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Newcastle United v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 20th Dec, 12:30 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Enzo Maresca leads his Chelsea charges to the St. James' Park in the English Premier League on Saturday lunch time, with Eddie Howe's Newcastle United their rivals. Premier League statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Newcastle or Chelsea are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 79% chance of two goals or more.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Chelsea coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Newcastle 35%	8/5 13%	6/4 5%
Draw 24%	13/5 6%	5/2
Chelsea 41%	31/20 11%	13/8 9%
Draw 1-1 11%	13/2	6/1 8%
Chelsea 2-1 9%	10/1 8%	17/2 5%
Chelsea 1-0 8%	11/1 8%	9/1
Newcastle 2-1 8%	10/1 10%	8/1
Newcastle 1-0 7%	11/1 9%	17/2 6%
Chelsea 2-0 6%	14/1 12%	12/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	10/1
Draw 0-0 5%	14/1 15%	10/1
Newcastle 2-0 5%	16/1 13%	11/1
Chelsea 3-1 4%	20/1 9%	14/1 12%
Newcastle 3-1 4%	20/1 11%	14/1
Chelsea 3-0 3%	28/1 15%	20/1 9%
Chelsea 3-2 3%	25/1 10%	18/1 10%
Newcastle 3-2 3%	25/1	18/1
Newcastle 3-0 2%	28/1 12%	20/1 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	8/11	4/6 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	11/10	11/10 2%
Home 1st Goal 47%	10/11 4%	10/11 3%
Away 1st Goal 49%	10/11 7%	1/1 5%
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1 15%	10/1 10%
BTTS - Yes 59%	4/7	4/7 3%
BTTS - No 41%	5/4	5/4 2%
BTTS - Home Win 19%	7/2 4%	16/5 5%
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 21%	7/2 10%	10/3 10%
Home/draw 59%	1/2 7%	10/21 6%
Away/draw 65%	1/2 4%	1/2 4%
Home/away 76%	2/7 1%	2/7 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	2/9	2/9
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	10/3	3/1 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	7/4	13/8 5%
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	4/9	4/9 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	4/1	18/5 4%
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/6	1/6 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	9/1	8/1
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/16	1/20
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	1/33 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12/1	10/1 10%
Home DNB 52%	5/6 10%	4/5 6%
Away DNB 58%	5/6 13%	10/11 7%
Newcastle win to nil 16%	4/1 11%	-
Chelsea win to nil 19%	4/1 9%	-
Newcastle / Newcastle 20%	10/3 15%	14/5 3%
Newcastle / Chelsea 4%	25/1 10%	18/1 10%
Newcastle / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Newcastle 13%	11/2 8%	5/1 9%
Draw / Chelsea 13%	11/2 7%	5/1 8%
Draw / Draw 15%	5/1	17/4 5%
Chelsea / Newcastle 4%	25/1	18/1
Chelsea / Chelsea 20%	10/3 9%	3/1 9%
Chelsea / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 16 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Newcastle have conceded 12 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Newcastle have played 8 games at home, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Chelsea lay in 4th place on 28 points in the Premier League league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 26 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Chelsea have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Chelsea have played 8 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Newcastle Chelsea
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	16	11	3	2	20	36	l 1-2F	Apr 25	d 1-1F	Feb 28
2	Man City	16	11	1	4	22	34	w 2-1F	Feb 21	Apr 11	Jan 4
3	A Villa	16	10	3	3	8	33	Jan 25	d 0-00-0	Dec 27	Mar 4
4	Chelsea	16	8	4	4	12	28	Dec 20	Mar 14	-	-
5	C Palace	16	7	5	4	5	26	Jan 4	Apr 11	d 0-00-0	Jan 25
6	Man Utd	16	7	5	4	4	26	Mar 4	Dec 26	Apr 18	l 2-1A
7	Liverpool	16	8	2	6	2	26	l 2-3A	Jan 31	w 2-1F	May 9
8	Sunderland	16	7	5	4	2	26	Mar 21	l 1-0A	l 1-2F	May 24
9	Everton	16	7	3	6	-1	24	Feb 28	w 1-4F	w 2-0F	Mar 21
10	Brighton	16	6	5	5	2	23	May 2	l 2-1A	l 1-3F	Apr 25
11	Spurs	16	6	4	6	4	22	d 2-2F	Feb 11	May 17	w 0-1F
12	Newcastle	16	6	4	6	1	22	-	-	Mar 14	Dec 20
13	Bournemouth	16	5	6	5	-3	21	Apr 18	d 0-00-0	Dec 30	d 0-00-0
14	Fulham	16	6	2	8	-3	20	w 2-1F	May 24	w 2-0F	Jan 7
15	Brentford	16	6	2	8	-3	20	Feb 7	l 3-1F	Jan 17	d 2-2A
16	Nottm Forest	16	5	3	8	-8	18	w 2-0F	May 9	May 2	w 0-3F
17	Leeds	16	4	4	8	-10	16	Jan 7	d 0-00-0	Feb 11	l 3-1A
18	West Ham	16	3	4	9	-13	13	May 17	l 3-1F	Jan 31	w 1-5A
19	Burnley	16	3	1	12	-15	10	w 2-1F	Dec 30	Feb 21	w 0-2F
20	Wolves	16	0	2	14	-26	2	w 1-0F	Jan 18	w 3-0F	Feb 7

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Newcastle have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle	2 - 1	Burnley
Newcastle	2 - 2	Spurs
Newcastle	2 - 1	Man City
Newcastle	2 - 1	Fulham
Newcastle	2 - 0	Nottm Forest
Newcastle	1 - 2	Arsenal
Newcastle	1 - 0	Wolves
Newcastle	2 - 3	Liverpool
Newcastle	0 - 1	Everton
Newcastle	2 - 0	Chelsea
Newcastle	3 - 0	Ipswich
Newcastle	5 - 0	C Palace
Newcastle	4 - 1	Man Utd
Newcastle	2 - 1	Brentford
Newcastle	4 - 3	Nottm Forest
Newcastle	1 - 2	Fulham
Newcastle	1 - 4	Bournemouth
Newcastle	3 - 0	Wolves
Newcastle	3 - 0	A Villa
Newcastle	4 - 0	Leicester

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Newcastle	0 - 1	Sunderland
H	Newcastle	2 - 1	Burnley
H	Newcastle	2 - 2	Spurs
A	Newcastle	4 - 1	Everton
H	Newcastle	2 - 1	Man City
A	Newcastle	1 - 3	Brentford
A	Newcastle	1 - 3	West Ham
H	Newcastle	2 - 1	Fulham
A	Newcastle	1 - 2	Brighton
H	Newcastle	2 - 0	Nottm Forest
H	Newcastle	1 - 2	Arsenal
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	Bournemouth
H	Newcastle	1 - 0	Wolves
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	Leeds
H	Newcastle	2 - 3	Liverpool
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	A Villa
H	Newcastle	0 - 1	Everton
A	Newcastle	0 - 1	Arsenal
H	Newcastle	2 - 0	Chelsea
A	Newcastle	1 - 1	Brighton

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bournemouth	0 - 0	Chelsea
Leeds	3 - 1	Chelsea
Burnley	0 - 2	Chelsea
Spurs	0 - 1	Chelsea
Nottm Forest	0 - 3	Chelsea
Man Utd	2 - 1	Chelsea
Brentford	2 - 2	Chelsea
West Ham	1 - 5	Chelsea
Nottm Forest	0 - 1	Chelsea
Newcastle	2 - 0	Chelsea
Fulham	1 - 2	Chelsea
Brentford	0 - 0	Chelsea
Arsenal	1 - 0	Chelsea
A Villa	2 - 1	Chelsea
Brighton	3 - 0	Chelsea
Man City	3 - 1	Chelsea
C Palace	1 - 1	Chelsea
Ipswich	2 - 0	Chelsea
Everton	0 - 0	Chelsea
Spurs	3 - 4	Chelsea

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Chelsea	2 - 0	Everton
A	Chelsea	0 - 0	Bournemouth
A	Chelsea	1 - 3	Leeds
H	Chelsea	1 - 1	Arsenal
A	Chelsea	2 - 0	Burnley
H	Chelsea	3 - 0	Wolves
A	Chelsea	1 - 0	Spurs
H	Chelsea	1 - 2	Sunderland
A	Chelsea	3 - 0	Nottm Forest
H	Chelsea	2 - 1	Liverpool
H	Chelsea	1 - 3	Brighton
A	Chelsea	1 - 2	Man Utd
A	Chelsea	2 - 2	Brentford
H	Chelsea	2 - 0	Fulham
A	Chelsea	5 - 1	West Ham
H	Chelsea	0 - 0	C Palace
A	Chelsea	1 - 0	Nottm Forest
H	Chelsea	1 - 0	Man Utd
A	Chelsea	0 - 2	Newcastle
H	Chelsea	3 - 1	Liverpool

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Newcastle have beaten Chelsea in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Newcastle

Chelsea

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

20 / 30

Clean sheets

10 / 30

NEW

CHE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Newcastle	2 - 0
Newcastle	4 - 1
Newcastle	1 - 0
	0 - 3	Chelsea
	0 - 2	Chelsea
Newcastle	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Chelsea
Newcastle	3 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Newcastle	2 - 1
Newcastle	2 - 0
Newcastle	3 - 2
	0 - 3	Chelsea
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Chelsea
	0 - 2	Chelsea
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Newcastle	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Newcastle	2 - 1
Newcastle	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Chelsea
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Chelsea
	0 - 1	Chelsea
Newcastle	3 - 1
Newcastle	3 - 1
Newcastle	2 - 0
Newcastle	4 - 2
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Chelsea

Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

28 / 30

14 / 30

Clean sheets

16 / 30

2 / 30

NEW

CHE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Chelsea	2 - 1
Chelsea	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Chelsea	1 - 0
Chelsea	2 - 0
Chelsea	1 - 0
Chelsea	2 - 1
Chelsea	3 - 1
Chelsea	5 - 1
Chelsea	2 - 0
Chelsea	3 - 0
Chelsea	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Newcastle
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Chelsea	2 - 1
Chelsea	1 - 0
Chelsea	3 - 0
Chelsea	4 - 0
Chelsea	5 - 0
Chelsea	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Chelsea	3 - 1
Chelsea	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Chelsea	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Chelsea	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Chelsea	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 21 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Newcastle United on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Newcastle 12th	Chelsea 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 58% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal	0 21% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+24 Newcastle have scored 24% more goals at home than predicted	-22 Chelsea have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.3 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

NEW

CHE

14%

better

view stats

Games scored	12		14
Failed to score	3		2
Scored first	10		10
Goals scored	21		27
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.7
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	16		17
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.8
KickOff rating		+14%

NEW

CHE

10%

better

view stats

Games conceded	10		8
Clean sheets	5		8
Conceded first	2		4
Goals conceded	19		15
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	17%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+10%

Newcastle v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	5	2	5
D Burn	B Guimarães	D Burn	D Burn

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Tonali MID	16		1	1 -
A Elanga FWD	16		1	-
D Burn DEF	15		2	4 1
B Guimarães MID	15	5	2	4 -
H Barnes FWD	15	3		-
M Thiaw DEF	13	2		2 -
Joelinton MID	13			3 -
N Woltemade FWD	13	5	1	-
J Murphy FWD	13	2	1	-
N Pope GLK	12			1 -
L Miley MID	12	1	2	-
T Livramento DEF	11		1	1 -
F Schär DEF	11			-
A Gordon FWD	11	2		1
S Botman DEF	10			-
W Osula FWD	10	1		-
L Hall DEF	9		1	-
K Trippier DEF	9			1 -
J Ramsey MID	7			2 -
J Willock MID	7			1 -
A Ramsdale GLK	5			-
J Lascelles DEF	2			-
Y Wissa FWD	2			-
E Krafth DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	10	2	4
B Guimarães	B Guimarães	D Burn	J Murphy

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Guimarães MID	5	10	2	1
N Woltemade FWD	5	10	1	1
H Barnes FWD	3	8		3
M Thiaw DEF	2	4		1
J Murphy FWD	2	10	1	4
A Gordon FWD	2	7		1
L Miley MID	1	3	2	1
W Osula FWD	1	3
S Tonali MID		5	1	3
A Elanga FWD		3	1	1
D Burn DEF			2
Joelinton MID		3		1
T Livramento DEF		1	1	1
F Schär DEF		1
S Botman DEF		1		2
L Hall DEF		1	1	2
J Ramsey MID		1
J Willock MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
731	29	85
B Guimarães	B Guimarães	D Burn

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Guimarães MID	731	29	81
S Tonali MID	640	15	44
M Thiaw DEF	619	13	70
D Burn DEF	614	19	85
F Schär DEF	482	10	39
T Livramento DEF	470	19	41
K Trippier DEF	469	10	29
S Botman DEF	402	6	28
Joelinton MID	369	19	53
L Miley MID	297	8	27
L Hall DEF	280	20	48
N Pope GLK	251	1	9
A Elanga FWD	235	6	26
J Murphy FWD	212	6	28
A Gordon FWD	192	5	42
H Barnes FWD	185	4	19
J Ramsey MID	183	7	15
N Woltemade FWD	169	12	51
A Ramsdale GLK	126		2
J Willock MID	93	8	12
W Osula FWD	26	1	10
E Krafth DEF	19
J Lascelles DEF	8		1
Y Wissa FWD	8		1

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	5	3	3
R Sánchez	P Neto	J Pedro	M Cucurella

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Sánchez GLK	16			1 1
M Cucurella DEF	16		2	3 -
J Pedro FWD	16	4	3	1 -
P Neto FWD	16	5	3	2 -
T Chalobah DEF	15	3		2 1
R James DEF	15	1	3	2 -
E Fernández MID	15	4	1	2 -
M Gusto DEF	14	2	2	1 1
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	14	1	1	3 -
M Caicedo MID	12	3	1	2 1
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	12		2	-
A Santos MID	11			2 -
A Garnacho FWD	10	1	2	-
T Adarabioyo DEF	9			1 -
W Fofana DEF	8			1 -
L Delap FWD	8			-
M Guiu FWD	7		1	1 -
C Palmer MID	6	2		-
J. Acheampong DEF	5	1		-
B Badiashile DEF	4			2 -
J Hato DEF	4			2 -
R Lavia MID	4			-
T. George FWD	4			2 -
F Jörgensen GLK	1			-
F Buonanotte MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	15	3	5
P Neto	E Fernández	J Pedro	J Pedro

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Neto FWD	5	10	3	5
J Pedro FWD	4	11	3	5
E Fernández MID	4	15	1	5
T Chalobah DEF	3	5
M Caicedo MID	3	4	1	1
M Gusto DEF	2	4	2	3
C Palmer MID	2	4
R James DEF	1	5	3	5
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	1	4	1	3
A Garnacho FWD	1	4	2	3
J. Acheampong DEF	1	2
R Sánchez GLK				1
M Cucurella DEF		2	2	3
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD		2	2	2
A Santos MID		1
L Delap FWD		5
M Guiu FWD		2	1	1
T. George FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1065	34	90
T Chalobah	M Caicedo	J Pedro

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Chalobah DEF	1065	23	73
E Fernández MID	831	24	60
M Cucurella DEF	768	31	62
R James DEF	709	24	70
M Caicedo MID	649	34	63
T Adarabioyo DEF	573	13	44
R Sánchez GLK	571		10
M Gusto DEF	503	25	48
P Neto FWD	401	9	54
J Pedro FWD	378	12	90
W Fofana DEF	350	8	49
J. Acheampong DEF	295	2	24
A Santos MID	234	13	27
A Garnacho FWD	173	6	25
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	168	9	30
B Badiashile DEF	148	2	3
C Palmer MID	134	5	10
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	127	7	27
J Hato DEF	104	2	5
R Lavia MID	66	2	7
L Delap FWD	50		20
F Jörgensen GLK	34		1
M Guiu FWD	25		7
T. George FWD	23	2	5
F Buonanotte MID	22	1	1