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Brentford v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Feb, 15:00 BST, Brentford Community Stadium, Brendtford

Brentford and Brighton and Hove Albion go head to head at the Brentford Community Stadium on Saturday afternoon, with both Keith Andrews and Fabian Hürzeler seeking a win in the English Premier League. All of the key statistics for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across seventeen major markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all designed to help you make a smart bet.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Brentford and Brighton will score at least 2 between them during 90 mins. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 77%. Bookmakers have it at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brentford are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brentford
51%
1/1
5%
1/1
9%
Draw
25%
5/2
3%
13/5
6%
Brighton
25%
12/5
3%
13/5
9%
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
7%
11/2
Brentford 1-0
11%
17/2
6%
7/1
7%
Brentford 2-1
10%
17/2
5%
7/1
6%
Brentford 2-0
9%
11/117/2
5%
Brighton 1-0
7%
12/1
18%
10/1
10%
Draw 0-0
7%
11/1
9%
10/1
16%
Brighton 2-1
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
Brentford 3-1
5%
16/1
19%
12/1
13%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Brentford 3-0
5%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
Brighton 2-0
4%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
Brentford 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Brighton 3-1
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
Brentford 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Brentford 4-0
2%
40/1
20%
25/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
4/5
6%
3/4
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
1/1
5%
1/1
8%
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/11
4%
7/10
6%
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/5
5%
11/8
6%
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/6
2%
4/6
3%
BTTS - No
47%
11/10
2%
11/10
5%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/1
11%
27/10
12%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
10/3
3%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
5/15/1
4%
Home/draw
75%
3/10
4%
2/7
3%
Away/draw
49%
4/5
11%
4/5
9%
Home/away
75%
2/7
1%
2/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3/1
7%
11/4
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2/1
12%
9/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
2/5
5%
2/5
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
9/2
8%
17/4
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/7
1%
1/7
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/1
15%
9/1
17%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/19/1
11%
Home DNB
68%
1/2
7%
4/9
7%
Away DNB
42%
6/4
14%
8/5
13%
Brentford win to nil
28%
11/4
6%
-
Brighton win to nil
13%
11/2
18%
-
Brentford / Brentford
26%
12/5
9%
2/1
9%
Brentford / Brighton
3%
28/122/1
Brentford / Draw
6%
14/111/1
9%
Draw / Brentford
16%
9/2
8%
4/1
9%
Draw / Brighton
11%
7/1
7%
13/2
Draw / Draw
15%
5/1
9%
17/4
9%
Brighton / Brentford
4%
22/1
12%
16/1
11%
Brighton / Brighton
14%
5/1
20%
9/2
10%
Brighton / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brentford have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 2 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Brentford have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

Brentford have played 13 games at home winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Brighton are in 14th position in the Premier League on 31 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Brighton have conceded 28 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brentford
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2617633257 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
Mar 4
l
 
2-1A
2
Man City2616553053 
l
 
0-1A
May 9
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
3
A Villa2615561050 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
3-4F
l
 
1-0A
4
Man Utd2612951045 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 25
May 24
l
 
4-2A
5
Chelsea2612861744 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
Apr 25
w
 
1-3A
6
Liverpool261268642 
w
 
3-2F
May 24
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
7
Brentford2612410540 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Feb 21
8
Everton261079-137 
Apr 11
w
 
2-4F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
9
Bournemouth269107-237 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 3
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
10
Newcastle2610610036 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-1F
May 2
11
Sunderland26998-336 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
12
Fulham2610412-534 
Apr 18
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
13
C Palace268810-432 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
14
Brighton267109031 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1F
-
-
15
Leeds267910-930 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 21
w
 
3-0F
May 17
16
Spurs267811-129 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
17
Nottm Forest267613-1327 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
Mar 1
w
 
0-2F
18
West Ham266614-1724 
May 2
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
19
Burnley264616-2318 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
20
Wolves261619-329 
Mar 16
w
 
0-2F
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
6
Brighton have not won in 6 consecutive league games
Brentford 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford1 - 1Arsenal
Brentford0 - 2Nottm Forest
Brentford3 - 0Sunderland
Brentford0 - 0Spurs
Brentford4 - 1Bournemouth
Brentford1 - 1Leeds
Brentford3 - 1Burnley
Brentford3 - 1Newcastle
Brentford3 - 2Liverpool
Brentford0 - 1Man City
Brentford3 - 1Man Utd
Brentford2 - 2Chelsea
Brentford1 - 0A Villa
Brentford2 - 3Fulham
Brentford4 - 3Man Utd
Brentford4 - 2Brighton
Brentford0 - 0Chelsea
Brentford0 - 1A Villa
Brentford1 - 1Everton
Brentford0 - 2Spurs
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrentford1 - 1Arsenal
ABrentford3 - 2Newcastle
ABrentford1 - 0A Villa
HBrentford0 - 2Nottm Forest
ABrentford0 - 2Chelsea
HBrentford3 - 0Sunderland
ABrentford4 - 2Everton
HBrentford0 - 0Spurs
HBrentford4 - 1Bournemouth
ABrentford2 - 0Wolves
HBrentford1 - 1Leeds
ABrentford0 - 2Spurs
ABrentford0 - 2Arsenal
HBrentford3 - 1Burnley
ABrentford1 - 2Brighton
HBrentford3 - 1Newcastle
ABrentford0 - 2C Palace
HBrentford3 - 2Liverpool
ABrentford2 - 0West Ham
HBrentford0 - 1Man City
Brighton 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa1 - 0Brighton
Fulham2 - 1Brighton
Man City1 - 1Brighton
West Ham2 - 2Brighton
Arsenal2 - 1Brighton
Liverpool2 - 0Brighton
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brighton
C Palace0 - 0Brighton
Man Utd4 - 2Brighton
Wolves1 - 1Brighton
Chelsea1 - 3Brighton
Bournemouth2 - 1Brighton
Everton2 - 0Brighton
Spurs1 - 4Brighton
Wolves0 - 2Brighton
Brentford4 - 2Brighton
C Palace2 - 1Brighton
Man City2 - 2Brighton
Southampton0 - 4Brighton
Nottm Forest7 - 0Brighton
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrighton0 - 1A Villa
HBrighton0 - 1C Palace
HBrighton1 - 1Everton
ABrighton1 - 2Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton1 - 1Man City
HBrighton2 - 0Burnley
ABrighton2 - 2West Ham
ABrighton1 - 2Arsenal
HBrighton0 - 0Sunderland
ABrighton0 - 2Liverpool
HBrighton1 - 1West Ham
HBrighton3 - 4A Villa
ABrighton2 - 0Nottm Forest
HBrighton2 - 1Brentford
ABrighton0 - 0C Palace
HBrighton3 - 0Leeds
ABrighton2 - 4Man Utd
HBrighton2 - 1Newcastle
ABrighton1 - 1Wolves
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Brentford since 2007
Brentford
Brighton
Goals: Scored
13
9
Games: Scored
5 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
5 / 10
BRE
4
D
4
BHA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brentford
Brentford4 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Brentford2 - 0
0 - 1Brighton
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Brentford3 - 2
0 - 1Brighton
Draw0 - 0Draw
Brentford1 - 0
League games at Brighton since 2006
Brighton
Brentford
Goals: Scored
18
10
Games: Scored
8 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
3 / 11
BRE
2
D
3
BHA
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Brighton2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Brighton2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
Brighton2 - 0
0 - 2Brentford
Brighton3 - 0
0 - 1Brentford
Brighton1 - 0
Brighton3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Brentford's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Brighton and Hove Albion have conceded in each of their last 6 English Premier League games. A PG of 1.6 for K. Andrews's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been an issue for Brighton and Hove Albion of late. It has been 6 English Premier League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Brentford.

Brentford 7th Brighton 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Brentford will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Brentford’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Brighton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Brentford
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
12%
better
BRE
BHA
view stats
Games scored19
20
Failed to score7
6
Scored first15
9
Goals scored40
34
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
14
Avg. XG for1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
4%
better
BRE
BHA
view stats
Games conceded20
21
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first10
15
Goals conceded35
34
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+4%

Brentford v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brentford Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261747
C KelleherI ThiagoV JaneltK Schade
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Kelleher GLK26
1
-
M Kayode DEF26
6
-
Y Yarmoliuk MID2612
5
-
I Thiago FWD26171
5
-
N Collins DEF2412
4
-
M Jensen MID2421
2
-
J Henderson MID2413
4
-
K Lewis-Potter FWD2431
1
-
K Schade FWD2363
6
1
R Henry DEF22
2
-
M Damsgaard MID2213
-
S Berg DEF211
1
-
V Janelt MID2114
7
-
K Ajer DEF201
2
-
D Ouattara FWD2051
4
-
A Hickey DEF17
1
-
F Carvalho MID61
-
R Nelson FWD6
-
E Pinnock DEF3
1
-
R Donovan MID2
-
A Milambo MID1
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26848
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK26
3
-
F Kadioglu DEF25
4
-
L Dunk DEF25
8
-
D Welbeck FWD258
4
-
J Hecke DEF2432
7
-
Y Minteh FWD2414
-
D Amarilla MID233
6
-
G Rutter FWD2323
2
-
M Cuyper DEF212
2
-
C Quomah MID21
5
-
Y Ayari MID2132
-
M Wieffer MID163
4
-
C. Kostoulas FWD1621
2
-
K Mitoma FWD1621
2
-
J Milner  MID1511
2
-
J Hinshelwood MID1511
-
J Veltman DEF141
4
-
S Tzimas FWD911
-
O Boscagli DEF71
1
-
P Groß MID71
2
-
M O'Riley MID31
-