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Manchester City v Liverpool : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Nov, 15:00 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Liverpool, led by manager Arne Slot, visit Pep Guardiola and his Manchester City side at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon in the English Premier League. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

All things considered, our prediction for Sunday's game is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Man City and Liverpool to score 3 goals or more combined during the standard 90 mins. 2 goals or less would mean a losing bet but, with stats below suggesting there are goals in both sides, we think it looks like a great bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
56%
10/1119/20
Draw
21%
29/1029/10
Liverpool
23%
13/55/2
Man City 2-1
10%
17/27/1
Draw 1-1
9%
15/26/1
Man City 2-0
8%
12/19/1
Man City 1-0
8%
11/18/1
Man City 3-1
7%
14/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/19/1
Liverpool 2-1
6%
12/19/1
Man City 3-0
5%
18/114/1
Liverpool 1-0
5%
16/111/1
Man City 3-2
4%
20/114/1
Draw 0-0
4%
18/112/1
Man City 4-1
3%
28/118/1
Liverpool 2-0
3%
22/116/1
Man City 4-0
3%
33/122/1
Liverpool 3-2
2%
28/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
8/158/15
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
6/47/5
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/64/6
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/513/10
No 1st Goal
2%
18/112/1
BTTS - Yes
62%
1/21/2
BTTS - No
38%
6/429/20
BTTS - Home Win
31%
9/421/10
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
9/24/1
Home/draw
77%
2/73/10
Away/draw
44%
5/65/6
Home/away
79%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/61/6
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
4/119/5
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
13/105/4
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
8/134/7
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
3/114/5
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/41/4
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6/16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/101/12
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/401/50
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/112/1
Home DNB
71%
4/94/9
Away DNB
37%
13/88/5
Man City win to nil
25%
3/1-
Liverpool win to nil
9%
7/1-
Man City / Man City
28%
2/119/10
Man City / Liverpool
3%
28/120/1
Man City / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Man City
16%
9/24/1
Draw / Liverpool
10%
8/113/2
Draw / Draw
13%
6/15/1
Liverpool / Man City
4%
20/116/1
Liverpool / Liverpool
15%
5/117/4
Liverpool / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 9 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 0 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Man City have outscored their opponents by 17 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 4 games at home winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Liverpool are in 7th position in the Premier League on 15 points having played 9 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 8 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 0 and won 2. Liverpool have conceded 4 goals, scored 6, scored in every game and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
Liverpool
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal97111322 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 7
2
Bournemouth9531518 
Nov 2
May 17
w
 
4-2F
Jan 24
3
Spurs95221017 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 31
Mar 14
Dec 20
4
Sunderland9522417 
Dec 6
Dec 30
Dec 3
Feb 11
5
Man City95131016 
-
-
Feb 7
Nov 8
6
Man Utd9513116 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 17
l
 
1-2A
May 2
7
Liverpool9504215 
Nov 8
Feb 7
-
-
8
A Villa9432115 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
Nov 1
May 17
9
Chelsea9423614 
Jan 3
Apr 11
May 9
l
 
2-1A
10
C Palace9342313 
Mar 21
Dec 14
Apr 25
l
 
2-1A
11
Brentford9414013 
May 9
w
 
0-1F
May 24
l
 
3-2A
12
Newcastle9333112 
Feb 21
Nov 22
Jan 31
w
 
2-3F
13
Brighton9333-112 
Jan 7
l
 
2-1F
Dec 13
Mar 21
14
Everton9324-311 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
15
Leeds9324-511 
Nov 29
Feb 28
Dec 30
Dec 6
16
Burnley9315-510 
w
 
5-1F
Apr 25
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
17
Fulham9225-58 
Feb 11
Dec 2
Apr 11
Jan 3
18
Nottm Forest9126-125 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Nov 22
Feb 21
19
West Ham9117-134 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Feb 28
Nov 30
20
Wolves9027-122 
Jan 24
w
 
0-4F
Dec 27
Mar 4
Win / draw / win form
3
Liverpool have lost 3 consecutive away league games
Man City 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City2 - 0Everton
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man City3 - 0Man Utd
Man City0 - 2Spurs
Man City3 - 1Bournemouth
Man City1 - 0Wolves
Man City2 - 1A Villa
Man City5 - 2C Palace
Man City2 - 0Leicester
Man City2 - 2Brighton
Man City0 - 2Liverpool
Man City4 - 0Newcastle
Man City3 - 1Chelsea
Man City4 - 1West Ham
Man City1 - 1Everton
Man City1 - 2Man Utd
Man City3 - 0Nottm Forest
Man City0 - 4Spurs
Man City1 - 0Southampton
Man City3 - 2Fulham
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan City0 - 1A Villa
HMan City2 - 0Everton
AMan City1 - 0Brentford
HMan City5 - 1Burnley
AMan City1 - 1Arsenal
HMan City3 - 0Man Utd
AMan City1 - 2Brighton
HMan City0 - 2Spurs
AMan City4 - 0Wolves
AMan City2 - 0Fulham
HMan City3 - 1Bournemouth
AMan City0 - 0Southampton
HMan City1 - 0Wolves
HMan City2 - 1A Villa
AMan City2 - 0Everton
HMan City5 - 2C Palace
AMan City0 - 0Man Utd
HMan City2 - 0Leicester
HMan City2 - 2Brighton
AMan City0 - 1Nottm Forest
Liverpool 7TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford3 - 2Liverpool
Chelsea2 - 1Liverpool
C Palace2 - 1Liverpool
Burnley0 - 1Liverpool
Newcastle2 - 3Liverpool
Brighton3 - 2Liverpool
Chelsea3 - 1Liverpool
Leicester0 - 1Liverpool
Fulham3 - 2Liverpool
Man City0 - 2Liverpool
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
Everton2 - 2Liverpool
Bournemouth0 - 2Liverpool
Brentford0 - 2Liverpool
Nottm Forest1 - 1Liverpool
West Ham0 - 5Liverpool
Spurs3 - 6Liverpool
Newcastle3 - 3Liverpool
Southampton2 - 3Liverpool
Arsenal2 - 2Liverpool
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALiverpool2 - 3Brentford
HLiverpool1 - 2Man Utd
ALiverpool1 - 2Chelsea
ALiverpool1 - 2C Palace
HLiverpool2 - 1Everton
ALiverpool1 - 0Burnley
HLiverpool1 - 0Arsenal
ALiverpool3 - 2Newcastle
HLiverpool4 - 2Bournemouth
HLiverpool1 - 1C Palace
ALiverpool2 - 3Brighton
HLiverpool2 - 2Arsenal
ALiverpool1 - 3Chelsea
HLiverpool5 - 1Spurs
ALiverpool1 - 0Leicester
HLiverpool2 - 1West Ham
ALiverpool2 - 3Fulham
HLiverpool1 - 0Everton
HLiverpool3 - 1Southampton
HLiverpool2 - 0Newcastle
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Man City since 1993
Man City
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
46
32
Games: Scored
22 / 28
20 / 28
Clean sheets
8 / 28
6 / 28
MCI
10
D
13
LIV
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
0 - 2Liverpool
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man City4 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man City4 - 0
Man City2 - 1
Man City5 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Liverpool
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man City3 - 0
Man City3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Liverpool
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Liverpool
Man City1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3Liverpool
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man City2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Liverpool since 1992
Liverpool
Man City
Goals: Scored
54
28
Games: Scored
27 / 28
17 / 28
Clean sheets
11 / 28
1 / 28
MCI
2
D
8
LIV
18
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
Liverpool2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Liverpool1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 4Man City
Liverpool3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Liverpool4 - 3
Liverpool1 - 0
Liverpool3 - 0
Liverpool2 - 1
Liverpool3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Liverpool3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Liverpool1 - 0
Liverpool1 - 0
Liverpool1 - 0
Liverpool2 - 1
Liverpool2 - 1
1 - 2Man City
Liverpool3 - 2
Liverpool6 - 0
Liverpool2 - 0
Liverpool2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive English Premier League matches. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Manchester City's defensive record is very strong, Pep Guardiola's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Liverpool makes sense in this context.

Man City 5th Liverpool 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Liverpool will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Man City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+15
Liverpool have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Liverpool
2.1
1.2
Attack rating
MCI
LIV
9%
better
view stats
Games scored7
9
Failed to score2
0
Scored first7
5
Goals scored17
16
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
16
Avg. XG for1.6
1.9
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
38%
better
MCI
LIV
view stats
Games conceded5
7
Clean sheets4
2
Conceded first2
4
Goals conceded7
14
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against12%
19%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+38%

Man City v Liverpool Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
91132
T ReijndersE HaalandJ DokuT Reijnders
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Dias DEF9
-
T Reijnders MID912
2
-
B Silva MID91
1
-
J Doku FWD93
-
E Haaland FWD9111
-
N. O'Reilly DEF81
2
-
N González  MID8
2
-
O Bobb FWD81
-
M Nunes DEF71
1
-
P Foden FWD71
2
-
G Donnarumma GLK6
1
-
S Sávio FWD61
1
-
J Stones DEF5
-
R Lewis DEF51
-
J Gvardiol DEF51
-
N Aké  DEF5
-
Rodri MID5
-
A. Khusanov DEF4
1
-
R Cherki FWD41
-
O Marmoush FWD41
-
J Trafford GLK3
-
R Nouri DEF3
1
-
M Kovacic MID1
-
Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9323
V Dijk C GakpoC GakpoM Kerkez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Dijk  DEF9
1
-
I Konaté DEF9
2
-
M Kerkez DEF91
3
-
F Wirtz MID9
1
-
D Szoboszlai MID911
2
-
C Gakpo FWD932
-
M Salah FWD932
1
-
C Jones MID8
-
A Mac Allister MID81
-
H Ekitiké FWD831
-
C Bradley DEF7
3
-
R Gravenberch MID721
2
-
F Chiesa FWD721
1
-
Alisson GLK6
-
A Robertson DEF4
-
J Frimpong DEF4
-
W Endo MID41
1
-
A Isak FWD41
-
R. Ngumoha FWD41
-
G Mamardashvili GLK3
-
J Gomez DEF3
-