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Toulouse v Paris Saint-Germain : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Feb, 20:05 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Paris Saint-Germain pay Ligue 1 rivals Toulouse a visit on Saturday night, as Luis Enrique Martínez García leads his men into an away clash with Carles Martínez Novell & co. at the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 top betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for the two sides. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookies suggest that this Ligue 1 showdown will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 58% chance of PSG coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
21%
5.755.75
10%
Draw
21%
4.75
10%
4.60
2%
PSG
58%
1.501.53
1%
PSG 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Draw 1-1
10%
9.00
6%
8.00
PSG 2-0
9%
8.50
6%
8.00
PSG 1-0
8%
9.00
10%
8.00
6%
PSG 3-1
7%
11.009.50
5%
PSG 3-0
6%
11.00
8%
10.00
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
Toulouse 2-1
6%
17.00
11%
15.00
15%
Toulouse 1-0
5%
19.00
10%
15.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.0013.00
PSG 3-2
4%
21.00
11%
15.00
PSG 4-1
3%
19.0015.00
PSG 4-0
3%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
Toulouse 2-0
3%
34.0023.00
Toulouse 3-2
2%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1.53
2%
1.50
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
2.50
5%
2.45
2%
Home 1st Goal
43%
3.20
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.36-
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
59%
1.67
3%
1.65
2%
BTTS - No
41%
2.10
5%
2.15
2%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
9.008.00
7%
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.50
10%
5.25
5%
BTTS - Away Win
30%
2.88
5%
2.75
Home/draw
42%
2.502.50
4%
Away/draw
79%
1.141.14
1%
Home/away
79%
1.18
2%
1.20
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.17
3%
1.15
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5.00
9%
4.80
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
2.38
8%
2.25
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1.57
6%
1.60
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
4.003.75
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1.251.25
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8.00
14%
6.50
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.08
2%
1.09
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.021.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.0013.00
Home DNB
36%
4.33
4%
4.20
8%
Away DNB
72%
1.20
2%
1.20
2%
Toulouse win to nil
9%
11.00
15%
-
PSG win to nil
27%
2.75
8%
-
Toulouse / Toulouse
9%
9.508.00
7%
Toulouse / PSG
5%
19.00
12%
15.00
Toulouse / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
15%
Draw / Toulouse
7%
12.0011.00
10%
Draw / PSG
18%
4.33
4%
4.33
2%
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00
7%
6.50
PSG / Toulouse
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
PSG / PSG
36%
2.252.20
4%
PSG / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Toulouse have conceded 18 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Toulouse have played 11 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

PSG lay in 1st place on 53 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 21 matches. PSG are unbeaten in 21 games against teams below them in the league and kept 5 clean sheets out of 21 games. PSG are unbeaten away after 10 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 58 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. PSG have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

PSG have played 10 away games, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
PSG
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG Away2116503853 
Feb 15
l
 
3-0A
-
-
2
Marseille2113442043 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 6
Mar 16
w
 
0-3F
3
Nice2110741537 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 27
d
 
1-1A
4
Monaco211146937 
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
2-4F
5
Lille219841235 
Apr 13
l
 
2-1F
Mar 1
w
 
1-3F
6
Lyon219661033 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
Feb 23
7
Lens21966533 
May 11
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
8
Brest2110110-331 
Mar 30
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
2-5F
9
Strasbourg21867330 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 16
w
 
4-2F
May 4
10
Toulouse Home21768-127 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Feb 15
11
Auxerre21669-624 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
12
Rennes217212-123 
May 4
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
Mar 9
13
Angers216510-923 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 2
Apr 6
w
 
2-4F
14
Reims21579-722 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
15
Nantes21498-821 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
Apr 13
16
St Etienne215313-2618 
w
 
2-1A
May 18
w
 
2-1F
Mar 30
17
Le Havre215214-2317 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 23
Apr 20
w
 
1-4F
18
Montpellier214314-2815 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
6-0F
May 11
Win / draw / win form
3
PSG have won 3 consecutive away league games
34
PSG have not lost in 34 consecutive away league games
Toulouse 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
PSG
Goals: Scored
6
12
Games: Scored
4 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
4 / 8
TOU
1
D
2
PSG
5
League games at PSG since 2013
PSG
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
27
7
Games: Scored
9 / 10
4 / 10
Clean sheets
6 / 10
1 / 10
TOU
1
D
1
PSG
8
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Toulouse of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday night against Paris Saint-Germain.

Paris Saint-Germain's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive Ligue 1 games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

Toulouse 10th PSG 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Toulouse have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
+31
PSG have scored 31% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
2.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279142/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
PSG
1.2
2
Attack rating
%
better
TOU
PSG
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
TOU
PSG
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Toulouse v PSG Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20647
Z AboukhlalZ AboukhlalG SuazoC Yepes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Z Aboukhlal FWD2162
4
-
G. Restes GLK20
-
A Dönnum MID201
3
-
C Yepes MID2011
7
-
Y Gboho FWD2022
1
-
S Babicka FWD2041
1
-
M McKenzie DEF191
1
-
C Cresswell DEF191
1
-
G Suazo DEF194
-
J King FWD1942
2
-
F Magri FWD19
2
1
W Kamanzi DEF17
1
-
D Sidibé DEF162
1
-
V Sierro MID1611
2
-
M Zajc MID12
2
-
J. Canvot DEF8
1
-
N Schmidt MID81
-
R Nicolaisen DEF71
-
U Akdag DEF5
1
-
K Haug GLK1
-
PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181675
B BarcolaO DembéléJ NevesL Beraldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Lee FWD2164
1
-
B Barcola FWD21115
1
-
F Ruiz MID2021
-
W Pacho DEF191
2
-
O Dembélé FWD19164
1
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID1811
2
-
Vitinha MID184
1
-
D Doué FWD1814
1
-
G Donnarumma GLK17
2
-
J Neves MID1727
-
A Hakimi DEF1625
2
-
Marquinhos DEF15
3
-
N Mendes  DEF1412
1
-
L Beraldo DEF131
5
-
S. Mayulu MID111
1
-
G Ramos FWD1042
-
L Hernández  DEF7
1
-
M Safonov GLK5
-
I. Mbaye FWD5
-
Y. Zague DEF3
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD311
-