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Lens v Nantes : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Felix Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Lens and their manager Pierre Sage will be looking to get one over on Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro and his Nantes side on Friday evening, as the pair meet at the Stade Felix Bollaert-Delelis in the Ligue 1. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Lens and Nantes was on Friday 8th May 2026
French Ligue 1
May 8th 2026
Lens 1
0 Nantes
 
M.Soares 79'
 
LEN
NAN
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
5
6
Corners
8
3
Possession
64%
36%
Fouls
15
15
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
LensNantes
 
R. Risser
M. Sarr
A. Bulatović
S. Baidoo
M. Udol
A. Sima (M.Soares 79')
P. Ganiou
A. Haidara (F. Sylla 65')
O. Édouard (R. Aguilar 59')
W. Saïd (A. Bermont 79')
R. Fofana (F. Sotoca 46')
A. Lopes
N. Cozza
C. Collins Awaziem
J. Lepenant
(Y. El-Arabi 82') M. Abline
M. Acapandié
(D. Assoumani 87') F. Guilbert
(A. Youssef 66') U. Radaković
I. Sissoko
(M. Abdallah 82') I. Kpene Ganago
(L. Leroux 82') M. Kaba

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Lens to win

Having examined the bookies' odds and collated statistics regarding both teams ahead of this Ligue 1 game, a bet on win / draw / win for Lens to win and delight their home supporters is what we would suggest. We predict they will have too much for Nantes, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. There could be some bumps along the way, but Lens to win is the bet come Friday evening.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lens are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lens
69%
9/201/40
Draw
19%
4/114/1
Nantes
12%
5/1100/1
Lens 2-0
12%
15/218/5
Lens 1-0
11%
17/24/9
Lens 2-1
10%
15/218/1
Lens 3-0
9%
10/120/1
Draw 1-1
9%
17/26/1
Lens 3-1
7%
10/166/1
Draw 0-0
5%
18/16/5
Lens 4-0
5%
18/180/1
Nantes 1-0
4%
20/16/1
Lens 4-1
4%
18/1100/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/180/1
Nantes 2-1
3%
18/140/1
Lens 3-2
3%
20/1250/1
Lens 5-0
2%
33/1125/1
Lens 5-1
2%
33/1200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/1533/1
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
6/41/1000
Home 1st Goal
60%
2/55/4
Away 1st Goal
36%
15/818/5
No 1st Goal
3%
16/16/5
BTTS - Yes
48%
4/612/1
BTTS - No
52%
11/101/50
BTTS - Home Win
28%
7/416/1
BTTS - Draw
13%
9/26/1
BTTS - Away Win
6%
17/233/1
Home/draw
88%
1/81/1000
Away/draw
31%
13/812/1
Home/away
81%
1/61/66
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/69/2
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4/11/8
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
13/10125/1
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
8/131/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
3/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/41/50
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
6/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/101/50
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/403/5
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
16/16/5
Home DNB
82%
1/61/1000
Away DNB
25%
4/133/1
Lens win to nil
41%
7/4-
Nantes win to nil
6%
12/1-
Lens / Lens
39%
11/105/1
Lens / Nantes
2%
40/145/1
Lens / Draw
5%
14/122/1
Draw / Lens
18%
7/211/10
Draw / Nantes
6%
12/111/2
Draw / Draw
11%
13/25/2
Nantes / Lens
5%
16/128/1
Nantes / Nantes
8%
10/118/1
Nantes / Draw
5%
16/125/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lens have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 4 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Lens have outscored their opponents by 61 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

Lens have played 15 games at home winning 13, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 34 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Nantes are in 17th position in the Ligue 1 on 23 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Nantes have conceded 49 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lens
Nantes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3324454676 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Lens3321482767 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
3
Lille3318781761 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Lyon3318691760 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-4F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
5
Rennes3317881159 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
6
Marseille33175111656 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
7
Monaco3316611754 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
3-5A
l
 
3-1A
8
Strasbourg33148111050 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3F
l
 
1-0A
9
Lorient33111210-145 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
10
Toulouse3312813144 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-3F
May 17
d
 
2-2F
11
Paris FC33101112-441 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-5F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
12
Brest3310815-1238 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
13
Angers339816-1935 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
14
Le Havre3361413-1432 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
15
Auxerre3371016-1231 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
16
Nice3371016-2331 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
17
Nantes335820-2323 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
-
-
18
Metz333723-4416 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Lens 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
16
L
4
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Nantes 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Lens have beaten Nantes in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
Lens have not lost to Nantes in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Lens since 2015
Lens
Nantes
Goals: Scored
14
6
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
LEN
4
D
2
League games at Nantes since 2014
Nantes
Lens
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
LEN
2
D
2
NAN
3
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is fairly strong for Lens in their meeting with Nantes, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 25 consecutive Ligue 1 matches.

Lens 2nd Nantes 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 64% probability that Lens will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Nantes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Lens’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-18
Nantes have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Lens
PG (predicted goals)
Nantes
2.2
0.8
Attack rating
40%
better
LEN
NAN
view stats
Games scored26
19
Failed to score5
13
Scored first18
9
Goals scored61
29
Avg. goals scored2
0.9
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for16
12
Avg. XG for2
1.1
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
25%
better
LEN
NAN
view stats
Games conceded21
25
Clean sheets10
7
Conceded first12
20
Goals conceded33
51
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+25%

Lens v Nantes Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lens Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331276
R RisserW Saïd M UdolR Aguilar
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Risser GLK331
2
-
P Ganiou DEF233
3
1
S Baidoo DEF2321
2
-
M Sarr DEF331
4
-
A Sima MID2122
3
-
A. Bulatović MID194
2
-
A Haidara MID711
-
M Udol MID3417
2
-
W Saïd  FWD29122
2
-
R. Fofana FWD255
-
O Edouard FWD29123
1
-
Subs
M Gorgelin GLK1
-
R Aguilar DEF2622
5
1
N. Čelik DEF8
2
-
A Masuaku DEF4
1
-
K. Antonio DEF41
1
-
F. Sylla MID4
-
A. Bermont MID10
-
F Sotoca FWD261
1
-
Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31647
A LopesM AblineM AblineC Awaziem
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lopes GLK31
4
-
C Awaziem DEF2612
7
-
U Radakovic DEF6
-
N Cozza DEF291
2
-
I Sissoko MID13
4
-
M. Acapandié MID6
-
M Kaba MID122
1
-
J Lepenant MID271
4
-
F Guilbert MID8
1
-
M Abline FWD3264
6
-
I Ganago FWD1331
1
-
Subs
P Carlgren GLK3
-
A Youssef DEF13
3
-
S. Doucouré DEF1
-
L. Leroux MID2311
2
-
D. Assoumani MID271
3
-
R Cabella MID112
1
-
B. Guirassy FWD2021
2
-
Y Arabi FWD253
-
M Mohamed FWD244
1
-
French Ligue 1 match betting previews, predictions and odds