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Brighton and Hove Albion v Sunderland : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 20th Dec, 15:00 BST, Amex Stadium, Falmer

Saturday afternoon sees Fabian Hürzeler’s Brighton and Hove Albion and Régis Le Bris’s Sunderland go up against one another in a English Premier League clash at the Amex Stadium. Analysing both sides' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Brighton or Sunderland are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 74% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brighton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
56%
8/13
3%
8/13
5%
Draw
24%
11/4
4%
3/1
8%
Sunderland
21%
9/2
5%
4/1
Brighton 1-0
12%
15/2
13%
6/1
8%
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
Brighton 2-0
10%
8/1
6%
7/1
Brighton 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
7%
11/1
20%
10/1
22%
Sunderland 1-0
7%
18/1
27%
12/1
8%
Brighton 3-0
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Brighton 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Sunderland 2-1
5%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/114/1
Sunderland 2-0
3%
33/1
17%
20/1
Brighton 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Brighton 4-0
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Brighton 4-1
2%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Sunderland 3-1
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
4/5
6%
3/4
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1/1
5%
1/1
8%
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2
2%
1/2
2%
Away 1st Goal
41%
13/8
4%
19/10
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1
20%
9/1
18%
BTTS - Yes
50%
3/4
3%
4/5
3%
BTTS - No
50%
1/1
3%
10/11
3%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
12/5
6%
23/10
6%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/44/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
17/2
5%
7/1
6%
Home/draw
79%
1/7
3%
1/6
Away/draw
44%
5/4
5%
5/4
7%
Home/away
76%
1/4
3%
2/9
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3/1
7%
27/10
12%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
2/1
12%
9/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/5
5%
2/5
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/2
8%
4/1
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/7
1%
1/7
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/1
15%
9/1
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/25
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
10%
9/1
18%
Home DNB
72%
2/9
2%
1/4
Away DNB
37%
3/1
7%
27/10
3%
Brighton win to nil
32%
7/4-
Sunderland win to nil
11%
9/1
11%
-
Brighton / Brighton
33%
6/4
5%
29/20
6%
Brighton / Sunderland
2%
40/128/1
Brighton / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Brighton
18%
15/410/3
3%
Draw / Sunderland
8%
11/1
9%
17/2
Draw / Draw
14%
11/2
8%
9/2
10%
Sunderland / Brighton
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Sunderland / Sunderland
10%
8/113/2
6%
Sunderland / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 16 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Brighton have conceded 14 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Brighton have played 8 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

Sunderland lay in 8th place on 26 points in the Premier League league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Sunderland have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Sunderland have played 8 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
Sunderland
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1611322036 
Mar 4
Dec 27
d
 
2-2F
Feb 7
2
Man City1611142234 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 7
Jan 1
l
 
3-0A
3
A Villa161033833 
l
 
3-4F
Feb 11
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
4
Chelsea168441228 
Apr 25
w
 
1-3A
May 24
w
 
1-2A
5
C Palace16754526 
Feb 7
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
6
Man Utd16754426 
May 24
l
 
4-2A
May 9
l
 
2-0A
7
Liverpool16826226 
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
Feb 11
d
 
1-1F
8
Sunderland16754226 
Dec 20
Mar 14
-
-
9
Everton16736-124 
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 17
10
Brighton16655223 
-
-
Mar 14
Dec 20
11
Spurs16646422 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
Apr 11
Jan 4
12
Newcastle16646122 
w
 
2-1F
May 2
w
 
1-0F
Mar 21
13
Bournemouth16565-321 
Jan 19
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2A
Feb 28
14
Fulham16628-320 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 24
Feb 21
l
 
1-0A
15
Brentford16628-320 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 21
w
 
2-1A
Jan 7
16
Nottm Forest16538-818 
Feb 28
w
 
0-2F
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
17
Leeds16448-1016 
w
 
3-0F
May 17
Dec 28
Mar 4
18
West Ham16349-1313 
d
 
1-1A
Dec 30
w
 
3-0F
Jan 24
19
Burnley163112-1510 
Jan 3
Apr 11
Feb 2
l
 
2-0A
20
Wolves160214-262 
May 9
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 2
Win / draw / win form
Brighton 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton1 - 1West Ham
Brighton3 - 4A Villa
Brighton2 - 1Brentford
Brighton3 - 0Leeds
Brighton2 - 1Newcastle
Brighton2 - 2Spurs
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Brighton1 - 1Fulham
Brighton3 - 2Liverpool
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
Brighton3 - 2West Ham
Brighton2 - 2Leicester
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Brighton2 - 1Fulham
Brighton2 - 1Bournemouth
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Brighton0 - 1Everton
Brighton1 - 1Arsenal
Brighton0 - 0Brentford
Brighton1 - 3C Palace
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrighton0 - 2Liverpool
HBrighton1 - 1West Ham
HBrighton3 - 4A Villa
ABrighton2 - 0Nottm Forest
HBrighton2 - 1Brentford
ABrighton0 - 0C Palace
HBrighton3 - 0Leeds
ABrighton2 - 4Man Utd
HBrighton2 - 1Newcastle
ABrighton1 - 1Wolves
ABrighton3 - 1Chelsea
HBrighton2 - 2Spurs
ABrighton1 - 2Bournemouth
HBrighton2 - 1Man City
ABrighton0 - 2Everton
HBrighton1 - 1Fulham
ABrighton4 - 1Spurs
HBrighton3 - 2Liverpool
ABrighton2 - 0Wolves
HBrighton1 - 1Newcastle
Sunderland 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City3 - 0Sunderland
Liverpool1 - 1Sunderland
Fulham1 - 0Sunderland
Chelsea1 - 2Sunderland
Man Utd2 - 0Sunderland
Nottm Forest0 - 1Sunderland
C Palace0 - 0Sunderland
Burnley2 - 0Sunderland
Sheff Utd1 - 2Sunderland
Coventry1 - 2Sunderland
Oxford Utd2 - 0Sunderland
Bristol C2 - 1Sunderland
Norwich0 - 0Sunderland
West Brom0 - 1Sunderland
Coventry3 - 0Sunderland
Sheff Wed1 - 2Sunderland
Leeds2 - 1Sunderland
M'Boro2 - 3Sunderland
Derby0 - 1Sunderland
Burnley0 - 0Sunderland
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSunderland1 - 0Newcastle
ASunderland0 - 3Man City
ASunderland1 - 1Liverpool
HSunderland3 - 2Bournemouth
ASunderland0 - 1Fulham
HSunderland2 - 2Arsenal
HSunderland1 - 1Everton
ASunderland2 - 1Chelsea
HSunderland2 - 0Wolves
ASunderland0 - 2Man Utd
ASunderland1 - 0Nottm Forest
HSunderland1 - 1A Villa
ASunderland0 - 0C Palace
HSunderland2 - 1Brentford
ASunderland0 - 2Burnley
HSunderland3 - 0West Ham
ASunderland2 - 1Sheff Utd
HSunderland0 - 1Coventry
ASunderland2 - 1Coventry
HSunderland0 - 1QPR
Goal Statistics

Brighton and Hove Albion's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Sunderland have conceded in each of their last 7 English Premier League outings. A PG of 1.7 for F. Hürzeler's side suggests that run should continue.

Brighton 10th Sunderland 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Sunderland scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Sunderland have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Sunderland
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
20%
better
BHA
SUN
view stats
Games scored13
10
Failed to score3
5
Scored first6
5
Goals scored25
18
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
18
Avg. XG for1.5
1
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
BHA
SUN
19%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first9
9
Goals conceded23
17
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against16%
10%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+19%

Brighton v Sunderland Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16745
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK16
2
-
J Hecke DEF1631
3
-
L Dunk DEF16
5
-
C Quomah MID16
4
-
Y Minteh FWD1614
-
D Welbeck FWD167
2
-
F Kadioglu DEF15
4
-
D Amarilla MID152
5
-
Y Ayari MID141
-
M Wieffer MID143
4
-
G Rutter FWD1413
2
-
M Cuyper DEF132
1
-
B Gruda FWD1211
1
-
S Tzimas FWD911
-
J Veltman DEF8
3
-
J Milner  MID811
1
-
J Hinshelwood MID811
-
C. Kostoulas FWD71
-
K Mitoma FWD711
1
-
D Coppola DEF3
-
O Boscagli DEF2
1
-
T Watson FWD2
-
Sunderland Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16445
R RoefsW IsidorG XhakaR Mandava
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Roefs GLK16
2
-
T Hume DEF161
3
-
G Xhaka MID1614
4
-
N Sadiki MID16
4
-
C Talbi FWD1621
-
W Isidor FWD164
1
-
E Fée MID1523
3
-
N Mukiele DEF1411
3
-
D Ballard DEF1421
1
-
L Geertruida DEF12
-
O Alderete DEF1211
2
-
R Mandava DEF12
4
1
B Brobbey FWD1121
1
-
B Traoré FWD101
1
-
S Adingra FWD91
1
-
E Mayenda FWD81
-
C Rigg MID6
-
H Diarra MID4
1
-
A Masuaku DEF3
1
-
R Mundle FWD3
1
-
L O'Nien DEF2
1
D Neil MID2
-