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Burnley v Everton : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Dec, 15:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

David Moyes will be hoping for a crucial away win in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Everton side to the Turf Moor to visit Burnley and Scott Parker. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Burnley and Everton both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Everton coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
31%
16/5
3%
29/10
Draw
29%
12/5
3%
13/5
Everton
41%
19/20
5%
10/11
Draw 1-1
13%
6/16/1
Everton 1-0
13%
6/111/2
Burnley 1-0
11%
10/1
8%
17/2
Draw 0-0
11%
7/1
6%
8/1
Everton 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
7/1
Everton 2-0
8%
17/2
6%
7/1
Burnley 2-1
7%
16/111/1
Burnley 2-0
6%
22/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
Everton 3-1
3%
18/114/1
Everton 3-0
3%
18/1
12%
12/1
Burnley 3-1
2%
40/125/1
Burnley 3-0
2%
50/133/1
Everton 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Burnley 3-2
1%
50/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
6/5
5%
21/20
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
4/6
3%
8/11
Home 1st Goal
44%
6/4
4%
6/4
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/64/6
No 1st Goal
7%
7/1
6%
15/2
BTTS - Yes
45%
19/2010/11
BTTS - No
55%
4/54/5
BTTS - Home Win
12%
8/16/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/419/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
7/2
4%
3/1
Home/draw
59%
4/5
6%
17/20
Away/draw
69%
2/9
2%
1/4
Home/away
71%
1/32/7
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
2/5
3%
7/20
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
2/1
6%
2/1
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
3/113/5
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/121/12
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/401/66
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/12
1%
1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
7/1
6%
15/2
Home DNB
51%
2/1
8%
7/4
Away DNB
61%
4/11
2%
2/5
Burnley win to nil
19%
11/2
7%
-
Everton win to nil
26%
2/1-
Burnley / Burnley
13%
6/1
7%
19/4
Burnley / Everton
3%
28/1
12%
18/1
Burnley / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Draw / Burnley
10%
8/17/1
Draw / Everton
17%
4/119/5
Draw / Draw
17%
4/119/5
Everton / Burnley
2%
40/128/1
Everton / Everton
27%
11/5
3%
15/8
Everton / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Burnley have played 16 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Burnley have conceded 31 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burnley have played 8 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Everton lay in 9th place on 24 points in the Premier League league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Everton have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Everton have played 8 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
Everton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1611322036 
l
 
0-2A
May 17
Dec 20
Mar 14
2
Man City1611142234 
Apr 25
l
 
5-1A
May 2
l
 
2-0A
3
A Villa161033833 
May 9
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 18
4
Chelsea168441228 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
5
C Palace16754526 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 11
w
 
2-1A
May 9
6
Man Utd16754426 
Jan 7
l
 
3-2A
Feb 21
w
 
0-1F
7
Liverpool16826226 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
8
Sunderland16754226 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
May 17
d
 
1-1F
9
Everton16736-124 
Dec 27
Mar 4
-
-
10
Brighton16655223 
Apr 11
Jan 3
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
11
Spurs16646422 
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-3A
May 24
12
Newcastle16646122 
Dec 30
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-4A
Feb 28
13
Bournemouth16565-321 
Mar 14
Dec 20
Feb 11
w
 
0-1F
14
Fulham16628-320 
l
 
2-3A
Mar 21
w
 
2-0F
Feb 7
15
Brentford16628-320 
Feb 28
l
 
3-1A
Jan 4
Apr 11
16
Nottm Forest16538-818 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
w
 
3-0F
Dec 30
17
Leeds16448-1016 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
Jan 26
l
 
1-0A
18
West Ham16349-1313 
Feb 7
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
19
Burnley163112-1510 
-
-
Mar 4
Dec 27
20
Wolves160214-262 
May 24
w
 
2-3F
Jan 7
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley2 - 3Fulham
Burnley0 - 1C Palace
Burnley0 - 2Chelsea
Burnley0 - 2Arsenal
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Burnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
Burnley0 - 1Liverpool
Burnley2 - 0Sunderland
Burnley3 - 1Millwall
Burnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
Burnley2 - 1Norwich
Burnley1 - 0Bristol C
Burnley1 - 1West Brom
Burnley4 - 0Luton
Burnley4 - 0Sheff Wed
Burnley2 - 0Hull
Burnley1 - 0Oxford Utd
Burnley0 - 0Leeds
Burnley0 - 0Sunderland
Burnley0 - 0Stoke
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
1
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley2 - 3Fulham
ABurnley1 - 2Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 1C Palace
ABurnley1 - 3Brentford
HBurnley0 - 2Chelsea
ABurnley2 - 3West Ham
HBurnley0 - 2Arsenal
ABurnley3 - 2Wolves
HBurnley2 - 0Leeds
ABurnley1 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 5Man City
HBurnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 1Liverpool
ABurnley2 - 3Man Utd
HBurnley2 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley0 - 3Spurs
HBurnley3 - 1Millwall
ABurnley5 - 0QPR
HBurnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
ABurnley2 - 1Watford
Everton 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea2 - 0Everton
Bournemouth0 - 1Everton
Man Utd0 - 1Everton
Sunderland1 - 1Everton
Man City2 - 0Everton
Liverpool2 - 1Everton
Wolves2 - 3Everton
Leeds1 - 0Everton
Newcastle0 - 1Everton
Fulham1 - 3Everton
Chelsea1 - 0Everton
Nottm Forest0 - 1Everton
Liverpool1 - 0Everton
Wolves1 - 1Everton
Brentford1 - 1Everton
C Palace1 - 2Everton
Brighton0 - 1Everton
Bournemouth1 - 0Everton
Man City1 - 1Everton
Arsenal0 - 0Everton
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEverton0 - 2Chelsea
HEverton3 - 0Nottm Forest
AEverton1 - 0Bournemouth
HEverton1 - 4Newcastle
AEverton1 - 0Man Utd
HEverton2 - 0Fulham
AEverton1 - 1Sunderland
HEverton0 - 3Spurs
AEverton0 - 2Man City
HEverton2 - 1C Palace
HEverton1 - 1West Ham
AEverton1 - 2Liverpool
HEverton0 - 0A Villa
AEverton3 - 2Wolves
HEverton2 - 0Brighton
AEverton0 - 1Leeds
AEverton1 - 0Newcastle
HEverton2 - 0Southampton
AEverton3 - 1Fulham
HEverton2 - 2Ipswich
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burnley since 2009
Burnley
Everton
Goals: Scored
12
15
Games: Scored
8 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
1 / 9
BRN
5
D
1
EVE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
0 - 2Everton
Burnley3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Burnley1 - 0
1 - 5Everton
Burnley2 - 1
Burnley2 - 1
1 - 3Everton
Burnley1 - 0
League games at Everton since 2009
Everton
Burnley
Goals: Scored
14
5
Games: Scored
8 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
1 / 9
BRN
2
EVE
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Everton
Everton1 - 0
Everton3 - 1
1 - 2Burnley
Everton1 - 0
Everton2 - 0
0 - 1Burnley
Everton3 - 1
Everton1 - 0
Everton2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Burnley 19th Everton 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Everton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Burnley have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-7
Everton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Everton
1
1.2
Attack rating
BRN
EVE
4%
better
view stats
Games scored11
11
Failed to score5
5
Scored first4
8
Goals scored18
18
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game6
7
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
16
Avg. XG for0.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
BRN
EVE
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
10
Clean sheets2
6
Conceded first12
7
Goals conceded33
19
Avg. goals conceded2.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
14%
Avg. XG against2.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+33%

Burnley v Everton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16545
M DúbravkaZ FlemmingQ HartmanK Walker
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK16
-
M Estève DEF16
-
J Cullen MID1622
2
-
J Anthony FWD1641
3
-
K Walker DEF151
5
-
Q Hartman DEF154
1
-
L Ugochukwu MID153
1
1
J Larsen  FWD141
-
Florentino MID131
1
-
H Mejbri MID131
3
-
J Laurent MID13
2
-
L Tchaouna FWD131
1
-
L Foster FWD1321
1
-
Z Flemming FWD1351
2
-
H Ekdal DEF10
-
A Broja  FWD10
-
A Tuanzebe  DEF8
1
-
M Edwards FWD6
-
J Worrall DEF5
-
O Sonne DEF41
-
L Pires DEF2
1
B Humphreys DEF1
-
M Trésor MID1
-
A Barnes FWD1
-
Everton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16445
J PickfordI NdiayeJ GrealishK Dewsbury-Hall
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Pickford GLK16
-
J O'Brien DEF161
1
-
J Tarkowski DEF161
3
-
J Garner MID1612
4
-
T Barry FWD161
2
-
I Ndiaye FWD1642
2
-
Beto FWD161
1
-
M Keane DEF152
-
K Dewsbury-Hall MID1542
5
-
J Grealish FWD1524
3
-
V Mykolenko DEF131
3
-
C Alcaraz MID131
3
-
I Gueye MID132
1
T Iroegbunam MID121
5
-
T Obling FWD7
1
-
D McNeil FWD7
-
M Röhl MID4
-
S Coleman DEF3
-