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Chelsea v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Feb, 15:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Burnley pay English Premier League competitors Chelsea a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Scott Parker leads his men into an away clash with Liam Rosenior & co. at the Stamford Bridge. We have predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Premier League clash.


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Best Tip: Chelsea to win

A Premier League victory in front of their own fans for Liam Rosenior's Chelsea side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Statistics suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies suggest so too, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Chelsea win is the way to go, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
63%
1.20
4%
1.25
4%
Draw
20%
6.25
14%
6.50
24%
Burnley
18%
12.00
9%
10.00
Chelsea 2-1
10%
10.008.50
Chelsea 2-0
9%
7.507.00
Draw 1-1
9%
13.00
8%
11.00
16%
Chelsea 1-0
8%
9.508.50
6%
Chelsea 3-1
7%
12.009.50
5%
Chelsea 3-0
7%
8.50
6%
8.00
6%
Draw 2-2
5%
26.00
13%
19.00
12%
Burnley 2-1
5%
34.0023.00
Burnley 1-0
4%
34.00
17%
21.00
Chelsea 4-1
4%
17.00
11%
13.00
13%
Chelsea 3-2
4%
29.0021.00
Draw 0-0
4%
21.00
24%
17.00
31%
Chelsea 4-0
4%
13.0010.00
9%
Burnley 2-0
2%
51.0034.00
Chelsea 4-2
2%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
1.44
6%
1.44
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
2.75
10%
2.62
7%
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.29
1%
1.25
3%
Away 1st Goal
42%
3.60
3%
4.20
No 1st Goal
2%
21.00
24%
17.00
31%
BTTS - Yes
59%
1.951.95
2%
BTTS - No
41%
1.801.80
BTTS - Home Win
33%
2.63
4%
2.70
2%
BTTS - Draw
16%
8.00
14%
7.00
8%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
19.00
12%
13.00
13%
Home/draw
82%
1.05
1%
1.06
1%
Away/draw
37%
4.33
15%
3.80
12%
Home/away
80%
1.13
3%
1.11
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.14
3%
1.13
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5.50
10%
5.25
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
2.10
9%
2.10
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
1.73
7%
1.67
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
3.50
13%
3.40
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1.30
4%
1.29
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6.00
14%
6.00
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1.13
3%
1.11
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.02
1%
1.01
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
19.00
12%
17.00
31%
Home DNB
76%
1.06
1%
1.07
1%
Away DNB
31%
10.00
11%
7.50
Chelsea win to nil
30%
2.00
5%
-
Burnley win to nil
7%
19.00-
Chelsea / Chelsea
48%
1.73
4%
1.70
6%
Chelsea / Burnley
2%
51.0041.00
Chelsea / Draw
4%
21.0017.00
13%
Draw / Chelsea
20%
4.00
8%
4.20
5%
Draw / Burnley
4%
26.00
24%
17.00
Draw / Draw
9%
10.00
5%
9.00
29%
Burnley / Chelsea
5%
19.00
10%
17.00
11%
Burnley / Burnley
5%
21.0013.00
13%
Burnley / Draw
4%
26.00
13%
17.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Chelsea have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Chelsea have outscored their opponents by 47 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

Chelsea have played 13 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Burnley are in 19th position in the Premier League on 18 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 32 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Burnley have conceded 49 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2617633257 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
l
 
0-2A
May 17
2
Man City2616553053 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
l
 
5-1A
3
A Villa2615561050 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 4
May 9
l
 
2-1A
4
Man Utd2612951045 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2A
5
Chelsea2612861744 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
6
Liverpool261268642 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
7
Brentford2612410540 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
Feb 28
l
 
3-1A
8
Everton261079-137 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 3
9
Bournemouth269107-237 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
d
 
1-1A
10
Newcastle2610610036 
Mar 14
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
11
Sunderland26998-336 
l
 
1-2F
May 24
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
12
Fulham2610412-534 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3A
Mar 21
13
C Palace268810-432 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3A
14
Brighton267109031 
l
 
1-3F
Apr 25
Apr 11
l
 
2-0A
15
Leeds267910-930 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 2
16
Spurs267811-129 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
17
Nottm Forest267613-1327 
May 2
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
18
West Ham266614-1724 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-5A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2F
19
Burnley264616-2318 
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
-
-
20
Wolves261619-329 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
May 24
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
5
Chelsea have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Chelsea 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea2 - 2Leeds
Chelsea3 - 2West Ham
Chelsea2 - 0Brentford
Chelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
Chelsea1 - 2A Villa
Chelsea2 - 0Everton
Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal
Chelsea3 - 0Wolves
Chelsea1 - 2Sunderland
Chelsea2 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 3Brighton
Chelsea2 - 0Fulham
Chelsea0 - 0C Palace
Chelsea1 - 0Man Utd
Chelsea3 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 0Everton
Chelsea2 - 2Ipswich
Chelsea1 - 0Spurs
Chelsea1 - 0Leicester
Chelsea4 - 0Southampton
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChelsea2 - 2Leeds
AChelsea3 - 1Wolves
HChelsea3 - 2West Ham
AChelsea3 - 1C Palace
HChelsea2 - 0Brentford
AChelsea1 - 2Fulham
AChelsea1 - 1Man City
HChelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
HChelsea1 - 2A Villa
AChelsea2 - 2Newcastle
HChelsea2 - 0Everton
AChelsea0 - 0Bournemouth
AChelsea1 - 3Leeds
HChelsea1 - 1Arsenal
AChelsea2 - 0Burnley
HChelsea3 - 0Wolves
AChelsea1 - 0Spurs
HChelsea1 - 2Sunderland
AChelsea3 - 0Nottm Forest
HChelsea2 - 1Liverpool
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
C Palace2 - 3Burnley
Sunderland3 - 0Burnley
Liverpool1 - 1Burnley
Brighton2 - 0Burnley
Bournemouth1 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Brentford3 - 1Burnley
West Ham3 - 2Burnley
Wolves2 - 3Burnley
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Spurs3 - 0Burnley
QPR0 - 5Burnley
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Coventry1 - 2Burnley
Swansea0 - 2Burnley
Cardiff1 - 2Burnley
Preston0 - 0Burnley
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley3 - 2C Palace
HBurnley0 - 2West Ham
ABurnley0 - 3Sunderland
HBurnley2 - 2Spurs
ABurnley1 - 1Liverpool
HBurnley2 - 2Man Utd
ABurnley0 - 2Brighton
HBurnley1 - 3Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 0Everton
ABurnley1 - 1Bournemouth
HBurnley2 - 3Fulham
ABurnley1 - 2Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 1C Palace
ABurnley1 - 3Brentford
HBurnley0 - 2Chelsea
ABurnley2 - 3West Ham
HBurnley0 - 2Arsenal
ABurnley3 - 2Wolves
HBurnley2 - 0Leeds
ABurnley1 - 2A Villa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Chelsea have not lost to Burnley in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Chelsea since 2009
Chelsea
Burnley
Goals: Scored
19
9
Games: Scored
9 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
0 / 9
CHE
4
D
4
BRN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Burnley
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea3 - 0
League games at Burnley since 2010
Burnley
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
7
29
Games: Scored
6 / 10
10 / 10
Clean sheets
0 / 10
4 / 10
CHE
9
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
0 - 2Chelsea
1 - 4Chelsea
0 - 4Chelsea
0 - 3Chelsea
2 - 4Chelsea
0 - 4Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
Goal Statistics

Chelsea's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 5 consecutive English Premier League outings. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Chelsea 5th Burnley 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Chelsea will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+25
Burnley have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
2.2
1.1
Attack rating
39%
better
CHE
BRN
view stats
Games scored24
17
Failed to score2
9
Scored first15
5
Goals scored47
28
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
18
Avg. XG for2
0.9
KickOff rating
+39%
Defence rating
36%
better
CHE
BRN
view stats
Games conceded17
23
Clean sheets9
3
Conceded first9
20
Goals conceded30
51
Avg. goals conceded1.2
2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
2.2
KickOff rating
+36%

Chelsea v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251048
R SánchezJ Pedro J Pedro M Caicedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Pedro  FWD26104
3
-
P Neto FWD2653
2
-
R Sánchez GLK251
2
1
T Chalobah DEF253
3
1
E Fernández MID2582
6
-
M Cucurella  DEF2413
5
1
M Gusto DEF2322
3
1
R James  DEF2324
4
-
M Caicedo MID2131
7
1
A Santos MID19
4
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD1922
3
-
L Delap FWD171
2
-
A Garnacho FWD1613
1
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD162
-
W Fofana DEF151
2
-
C Palmer MID1581
3
-
J Hato DEF11
2
-
J. Acheampong DEF111
1
-
T Adarabioyo DEF11
2
-
B Badiashile  DEF8
2
-
M Guiu FWD71
1
-
R Lavia MID4
-
F Jörgensen GLK2
-
Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26648
M DúbravkaJ AnthonyQ HartmanK Walker
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK26
1
-
K Walker DEF252
8
-
L Ugochukwu MID2531
2
1
J Anthony FWD2561
4
-
M Estève DEF23
-
J Laurent MID231
5
-
Florentino MID222
4
-
J Larsen  FWD211
-
A Broja  FWD1911
-
L Tchaouna FWD191
1
-
L Foster FWD1931
3
-
H Mejbri MID1811
5
-
J Cullen MID1822
2
-
Z Flemming FWD1851
3
-
M Edwards FWD1613
-
Q Hartman DEF154
1
-
H Ekdal DEF15
-
A Tuanzebe  DEF111
1
-
L Pires DEF11
1
B Humphreys DEF10
3
-
J Worrall DEF7
-
M Trésor MID4
-
A Barnes FWD2
1
-
J Ward-Prowse MID1
-