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Aston Villa v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 11th Feb, 19:30 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

It's an away trip for Fabian Hürzeler's Brighton and Hove Albion side on Wednesday evening, as they make their way to the Villa Park for a English Premier League showdown with Unai Emery Etxegoien's Aston Villa. We have predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Premier League clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% probability of A Villa and Brighton serving up a minimum of two goals in this Premier League clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
52%
1.85-
Draw
24%
3.60-
Brighton
23%
3.90-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50-
A Villa 1-0
11%
9.00-
A Villa 2-1
10%
9.50-
A Villa 2-0
9%
11.00-
Brighton 1-0
7%
15.00-
Draw 0-0
6%
13.00-
Brighton 2-1
6%
15.00-
A Villa 3-1
5%
15.00-
A Villa 3-0
5%
17.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
Brighton 2-0
4%
23.00-
A Villa 3-2
3%
26.00-
A Villa 4-1
2%
34.00-
A Villa 4-0
2%
34.00-
Brighton 3-1
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
1.80-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
2.00-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.62-
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.38-
No 1st Goal
4%
13.00-
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.67-
BTTS - No
47%
2.10-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3.60-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7.00-
Home/draw
77%
1.25-
Away/draw
48%
1.91-
Home/away
76%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.25-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
4.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
3.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1.40-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.14-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.05-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.04-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
13.00-
Home DNB
69%
1.40-
Away DNB
40%
2.75-
A Villa win to nil
29%
3.50-
Brighton win to nil
12%
8.00-
A Villa / A Villa
28%
3.00-
A Villa / Brighton
3%
34.00-
A Villa / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / A Villa
17%
5.00-
Draw / Brighton
9%
9.00-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00-
Brighton / A Villa
4%
23.00-
Brighton / Brighton
13%
6.50-
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.00-
Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 8 fixtures. A Villa have outscored their opponents by 35 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

A Villa have played 12 games at home winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 18 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Brighton are in 13th position in the Premier League on 31 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Brighton have conceded 26 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2416532953 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
Mar 4
l
 
2-1A
2
Man City2414552647 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
3
A Villa241446946 
-
-
l
 
3-4F
Feb 11
4
Man Utd241185841 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 14
May 24
l
 
4-2A
5
Chelsea2411761540 
Mar 4
w
 
1-2A
Apr 25
w
 
1-3A
6
Liverpool241167639 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
7
Brentford2411310436 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Feb 21
8
Fulham2410410-134 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
9
Everton24978-134 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
10
Newcastle24969033 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
May 2
11
Sunderland23896-233 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
12
Bournemouth24897-333 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 7
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
13
Brighton247107231 
Feb 11
w
 
3-4A
-
-
14
Spurs24789229 
May 2
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
15
C Palace24789-429 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
16
Leeds246810-1126 
Feb 21
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
May 17
17
Nottm Forest247512-1126 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 11
Feb 28
w
 
0-2F
18
West Ham245514-1920 
Mar 21
w
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
19
Burnley233614-1915 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
20
Wolves241518-308 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 27
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
5
Brighton have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
A Villa 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Brighton 14TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Villa since 2017
A Villa
Brighton
Goals: Scored
16
8
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
AVL
4
D
2
BHA
1
League games at Brighton since 2016
Brighton
A Villa
Goals: Scored
7
13
Games: Scored
5 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
3 / 8
AVL
4
D
3
BHA
1
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Brighton and Hove Albion on Wednesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A Villa 3rd Brighton 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+11
Brighton have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1.7
1
Attack rating
AVL
BHA
6%
better
view stats
Games scored16
20
Failed to score7
4
Scored first8
9
Goals scored35
34
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for18
15
Avg. XG for1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
16%
better
AVL
BHA
view stats
Games conceded16
19
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first12
13
Goals conceded25
32
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+16%

A Villa v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24855
M RogersO WatkinsM RogersM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Rogers MID2475
4
-
M Cash DEF2332
5
-
E Konsa DEF23
1
O Watkins FWD2381
1
-
L Digne DEF224
3
-
E Buendía MID2252
2
-
J McGinn MID2232
3
-
E Martínez GLK20
1
-
L Bogarde MID19
5
-
I Maatsen DEF18
2
-
B Kamara MID1813
5
-
Y Tielemans MID174
-
P Torres DEF15
-
A Onana MID152
2
-
J Sancho FWD13
-
V Lindelöf DEF111
-
T Mings DEF8
-
R Barkley MID71
-
M Bizot GLK5
2
-
H Elliot MID4
-
A García DEF2
-
L Bailey FWD2
-
D Luiz MID1
-
T Abraham FWD1
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24848
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK24
3
-
J Hecke DEF2332
6
-
F Kadioglu DEF23
4
-
L Dunk DEF23
8
-
D Welbeck FWD238
4
-
G Rutter FWD2223
2
-
Y Minteh FWD2214
-
D Amarilla MID213
5
-
Y Ayari MID2132
-
M Cuyper DEF202
2
-
C Quomah MID19
4
-
B Gruda FWD1811
2
-
M Wieffer MID163
4
-
J Milner  MID1411
2
-
C. Kostoulas FWD1421
2
-
K Mitoma FWD1421
2
-
J Veltman DEF131
3
-
J Hinshelwood MID1311
-
S Tzimas FWD911
-
O Boscagli DEF51
1
-
P Groß MID51
2
-