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Millwall v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 21st Oct, 19:45 BST, The Den, London

We’ve Championship action to look forward to on Tuesday evening, as Cenk Laleci and his Millwall side host Mark Robins’s Stoke City at The Den. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 major markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Millwall and Stoke combined during 90 mins. Up to date form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of it being right on the money. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Millwall
25%
-7/5
Draw
27%
-9/4
2%
Stoke
48%
-2/1
Stoke 1-0
13%
-13/2
Draw 1-1
13%
-5/1
Stoke 2-0
9%
-11/1
Draw 0-0
9%
-13/2
Stoke 2-1
9%
-9/1
5%
Millwall 1-0
9%
-11/2
Millwall 2-1
6%
-15/2
Stoke 3-0
5%
-22/1
Stoke 3-1
4%
-20/1
11%
Draw 2-2
4%
-12/1
Millwall 2-0
4%
-17/2
Stoke 3-2
2%
-25/1
Millwall 3-1
2%
-16/1
Stoke 4-0
2%
-45/1
Stoke 4-1
2%
-40/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
-23/20
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
-13/20
Home 1st Goal
42%
-10/11
Away 1st Goal
52%
-6/5
No 1st Goal
6%
-13/2
BTTS - Yes
47%
-10/11
BTTS - No
53%
-5/6
BTTS - Home Win
10%
-19/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
-17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
-19/4
Home/draw
52%
-4/11
3%
Away/draw
75%
-11/20
Home/away
73%
-1/3
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
-2/5
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
-9/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
-29/10
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
-2/9
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
-13/2
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
-1/14
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
-14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
-1/100
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
-1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
-13/2
Home DNB
44%
-4/6
2%
Away DNB
67%
-21/20
Millwall win to nil
15%
--
Stoke win to nil
29%
--
Millwall / Millwall
21%
-11/4
Millwall / Stoke
3%
-25/1
13%
Millwall / Draw
6%
-12/1
Draw / Millwall
15%
-17/4
Draw / Stoke
12%
-11/2
Draw / Draw
18%
-10/3
2%
Stoke / Millwall
3%
-22/1
10%
Stoke / Stoke
17%
-18/5
Stoke / Draw
6%
-12/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Millwall have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won 1. Millwall have conceded 7 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Millwall have played 5 games at home, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 4 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Stoke lay in 5th place on 15 points in the Championship league table having played 9 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 11 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Stoke have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Stoke have played 5 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Millwall
Stoke
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry95402019 
l
 
0-4A
Jan 20
Nov 8
Feb 28
2
M'Boro9531618 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 3
Jan 21
d
 
0-00-0
3
Leicester9441516 
Oct 25
Apr 25
Feb 21
Nov 22
4
Preston9441416 
Nov 8
Feb 28
Dec 26
Mar 21
5
Stoke9432515 
Oct 21
Apr 21
-
-
6
QPR9432-115 
Apr 18
Oct 18
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
7
West Brom9423-114 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 11
l
 
0-1A
Feb 7
8
Millwall9423-314 
-
-
Apr 21
Oct 21
9
Ipswich8341713 
Dec 26
Mar 21
Mar 10
Dec 10
10
Bristol C9342513 
Dec 29
Dec 6
Nov 1
May 2
11
Watford9333012 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
Mar 14
Dec 20
12
Swansea9333012 
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
Dec 13
Mar 7
13
Charlton9333012 
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
Nov 25
Feb 14
14
Portsmouth9333-112 
Feb 21
Nov 22
Apr 25
Oct 25
15
Hull9333-212 
Dec 13
Mar 7
Nov 29
Jan 1
16
Birmingham9333-312 
Feb 25
Nov 4
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
17
Southampton9252-111 
Nov 29
Jan 1
Jan 31
w
 
1-2F
18
Wrexham9243-110 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 7
Oct 18
Apr 18
19
Norwich9225-38 
Apr 6
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
Jan 4
20
Derby9153-48 
Mar 10
Dec 10
w
 
3-1A
Apr 6
21
Blackburn8215-47 
Mar 14
Dec 20
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
22
Oxford Utd9135-36 
May 2
Nov 1
Feb 24
Nov 4
23
Sheff Wed9135-126 
Nov 26
Feb 14
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
24
Sheff Utd9108-133 
Jan 31
w
 
0-1F
Dec 29
Dec 6
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Millwall 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Millwall3 - 0West Brom
Millwall0 - 4Coventry
Millwall1 - 0Watford
Millwall0 - 2Wrexham
Millwall0 - 3M'Boro
Millwall1 - 0Swansea
Millwall3 - 1Norwich
Millwall1 - 0M'Boro
Millwall2 - 1Portsmouth
Millwall1 - 0Stoke
Millwall0 - 2Bristol C
Millwall1 - 1West Brom
Millwall2 - 1QPR
Millwall2 - 2Cardiff
Millwall0 - 1Hull
Millwall0 - 1Oxford Utd
Millwall1 - 0Blackburn
Millwall0 - 1Sheff Utd
Millwall0 - 1Coventry
Millwall1 - 1Sunderland
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMillwall3 - 0West Brom
HMillwall0 - 4Coventry
AMillwall1 - 1Swansea
HMillwall1 - 0Watford
AMillwall1 - 1Charlton
HMillwall0 - 2Wrexham
AMillwall1 - 0Sheff Utd
HMillwall0 - 3M'Boro
AMillwall2 - 1Norwich
AMillwall1 - 3Burnley
HMillwall1 - 0Swansea
HMillwall3 - 1Norwich
AMillwall1 - 4Blackburn
HMillwall1 - 0M'Boro
AMillwall1 - 0Sheff Utd
HMillwall2 - 1Portsmouth
AMillwall0 - 1Sunderland
HMillwall1 - 0Stoke
AMillwall0 - 2Leeds
AMillwall2 - 1Watford
Stoke 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Blackburn1 - 1Stoke
M'Boro0 - 0Stoke
QPR1 - 0Stoke
Southampton1 - 2Stoke
Sheff Wed0 - 3Stoke
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Leeds6 - 0Stoke
Cardiff0 - 1Stoke
Preston1 - 1Stoke
Millwall1 - 0Stoke
Coventry3 - 2Stoke
Norwich4 - 2Stoke
Bristol C2 - 0Stoke
Hull1 - 2Stoke
Portsmouth3 - 1Stoke
West Brom1 - 1Stoke
Burnley0 - 0Stoke
Sheff Wed2 - 0Stoke
Luton2 - 1Stoke
Sunderland2 - 1Stoke
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStoke1 - 1Blackburn
AStoke0 - 0M'Boro
HStoke1 - 1Norwich
AStoke0 - 1QPR
HStoke1 - 0Birmingham
HStoke0 - 1West Brom
AStoke2 - 1Southampton
AStoke3 - 0Sheff Wed
HStoke3 - 1Derby
AStoke0 - 0Derby
HStoke0 - 2Sheff Utd
AStoke0 - 6Leeds
HStoke2 - 0Sheff Wed
AStoke1 - 0Cardiff
HStoke1 - 1Luton
AStoke1 - 1Preston
HStoke3 - 1QPR
AStoke0 - 1Millwall
HStoke1 - 0Blackburn
AStoke2 - 3Coventry
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Millwall have beaten Stoke in 4 consecutive home league meetings
7
Millwall have not lost to Stoke in 7 consecutive home league meetings
3
Millwall have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Stoke
League games at Millwall since 2003
Millwall
Stoke
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
7 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
4 / 11
MIL
6
D
3
STK
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
Millwall1 - 0
Millwall1 - 0
Millwall2 - 0
Millwall2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Stoke
0 - 1Stoke
Draw1 - 1Draw
Millwall3 - 1
League games at Stoke since 1999
Stoke
Millwall
Goals: Scored
11
7
Games: Scored
7 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
5 / 12
MIL
3
D
4
STK
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Millwall
Stoke2 - 0
1 - 2Millwall
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke1 - 0
Stoke2 - 1
Stoke1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Millwall
Stoke3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Stoke City's defensive record is to be admired, Mark Robins's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Championship outings. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Millwall makes sense in this context.

Millwall 8th Stoke 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Millwall scoring 1 goal or less
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Stoke will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Millwall have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
-8
Stoke’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Millwall
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1
1.4
Attack rating
MIL
STK
10%
better
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score3
3
Scored first4
4
Goals scored9
11
Avg. goals scored1
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for10
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
MIL
STK
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
6
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded12
6
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
13
Conversion rate against16%
8%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+25%

Millwall v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Millwall Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9213
S BendaC NeghliJ CooperT Crama
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Benda GLK9
-
R Leonard DEF9
1
-
J Cooper DEF911
2
-
T Crama DEF91
3
-
C Neghli FWD92
1
-
A Emakhu FWD9
-
M Luongo MID8
1
-
J Coburn FWD81
1
-
M Ivanovic FWD81
-
L Cundle MID61
-
Z. Norton Sturge DEF51
1
-
J Bryan DEF5
3
-
B Mitchell MID51
3
-
M Langstaff FWD51
-
W Harding DEF4
-
W Smallbone MID4
-
D Mazou-Sacko MID4
-
F Azeez FWD411
-
T Ballo FWD41
-
D Kelly MID3
-
C Norre MID3
-
R. Bangura-Williams FWD31
1
-
C Taylor DEF2
-
A Doughty MID21
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9344
V JohanssonS ThomasS ThomasJ Tchamadeu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK91
2
-
J Tchamadeu DEF9
4
-
B Wilmot DEF9
1
-
T Seko MID91
1
-
J. Bae MID91
-
D Mubama FWD92
1
1
S Thomas FWD934
2
-
M Manhoef FWD93
-
A Cresswell  DEF81
-
R Bozenik FWD7
-
L Baker MID62
1
-
A Phillips DEF5
-
E Bocat DEF5
-
T Rigo MID5
1
-
B Pearson MID5
2
-
L Cissé FWD5
-
J. Donley MID31
-
S Nzonzi MID2
-