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Rotherham United v Bolton Wanderers : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 12:30 BST, AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham

The League One is the focus for both Rotherham United and Bolton Wanderers on Saturday lunch time, as managers Matthew Hamshaw and Steven Schumacher battle it out at the AESSEAL New York Stadium. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Rotherham 29%	-	-
Draw 27%	-	-
Bolton 44%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
Bolton 1-0 12%	-	-
Rotherham 1-0 9%	-	-
Bolton 2-1 9%	-	-
Draw 0-0 8%	-	-
Bolton 2-0 8%	-	-
Rotherham 2-1 7%	-	-
Rotherham 2-0 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Bolton 3-1 4%	-	-
Bolton 3-0 4%	-	-
Rotherham 3-1 2%	-	-
Bolton 3-2 2%	-	-
Rotherham 3-0 2%	-	-
Rotherham 3-2 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 51%	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	-	-
BTTS - No 51%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 13%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 19%	-	-
Home/draw 56%	-	-
Away/draw 71%	-	-
Home/away 73%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Home DNB 48%	-	-
Away DNB 63%	-	-
Rotherham win to nil 16%	-	-
Bolton win to nil 26%	-	-

Win / draw / win League One table

Rotherham have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 7 and won 8. Rotherham have conceded 46 goals, scored 31, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Rotherham have played 17 games at home, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Bolton lay in 3rd place on 61 points in the League One league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 32 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 11 and losing 6 games. They have scored 47 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bolton have conceded 32 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Bolton have played 18 away games, winning 5, drawing 8 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Rotherham Bolton
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	32	72	l 0-3A	l 3-0A	w 1-0F	Apr 11
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	32	71	w 3-0F	Mar 21	d 1-1A	d 1-1A
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	16	61	Mar 14	l 2-1A	-	-
4	Bradford	34	17	7	10	5	58	d 2-2F	l 1-0A	d 0-00-0	Apr 25
5	Stockport	34	16	8	10	4	56	l 0-1A	l 3-2A	Apr 6	l 2-0A
6	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	9	52	l 1-3A	Mar 7	Apr 18	w 1-2A
7	Reading	34	13	12	9	6	51	Apr 25	d 1-1F	d 1-1F	d 1-1A
8	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	2	51	Apr 3	l 1-0A	Mar 28	d 0-00-0
9	Wycombe	34	13	11	10	13	50	d 1-1A	May 2	Mar 7	l 2-1F
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	2	47	Mar 28	d 0-00-0	May 2	d 1-1F
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	1	46	l 0-2A	Mar 17	w 2-1F	l 3-1A
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	-1	46	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	w 2-0F	Apr 3
13	Barnsley	31	12	8	11	0	44	Apr 11	w 0-1F	w 3-2F	d 1-1A
14	AFC Wim	33	12	7	14	-7	43	d 1-1F	l 2-1F	w 3-0F	w 0-1F
15	Exeter	33	11	8	14	-1	41	w 1-0F	w 0-4F	w 2-1A	w 1-5F
16	Mansfield	32	10	10	12	2	40	Mar 3	l 2-1F	l 0-1A	w 0-1F
17	Burton	34	10	9	15	-11	39	d 2-2A	l 1-0A	w 2-1F	l 3-0A
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	-19	39	l 1-2F	l 1-0A	Mar 17	d 1-1A
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	-11	37	d 2-2A	Apr 14	w 4-1F	w 0-1F
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	-14	37	l 0-3A	l 4-0A	d 2-2F	d 1-1A
21	L Orient	33	10	6	17	-12	36	w 1-0F	Apr 18	w 2-1F	d 1-1A
22	Northampton	35	9	8	18	-16	35	w 2-1A	w 1-2A	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A
23	Rotherham	33	9	7	17	-14	34	-	-	w 2-1F	Mar 14
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	-18	27	w 2-1F	Apr 6	w 4-0F	Mar 21

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rotherham	1 - 2	Doncaster
Rotherham	0 - 3	Cardiff
Rotherham	2 - 1	Northampton
Rotherham	1 - 1	AFC Wim
Rotherham	0 - 2	Peterborough
Rotherham	1 - 3	Huddersfield
Rotherham	0 - 3	Blackpool
Rotherham	1 - 1	Wycombe
Rotherham	3 - 0	Lincoln
Rotherham	2 - 2	Burton
Rotherham	1 - 0	L Orient
Rotherham	2 - 2	Bradford
Rotherham	0 - 1	Stockport
Rotherham	1 - 0	Exeter
Rotherham	2 - 2	Wigan
Rotherham	2 - 1	Port Vale
Rotherham	2 - 1	Peterborough
Rotherham	3 - 3	Mansfield
Rotherham	2 - 1	Blackpool
Rotherham	0 - 4	Crawley

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Rotherham	0 - 1	Bradford
H	Rotherham	1 - 2	Doncaster
A	Rotherham	0 - 1	Burton
H	Rotherham	0 - 3	Cardiff
A	Rotherham	4 - 0	Exeter
H	Rotherham	2 - 1	Northampton
H	Rotherham	1 - 1	AFC Wim
A	Rotherham	2 - 3	Stockport
H	Rotherham	0 - 2	Peterborough
A	Rotherham	0 - 4	Blackpool
A	Rotherham	1 - 2	Bolton
H	Rotherham	1 - 3	Huddersfield
A	Rotherham	0 - 1	Plymouth
H	Rotherham	0 - 3	Blackpool
H	Rotherham	1 - 1	Wycombe
A	Rotherham	1 - 1	Reading
A	Rotherham	0 - 0	Luton
H	Rotherham	3 - 0	Lincoln
H	Rotherham	2 - 2	Burton
A	Rotherham	1 - 0	Barnsley

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Reading	1 - 1	Bolton
Lincoln	1 - 1	Bolton
AFC Wim	0 - 1	Bolton
Stevenage	0 - 0	Bolton
Wigan	0 - 1	Bolton
Peterborough	3 - 1	Bolton
Doncaster	1 - 1	Bolton
Wycombe	2 - 1	Bolton
Mansfield	0 - 1	Bolton
Luton	1 - 1	Bolton
Huddersfield	1 - 2	Bolton
Burton	3 - 0	Bolton
Northampton	2 - 0	Bolton
L Orient	1 - 1	Bolton
Blackpool	1 - 1	Bolton
Barnsley	1 - 1	Bolton
Stockport	2 - 0	Bolton
Peterborough	1 - 1	Bolton
Lincoln	4 - 2	Bolton
Barnsley	4 - 1	Bolton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bolton	2 - 2	Blackpool
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Reading
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Lincoln
H	Bolton	3 - 2	Barnsley
A	Bolton	1 - 0	AFC Wim
H	Bolton	2 - 1	Burton
H	Bolton	2 - 1	L Orient
A	Bolton	0 - 0	Stevenage
A	Bolton	1 - 0	Wigan
A	Bolton	1 - 3	Peterborough
H	Bolton	0 - 0	Northampton
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Doncaster
H	Bolton	0 - 1	Mansfield
H	Bolton	2 - 1	Rotherham
A	Bolton	1 - 2	Wycombe
H	Bolton	2 - 1	Exeter
A	Bolton	1 - 0	Mansfield
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Luton
H	Bolton	0 - 0	Bradford
H	Bolton	4 - 0	Port Vale

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Rotherham

Bolton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

0 / 6

RTH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rotherham
Rotherham	3 - 1
Rotherham	2 - 1
Rotherham	6 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Rotherham	4 - 0
Rotherham	4 - 2

Bolton

Rotherham

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

6 / 6

Clean sheets

0 / 6

2 / 6

RTH

BOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bolton
Bolton	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Rotherham
	0 - 2	Rotherham
Bolton	2 - 1
Bolton	2 - 1
Bolton	3 - 2

Goal Statistics

	Rotherham 23rd	Bolton 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Rotherham will score no more than 1 goal	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Bolton will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Rotherham’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-27 Bolton have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

better

RTH

BOL

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

RTH

BOL

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Rotherham v Bolton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Rotherham League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	7	4	7
C Dawson	S Nombe	J Powell	Z Jules

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Dawson GLK	31			3 -
J Rafferty DEF	29	2	1	3 -
R James DEF	29	1	2	3 -
J Powell MID	27		4	1 -
A Martha FWD	27	1	1	5 -
J Hugill FWD	25	2	1	4 -
D. Gore MID	24		1	6 -
J. Baptiste DEF	23	1	1	5 1
S McWilliams MID	23	2	2	2 -
D Yearwood MID	23			3 -
D Hall DEF	22	3	1	2 -
Z Jules DEF	21	1		6 1
K Spence MID	21	2		7 -
S Nombe FWD	17	7	2	3 -
M. Kaleta DEF	16		2	-
J Benson MID	16	2	2	1 -
L Kelly MID	15			2 -
K Etete FWD	11		1	2 -
H Douglas DEF	10	1		2 -
L. Agbaire DEF	9			2 -
S Raggett DEF	9			2 -
T Holmes DEF	7			-
M. Sherif FWD	7	2		-
J Holmes MID	5			-
J. Ayres FWD	4			1 -
J Kayode FWD	3			-
T Cann GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	18	4	10
S Nombe	S Nombe	J Powell	J Powell

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Nombe FWD	7	18	2	2
D Hall DEF	3	7	1	1
J Rafferty DEF	2	4	1	1
J Hugill FWD	2	10	1	3
S McWilliams MID	2	5	2	3
K Spence MID	2	11
J Benson MID	2	3	2	3
M. Sherif FWD	2	7
R James DEF	1	3	2	5
A Martha FWD	1	4	1	3
J. Baptiste DEF	1	2	1	1
Z Jules DEF	1	1
H Douglas DEF	1	2
J Powell MID		3	4	10
D. Gore MID		2	1	2
D Yearwood MID		1
M. Kaleta DEF		3	2	3
K Etete FWD		4	1	2
T Holmes DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1056	47	127
C Dawson	D. Gore	J Hugill

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Dawson GLK	1056		22
J Powell MID	898	36	115
R James DEF	888	35	81
J Rafferty DEF	800	40	89
D. Gore MID	749	47	127
J. Baptiste DEF	667	46	125
Z Jules DEF	563	23	112
S McWilliams MID	502	47	92
K Spence MID	462	47	88
D Hall DEF	457	32	65
A Martha FWD	420	34	85
D Yearwood MID	335	26	61
J Benson MID	286	16	50
J Hugill FWD	274	6	127
H Douglas DEF	255	6	45
L Kelly MID	189	17	37
S Nombe FWD	178	7	77
M. Kaleta DEF	176	17	49
T Holmes DEF	151	2	20
S Raggett DEF	136	4	25
L. Agbaire DEF	134	9	31
K Etete FWD	78	5	42
M. Sherif FWD	42	7	24
T Cann GLK	40		1
J Holmes MID	17	4	8
J. Ayres FWD	17		9
J Kayode FWD	10	1	7

Bolton League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	10	8	8
G Johnston	M Burstow	A Cozier-Duberry	J Sheehan

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Johnston DEF	33			6 -
M Burstow FWD	33	10	3	3 -
M Conway DEF	31		2	2 -
S Dalby FWD	31	8	1	2 -
X Simons MID	30	1		3 1
A Cozier-Duberry FWD	28	6	8	1 -
E Toal DEF	26	2		-
J Sheehan MID	26	3	3	8 -
E Erhahon MID	26		3	2 -
J Osei-Tutu DEF	25	1	1	4 -
T Gale FWD	25	4	2	2 -
T Sharman-Lowe GLK	22			1 -
A Morley MID	20			1 -
I Cissoko FWD	20			3 -
K Dempsey MID	19	3	2	3 -
C Forino DEF	18			5 -
M Forss FWD	18	2		1 -
J McAtee FWD	18	2	1	2 -
C Christie DEF	15		1	2 -
J Randall MID	15	1		-
J Dacres-Cogley DEF	13		2	2 -
R Taylor DEF	7			1 -
T Miller GLK	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	26	8	10
M Burstow	A Cozier-Duberry	A Cozier-Duberry	A Cozier-Duberry

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Burstow FWD	10	22	3	3
S Dalby FWD	8	14	1	6
A Cozier-Duberry FWD	6	26	8	10
T Gale FWD	4	16	2	5
J Sheehan MID	3	11	3	3
K Dempsey MID	3	7	2	3
E Toal DEF	2	5
M Forss FWD	2	8
J McAtee FWD	2	7	1	2
X Simons MID	1	6		1
J Osei-Tutu DEF	1	6	1	1
J Randall MID	1	7
G Johnston DEF		3		2
M Conway DEF		6	2	6
E Erhahon MID			3	3
A Morley MID		1		6
I Cissoko FWD		3		1
C Forino DEF		4		2
C Christie DEF		5	1	3
J Dacres-Cogley DEF			2
R Taylor DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2238	61	213
G Johnston	M Conway	G Johnston

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Johnston DEF	2238	38	213
E Toal DEF	1610	32	148
M Conway DEF	1343	61	212
J Sheehan MID	1198	25	76
X Simons MID	1047	38	87
C Forino DEF	903	30	154
T Sharman-Lowe GLK	901	1	12
A Cozier-Duberry FWD	847	37	121
E Erhahon MID	841	51	109
J Osei-Tutu DEF	570	57	164
C Christie DEF	564	15	67
J Dacres-Cogley DEF	495	18	40
A Morley MID	481	11	21
M Burstow FWD	404	17	90
S Dalby FWD	346	18	137
K Dempsey MID	343	20	54
T Gale FWD	306	8	52
I Cissoko FWD	227	10	60
J Randall MID	218	11	24
J McAtee FWD	201	14	37
M Forss FWD	153	13	33
T Miller GLK	109
R Taylor DEF	73	4	13