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Manchester United v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 26th Dec, 20:00 BST, Old Trafford, Manchester

It's an away trip for Eddie Howe's Newcastle United side on Friday night, as they head to the Old Trafford for a English Premier League showdown with Ruben Filipe Marques Amorim's Manchester United. Premier League stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and the best odds available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our best tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Man Utd and Newcastle's current form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man Utd are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man Utd
47%
21/20
2%
6/5
Draw
24%
14/5
9%
27/10
Newcastle
29%
11/5
3%
2/1
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1
7%
6/1
Man Utd 2-1
9%
9/115/2
Man Utd 1-0
9%
11/117/2
Man Utd 2-0
8%
12/110/1
Newcastle 2-1
7%
12/19/1
Newcastle 1-0
7%
14/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Man Utd 3-1
5%
16/112/1
Newcastle 2-0
4%
20/114/1
Man Utd 3-0
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Man Utd 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Newcastle 3-1
3%
25/116/1
Newcastle 3-2
2%
28/118/1
Man Utd 4-1
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/7
3%
3/5
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
11/8
3%
5/4
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/114/5
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/1023/20
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
13%
11/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/1511/20
BTTS - No
42%
11/813/10
BTTS - Home Win
24%
5/2
7%
13/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
16/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
4/119/5
Home/draw
71%
1/3
2%
4/11
Away/draw
53%
4/5
6%
13/20
Home/away
76%
1/4
3%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/6
3%
2/11
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4/1
11%
10/3
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
6/429/20
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
8/151/2
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
10/3
4%
10/3
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
2/9
2%
1/5
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
7/1
11%
7/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/12
1%
1/16
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/331/40
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
16/1
13%
11/1
Home DNB
64%
8/15
3%
3/5
Away DNB
46%
11/8
6%
6/5
Man Utd win to nil
23%
10/3-
Newcastle win to nil
13%
6/1
8%
-
Man Utd / Man Utd
24%
12/5
3%
12/5
Man Utd / Newcastle
3%
28/120/1
Man Utd / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Man Utd
14%
5/19/2
Draw / Newcastle
11%
7/16/1
Draw / Draw
14%
11/29/2
Newcastle / Man Utd
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Newcastle / Newcastle
16%
9/2
10%
18/5
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man Utd have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Man Utd have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Man Utd have played 8 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 12 goals at home.

Newcastle are in 12th position in the Premier League on 22 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Newcastle have conceded 12 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man Utd
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1611322036 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
2
Man City1611142234 
Jan 17
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
Feb 21
3
A Villa161033833 
Mar 14
Dec 21
Jan 25
d
 
0-00-0
4
Chelsea168441228 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
Dec 20
Mar 14
5
C Palace16754526 
Feb 28
w
 
1-2A
Jan 4
Apr 11
6
Man Utd16754426 
-
-
Mar 4
Dec 26
7
Liverpool16826226 
May 2
w
 
1-2F
l
 
2-3A
Jan 31
8
Sunderland16754226 
w
 
2-0F
May 9
Mar 21
l
 
1-0A
9
Everton16736-124 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 21
Feb 28
w
 
1-4F
10
Brighton16655223 
w
 
4-2F
May 24
May 2
l
 
2-1A
11
Spurs16646422 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
Feb 11
12
Newcastle16646122 
Dec 26
Mar 4
-
-
13
Bournemouth16565-321 
d
 
4-4F
Mar 21
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
14
Fulham16628-320 
Feb 1
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 24
15
Brentford16628-320 
Apr 25
l
 
3-1A
Feb 7
l
 
3-1F
16
Nottm Forest16538-818 
May 17
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 9
17
Leeds16448-1016 
Apr 11
Jan 4
Jan 7
d
 
0-00-0
18
West Ham16349-1313 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 11
May 17
l
 
3-1F
19
Burnley163112-1510 
w
 
3-2F
Jan 7
w
 
2-1F
Dec 30
20
Wolves160214-262 
Dec 30
w
 
1-4F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
Win / draw / win form
Man Utd 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man Utd4 - 4Bournemouth
Man Utd1 - 1West Ham
Man Utd0 - 1Everton
Man Utd4 - 2Brighton
Man Utd2 - 0Sunderland
Man Utd2 - 1Chelsea
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Man Utd0 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd2 - 0A Villa
Man Utd0 - 2West Ham
Man Utd0 - 1Wolves
Man Utd0 - 0Man City
Man Utd1 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd3 - 2Ipswich
Man Utd0 - 2C Palace
Man Utd1 - 3Brighton
Man Utd3 - 1Southampton
Man Utd0 - 2Newcastle
Man Utd0 - 3Bournemouth
Man Utd2 - 3Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan Utd4 - 4Bournemouth
AMan Utd4 - 1Wolves
HMan Utd1 - 1West Ham
AMan Utd2 - 1C Palace
HMan Utd0 - 1Everton
AMan Utd2 - 2Spurs
AMan Utd2 - 2Nottm Forest
HMan Utd4 - 2Brighton
AMan Utd2 - 1Liverpool
HMan Utd2 - 0Sunderland
AMan Utd1 - 3Brentford
HMan Utd2 - 1Chelsea
AMan Utd0 - 3Man City
HMan Utd3 - 2Burnley
AMan Utd1 - 1Fulham
HMan Utd0 - 1Arsenal
HMan Utd2 - 0A Villa
AMan Utd0 - 1Chelsea
HMan Utd0 - 2West Ham
AMan Utd3 - 4Brentford
Newcastle 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland1 - 0Newcastle
Everton1 - 4Newcastle
Brentford3 - 1Newcastle
West Ham3 - 1Newcastle
Brighton2 - 1Newcastle
Bournemouth0 - 0Newcastle
Leeds0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
Leicester0 - 3Newcastle
West Ham0 - 1Newcastle
Liverpool2 - 0Newcastle
Man City4 - 0Newcastle
Southampton1 - 3Newcastle
Spurs1 - 2Newcastle
Man Utd0 - 2Newcastle
Ipswich0 - 4Newcastle
Brentford4 - 2Newcastle
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle0 - 1Sunderland
HNewcastle2 - 1Burnley
HNewcastle2 - 2Spurs
ANewcastle4 - 1Everton
HNewcastle2 - 1Man City
ANewcastle1 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 3West Ham
HNewcastle2 - 1Fulham
ANewcastle1 - 2Brighton
HNewcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
HNewcastle1 - 2Arsenal
ANewcastle0 - 0Bournemouth
HNewcastle1 - 0Wolves
ANewcastle0 - 0Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 3Liverpool
ANewcastle0 - 0A Villa
HNewcastle0 - 1Everton
ANewcastle0 - 1Arsenal
HNewcastle2 - 0Chelsea
ANewcastle1 - 1Brighton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Man Utd since 1993
Man Utd
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
63
24
Games: Scored
22 / 29
17 / 29
Clean sheets
12 / 29
7 / 29
MNU
18
D
9
NEW
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
0 - 2Newcastle
Man Utd3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd4 - 1
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd4 - 1
Man Utd3 - 2
Man Utd4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Newcastle
Man Utd4 - 3
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd6 - 0
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd5 - 3
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd5 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Newcastle since 1993
Newcastle
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
38
48
Games: Scored
21 / 29
21 / 29
Clean sheets
8 / 29
8 / 29
MNU
14
D
6
NEW
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Newcastle4 - 1
Newcastle1 - 0
Newcastle2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Man Utd
Newcastle1 - 0
0 - 2Man Utd
Newcastle1 - 0
0 - 1Man Utd
0 - 4Man Utd
0 - 3Man Utd
Newcastle3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Man Utd
1 - 5Man Utd
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Man Utd
1 - 3Man Utd
1 - 2Man Utd
2 - 6Man Utd
Newcastle4 - 3
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle3 - 0
1 - 2Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle5 - 0
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Manchester United have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 14 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Newcastle United on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Man Utd 6th Newcastle 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Man Utd have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-14
Newcastle have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man Utd
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
7%
better
MNU
NEW
view stats
Games scored12
12
Failed to score3
4
Scored first10
10
Goals scored26
21
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for2
1.5
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
MNU
NEW
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
11
Clean sheets1
5
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded22
20
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against18%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+27%

Man Utd v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16677
L ShawB MbeumoB FernandesCasemiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Shaw DEF161
2
-
L Yoro DEF16
-
B Fernandes MID1657
2
-
B Mbeumo FWD1661
3
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF151
4
-
Casemiro MID1541
6
1
A Diallo FWD1522
1
-
D Dalot DEF1412
1
-
M Ligt DEF131
-
M Mount  MID133
-
M Cunha FWD1321
-
B Sesko FWD1221
1
-
K Mainoo MID11
-
S Lammens GLK10
-
M Ugarte MID10
-
N Mazraoui  DEF9
1
-
J Zirkzee FWD91
1
-
H Maguire DEF811
-
A Bayındır GLK6
-
A. Heaven DEF51
1
-
L Martínez  DEF4
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15525
D BurnB GuimarãesD BurnD Burn
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Tonali MID161
1
-
A Elanga FWD161
-
D Burn DEF152
4
1
B Guimarães MID1552
4
-
H Barnes FWD153
-
M Thiaw DEF132
2
-
Joelinton MID13
3
-
N Woltemade FWD1351
-
J Murphy FWD1321
-
N Pope  GLK12
1
-
L Miley MID1212
-
T Livramento  DEF111
1
-
F Schär DEF11
-
A Gordon FWD112
1
S Botman DEF10
-
W Osula FWD101
-
L Hall DEF91
-
K Trippier DEF9
1
-
J Willock MID7
1
-
J Ramsey MID7
2
-
A Ramsdale GLK5
-
J Lascelles DEF2
-
Y Wissa FWD2
-
E Krafth DEF1
-