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Portsmouth v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fratton Park, Portsmouth

Monday afternoon at the Fratton Park, and it’s a Championship showdown between Portsmouth and Watford. John Mousinho and Tom Cleverley will be doing all they can to claim the win. Team form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all shown below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We've backed under 3.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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Portsmouth's next match is v Hull at 12:30 on Saturday 3rd May
Watford's next match is v Sheff Wed at 12:30 on Saturday 3rd May
The last English Championship meeting between Portsmouth and Watford was on Monday 21st April 2025
English Championship
April 21st 2025
Portsmouth 1
0 Watford
 
C. Bishop 25'
 
POR
WAT
Shots On
10
3
Shots Off
5
3
Corners
6
3
Possession
49%
51%
Fouls
13
12
Yellow/red cards
4/0
3/1
 
PortsmouthWatford
 
N. Schmid
J. Williams (T. Devlin 52')
R. Poole (C. Shaughnessy 87')
R. Atkinson
C. Ogilvie
I. Hayden
M. Ritchie
A. Aouchiche (C. Saydee 46')
F. Potts
J. Murphy (C. Lang 87')
C. Bishopfootball icon (K. Yengi 76')
E. Selvik
K. Keben
(J. Ngakia 65') R. Andrews
C. Wiley
(J. Abankwah 65') F. Sierralta Carvallo
A. Dele-Bashiru
(V. Bayo 83') P. Dwomoh
I. Louza
(M. Pollock 59') R. Vata
T. Ince
M. Doumbia

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Portsmouth and Watford have delivered plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Monday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Portsmouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portsmouth
49%
4/5
24%
-
Draw
27%
13/5
3%
-
Watford
25%
10/3
55%
-
Portsmouth 1-0
13%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
-
Portsmouth 2-0
9%
15/2
23%
-
Portsmouth 2-1
9%
15/2
15%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
9/1
18%
-
Watford 1-0
9%
11/1
60%
-
Watford 2-1
6%
14/1
36%
-
Portsmouth 3-0
5%
14/1
35%
-
Portsmouth 3-1
4%
14/1
29%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
12%
-
Watford 2-0
4%
20/1
62%
-
Portsmouth 3-2
2%
25/1
24%
-
Watford 3-1
2%
33/1
31%
-
Portsmouth 4-0
2%
28/1
43%
-
Portsmouth 4-1
2%
28/1
43%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/15
15%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4
22%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
9/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
5/6
4%
-
BTTS - No
53%
5/6
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
3/1
27%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
15/2
31%
-
Home/draw
75%
1/5
14%
-
Away/draw
51%
19/20
27%
-
Home/away
73%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
3/10
7%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
5/2
17%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
5/2
19%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
3/10
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
11/2
28%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/9
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
21%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1
18%
-
Home DNB
67%
1/3
23%
-
Away DNB
44%
9/4
63%
-
Portsmouth win to nil
29%
2/1
20%
-
Watford win to nil
14%
6/1
62%
-
Portsmouth / Portsmouth
29%
15/8
28%
-
Portsmouth / Watford
2%
33/1-
Portsmouth / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Portsmouth
18%
7/2
18%
-
Draw / Watford
9%
8/1
38%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
22%
-
Watford / Portsmouth
4%
22/1
21%
-
Watford / Watford
11%
13/2
50%
-
Watford / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Championship table

Portsmouth have played 43 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 6 and won 11. Portsmouth have conceded 54 goals, scored 46, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Portsmouth have played 21 games at home, winning 10, drawing 6 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 31 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Watford lay in 12th place on 56 points in the Championship league table having played 43 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 8 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Watford have played 21 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 12 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Portsmouth
Watford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds45281346497 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
2
Burnley45271625197 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
3
Sheff Utd45287102789 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland452113111576 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
5
Bristol C45171612467 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
6
Coventry4519917466 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
7
Millwall45181215066 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
2-3F
8
Blackburn4519818565 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
9
M'Boro451810171064 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
10
West Brom45141912861 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
11
Swansea4517919-560 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
12
Sheff Wed45151218-957 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
May 3
w
 
2-6F
13
Watford Away4516821-856 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
-
-
14
Norwich45131517154 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-5F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
15
QPR45131418-1153 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
16
Portsmouth Home45141120-1353 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
17
Oxford Utd45131319-1652 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
18
Stoke45121419-1750 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
6-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
19
Derby45131022-849 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
20
Preston45101916-1149 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
21
Luton45131022-2249 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
22
Hull45121221-1048 
May 3
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
23
Plymouth45111321-3646 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
24
Cardiff4591719-2344 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Portsmouth 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
Watford 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Portsmouth have beaten Watford in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Portsmouth since 1998
Portsmouth
Watford
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
POR
4
WAT
3
League games at Watford since 1999
Watford
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
18
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
D
3
WAT
5
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Watford of late. It has been 9 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Monday afternoon against Portsmouth.

Portsmouth 16th Watford 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Portsmouth will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Watford scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Portsmouth have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-7
Watford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280612/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Portsmouth
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.5
1
Attack rating
POR
WAT
1%
better
view stats
Games scored29
33
Failed to score14
10
Scored first16
16
Goals scored55
51
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
POR
WAT
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded34
31
Clean sheets9
12
Conceded first23
24
Goals conceded69
57
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+11%

Portsmouth v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
44111411
C OgilvieC BishopJ MurphyM Pack
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Schmid GLK352
2
-
J Williams DEF19
6
-
R Poole DEF261
5
-
R Atkinson DEF1321
4
-
C Ogilvie DEF4441
5
-
F Potts MID3614
7
-
I Hayden MID16
2
-
M Ritchie MID3851
7
-
A Aouchiche MID1211
2
-
J Murphy MID41714
7
-
C Bishop FWD31113
3
-
Subs
J Archer GLK2
-
C Shaughnessy DEF81
2
-
C Bramall DEF12
2
-
T Devlin MID331
2
-
M Pack MID401
10
1
A Dozzell MID3821
11
-
K Yengi FWD14
2
-
C Saydee FWD282
5
-
C Lang  FWD31103
11
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4110412
M PollockV BayoI Louza I Louza 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Selvik GLK15
2
-
R Andrews DEF3732
4
-
K Keben DEF5
1
F Carvallo DEF33
9
-
C Wiley DEF91
-
T Dele-Bashiru MID274
-
P Dwomoh MID8
1
-
T Ince MID3211
1
-
I Louza  MID3224
12
-
R Vata MID3234
-
M. Doumbia FWD182
2
-
Subs
A. Marriott GLK
-
J Ngakia DEF281
6
-
M Pollock DEF4424
8
-
J Morris DEF18
3
-
J Abankwah DEF18
3
1
Z. Massiah-Edwards MID3
-
L. Ramirez-Espain MID
-
V Bayo FWD4010
5
1