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Manchester City v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Feb, 20:00 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

We’ve English Premier League action to enjoy on Saturday night, as Josep Guardiola i Sala and his Manchester City side host Eddie Howe’s Newcastle United at the Etihad Stadium. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Man City to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding the two sides ahead of this Premier League fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Man City to win and delight their home supporters is our recommendation. We predict they will overpower Newcastle, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. It may not all be plain sailing, but Man City winning is the bet come Saturday night.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
64%
9/20
5%
1/2
3%
Draw
20%
7/2
4%
19/5
14%
Newcastle
16%
21/4
14%
19/4
Man City 2-0
10%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Man City 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Man City 1-0
10%
11/1
20%
17/2
12%
Draw 1-1
9%
9/1
11%
8/1
13%
Man City 3-0
7%
12/110/1
Man City 3-1
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Draw 0-0
5%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
Newcastle 2-1
4%
20/1
11%
14/1
Newcastle 1-0
4%
25/1
24%
16/1
13%
Man City 4-0
4%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
Man City 4-1
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Man City 3-2
3%
20/116/1
Newcastle 2-0
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
Man City 4-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
4/9
8%
4/9
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
7/4
16%
13/8
10%
Home 1st Goal
58%
4/9
4%
2/5
3%
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/4
5%
2/1
No 1st Goal
3%
20/1
24%
14/1
15%
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/7
3%
3/5
3%
BTTS - No
46%
5/4
2%
5/4
5%
BTTS - Home Win
31%
13/8
9%
13/8
6%
BTTS - Draw
15%
4/117/4
9%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
8/17/1
Home/draw
84%
1/8
1%
2/15
1%
Away/draw
36%
13/8
11%
8/5
8%
Home/away
80%
2/11
3%
2/11
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/7
3%
2/15
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
9/2
10%
17/4
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
11/10
9%
11/10
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
8/11
7%
7/10
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
5/2
13%
12/5
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
3/10
4%
2/7
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
5/1
25%
5/1
14%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/8
5%
1/9
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/66
1%
1/80
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Home DNB
78%
1/6
3%
2/11
2%
Away DNB
30%
4/1
15%
10/3
3%
Man City win to nil
34%
2/1-
Newcastle win to nil
7%
12/1
18%
-
Man City / Man City
38%
6/5
8%
11/10
7%
Man City / Newcastle
2%
40/128/1
Man City / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Draw / Man City
18%
15/47/2
Draw / Newcastle
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Draw / Draw
11%
15/2
13%
6/1
8%
Newcastle / Man City
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Newcastle / Newcastle
9%
9/1
5%
7/1
Newcastle / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Man City have outscored their opponents by 54 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 13 games at home winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 32 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Newcastle are in 10th position in the Premier League on 36 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Newcastle have conceded 22 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2617633257 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
2
Man City2616553053 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Feb 21
3
A Villa2615561050 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
4
Man Utd2612951045 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
Mar 4
l
 
1-0A
5
Chelsea2612861744 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
d
 
2-2F
Mar 14
6
Liverpool261268642 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-1F
7
Brentford2612410540 
May 9
w
 
0-1F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-1F
8
Everton261079-137 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
Feb 28
w
 
1-4F
9
Bournemouth269107-237 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
10
Newcastle2610610036 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
-
-
11
Sunderland26998-336 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
12
Fulham2610412-534 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
4-5F
w
 
2-1F
May 24
13
C Palace268810-432 
Mar 21
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
14
Brighton267109031 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
May 2
l
 
2-1A
15
Leeds267910-930 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 28
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Spurs267811-129 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
17
Nottm Forest267613-1327 
Mar 4
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 9
18
West Ham266614-1724 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 14
May 17
l
 
3-1F
19
Burnley264616-2318 
w
 
5-1F
Apr 25
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
20
Wolves261619-329 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
12
Man City have not lost in 12 consecutive home league games
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Home
12
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City3 - 0Fulham
Man City2 - 0Wolves
Man City1 - 1Brighton
Man City1 - 1Chelsea
Man City3 - 0West Ham
Man City3 - 0Sunderland
Man City3 - 2Leeds
Man City3 - 0Liverpool
Man City3 - 1Bournemouth
Man City2 - 0Everton
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man City3 - 0Man Utd
Man City0 - 2Spurs
Man City3 - 1Bournemouth
Man City1 - 0Wolves
Man City2 - 1A Villa
Man City5 - 2C Palace
Man City2 - 0Leicester
Man City2 - 2Brighton
Man City0 - 2Liverpool
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan City3 - 0Fulham
AMan City2 - 1Liverpool
AMan City2 - 2Spurs
HMan City2 - 0Wolves
AMan City0 - 2Man Utd
HMan City1 - 1Brighton
HMan City1 - 1Chelsea
AMan City0 - 0Sunderland
AMan City2 - 1Nottm Forest
HMan City3 - 0West Ham
AMan City3 - 0C Palace
HMan City3 - 0Sunderland
AMan City5 - 4Fulham
HMan City3 - 2Leeds
AMan City1 - 2Newcastle
HMan City3 - 0Liverpool
HMan City3 - 1Bournemouth
AMan City0 - 1A Villa
HMan City2 - 0Everton
AMan City1 - 0Brentford
Newcastle 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spurs1 - 2Newcastle
Liverpool4 - 1Newcastle
Wolves0 - 0Newcastle
Burnley1 - 3Newcastle
Man Utd1 - 0Newcastle
Sunderland1 - 0Newcastle
Everton1 - 4Newcastle
Brentford3 - 1Newcastle
West Ham3 - 1Newcastle
Brighton2 - 1Newcastle
Bournemouth0 - 0Newcastle
Leeds0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
Leicester0 - 3Newcastle
West Ham0 - 1Newcastle
Liverpool2 - 0Newcastle
Man City4 - 0Newcastle
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
HNewcastle2 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 4Liverpool
HNewcastle0 - 2A Villa
ANewcastle0 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle4 - 3Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 0C Palace
ANewcastle3 - 1Burnley
ANewcastle0 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 2Chelsea
ANewcastle0 - 1Sunderland
HNewcastle2 - 1Burnley
HNewcastle2 - 2Spurs
ANewcastle4 - 1Everton
HNewcastle2 - 1Man City
ANewcastle1 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 3West Ham
HNewcastle2 - 1Fulham
ANewcastle1 - 2Brighton
HNewcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
16
Man City have beaten Newcastle in 16 consecutive home league meetings
21
Man City have not lost to Newcastle in 21 consecutive home league meetings
6
Man City have kept a clean sheet in 6 consecutive home league meetings with Newcastle
League games at Man City since 1994
Man City
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
64
13
Games: Scored
22 / 25
11 / 25
Clean sheets
14 / 25
3 / 25
MCI
20
D
4
NEW
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City4 - 0
Man City1 - 0
Man City2 - 0
Man City5 - 0
Man City2 - 0
Man City5 - 0
Man City2 - 1
Man City3 - 1
Man City6 - 1
Man City5 - 0
Man City4 - 0
Man City4 - 0
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 1
Man City2 - 1
Man City3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man City3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man City1 - 0
Man City1 - 0
0 - 1Newcastle
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man City2 - 1
League games at Newcastle since 1994
Newcastle
Man City
Goals: Scored
35
43
Games: Scored
17 / 26
21 / 26
Clean sheets
5 / 26
9 / 26
MCI
12
D
6
NEW
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Newcastle2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Man City
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 4Man City
3 - 4Man City
Draw2 - 2Draw
Newcastle2 - 1
0 - 1Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Man City
0 - 2Man City
1 - 3Man City
0 - 2Man City
1 - 3Man City
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Man City
0 - 1Man City
Newcastle1 - 0
Newcastle4 - 3
Newcastle3 - 0
Newcastle2 - 0
0 - 1Man City
Newcastle3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive English Premier League games. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

Man City 2nd Newcastle 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Newcastle scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Man City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-32
Newcastle have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
2.1
1
Attack rating
23%
better
MCI
NEW
view stats
Games scored22
19
Failed to score4
7
Scored first20
16
Goals scored54
37
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
15
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
25%
better
MCI
NEW
view stats
Games conceded15
19
Clean sheets11
7
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded24
37
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
18%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+25%

Man City v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
252277
E HaalandE HaalandR CherkiB Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Silva MID2614
7
-
E Haaland FWD26226
1
-
N. O'Reilly DEF2523
4
-
T Reijnders MID2452
2
-
G Donnarumma GLK23
5
-
M Nunes MID2314
4
-
P Foden MID2373
4
-
R Dias DEF222
2
-
R Cherki MID2137
1
-
N González  MID211
6
-
J Doku FWD2014
-
J Gvardiol DEF1622
2
-
S Sávio FWD151
1
-
Rodri MID14
2
-
O Marmoush FWD1411
1
-
N Aké  DEF13
1
-
A. Khusanov DEF12
2
-
R Lewis DEF101
1
-
R Nouri DEF9
1
-
J Stones DEF7
-
A Semenyo FWD531
-
M Guéhi DEF4
1
-
J Trafford GLK3
-
M. Alleyne DEF2
-
M Kovacic MID1
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22947
S TonaliB GuimarãesB GuimarãesD Burn
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Tonali MID261
3
-
H Barnes FWD255
-
M Thiaw DEF234
3
-
B Guimarães MID2394
5
-
N Woltemade FWD2372
-
A Elanga FWD221
-
J Murphy FWD2121
1
-
N Pope  GLK20
1
-
A Gordon FWD2032
3
1
L Hall DEF191
2
-
Joelinton MID192
5
-
L Miley MID1913
-
D Burn DEF182
6
1
F Schär DEF16
1
-
J Ramsey MID1611
3
-
S Botman DEF1511
1
-
J Willock MID15
1
-
K Trippier DEF14
1
-
T Livramento  DEF131
1
-
W Osula FWD131
-
Y Wissa FWD1111
1
-
A Ramsdale GLK7
-
A. Murphy DEF1
-
E Krafth DEF1
-