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Marseille v Nice : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Marseille are in Ligue 1 action on Wednesday night, as Jean-Louis Gasset looks to get one over on Francesco Farioli and his Nice side at the Stade Vélodrome. Ligue 1 statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. You can view it all, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.

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Marseille's next match is v Atalanta at 20:00 on Thursday 9th May
Nice's next match is v Le Havre at 20:00 on Friday 10th May
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Marseille and Nice was on Wednesday 24th April 2024
French Ligue 1
April 24th 2024
Marseille 2
2 Nice
 
J. Clauss 31'13' T. Moffi
P. Aubameyang 56'72' M. Bard
 
MAR
NIC
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
4
3
Corners
3
2
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
10
15
Yellow/red cards
1/1
3/0
 
MarseilleNice
 
P. López Sabata
S. Gigot
L. Balerdi Rossa
U. Garcia Lopes
J. Claussfootball icon (M. Murillo Bermudez 65')
A. Harit (P. Gueye 65')
J. Veretout (J. Junior Onana Onana 90')
G. Kondogbia (A. Ounahi 90')
P. Aubameyangfootball icon
F. Pemi Moumbagna
L. Tomaz de Lima (I. Ndiaye 80')
M. Bulka
D. da Costa Santos
J. Todibo
(H. Boudaoui 65') A. Mendy
football iconM. Bard
K. Thuram-Ulien
(G. Laborde 65') M. Sanson
P. Rosario
(A. Claude Maurice 82') M. Cho
(E. Guessand 57') football iconT. Moffi
J. Boga
Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but it's all-but impossible to predict a high-scoring affair here. The stats suggest Marseille and Nice both are poor in attack and defence, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Marseille
49%
6/5
10%
6/5
2%
23/20-
Draw
28%
23/10
3%
21/10
6%
23/10-
Nice
23%
5/2
7%
5/2
3%
5/2-
Marseille 1-0
15%
11/211/2
13%
13/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
11/2-
Draw 0-0
11%
7/1
11%
7/1
20%
17/2-
Marseille 2-0
10%
17/2
6%
9/19/1-
Nice 1-0
10%
8/1
10%
8/1
10%
9/1-
Marseille 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
17/2
6%
15/2-
Nice 2-1
5%
11/1
8%
11/111/1-
Marseille 3-0
5%
20/1
24%
20/118/1-
Nice 2-0
4%
16/1
11%
16/1
11%
16/1-
Marseille 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
20/1
24%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/116/1
13%
14/1-
Marseille 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
33/1
17%
25/1-
Marseille 4-0
2%
40/155/1
10%
40/1-
Nice 3-1
1%
28/1
15%
33/1
17%
28/1-
Marseille 4-1
1%
40/155/1
22%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
13/10
12%
5/4
13%
Evs-
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
8/13
7%
4/7
10%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/11
7%
5/6
2%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
40%
6/4
4%
29/20
3%
13/10-
No 1st Goal
8%
7/1
11%
7/1
20%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
42%
19/2020/21
11%
4/5-
BTTS - No
58%
4/54/5
8%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
4/1
11%
19/5
13%
16/5-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
5%
17/5
4%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
13/2
6%
6/1
8%
11/2-
Home/draw
77%
2/7
3%
2/7
1%
3/10-
Away/draw
51%
4/6
7%
4/67/10-
Home/away
72%
1/3
2%
4/11
2%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
2/5
3%
2/5
8%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
2/1
6%
7/4
14%
9/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
10/3
8%
16/5
24%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
2/9
2%
1/5
7%
2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
8/1
13%
8/1
29%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/14
1%
1/16
4%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
18/1
12%
22/1
53%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/501/40
1%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/12
1%
1/12
2%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
7/1
11%
13/2
21%
7/1-
Home DNB
68%
8/15
6%
8/151/2-
Away DNB
43%
11/8
9%
11/86/4-
Marseille win to nil
32%
5/2
8%
12/5
6%
5/2-
Nice win to nil
15%
9/2
8%
9/2
8%
5/1-
Marseille / Marseille
23%
13/5
11%
11/4
4%
12/5-
Marseille / Nice
2%
33/145/1
12%
33/1-
Marseille / Draw
6%
14/114/112/1-
Draw / Marseille
16%
4/14/19/2-
Draw / Nice
12%
6/1
13%
6/1
7%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
5%
17/5
8%
4/1-
Nice / Marseille
3%
28/1
12%
33/1
17%
25/1-
Nice / Nice
15%
9/2
15%
11/2
8%
9/2-
Nice / Draw
6%
14/114/114/1-
bet365
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Marseille have conceded 20 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Marseille have played 14 games at home, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 24 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Nice lay in 5th place on 47 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored 24 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Nice have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Nice have played 14 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Marseille
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Nice
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
 PSG31201014770 
May 15
w
 
2-3F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-2F
 Monaco3117771758 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Brest3116871656 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
 Lille31151061855 
d
 
1-1F
May 19
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Nice Away3114981151 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Lens3214711849 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
-
-
 Marseille Home3111119944 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Lyon3113513-944 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
 Rennes3111911742 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Montpellier32101111-340 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
 Toulouse32101012-340 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1A
May 15
 Reims3111713-740 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Strasbourg319913-1036 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Nantes319517-2032 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
May 19
 Le Havre3161114-1129 
May 10
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
 Metz318518-1929 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 12
w
 
2-4F
 Lorient326818-2626 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-5F
 Clermont3151016-2525 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
see results
HOME FORM
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille4 - 1Montpellier
Marseille1 - 1Metz
Marseille2 - 2Monaco
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille2 - 1Clermont
Marseille3 - 0Lyon
Marseille2 - 0Rennes
Marseille0 - 0Lille
Marseille3 - 0Le Havre
Marseille0 - 0Toulouse
Marseille2 - 0Brest
Marseille2 - 1Reims
Marseille1 - 2Brest
Marseille3 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 1Auxerre
Marseille3 - 1Troyes
Marseille1 - 1Montpellier
Marseille2 - 2Strasbourg
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
AMarseille2 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Lille
HMarseille0 - 2PSG
AMarseille0 - 2Rennes
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille5 - 1Clermont
HMarseille4 - 1Montpellier
AMarseille0 - 1Brest
HMarseille1 - 1Metz
AMarseille0 - 1Lyon
HMarseille2 - 2Monaco
HMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille1 - 1Montpellier
HMarseille2 - 1Clermont
AMarseille4 - 2Lorient
HMarseille3 - 0Lyon
HMarseille2 - 0Rennes
AMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille0 - 0Lille
Nice 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
see results
AWAY FORM
Reims0 - 0Nice
Lens1 - 3Nice
Toulouse2 - 1Nice
Lyon1 - 0Nice
Brest0 - 0Nice
Rennes2 - 0Nice
Le Havre3 - 1Nice
Nantes1 - 0Nice
Montpellier0 - 0Nice
Clermont0 - 1Nice
Metz0 - 1Nice
Monaco0 - 1Nice
PSG2 - 3Nice
Lorient1 - 1Nice
Montpellier2 - 3Nice
Strasbourg2 - 0Nice
Troyes0 - 1Nice
Brest1 - 0Nice
Angers1 - 1Nice
Nantes2 - 2Nice
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
see results
OVERALL FORM
HNice3 - 0Lorient
ANice0 - 0Reims
HNice1 - 2Nantes
ANice3 - 1Lens
HNice1 - 2Montpellier
ANice1 - 2Toulouse
HNice0 - 0Clermont
ANice0 - 1Lyon
HNice2 - 3Monaco
ANice0 - 0Brest
HNice1 - 0Metz
ANice0 - 2Rennes
HNice2 - 0Lens
ANice1 - 3Le Havre
HNice2 - 1Reims
ANice0 - 1Nantes
HNice1 - 0Toulouse
ANice0 - 0Montpellier
HNice2 - 0Rennes
ANice1 - 0Clermont
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Nice
Goals: Scored
15
10
Games: Scored
7 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
2 / 9
MAR
6
NIC
3
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
1 - 3Nice
Marseille2 - 1
Marseille3 - 2
Marseille1 - 0
Marseille2 - 1
Marseille2 - 1
0 - 1Nice
Marseille4 - 0
0 - 1Nice
All league games since 2014
Marseille
Nice
Goals: Scored
30
24
Games: Scored
15 / 19
15 / 19
Clean sheets
4 / 19
4 / 19
MAR
10
D
2
NIC
7
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Nice1 - 0
1 - 3Nice
0 - 3Marseille
Marseille2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Nice3 - 0
Marseille3 - 2
1 - 2Marseille
Marseille1 - 0
0 - 1Marseille
Marseille2 - 1
2 - 4Marseille
Marseille2 - 1
Nice3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Nice
Nice2 - 1
Marseille4 - 0
0 - 1Nice
Goal Statistics
Marseille 7th Nice 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Nice scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Marseille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-26
Nice have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Statistics Ligue 1 - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/262967/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Nice
1.3
0.8
Attack rating
8%
better
MAR
NIC
view stats
Games scored22
22
Failed to score9
9
Scored first15
17
Goals scored47
36
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate14%
12%
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
MAR
NIC
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
15
Clean sheets7
16
Conceded first14
8
Goals conceded38
25
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate15%
11%
KickOff rating
+33%

Marseille v Nice Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271177
P LópezP AubameyangP AubameyangS Gigot 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P López GLK27
1
-
L Balerdi DEF222
4
-
S Gigot  DEF182
6
1
U Garcia DEF8
-
J Clauss  MID2322
2
1
A Harit  MID2512
5
-
G Kondogbia MID20
2
-
J Veretout MID2312
4
-
L Henrique MID91
-
F Moumbagna FWD821
-
P Aubameyang FWD28117
3
-
Subs
R Blanco GLK2
-
M Murillo DEF1021
1
-
A Ounahi MID192
2
-
J Onana MID8
1
-
P Gueye MID9
-
R. Daou MID
-
J Correa FWD11
3
-
I Ndiaye FWD2432
1
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD
-
Nice Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281037
M Bulka T MoffiM SansonY Ndayishimiye
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Bulka  GLK28
1
-
A Mendy DEF4
-
J Todibo DEF241
1
1
Dante DEF271
5
1
M Bard DEF272
5
-
M Sanson MID243
2
-
P Rosario MID24
3
-
K Thuram MID211
6
-
M Cho FWD112
-
T Moffi FWD24102
3
-
J Boga FWD2242
1
-
Subs
M Dupé GLK
-
R Perraud DEF171
2
-
H Boudaoui MID2321
5
-
T Louchet MID121
1
-
Y Ndayishimiye MID20
6
1
G Laborde FWD2842
2
-
A Balde FWD6
-
E Guessand FWD284
1
-
A Claude-Maurice FWD16
-