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Sunderland v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 28th Dec, 14:00 BST, Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Sunderland and Leeds United clash at the Stadium of Light on Sunday afternoon, with both Régis Le Bris and Daniel Farke hoping for success in the English Premier League. Stats drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Sunderland or Leeds are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sunderland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.63.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sunderland
57%
2.63
7%
-
Draw
23%
3.20-
Leeds
20%
2.75
2%
-
Sunderland 1-0
11%
8.50-
Draw 1-1
11%
6.50-
Sunderland 2-0
10%
13.00-
Sunderland 2-1
10%
11.00-
Sunderland 3-0
6%
29.00-
Sunderland 3-1
6%
26.00
13%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
8.50-
Leeds 1-0
6%
9.00-
Leeds 2-1
5%
12.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00-
Sunderland 3-2
3%
41.00-
Leeds 2-0
3%
15.00-
Sunderland 4-0
3%
51.00-
Sunderland 4-1
3%
51.00-
Leeds 3-1
2%
26.00
10%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
2.10
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1.73
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.95-
Away 1st Goal
41%
2.05
2%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
8.50-
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.91-
BTTS - No
47%
1.91-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
5.50-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.33
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
6.00-
Home/draw
80%
1.40-
Away/draw
43%
1.44
6%
-
Home/away
77%
1.36-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.36-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3.20-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
4.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.25-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
8.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.08-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
17.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.03-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.07-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
8.50-
Home DNB
73%
1.83
6%
-
Away DNB
36%
1.83
9%
-
Sunderland win to nil
31%
4.33
8%
-
Leeds win to nil
10%
4.33
4%
-
Sunderland / Sunderland
19%
4.50
4%
-
Sunderland / Leeds
3%
34.00-
Sunderland / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Sunderland
13%
6.50
8%
-
Draw / Leeds
13%
6.50-
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00-
Leeds / Sunderland
3%
29.00-
Leeds / Leeds
19%
4.50
5%
-
Leeds / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Sunderland have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Premier League league table. Sunderland are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 20 goals to 19 goals.

Home League Performance

Sunderland have played 8 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Leeds are in 17th position in the Premier League on 16 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Leeds have conceded 26 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sunderland
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1611322036 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 7
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
2
Man City1611142234 
Jan 1
l
 
3-0A
Feb 28
l
 
3-2A
3
A Villa161033833 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
4
Chelsea168441228 
May 24
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1F
Feb 11
5
C Palace16754526 
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 20
Mar 14
6
Man Utd16754426 
May 9
l
 
2-0A
Jan 4
Apr 11
7
Liverpool16826226 
Feb 11
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
Jan 1
8
Sunderland16754226 
-
-
Mar 4
Dec 28
9
Everton16736-124 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
10
Brighton16655223 
Mar 14
Dec 20
May 17
l
 
3-0A
11
Spurs16646422 
Apr 11
Jan 4
l
 
1-2A
May 9
12
Newcastle16646122 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 21
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 7
13
Bournemouth16565-321 
w
 
3-2A
Feb 28
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
14
Fulham16628-320 
Feb 21
l
 
1-0A
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
15
Brentford16628-320 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 7
Mar 21
d
 
1-1A
16
Nottm Forest16538-818 
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
Feb 7
l
 
3-1F
17
Leeds16448-1016 
Dec 28
Mar 4
-
-
18
West Ham16349-1313 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 24
w
 
2-1F
May 24
19
Burnley163112-1510 
Feb 2
l
 
2-0A
May 2
l
 
2-0A
20
Wolves160214-262 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Sunderland 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland1 - 0Newcastle
Sunderland3 - 2Bournemouth
Sunderland2 - 2Arsenal
Sunderland1 - 1Everton
Sunderland2 - 0Wolves
Sunderland1 - 1A Villa
Sunderland2 - 1Brentford
Sunderland3 - 0West Ham
Sunderland0 - 1Coventry
Sunderland0 - 1QPR
Sunderland0 - 1Blackburn
Sunderland0 - 1Swansea
Sunderland1 - 0Millwall
Sunderland1 - 1Preston
Sunderland2 - 1Cardiff
Sunderland0 - 1Hull
Sunderland2 - 0Luton
Sunderland2 - 2Watford
Sunderland2 - 2Plymouth
Sunderland1 - 0Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSunderland1 - 0Newcastle
ASunderland0 - 3Man City
ASunderland1 - 1Liverpool
HSunderland3 - 2Bournemouth
ASunderland0 - 1Fulham
HSunderland2 - 2Arsenal
HSunderland1 - 1Everton
ASunderland2 - 1Chelsea
HSunderland2 - 0Wolves
ASunderland0 - 2Man Utd
ASunderland1 - 0Nottm Forest
HSunderland1 - 1A Villa
ASunderland0 - 0C Palace
HSunderland2 - 1Brentford
ASunderland0 - 2Burnley
HSunderland3 - 0West Ham
ASunderland2 - 1Sheff Utd
HSunderland0 - 1Coventry
ASunderland2 - 1Coventry
HSunderland0 - 1QPR
Leeds 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford1 - 1Leeds
Man City3 - 2Leeds
Nottm Forest3 - 1Leeds
Brighton3 - 0Leeds
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Wolves1 - 3Leeds
Fulham1 - 0Leeds
Arsenal5 - 0Leeds
Plymouth1 - 2Leeds
Oxford Utd0 - 1Leeds
M'Boro0 - 1Leeds
Luton1 - 1Leeds
QPR2 - 2Leeds
Portsmouth1 - 0Leeds
Sheff Utd1 - 3Leeds
Watford0 - 4Leeds
Coventry0 - 2Leeds
Burnley0 - 0Leeds
Hull3 - 3Leeds
Derby0 - 1Leeds
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds1 - 1Brentford
HLeeds3 - 3Liverpool
HLeeds3 - 1Chelsea
ALeeds2 - 3Man City
HLeeds1 - 2A Villa
ALeeds1 - 3Nottm Forest
ALeeds0 - 3Brighton
HLeeds2 - 1West Ham
ALeeds0 - 2Burnley
HLeeds1 - 2Spurs
HLeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
ALeeds3 - 1Wolves
ALeeds0 - 1Fulham
HLeeds0 - 0Newcastle
ALeeds0 - 5Arsenal
HLeeds1 - 0Everton
ALeeds2 - 1Plymouth
HLeeds4 - 0Bristol C
HLeeds6 - 0Stoke
ALeeds1 - 0Oxford Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sunderland since 1997
Sunderland
Leeds
Goals: Scored
11
14
Games: Scored
7 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
3 / 10
SUN
3
D
1
LEE
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sunderland
Draw2 - 2Draw
Sunderland1 - 0
0 - 2Leeds
Sunderland2 - 0
2 - 3Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
Sunderland2 - 0
0 - 2Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
League games at Leeds since 1996
Leeds
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
12
8
Games: Scored
6 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
4 / 10
SUN
3
D
2
LEE
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Leeds2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Sunderland
0 - 1Sunderland
0 - 1Sunderland
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds2 - 1
Leeds3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Sunderland's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Leeds United have conceded in each of their last 12 English Premier League outings. A PG of 1.8 for R. Le Bris's side suggests that run should continue.

Sunderland 8th Leeds 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Sunderland will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Leeds scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Sunderland have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+3
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Sunderland
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.8
1
Attack rating
4%
better
SUN
LEE
view stats
Games scored11
11
Failed to score5
5
Scored first6
5
Goals scored19
20
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
14
Avg. XG for1
1.5
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
31%
better
SUN
LEE
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded17
30
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
5
Conversion rate against10%
22%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+31%

Sunderland v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Sunderland Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16445
R RoefsW IsidorG XhakaR Mandava
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Roefs GLK16
2
-
T Hume DEF161
3
-
G Xhaka MID1614
4
-
N Sadiki MID16
4
-
C Talbi FWD1621
-
W Isidor FWD164
1
-
E Fée MID1523
3
-
N Mukiele DEF1411
3
-
D Ballard DEF1421
1
-
L Geertruida DEF12
-
O Alderete DEF1211
2
-
R Mandava DEF12
4
1
B Brobbey FWD1121
1
-
B Traoré FWD101
1
-
S Adingra FWD91
1
-
E Mayenda FWD81
-
C Rigg MID6
-
H Diarra MID4
1
-
A Masuaku DEF3
1
-
R Mundle FWD3
1
-
L O'Nien DEF2
1
D Neil MID2
-
Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16524
J RodonD Calvert-LewinJ Bogle J Bogle 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Gudmundsson  DEF16
2
-
J Rodon DEF162
1
-
J Bogle  DEF162
4
-
B Aaronson MID1512
1
-
P Struijk DEF14
3
-
A Stach MID1422
2
-
E Ampadu MID14
4
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD145
-
L Nmecha  FWD144
-
A Tanaka MID132
1
-
N Okafor FWD132
2
-
S Longstaff MID1212
1
-
L Perri GLK11
1
-
J Harrison FWD11
-
D James FWD10
-
J Justin  DEF8
1
-
I Gruev MID8
1
-
W Gnonto FWD81
2
-
J Piroe FWD8
-
J Bijol DEF71
-
K Darlow GLK5
-
S Bornauw DEF2
-
S Byram DEF1
-