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Chelsea v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 10th Feb, 19:30 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

It's a long trek for Daniel Farke's Leeds United side on Tuesday evening, as they make their way to the Stamford Bridge for a English Premier League clash with Liam Rosenior's Chelsea. Premier League statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. You can view it all, with data visualisations and the best odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Chelsea or Leeds are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 78% chance of 2 goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Chelsea 54%	3/5	8/13
Draw 22%	29/10	3/1
Leeds 23%	17/4	17/4 5%
Draw 1-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Chelsea 2-1 10%	8/1	7/1
Chelsea 1-0 9%	8/1	7/1
Chelsea 2-0 8%	17/2	15/2
Chelsea 3-1 6%	12/1	10/1
Leeds 2-1 6%	18/1	14/1
Draw 2-2 6%	16/1	12/1
Leeds 1-0 5%	18/1	14/1
Chelsea 3-0 5%	12/1	10/1
Draw 0-0 5%	14/1	11/1
Chelsea 3-2 4%	22/1	18/1
Leeds 2-0 3%	33/1	22/1 10%
Chelsea 4-1 3%	25/1	18/1
Chelsea 4-0 3%	25/1	18/1
Leeds 3-1 2%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	4/6	8/13
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	6/5	23/20
Home 1st Goal 54%	1/2	10/21 1%
Away 1st Goal 44%	13/8	15/8 3%
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	10/1
BTTS - Yes 58%	7/10	7/10
BTTS - No 42%	21/20	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 28%	11/5	21/10
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 13%	8/1	7/1 7%
Home/draw 77%	1/6	2/13 2%
Away/draw 46%	13/10	5/4
Home/away 78%	1/4	1/4 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1/5	1/5
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	7/2	16/5
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	13/8	6/4
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	1/2	10/21
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	7/2	17/5 2%
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1/5	2/11
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	9/1	7/1 6%
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/16	1/18
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/33	1/33 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	14/1	10/1 8%
Home DNB 70%	2/9	2/9 2%
Away DNB 39%	3/1	11/4 1%
Chelsea win to nil 26%	2/1	-
Leeds win to nil 10%	9/1	-
Chelsea / Chelsea 34%	6/4	11/8
Chelsea / Leeds 2%	40/1	28/1
Chelsea / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Chelsea 18%	15/4	7/2
Draw / Leeds 7%	11/1	9/1
Draw / Draw 13%	6/1	19/4 4%
Leeds / Chelsea 4%	20/1	16/1
Leeds / Leeds 10%	8/1	13/2
Leeds / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Chelsea have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 5 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Chelsea have outscored their opponents by 42 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Chelsea have played 12 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Leeds are in 16th position in the Premier League on 26 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 8 and won 4. Leeds have conceded 35 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Chelsea Leeds
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	24	16	5	3	29	53	d 1-1F	Mar 1	l 0-4A	l 5-0A
2	Man City	24	14	5	5	26	47	Apr 11	d 1-1A	Feb 28	l 3-2A
3	A Villa	24	14	4	6	9	46	l 1-2F	Mar 4	l 1-2F	Feb 21
4	Man Utd	24	11	8	5	8	41	Apr 18	l 2-1A	d 1-1F	Apr 11
5	Chelsea	24	11	7	6	15	40	-	-	w 3-1F	Feb 10
6	Liverpool	24	11	6	7	6	39	w 2-1F	May 9	d 3-3A	d 0-00-0
7	Brentford	24	11	3	10	4	36	w 2-0F	d 2-2A	Mar 21	d 1-1A
8	Fulham	24	10	4	10	-1	34	w 2-0F	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
9	Everton	24	9	7	8	-1	34	w 2-0F	Mar 21	w 1-0F	d 1-1F
10	Newcastle	24	9	6	9	0	33	Mar 14	d 2-2A	d 0-00-0	l 4-3F
11	Sunderland	23	8	9	6	-2	33	l 1-2F	May 24	Mar 3	d 1-1A
12	Bournemouth	24	8	9	7	-3	33	d 2-2A	d 0-00-0	d 2-2A	Apr 25
13	Brighton	24	7	10	7	2	31	l 1-3F	Apr 25	May 17	l 3-0A
14	Spurs	24	7	8	9	2	29	May 17	w 0-1F	l 1-2A	May 9
15	C Palace	24	7	8	9	-4	29	d 0-00-0	w 1-3F	w 4-1F	Mar 14
16	Leeds	24	6	8	10	-11	26	Feb 10	l 3-1A	-	-
17	Nottm Forest	24	7	5	12	-11	26	May 2	w 0-3F	Feb 6	l 3-1F
18	West Ham	24	5	5	14	-19	20	w 3-2A	w 1-5A	w 2-1F	May 24
19	Burnley	23	3	6	14	-19	15	Feb 21	w 0-2F	May 2	l 2-0A
20	Wolves	24	1	5	18	-30	8	w 3-0F	Feb 7	Apr 18	w 1-3A

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Leeds have not won in 9 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea	3 - 2	West Ham
Chelsea	2 - 0	Brentford
Chelsea	2 - 2	Bournemouth
Chelsea	1 - 2	A Villa
Chelsea	2 - 0	Everton
Chelsea	1 - 1	Arsenal
Chelsea	3 - 0	Wolves
Chelsea	1 - 2	Sunderland
Chelsea	2 - 1	Liverpool
Chelsea	1 - 3	Brighton
Chelsea	2 - 0	Fulham
Chelsea	0 - 0	C Palace
Chelsea	1 - 0	Man Utd
Chelsea	3 - 1	Liverpool
Chelsea	1 - 0	Everton
Chelsea	2 - 2	Ipswich
Chelsea	1 - 0	Spurs
Chelsea	1 - 0	Leicester
Chelsea	4 - 0	Southampton
Chelsea	2 - 1	West Ham

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Chelsea	3 - 2	West Ham
A	Chelsea	3 - 1	C Palace
H	Chelsea	2 - 0	Brentford
A	Chelsea	1 - 2	Fulham
A	Chelsea	1 - 1	Man City
H	Chelsea	2 - 2	Bournemouth
H	Chelsea	1 - 2	A Villa
A	Chelsea	2 - 2	Newcastle
H	Chelsea	2 - 0	Everton
A	Chelsea	0 - 0	Bournemouth
A	Chelsea	1 - 3	Leeds
H	Chelsea	1 - 1	Arsenal
A	Chelsea	2 - 0	Burnley
H	Chelsea	3 - 0	Wolves
A	Chelsea	1 - 0	Spurs
H	Chelsea	1 - 2	Sunderland
A	Chelsea	3 - 0	Nottm Forest
H	Chelsea	2 - 1	Liverpool
H	Chelsea	1 - 3	Brighton
A	Chelsea	1 - 2	Man Utd

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Everton	1 - 1	Leeds
Newcastle	4 - 3	Leeds
Liverpool	0 - 0	Leeds
Sunderland	1 - 1	Leeds
Brentford	1 - 1	Leeds
Man City	3 - 2	Leeds
Nottm Forest	3 - 1	Leeds
Brighton	3 - 0	Leeds
Burnley	2 - 0	Leeds
Wolves	1 - 3	Leeds
Fulham	1 - 0	Leeds
Arsenal	5 - 0	Leeds
Plymouth	1 - 2	Leeds
Oxford Utd	0 - 1	Leeds
M'Boro	0 - 1	Leeds
Luton	1 - 1	Leeds
QPR	2 - 2	Leeds
Portsmouth	1 - 0	Leeds
Sheff Utd	1 - 3	Leeds
Watford	0 - 4	Leeds

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Leeds	0 - 4	Arsenal
A	Leeds	1 - 1	Everton
H	Leeds	1 - 0	Fulham
A	Leeds	3 - 4	Newcastle
H	Leeds	1 - 1	Man Utd
A	Leeds	0 - 0	Liverpool
A	Leeds	1 - 1	Sunderland
H	Leeds	4 - 1	C Palace
A	Leeds	1 - 1	Brentford
H	Leeds	3 - 3	Liverpool
H	Leeds	3 - 1	Chelsea
A	Leeds	2 - 3	Man City
H	Leeds	1 - 2	A Villa
A	Leeds	1 - 3	Nottm Forest
A	Leeds	0 - 3	Brighton
H	Leeds	2 - 1	West Ham
A	Leeds	0 - 2	Burnley
H	Leeds	1 - 2	Spurs
H	Leeds	2 - 2	Bournemouth
A	Leeds	3 - 1	Wolves

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Chelsea have beaten Leeds in 6 consecutive home league meetings

Chelsea have not lost to Leeds in 7 consecutive home league meetings

Chelsea

Leeds

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 15

8 / 15

Clean sheets

7 / 15

4 / 15

CHE

LEE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Chelsea	1 - 0
Chelsea	3 - 2
Chelsea	3 - 1
Chelsea	1 - 0
Chelsea	3 - 2
Chelsea	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Leeds
Chelsea	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Chelsea	4 - 1
	0 - 3	Leeds
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Chelsea	1 - 0

Leeds

Chelsea

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 16

8 / 16

Clean sheets

8 / 16

5 / 16

CHE

LEE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Leeds	3 - 1
Leeds	3 - 0
	0 - 3	Chelsea
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Leeds	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Leeds	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Chelsea
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Leeds	3 - 1
Leeds	2 - 0
Leeds	1 - 0
	2 - 3	Chelsea
Leeds	4 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 22 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Leeds United on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Chelsea 5th	Leeds 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-3 Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+3 Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

28%

better

CHE

LEE

view stats

Games scored	22		17
Failed to score	2		7
Scored first	13		10
Goals scored	42		31
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.3
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		7
Conversion rate for	19		14
Avg. XG for	1.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+28%

30%

better

CHE

LEE

view stats

Games conceded	15		20
Clean sheets	9		4
Conceded first	9		12
Goals conceded	27		42
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		5
Conversion rate against	14%		20%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+30%

Chelsea v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	9	4	8
R Sánchez	J Pedro	J Pedro	M Caicedo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P Neto FWD	24	5	3	2 -
J Pedro FWD	24	9	4	2 -
R Sánchez GLK	23		1	2 1
R James DEF	23	2	4	4 -
T Chalobah DEF	23	3		3 1
E Fernández MID	23	8	2	6 -
M Cucurella DEF	22	1	2	4 1
M Gusto DEF	21	2	2	2 1
M Caicedo MID	19	3	1	7 1
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	18	2	2	3 -
A Santos MID	17			4 -
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	16		2	-
L Delap FWD	15	1		2 -
A Garnacho FWD	15	1	3	1 -
W Fofana DEF	13		1	2 -
C Palmer MID	13	4		2 -
T Adarabioyo DEF	11			2 -
J Hato DEF	9			2 -
J. Acheampong DEF	9	1		-
B Badiashile DEF	8			2 -
M Guiu FWD	7		1	1 -
R Lavia MID	4			-
T. George FWD	4			2 -
F Jörgensen GLK	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	20	4	9
J Pedro	E Fernández	J Pedro	P Neto

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Pedro FWD	9	18	4	5
E Fernández MID	8	20	2	8
P Neto FWD	5	11	3	9
C Palmer MID	4	10
T Chalobah DEF	3	5
M Caicedo MID	3	7	1	1
R James DEF	2	6	4	6
M Gusto DEF	2	4	2	3
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	2	7	2	4
M Cucurella DEF	1	4	2	3
L Delap FWD	1	9
A Garnacho FWD	1	5	3	3
J. Acheampong DEF	1	2
R Sánchez GLK			1	2
A Santos MID		1
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD		2	2	2
W Fofana DEF		1	1	1
T Adarabioyo DEF				1
M Guiu FWD		2	1	1
T. George FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1592	54	118
T Chalobah	M Caicedo	J Pedro

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Chalobah DEF	1592	30	98
E Fernández MID	1204	43	98
M Caicedo MID	1048	54	109
R James DEF	1036	40	93
M Cucurella DEF	994	41	87
R Sánchez GLK	860		14
M Gusto DEF	732	32	59
T Adarabioyo DEF	676	13	49
P Neto FWD	646	14	72
W Fofana DEF	573	13	69
J Pedro FWD	488	17	118
B Badiashile DEF	430	7	18
C Palmer MID	365	13	40
A Santos MID	365	20	42
J. Acheampong DEF	345	7	32
A Garnacho FWD	293	9	35
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	227	9	41
J Hato DEF	187	10	20
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	149	8	32
L Delap FWD	119	2	39
F Jörgensen GLK	87		1
R Lavia MID	66	2	7
M Guiu FWD	25		7
T. George FWD	23	2	5

Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	9	3	7
G Gudmundsson	D Calvert-Lewin	B Aaronson	E Ampadu

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Gudmundsson DEF	23			3 -
B Aaronson MID	23	4	3	1 -
J Rodon DEF	22	2		1 -
J Bogle DEF	22		2	4 -
P Struijk DEF	22		1	3 -
D Calvert-Lewin FWD	22	9	1	1 -
A Stach MID	21	3	3	3 -
E Ampadu MID	21	1	1	7 -
N Okafor FWD	21	2		2 -
A Tanaka MID	20	2		1 -
L Nmecha FWD	19	5		-
L Perri GLK	16			2 -
J Justin DEF	15	1		1 -
I Gruev MID	15		1	2 -
S Longstaff MID	14	1	2	1 -
W Gnonto FWD	14		1	2 -
J Bijol DEF	12	1	1	1 -
J Piroe FWD	11			-
D James FWD	10			-
K Darlow GLK	8			-
S Bornauw DEF	7			-
F Buonanotte MID	2			1 -
S Byram DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	20	3	8
D Calvert-Lewin	D Calvert-Lewin	B Aaronson	A Stach

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Calvert-Lewin FWD	9	20	1	2
L Nmecha FWD	5	11
B Aaronson MID	4	14	3	7
A Stach MID	3	10	3	8
J Rodon DEF	2	4		1
N Okafor FWD	2	7		3
A Tanaka MID	2	3		1
E Ampadu MID	1	4	1	1
J Justin DEF	1	2		1
S Longstaff MID	1	2	2	5
J Bijol DEF	1	4	1	1
G Gudmundsson DEF		3		3
J Bogle DEF		2	2	2
P Struijk DEF		4	1	1
I Gruev MID			1
W Gnonto FWD			1	1
J Piroe FWD		2
D James FWD		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1209	51	128
P Struijk	G Gudmundsson	G Gudmundsson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Struijk DEF	1209	25	110
E Ampadu MID	1049	49	105
J Rodon DEF	1000	24	97
A Stach MID	713	45	106
G Gudmundsson DEF	711	51	128
J Bijol DEF	592	14	55
J Bogle DEF	580	42	89
L Perri GLK	558		7
B Aaronson MID	435	36	98
S Longstaff MID	406	38	62
I Gruev MID	384	17	39
A Tanaka MID	383	18	31
K Darlow GLK	310		7
D Calvert-Lewin FWD	250	9	110
J Justin DEF	240	15	44
N Okafor FWD	224	17	70
W Gnonto FWD	131	14	23
L Nmecha FWD	121	6	35
S Bornauw DEF	95	5	13
J Piroe FWD	78	1	5
D James FWD	66	4	15
F Buonanotte MID	8		1
S Byram DEF	1