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Aston Villa v Manchester United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Dec, 16:30 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

Unai Emery Etxegoien's Aston Villa side are on home soil in the English Premier League on Sunday afternoon, as Ruben Filipe Marques Amorim's Manchester United travel to the Villa Park. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Premier League clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that A Villa and Man Utd will score a minimum of two between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 78%. Bookmakers have it at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
48%
11/10
5%
11/10
Draw
24%
5/2
3%
13/5
Man Utd
29%
23/10
6%
23/10
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
A Villa 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
A Villa 1-0
9%
10/1
10%
15/2
A Villa 2-0
7%
12/19/1
Man Utd 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Man Utd 1-0
6%
14/1
15%
10/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
A Villa 3-1
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
15%
10/1
A Villa 3-0
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Man Utd 2-0
4%
20/1
11%
14/1
A Villa 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
Man Utd 3-1
3%
25/118/1
Man Utd 3-2
3%
33/122/1
A Villa 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/6
3%
7/10
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
6/5
5%
21/20
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
4%
3/4
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/5
5%
5/4
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
15%
9/1
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/7
3%
8/13
BTTS - No
41%
5/4
2%
6/5
BTTS - Home Win
25%
11/4
6%
13/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/217/4
Home/draw
71%
3/10
4%
1/3
Away/draw
53%
8/11
4%
8/11
Home/away
76%
2/7
1%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/5
2%
2/9
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
7/2
4%
29/10
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
13/8
4%
13/8
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1/2
4%
4/9
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
7/2
10%
19/5
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/5
3%
1/6
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
8/1
10%
8/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
1/20
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
Home DNB
64%
8/15
6%
1/2
Away DNB
45%
11/8
8%
7/5
A Villa win to nil
23%
3/1
8%
-
Man Utd win to nil
13%
6/1
17%
-
A Villa / A Villa
25%
12/5
6%
11/5
A Villa / Man Utd
3%
28/122/1
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / A Villa
15%
5/117/4
Draw / Man Utd
11%
7/1
7%
6/1
Draw / Draw
14%
11/2
8%
17/4
Man Utd / A Villa
4%
22/118/1
Man Utd / Man Utd
16%
9/2
10%
4/1
Man Utd / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 30 goals to 25 goals.

Home League Performance

A Villa have played 8 games at home winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 13 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Man Utd are in 6th position in the Premier League on 26 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 0 and won 2. Man Utd have conceded 6 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Man Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1611322036 
w
 
2-1F
Dec 30
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
2
Man City1611142234 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
Jan 17
l
 
3-0A
3
A Villa161033833 
-
-
Mar 14
Dec 21
4
Chelsea168441228 
Mar 4
Dec 27
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
5
C Palace16754526 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 7
Feb 28
w
 
1-2A
6
Man Utd16754426 
Dec 21
Mar 14
-
-
7
Liverpool16826226 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
May 2
w
 
1-2F
8
Sunderland16754226 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 9
9
Everton16736-124 
Jan 18
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Feb 21
10
Brighton16655223 
Feb 11
w
 
3-4A
w
 
4-2F
May 24
11
Spurs16646422 
May 2
w
 
1-2A
Feb 7
d
 
2-2F
12
Newcastle16646122 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
Dec 26
Mar 4
13
Bournemouth16565-321 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 7
d
 
4-4F
Mar 21
14
Fulham16628-320 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
Feb 1
d
 
1-1F
15
Brentford16628-320 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
Apr 25
l
 
3-1A
16
Nottm Forest16538-818 
Jan 3
Apr 11
May 17
d
 
2-2F
17
Leeds16448-1016 
Feb 21
w
 
1-2A
Apr 11
Jan 4
18
West Ham16349-1313 
Mar 21
w
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 11
19
Burnley163112-1510 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
w
 
3-2F
Jan 7
20
Wolves160214-262 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 28
Dec 30
w
 
1-4F
Win / draw / win form
6
A Villa have won 6 consecutive home league games
6
A Villa have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
5
Man Utd have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games
A Villa 3RD
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa2 - 1Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Wolves
A Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
A Villa1 - 0Man City
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
A Villa0 - 3C Palace
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa2 - 0Spurs
A Villa1 - 0Fulham
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
A Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
A Villa1 - 1Ipswich
A Villa1 - 1West Ham
A Villa2 - 1Leicester
A Villa2 - 2Brighton
A Villa2 - 1Man City
A Villa1 - 0Southampton
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa3 - 2West Ham
HA Villa2 - 1Arsenal
AA Villa4 - 3Brighton
HA Villa1 - 0Wolves
AA Villa2 - 1Leeds
HA Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 0Man City
AA Villa2 - 1Spurs
HA Villa2 - 1Burnley
HA Villa3 - 1Fulham
AA Villa1 - 1Sunderland
AA Villa0 - 0Everton
HA Villa0 - 3C Palace
AA Villa0 - 1Brentford
HA Villa0 - 0Newcastle
AA Villa0 - 2Man Utd
HA Villa2 - 0Spurs
AA Villa1 - 0Bournemouth
HA Villa1 - 0Fulham
Man Utd 6TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolves1 - 4Man Utd
C Palace1 - 2Man Utd
Spurs2 - 2Man Utd
Nottm Forest2 - 2Man Utd
Liverpool1 - 2Man Utd
Brentford3 - 1Man Utd
Man City3 - 0Man Utd
Fulham1 - 1Man Utd
Chelsea1 - 0Man Utd
Brentford4 - 3Man Utd
Bournemouth1 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle4 - 1Man Utd
Nottm Forest1 - 0Man Utd
Leicester0 - 3Man Utd
Everton2 - 2Man Utd
Spurs1 - 0Man Utd
Fulham0 - 1Man Utd
Liverpool2 - 2Man Utd
Wolves2 - 0Man Utd
Man City1 - 2Man Utd
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan Utd4 - 4Bournemouth
AMan Utd4 - 1Wolves
HMan Utd1 - 1West Ham
AMan Utd2 - 1C Palace
HMan Utd0 - 1Everton
AMan Utd2 - 2Spurs
AMan Utd2 - 2Nottm Forest
HMan Utd4 - 2Brighton
AMan Utd2 - 1Liverpool
HMan Utd2 - 0Sunderland
AMan Utd1 - 3Brentford
HMan Utd2 - 1Chelsea
AMan Utd0 - 3Man City
HMan Utd3 - 2Burnley
AMan Utd1 - 1Fulham
HMan Utd0 - 1Arsenal
HMan Utd2 - 0A Villa
AMan Utd0 - 1Chelsea
HMan Utd0 - 2West Ham
AMan Utd3 - 4Brentford
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Man Utd have not lost to A Villa in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
22
47
Games: Scored
15 / 30
26 / 30
Clean sheets
4 / 30
15 / 30
AVL
3
D
9
MNU
18
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Man Utd
A Villa3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Man Utd
0 - 3Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Man Utd
2 - 3Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4Man Utd
0 - 3Man Utd
0 - 2Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
0 - 2Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Man Utd
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 1
1 - 2Man Utd
1 - 2Man Utd
A Villa1 - 0
League games at Man Utd since 1993
Man Utd
A Villa
Goals: Scored
61
18
Games: Scored
26 / 30
15 / 30
Clean sheets
15 / 30
4 / 30
AVL
2
D
5
MNU
23
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd3 - 2
Man Utd1 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
Man Utd2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd4 - 1
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd4 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
0 - 1A Villa
Man Utd3 - 2
Man Utd4 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.7 against Manchester United on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A Villa 3rd Man Utd 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Man Utd will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Man Utd have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
AVL
MNU
9%
better
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score5
3
Scored first6
10
Goals scored25
26
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
15
Avg. XG for1.2
2
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
21%
better
AVL
MNU
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets5
1
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded17
22
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against12%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+21%

A Villa v Man Utd Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16534
M CashM RogersM RogersM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Cash DEF1631
4
-
M Rogers MID1653
2
-
J McGinn MID1612
3
-
O Watkins FWD163
-
D Malen FWD1641
-
L Digne DEF153
2
-
E Konsa DEF15
1
E Buendía MID1442
2
-
B Kamara MID1413
4
-
E Martínez GLK12
1
-
P Torres DEF12
-
I Maatsen DEF11
1
-
A Onana MID112
2
-
L Bogarde MID11
1
-
E Guessand FWD111
-
Y Tielemans MID102
-
T Mings DEF7
-
R Barkley MID71
-
J Sancho FWD7
-
V Lindelöf DEF51
-
M Bizot GLK4
2
-
H Elliot MID3
-
Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16677
L ShawB MbeumoB FernandesCasemiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Yoro DEF16
-
L Shaw DEF161
2
-
B Fernandes MID1657
2
-
B Mbeumo FWD1661
3
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF151
4
-
Casemiro MID1541
6
1
A Diallo FWD1522
1
-
D Dalot DEF1412
1
-
M Ligt DEF131
-
M Mount  MID133
-
M Cunha FWD1321
-
B Sesko FWD1221
1
-
K Mainoo MID11
-
S Lammens GLK10
-
M Ugarte MID10
-
N Mazraoui  DEF9
1
-
J Zirkzee FWD91
1
-
H Maguire DEF811
-
A Bayındır GLK6
-
A. Heaven DEF51
1
-
L Martínez  DEF4
-