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Bournemouth v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 20th Dec, 15:00 BST, Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

the Vitality Stadium masses welcome Burnley's fans on Saturday afternoon, as Andoni Iraola Sagarna's Bournemouth take on Scott Parker's charges in the English Premier League. The predictions shown are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 major betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Bournemouth to win

After looking at the bookies' odds and collated statistics regarding both sides ahead of this Premier League game, a bet on win / draw / win for Bournemouth to win in front of their own fans is our recommendation. We predict they'll have too much for Burnley, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. It may not all be plain sailing, but Bournemouth to win is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bournemouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bournemouth
63%
9/20
4%
10/21
3%
Draw
20%
16/5
3%
17/5
Burnley
16%
6/1
13%
11/2
13%
Bournemouth 2-0
10%
7/1
7%
6/1
Bournemouth 1-0
10%
7/16/1
Bournemouth 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
10%
8/17/1
Bournemouth 3-0
7%
10/1
10%
17/2
Bournemouth 3-1
7%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/111/1
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
Burnley 1-0
5%
20/1
9%
14/1
Burnley 2-1
5%
22/1
12%
16/1
11%
Bournemouth 4-0
4%
20/1
11%
14/1
Bournemouth 4-1
4%
22/116/1
Bournemouth 3-2
3%
28/118/1
Burnley 2-0
2%
40/125/1
10%
Bournemouth 4-2
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
8/114/6
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
11/1011/10
2%
Home 1st Goal
57%
2/52/5
3%
Away 1st Goal
40%
2/1
6%
9/4
7%
No 1st Goal
3%
12/110/1
10%
BTTS - Yes
54%
10/11
2%
17/20
3%
BTTS - No
46%
10/11
6%
17/20
1%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
11/521/10
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/2
8%
9/2
BTTS - Away Win
9%
11/1
20%
9/1
9%
Home/draw
84%
1/10
2%
1/9
2%
Away/draw
37%
13/8
4%
8/5
5%
Home/away
80%
2/9
2%
1/5
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/329/10
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/413/8
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/94/9
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/119/5
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/61/6
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/18/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/161/20
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
10%
Home DNB
77%
1/7
1%
2/13
3%
Away DNB
31%
9/2
8%
19/5
9%
Bournemouth win to nil
34%
6/4
11%
-
Burnley win to nil
8%
12/1-
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
38%
6/5
5%
23/20
Bournemouth / Burnley
2%
40/1
20%
33/1
Bournemouth / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Bournemouth
19%
10/316/5
5%
Draw / Burnley
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Draw / Draw
13%
6/15/1
Burnley / Bournemouth
4%
20/116/1
Burnley / Burnley
8%
11/1
8%
8/1
18%
Burnley / Draw
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Bournemouth have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Premier League league table. Bournemouth are unbeaten in 5 games against teams below them in the league and kept 2 clean sheets out of 5 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 2 and lost no matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Bournemouth have outscored their opponents by 25 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Bournemouth have played 8 games at home winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Burnley are in 19th position in the Premier League on 10 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Burnley have conceded 31 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bournemouth
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1611322036 
Jan 3
Apr 11
l
 
0-2A
May 17
2
Man City1611142234 
May 17
l
 
3-1A
Apr 25
l
 
5-1A
3
A Villa161033833 
Feb 7
l
 
4-0A
May 9
l
 
2-1A
4
Chelsea168441228 
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 30
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
5
C Palace16754526 
May 2
d
 
3-3F
l
 
0-1A
Feb 11
6
Man Utd16754426 
Mar 21
d
 
4-4A
Jan 7
l
 
3-2A
7
Liverpool16826226 
Jan 24
l
 
4-2A
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
8
Sunderland16754226 
Feb 28
l
 
3-2F
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
9
Everton16736-124 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 11
Dec 27
Mar 4
10
Brighton16655223 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 19
Apr 11
Jan 3
11
Spurs16646422 
Jan 7
w
 
0-1F
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
12
Newcastle16646122 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
Dec 30
l
 
2-1A
13
Bournemouth16565-321 
-
-
Mar 14
Dec 20
14
Fulham16628-320 
w
 
3-1A
May 9
l
 
2-3A
Mar 21
15
Brentford16628-320 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Feb 28
l
 
3-1A
16
Nottm Forest16538-818 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
17
Leeds16448-1016 
Apr 25
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 2
18
West Ham16349-1313 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 21
Feb 7
l
 
3-2F
19
Burnley163112-1510 
Dec 20
Mar 14
-
-
20
Wolves160214-262 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
May 24
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
3
Burnley have lost 3 consecutive away league games
Bournemouth 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bournemouth0 - 0Chelsea
Bournemouth0 - 1Everton
Bournemouth2 - 2West Ham
Bournemouth2 - 0Nottm Forest
Bournemouth3 - 1Fulham
Bournemouth0 - 0Newcastle
Bournemouth2 - 1Brighton
Bournemouth1 - 0Wolves
Bournemouth2 - 0Leicester
Bournemouth0 - 1A Villa
Bournemouth1 - 1Man Utd
Bournemouth1 - 0Fulham
Bournemouth1 - 2Ipswich
Bournemouth1 - 2Brentford
Bournemouth0 - 1Wolves
Bournemouth0 - 2Liverpool
Bournemouth5 - 0Nottm Forest
Bournemouth1 - 0Everton
Bournemouth0 - 0C Palace
Bournemouth1 - 1West Ham
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBournemouth0 - 0Chelsea
HBournemouth0 - 1Everton
ABournemouth2 - 3Sunderland
HBournemouth2 - 2West Ham
ABournemouth0 - 4A Villa
ABournemouth1 - 3Man City
HBournemouth2 - 0Nottm Forest
ABournemouth3 - 3C Palace
HBournemouth3 - 1Fulham
ABournemouth2 - 2Leeds
HBournemouth0 - 0Newcastle
HBournemouth2 - 1Brighton
ABournemouth1 - 0Spurs
HBournemouth1 - 0Wolves
ABournemouth2 - 4Liverpool
HBournemouth2 - 0Leicester
ABournemouth1 - 3Man City
HBournemouth0 - 1A Villa
ABournemouth2 - 1Arsenal
HBournemouth1 - 1Man Utd
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Brentford3 - 1Burnley
West Ham3 - 2Burnley
Wolves2 - 3Burnley
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Spurs3 - 0Burnley
QPR0 - 5Burnley
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Coventry1 - 2Burnley
Swansea0 - 2Burnley
Cardiff1 - 2Burnley
Preston0 - 0Burnley
Portsmouth0 - 0Burnley
Plymouth0 - 5Burnley
Blackburn0 - 1Burnley
M'Boro0 - 0Burnley
Sheff Utd0 - 2Burnley
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
1
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley2 - 3Fulham
ABurnley1 - 2Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 1C Palace
ABurnley1 - 3Brentford
HBurnley0 - 2Chelsea
ABurnley2 - 3West Ham
HBurnley0 - 2Arsenal
ABurnley3 - 2Wolves
HBurnley2 - 0Leeds
ABurnley1 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 5Man City
HBurnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 1Liverpool
ABurnley2 - 3Man Utd
HBurnley2 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley0 - 3Spurs
HBurnley3 - 1Millwall
ABurnley5 - 0QPR
HBurnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
ABurnley2 - 1Watford
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bournemouth since 2014
Bournemouth
Burnley
Goals: Scored
7
9
Games: Scored
5 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
1 / 6
BOU
2
D
1
BRN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bournemouth
Bournemouth2 - 1
0 - 1Burnley
1 - 3Burnley
1 - 2Burnley
Bournemouth2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Burnley since 2013
Burnley
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
12
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
BOU
2
D
1
BRN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
0 - 2Bournemouth
Burnley3 - 0
Burnley4 - 0
1 - 2Bournemouth
Burnley3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Bournemouth 15th Burnley 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that Bournemouth will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Burnley scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
Bournemouth have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
+36
Burnley have scored 36% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Bournemouth
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
2.1
1
Attack rating
10%
better
BOU
BRN
view stats
Games scored11
11
Failed to score4
5
Scored first7
4
Goals scored21
18
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
19
Avg. XG for1.5
0.9
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
24%
better
BOU
BRN
view stats
Games conceded10
14
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first6
12
Goals conceded24
33
Avg. goals conceded1.6
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
18%
Avg. XG against1.3
2.3
KickOff rating
+24%

Bournemouth v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15635
Đorđe PetrovićA SemenyoM SenesiM Senesi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Đorđe Petrović GLK15
1
-
A Truffert DEF151
3
-
A Scott MID151
1
-
M Tavernier MID1531
1
-
M Senesi DEF143
5
-
T Adams MID1421
5
-
A Semenyo FWD1463
3
-
J Kluivert MID131
3
-
D Brooks  FWD131
5
-
Evanilson  FWD131
1
-
B Diakité DEF12
1
-
A Adli FWD121
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF11
4
-
E Kroupi FWD114
1
-
R Christie MID101
1
-
J Hill DEF8
1
-
A Smith DEF7
-
L Cook MID7
1
V. Milosavljević DEF5
-
E Ünal  FWD51
1
-
B Doak FWD41
-
J Soler DEF2
-
Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16545
M DúbravkaZ FlemmingQ HartmanK Walker
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK16
-
M Estève DEF16
-
J Cullen MID1622
2
-
J Anthony FWD1641
3
-
K Walker DEF151
5
-
Q Hartman DEF154
1
-
L Ugochukwu MID153
1
1
J Larsen  FWD141
-
H Mejbri MID131
3
-
J Laurent MID13
2
-
Florentino MID131
1
-
L Tchaouna FWD131
1
-
L Foster FWD1321
1
-
Z Flemming FWD1351
2
-
H Ekdal DEF10
-
A Broja  FWD10
-
A Tuanzebe  DEF8
1
-
M Edwards FWD6
-
J Worrall DEF5
-
O Sonne DEF41
-
L Pires DEF2
1
B Humphreys DEF1
-
M Trésor MID1
-
A Barnes FWD1
-