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Chelsea v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Dec, 17:30 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Saturday evening sees Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea and Unai Emery Etxegoien’s Aston Villa go up against one another in a English Premier League clash at the Stamford Bridge. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Chelsea and A Villa will score at least two between them during 90 mins. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookies have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
46%
1.83
4%
1.91
Draw
25%
3.80
6%
3.60
A Villa
29%
3.90
4%
3.80
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
8.00
7%
7.00
Chelsea 1-0
10%
9.50
6%
8.00
Chelsea 2-1
9%
9.508.00
6%
Chelsea 2-0
8%
11.009.50
A Villa 1-0
8%
15.0011.00
A Villa 2-1
7%
15.0012.00
Draw 0-0
6%
13.0011.00
10%
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0012.00
Chelsea 3-1
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
A Villa 2-0
5%
23.0017.00
Chelsea 3-0
4%
17.00
11%
13.00
Chelsea 3-2
3%
26.0019.00
A Villa 3-1
3%
34.0023.00
A Villa 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
Chelsea 4-1
2%
29.00
15%
23.00
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
1.73
4%
1.75
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
2.10
5%
2.00
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.62
3%
1.65
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.38
3%
2.45
2%
No 1st Goal
4%
13.0010.00
5%
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.671.70
BTTS - No
45%
2.102.05
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3.50
7%
3.60
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.75
6%
4.40
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6.50
7%
6.50
Home/draw
71%
1.22
2%
1.25
Away/draw
54%
1.95
2%
1.85
Home/away
75%
1.25
3%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.22
2%
1.25
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
4.33
8%
3.70
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2.75
8%
2.80
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1.44
3%
1.40
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5.00
9%
5.00
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.17
3%
1.14
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10.00
9%
9.50
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.06
1%
1.04
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.041.04
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
13.0010.00
Home DNB
64%
1.401.40
Away DNB
46%
2.752.75
Chelsea win to nil
24%
3.50-
A Villa win to nil
15%
8.00
14%
-
Chelsea / Chelsea
28%
3.00
3%
2.90
Chelsea / A Villa
3%
34.0026.00
Chelsea / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Chelsea
17%
5.00
9%
4.80
Draw / A Villa
10%
9.008.00
Draw / Draw
14%
6.50
8%
5.25
5%
A Villa / Chelsea
4%
23.0019.00
A Villa / A Villa
13%
7.00
8%
6.00
A Villa / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Chelsea have played 16 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league. Chelsea are unbeaten in 1 games against teams above them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 1 games. Chelsea are winless in the 1 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn 1 and won zero. Chelsea have conceded 1 goal, scored 1, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Chelsea have played 8 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

A Villa lay in 3rd place on 33 points in the Premier League league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A Villa have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

A Villa have played 8 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1611322036 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 28
w
 
2-1F
Dec 30
2
Man City1611142234 
Apr 11
Jan 4
w
 
1-0F
May 24
3
A Villa161033833 
Dec 27
Mar 4
-
-
4
Chelsea168441228 
-
-
Mar 4
Dec 27
5
C Palace16754526 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
l
 
0-3A
Jan 7
6
Man Utd16754426 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
Dec 21
Mar 14
7
Liverpool16826226 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
May 17
l
 
2-0A
8
Sunderland16754226 
l
 
1-2F
May 24
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
9
Everton16736-124 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
Jan 18
d
 
0-00-0
10
Brighton16655223 
l
 
1-3F
Apr 25
Feb 11
w
 
3-4A
11
Spurs16646422 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
May 2
w
 
1-2A
12
Newcastle16646122 
Mar 14
Dec 20
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
13
Bournemouth16565-321 
Dec 30
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
Feb 7
14
Fulham16628-320 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 7
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
15
Brentford16628-320 
Jan 17
d
 
2-2A
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
16
Nottm Forest16538-818 
May 2
w
 
0-3F
Jan 3
Apr 11
17
Leeds16448-1016 
Feb 11
l
 
3-1A
Feb 21
w
 
1-2A
18
West Ham16349-1313 
Jan 31
w
 
1-5A
Mar 21
w
 
2-3A
19
Burnley163112-1510 
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
May 9
20
Wolves160214-262 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 7
w
 
1-0F
Feb 28
Win / draw / win form
Chelsea 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea2 - 0Everton
Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal
Chelsea3 - 0Wolves
Chelsea1 - 2Sunderland
Chelsea2 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 3Brighton
Chelsea2 - 0Fulham
Chelsea0 - 0C Palace
Chelsea1 - 0Man Utd
Chelsea3 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 0Everton
Chelsea2 - 2Ipswich
Chelsea1 - 0Spurs
Chelsea1 - 0Leicester
Chelsea4 - 0Southampton
Chelsea2 - 1West Ham
Chelsea3 - 1Wolves
Chelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
Chelsea1 - 2Fulham
Chelsea2 - 1Brentford
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChelsea2 - 0Everton
AChelsea0 - 0Bournemouth
AChelsea1 - 3Leeds
HChelsea1 - 1Arsenal
AChelsea2 - 0Burnley
HChelsea3 - 0Wolves
AChelsea1 - 0Spurs
HChelsea1 - 2Sunderland
AChelsea3 - 0Nottm Forest
HChelsea2 - 1Liverpool
HChelsea1 - 3Brighton
AChelsea1 - 2Man Utd
AChelsea2 - 2Brentford
HChelsea2 - 0Fulham
AChelsea5 - 1West Ham
HChelsea0 - 0C Palace
AChelsea1 - 0Nottm Forest
HChelsea1 - 0Man Utd
AChelsea0 - 2Newcastle
HChelsea3 - 1Liverpool
A Villa 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Ham2 - 3A Villa
Brighton3 - 4A Villa
Leeds1 - 2A Villa
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Spurs1 - 2A Villa
Sunderland1 - 1A Villa
Everton0 - 0A Villa
Brentford1 - 0A Villa
Man Utd2 - 0A Villa
Bournemouth0 - 1A Villa
Man City2 - 1A Villa
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Brentford0 - 1A Villa
C Palace4 - 1A Villa
Wolves2 - 0A Villa
Arsenal2 - 2A Villa
Everton0 - 1A Villa
Newcastle3 - 0A Villa
Nottm Forest2 - 1A Villa
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa3 - 2West Ham
HA Villa2 - 1Arsenal
AA Villa4 - 3Brighton
HA Villa1 - 0Wolves
AA Villa2 - 1Leeds
HA Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 0Man City
AA Villa2 - 1Spurs
HA Villa2 - 1Burnley
HA Villa3 - 1Fulham
AA Villa1 - 1Sunderland
AA Villa0 - 0Everton
HA Villa0 - 3C Palace
AA Villa0 - 1Brentford
HA Villa0 - 0Newcastle
AA Villa0 - 2Man Utd
HA Villa2 - 0Spurs
AA Villa1 - 0Bournemouth
HA Villa1 - 0Fulham
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Chelsea since 1993
Chelsea
A Villa
Goals: Scored
57
29
Games: Scored
26 / 30
18 / 30
Clean sheets
12 / 30
4 / 30
CHE
17
D
6
AVL
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Chelsea3 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
0 - 2A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea8 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Draw3 - 3Draw
Chelsea7 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
0 - 1A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2A Villa
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1A Villa
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
30
42
Games: Scored
19 / 30
22 / 30
Clean sheets
8 / 30
11 / 30
CHE
13
D
8
AVL
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Chelsea
1 - 3Chelsea
A Villa2 - 1
1 - 2Chelsea
0 - 4Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 2Chelsea
2 - 4Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa2 - 1
0 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 2
A Villa2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
A Villa3 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 3Chelsea
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 21 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Aston Villa on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Chelsea 4th A Villa 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
17%
better
CHE
AVL
view stats
Games scored14
11
Failed to score2
5
Scored first10
6
Goals scored27
25
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
20
Avg. XG for1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
20%
better
CHE
AVL
view stats
Games conceded8
11
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first4
8
Goals conceded15
17
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+20%

Chelsea v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16533
R SánchezP NetoJ Pedro M Cucurella 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK16
1
1
M Cucurella  DEF162
3
-
J Pedro  FWD1643
1
-
P Neto FWD1653
2
-
T Chalobah DEF153
2
1
R James  DEF1513
2
-
E Fernández MID1541
2
-
M Gusto DEF1422
1
1
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD1411
3
-
M Caicedo MID1231
2
1
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD122
-
A Santos MID11
2
-
A Garnacho FWD1012
-
T Adarabioyo DEF9
1
-
W Fofana DEF8
1
-
L Delap FWD8
-
M Guiu FWD71
1
-
C Palmer MID62
-
J. Acheampong DEF51
-
J Hato DEF4
2
-
B Badiashile  DEF4
2
-
R Lavia MID4
-
T. George FWD4
2
-
F Jörgensen GLK1
-
F Buonanotte MID1
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16534
M CashM RogersM RogersM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Cash DEF1631
4
-
M Rogers MID1653
2
-
J McGinn MID1612
3
-
O Watkins FWD163
-
D Malen FWD1641
-
L Digne DEF153
2
-
E Konsa DEF15
1
E Buendía MID1442
2
-
B Kamara MID1413
4
-
E Martínez GLK12
1
-
P Torres DEF12
-
I Maatsen DEF11
1
-
A Onana MID112
2
-
L Bogarde MID11
1
-
E Guessand FWD111
-
Y Tielemans MID102
-
T Mings DEF7
-
R Barkley MID71
-
J Sancho FWD7
-
V Lindelöf DEF51
-
M Bizot GLK4
2
-
H Elliot MID3
-