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Nice v Troyes : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Nov, 19:45 BST, Allianz Riviera, Nice

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Ligue 1, and Olivier Pantaloni’s Nice will have the blessing of it on Saturday evening. Stéphane Dumont’s Troyes are their visitors to the Allianz Riviera. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Nice and Troyes have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.50.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nice are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nice
59%
13/20
5%
-
Draw
23%
14/5
3%
-
Troyes
17%
4/1
9%
-
Nice 1-0
13%
15/2-
Nice 2-0
12%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2-
Nice 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
12/1-
Nice 3-0
7%
12/1
8%
-
Troyes 1-0
6%
16/1-
Nice 3-1
6%
11/1-
Troyes 2-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
12/1
13%
-
Nice 4-0
3%
22/1-
Troyes 2-0
3%
28/1-
Nice 4-1
2%
22/1-
Nice 3-2
2%
20/1-
Troyes 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
4/6-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
6/5-
Home 1st Goal
57%
8/15
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
8/5
1%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
4/6
2%
-
BTTS - No
54%
11/10
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
11/5-
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/4
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
15/2
11%
-
Home/draw
83%
1/6
3%
-
Away/draw
41%
6/5
4%
-
Home/away
77%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/5-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1-
Home DNB
76%
1/4
2%
-
Away DNB
34%
11/4
6%
-
Nice win to nil
36%
2/1-
Troyes win to nil
10%
9/1
9%
-
Nice / Nice
33%
6/4
4%
-
Nice / Troyes
2%
33/1-
Nice / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Nice
18%
15/4
6%
-
Draw / Troyes
8%
9/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Troyes / Nice
4%
20/1-
Troyes / Troyes
10%
7/1
6%
-
Troyes / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Nice have played 10 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Ligue 1 league table. Nice are unbeaten at home after 5 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Nice have outscored their opponents by 15 goals to 7 goals.

Home League Performance

Nice have played 5 games at home winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 10 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 5 goals at home.

Troyes are in 17th position in the Ligue 1 on 8 points having played 10 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 6 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Troyes have conceded 17 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nice
Troyes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG107211223 
Nov 21
May 16
May 22
l
 
1-0A
2
Lille10631721 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 13
Feb 6
l
 
2-0A
3
Paris FC10622720 
Apr 10
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 13
4
Marseille10604818 
May 8
Dec 6
l
 
0-2A
Jan 31
5
Lyon10523617 
Apr 3
l
 
2-1F
Dec 6
Mar 13
6
Nice10523317 
-
-
Feb 27
Nov 28
7
Monaco10442216 
May 22
Jan 2
Jan 22
May 29
8
Rennes10514016 
w
 
5-2F
May 1
Jan 2
Apr 17
9
Brest10433615 
Feb 6
w
 
1-2A
May 1
Dec 12
10
Lorient10433115 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 20
Mar 6
w
 
1-2F
11
Lens10415213 
Dec 12
Apr 17
l
 
1-3A
Feb 20
12
Toulouse10343113 
Mar 13
Jan 23
Apr 24
d
 
0-00-0
13
Strasbourg10316-410 
w
 
2-1A
May 29
l
 
2-6F
May 16
14
Auxerre10316-1110 
Feb 20
l
 
1-0A
Mar 20
Jan 16
15
Le Mans10154-78 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 30
w
 
2-0F
May 8
16
Angers10226-108 
Apr 24
w
 
0-2F
Apr 10
l
 
2-0A
17
Troyes10226-108 
Nov 28
Feb 27
-
-
18
Le Havre10028-132 
Jan 16
Mar 6
Nov 20
Apr 3
Win / draw / win form
4
Troyes have failed to score in 4 consecutive away league games
Nice 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nice5 - 2Rennes
Nice2 - 1Strasbourg
Nice2 - 1Lille
Nice1 - 1Le Mans
Nice0 - 0Lorient
Nice0 - 0Metz
Nice1 - 1Lens
Nice1 - 1Le Havre
Nice0 - 4PSG
Nice0 - 4Rennes
Nice3 - 3Lorient
Nice0 - 0Monaco
Nice2 - 2Brest
Nice1 - 1Strasbourg
Nice0 - 1Angers
Nice1 - 5Marseille
Nice2 - 0Lille
Nice3 - 2Lyon
Nice1 - 1Paris FC
Nice1 - 0Nantes
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANice2 - 0Angers
HNice5 - 2Rennes
ANice2 - 1Brest
ANice1 - 2Lyon
HNice2 - 1Strasbourg
HNice2 - 1Lille
ANice0 - 1Auxerre
HNice1 - 1Le Mans
ANice0 - 3Paris FC
HNice0 - 0Lorient
HNice0 - 0Metz
ANice1 - 2Auxerre
HNice1 - 1Lens
ANice1 - 1Marseille
ANice0 - 0Lille
HNice1 - 1Le Havre
ANice1 - 3Strasbourg
HNice0 - 4PSG
ANice2 - 0Angers
HNice0 - 4Rennes
Troyes 17TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG1 - 0Troyes
Toulouse0 - 0Troyes
Angers2 - 0Troyes
Lille2 - 0Troyes
Lorient1 - 2Troyes
Grenoble1 - 0Troyes
St Etienne0 - 3Troyes
Rodez2 - 1Troyes
Montpellier2 - 2Troyes
Annecy1 - 2Troyes
Amiens0 - 2Troyes
Bastia0 - 0Troyes
Nancy2 - 1Troyes
Guingamp1 - 0Troyes
Boulogne1 - 2Troyes
Lavallois0 - 1Troyes
Pau1 - 1Troyes
Reims0 - 0Troyes
Le Mans2 - 2Troyes
Red Star1 - 3Troyes
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATroyes0 - 1PSG
HTroyes2 - 0Le Mans
ATroyes0 - 0Toulouse
HTroyes1 - 3Lens
HTroyes0 - 2Marseille
ATroyes0 - 2Angers
ATroyes0 - 2Lille
HTroyes2 - 6Strasbourg
ATroyes2 - 1Lorient
HTroyes0 - 0Paris FC
ATroyes0 - 1Grenoble
HTroyes4 - 0Lavallois
ATroyes3 - 0St Etienne
HTroyes1 - 0Boulogne
ATroyes1 - 2Rodez
ATroyes2 - 2Montpellier
HTroyes5 - 1Dunkerque
ATroyes2 - 1Annecy
HTroyes2 - 1Clermont
ATroyes2 - 0Amiens
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nice since 2016
Nice
Troyes
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
NIC
3
TRO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nice
Nice3 - 2
Nice1 - 0
1 - 2Troyes
Nice2 - 1
League games at Troyes since 2015
Troyes
Nice
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
NIC
2
D
1
TRO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Troyes
0 - 1Nice
Troyes1 - 0
0 - 2Nice
Draw3 - 3Draw
Goal Statistics

Nice have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.7 against Troyes on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Nice 6th Troyes 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Nice will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Troyes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Nice have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
Troyes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2026/2027 season
Nice
PG (predicted goals)
Troyes
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
NIC
TRO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
NIC
TRO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Nice v Troyes Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nice Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10634
Y DioufE WahiG HeinE Wahi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Diouf GLK10
1
-
M Abdelmonem DEF10
3
-
Y Ndayishimiye DEF10
3
-
J Clauss  DEF1031
-
G Hein FWD103
-
S Diop FWD1023
2
-
X. Mandza Tsiendi MID9
1
-
D. Coulibaly MID9
1
-
E Wahi FWD962
4
-
N Nkounkou DEF8
2
-
A Witsel MID8
-
M Amoura FWD822
3
-
N N'Goumou FWD7
-
H Boudaoui MID6
-
I Jansson FWD5
1
-
H. Koutoune DEF4
1
-
A Seidu DEF4
-
A Mendy DEF3
-
A Abdi DEF3
-
M Sanson MID3
-
E. Pereira MID3
-
Z. Diallo FWD1
1
-
Troyes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10115
M DiazM DiopA MonfrayM Diaz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Diaz DEF10
5
-
A Monfray DEF101
-
M Diop MID1011
1
-
A. Mille MID1011
3
-
R Ripart FWD101
1
-
K Diawara FWD101
-
L Maronnier DEF91
1
-
K Dermane MID9
1
-
I Gomis MID9
1
-
H Picard MID8
-
T Nkada FWD811
1
-
J Douaron FWD81
1
-
P. Beach GLK7
1
-
M. Ifnaoui FWD7
-
N. Donkor Znamensky DEF5
-
A. Ouzenadji DEF51
-
Y. Kone FWD5
-
P Gozzi DEF4
1
-
H Konaté GLK3
-
A Phliponeau  MID3
-
I Boura DEF21
1
-
Y. Titi DEF2
-
I. Soukouna MID1
-
C. Batola FWD1
-