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Arsenal v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Dec, 15:00 BST, Emirates Stadium, London

It's an away match for Fabian Hürzeler's Brighton and Hove Albion side on Saturday afternoon, as they head to the Emirates Stadium for a English Premier League showdown with Mikel Arteta Amatriain's Arsenal. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen major betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Arsenal to win

Having examined the bookies' odds and collated stats regarding the two teams ahead of this Premier League fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Arsenal to win on home turf is the way we would recommend bettors go. We predict they will have too much for Brighton, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. There could be some bumps along the way, but Arsenal to win is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 67% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arsenal
67%
1.44
1%
1.48
Draw
20%
4.204.40
4%
Brighton
13%
7.507.00
17%
Arsenal 2-0
12%
8.00
7%
7.00
Arsenal 1-0
12%
8.50
13%
6.50
7%
Arsenal 2-1
10%
9.008.00
Draw 1-1
9%
9.008.50
Arsenal 3-0
8%
11.009.50
Arsenal 3-1
7%
13.0011.00
Draw 0-0
6%
13.00
8%
11.00
8%
Brighton 1-0
5%
23.00
10%
15.00
Arsenal 4-0
4%
21.0015.00
Draw 2-2
4%
19.00
10%
15.00
Brighton 2-1
4%
23.0017.00
Arsenal 4-1
3%
23.0017.00
11%
Arsenal 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
Brighton 2-0
2%
41.0026.00
13%
Arsenal 5-0
2%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1.67
3%
1.73
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
2.20
5%
2.05
Home 1st Goal
60%
1.401.40
Away 1st Goal
37%
3.00
3%
3.40
6%
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
8%
10.00
9%
BTTS - Yes
48%
1.80
8%
1.95
2%
BTTS - No
52%
1.95
8%
1.80
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3.10
3%
3.20
BTTS - Draw
14%
5.505.50
4%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
13.0011.00
10%
Home/draw
87%
1.101.10
2%
Away/draw
33%
2.63
4%
2.62
Home/away
80%
1.221.20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.221.25
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4.333.75
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2.752.75
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.441.40
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5.005.00
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.171.15
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10.00
9%
9.50
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.06
1%
1.05
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.041.04
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
13.00
8%
10.00
9%
Home DNB
81%
1.141.14
3%
Away DNB
27%
5.505.00
9%
Arsenal win to nil
40%
2.50
5%
-
Brighton win to nil
7%
13.00-
Arsenal / Arsenal
38%
2.202.15
Arsenal / Brighton
2%
41.00
20%
34.00
Arsenal / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
Draw / Arsenal
20%
4.334.00
5%
Draw / Brighton
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Draw
12%
7.50
7%
6.00
8%
Brighton / Arsenal
4%
21.0017.00
Brighton / Brighton
7%
12.00
8%
10.00
18%
Brighton / Draw
5%
19.0015.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Arsenal have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Premier League league table. Arsenal are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Arsenal have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 25 goals.

Home League Performance

Arsenal have played 8 games at home winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Brighton are in 10th position in the Premier League on 23 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Brighton have conceded 14 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arsenal
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1611322036 
-
-
Mar 4
Dec 27
2
Man City1611142234 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
w
 
2-1A
Jan 7
3
A Villa161033833 
Dec 30
l
 
2-1A
l
 
3-4F
Feb 11
4
Chelsea168441228 
Feb 28
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
w
 
1-3A
5
C Palace16754526 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
Feb 7
d
 
0-00-0
6
Man Utd16754426 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
May 24
l
 
4-2A
7
Liverpool16826226 
Jan 8
l
 
1-0A
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
8
Sunderland16754226 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
Dec 20
Mar 14
9
Everton16736-124 
Mar 14
Dec 20
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
10
Brighton16655223 
Dec 27
Mar 4
-
-
11
Spurs16646422 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 21
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
12
Newcastle16646122 
Apr 25
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
May 2
13
Bournemouth16565-321 
Apr 11
Jan 3
Jan 19
l
 
2-1A
14
Fulham16628-320 
May 2
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Jan 24
15
Brentford16628-320 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 11
w
 
2-1A
Feb 21
16
Nottm Forest16538-818 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 17
Feb 28
w
 
0-2F
17
Leeds16448-1016 
w
 
5-0F
Jan 31
w
 
3-0F
May 17
18
West Ham16349-1313 
w
 
2-0F
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Dec 30
19
Burnley163112-1510 
May 17
w
 
0-2F
Jan 3
Apr 11
20
Wolves160214-262 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 21
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Brighton 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Arsenal since 2017
Arsenal
Brighton
Goals: Scored
10
9
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
ARS
3
D
2
BHA
3
League games at Brighton since 2018
Brighton
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
8
12
Games: Scored
5 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
3 / 8
ARS
3
D
3
BHA
2
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 6 consecutive English Premier League matches. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Arsenal 1st Brighton 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Arsenal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Brighton scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Arsenal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+11
Brighton have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Arsenal
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
2.1
0.8
Attack rating
22%
better
ARS
BHA
view stats
Games scored15
13
Failed to score1
3
Scored first10
6
Goals scored30
25
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
40%
better
ARS
BHA
view stats
Games conceded8
13
Clean sheets8
3
Conceded first6
9
Goals conceded10
23
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded5
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+40%

Arsenal v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16435
D RayaE EzeD RiceR Calafiori
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK16
1
-
J Timber DEF1622
2
-
M Zubimendi MID1621
3
-
D Rice MID1623
1
-
R Calafiori DEF1512
5
-
M Merino MID1533
-
E Eze MID1442
-
V Gyökeres FWD144
2
-
B Saka FWD1441
1
-
W Saliba DEF12
-
G Martinelli FWD121
-
L Trossard FWD1243
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF11
2
-
G Magalhães DEF1112
1
-
C Mosquera DEF10
1
-
M Ødegaard MID101
-
N Madueke FWD9
-
P Hincapié DEF7
1
-
E Nwaneri MID6
-
B White DEF41
-
C Nörgaard MID2
-
M. Dowman FWD2
-
K Havertz FWD1
-
G Jesus  FWD1
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16745
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK16
2
-
J Hecke DEF1631
3
-
L Dunk DEF16
5
-
C Quomah MID16
4
-
Y Minteh FWD1614
-
D Welbeck FWD167
2
-
F Kadioglu DEF15
4
-
D Amarilla MID152
5
-
Y Ayari MID141
-
M Wieffer MID143
4
-
G Rutter FWD1413
2
-
M Cuyper DEF132
1
-
B Gruda FWD1211
1
-
S Tzimas FWD911
-
J Veltman DEF8
3
-
J Milner  MID811
1
-
J Hinshelwood MID811
-
C. Kostoulas FWD71
-
K Mitoma FWD711
1
-
D Coppola DEF3
-
O Boscagli DEF2
1
-
T Watson FWD2
-