff Utd3915519050 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
18
Charlton39121215-1048 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
19
Blackburn39111018-1343 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
20
West Brom39111018-1443 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
21
Portsmouth38101018-1740 
Apr 11
l
 
1-0A
-
-
22
Leicester39111216-939 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
23
Oxford Utd3991218-1539 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
w
 
0-1F
24
Sheff Wed391929-55-6 
Apr 22
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
M'Boro 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Portsmouth 21ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
M'Boro have drawn with Portsmouth in 4 consecutive home league meetings
5
M'Boro have not lost to Portsmouth in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at M'Boro since 1994
M'Boro
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
16
16
Games: Scored
9 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
3 / 12
MID
2
D
8
POR
2
League games at Portsmouth since 1993
Portsmouth
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
16
8
Games: Scored
8 / 13
6 / 13
Clean sheets
7 / 13
5 / 13
MID
2
D
4
POR
7
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Portsmouth have conceded in each of their last 10 Championship games. A PG of 1.6 for K. Hellberg's side suggests that run should continue.

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Portsmouth fans, as should a 6 Championship games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

M'Boro 2nd Portsmouth 21st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that M'Boro will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Portsmouth scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
M'Boro have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
Portsmouth’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
M'Boro
PG (predicted goals)
Portsmouth
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
22%
better
MID
POR
view stats
Games scored29
25
Failed to score10
13
Scored first19
15
Goals scored59
37
Avg. goals scored1.5
1
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for15
11
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
22%
better
MID
POR
view stats
Games conceded27
31
Clean sheets12
7
Conceded first16
21
Goals conceded37
54
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+22%

M'Boro v Portsmouth Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
391179
S BrynnM WhittakerH HackneyL Ayling
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brynn GLK391
1
-
T Conway FWD3984
5
-
H Hackney MID3857
4
-
L Ayling DEF3615
9
-
M Targett DEF3643
4
-
M Whittaker FWD36116
3
-
C Brittain DEF344
5
-
A Morris MID333
3
-
A Browne MID3241
1
-
D Strelec FWD255
1
-
K Sène FWD242
2
-
D Fry DEF222
-
A Jones DEF2211
3
1
R McGree MID2153
1
-
S Silvera FWD1921
3
-
A Gilbert MID1711
5
-
A Malanda DEF14
2
-
S Hansen FWD141
1
-
J Sarmiento  FWD10
-
A Bangura DEF91
-
G Edmundson DEF7
1
-
L. Castledine MID71
-
M. Hamilton FWD4
-
D Lenihan DEF2
1
-
F. Munroe DEF2
-
Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34669
R PooleA SegecicJ MurphyJ Swift
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Bishop FWD352
2
-
R Poole DEF341
5
-
Z Swanson DEF3321
4
-
T Devlin DEF3351
2
1
A Segecic FWD3261
1
-
C Chaplin FWD3013
2
-
A Dozzell MID2911
7
-
N Schmid GLK28
-
M Pack MID282
6
-
C Ogilvie DEF271
3
-
J Swift MID2632
9
-
J Williams DEF2311
3
-
M Kosznovszky MID15
1
-
J Knight DEF14
-
E Adams MID1421
3
-
J Murphy FWD146
3
-
M Alli FWD1412
1
-
M Kirk FWD141
1
-
I Bowat DEF121
1
-
C Shaughnessy DEF121
-
H Blair FWD12
-
H. Matthews DEF11
1
-
L Roux MID10
3
-
F Bianchini FWD101
-
J Bursik GLK9
1
-
G Caballero FWD91
-
J Brown FWD911
-
T. Waddingham FWD4
1
-
M. Dia DEF3
1
-
B Killip GLK2
-
K Anderson  FWD2
-
A Alese  DEF1
1
-
F Umeh FWD1
-