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Le Mans v Lille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Nov, 19:45 BST, Stade de La Pincenardière, Mulsanne

Le Mans are in Ligue 1 action on Saturday evening, as Patrick Videira attempts to outsmart Davide Ancelotti and his Lille side at the Stade de La Pincenardière. Below you'll find predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Le Mans and Lille will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Le Mans and Lille an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Le Mans
25%
16/5
3%
-
Draw
25%
5/2
5%
-
Lille
50%
4/5
4%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Lille 1-0
11%
6/1
13%
-
Lille 2-1
10%
15/2-
Lille 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
-
Le Mans 1-0
7%
11/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
23%
-
Le Mans 2-1
6%
14/1-
Lille 3-1
5%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Lille 3-0
5%
14/1-
Le Mans 2-0
4%
20/1
9%
-
Lille 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
Le Mans 3-1
2%
33/1-
Lille 4-1
2%
28/1
12%
-
Lille 4-0
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
10/11
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
10/11
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
43%
6/4-
Away 1st Goal
53%
8/13
3%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - No
47%
19/20
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
23%
3/1
14%
-
Home/draw
50%
19/20
5%
-
Away/draw
75%
2/9
2%
-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3/10
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
5/2
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12/5
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/3
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/2
18%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/9
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
23%
-
Home DNB
42%
9/4-
Away DNB
68%
1/3-
Le Mans win to nil
13%
7/1-
Lille win to nil
27%
2/1
8%
-
Le Mans / Le Mans
12%
6/1-
Le Mans / Lille
4%
22/1
10%
-
Le Mans / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Le Mans
9%
8/1
5%
-
Draw / Lille
18%
15/4-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
-
Lille / Le Mans
2%
33/1-
Lille / Lille
29%
15/8
5%
-
Lille / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Le Mans have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Le Mans have conceded 17 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Le Mans have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Lille lay in 2nd place on 21 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 10 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 12 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lille have conceded 5 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Lille have played 5 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Le Mans
Lille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG107211223 
Feb 13
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 17
2
Lille10631721 
Nov 28
May 29
-
-
3
Paris FC10622720 
Feb 27
Dec 5
Jan 23
May 8
4
Marseille10604818 
Apr 3
Nov 22
Mar 6
Jan 15
5
Lyon10523617 
Jan 3
May 16
Nov 21
Jan 31
6
Nice10523317 
Jan 30
d
 
1-1F
Feb 13
l
 
2-1A
7
Monaco10442216 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 20
Apr 24
d
 
1-1F
8
Rennes10514016 
Mar 13
l
 
3-2A
Apr 3
w
 
1-2F
9
Brest10433615 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 17
d
 
1-1A
Mar 13
10
Lorient10433115 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 6
Feb 20
Dec 13
11
Lens10415213 
d
 
2-2F
May 1
w
 
1-0F
Mar 20
12
Toulouse10343113 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 6
Apr 10
w
 
0-1F
13
Strasbourg10316-410 
May 22
Jan 16
Jan 3
May 1
14
Auxerre10316-1110 
Apr 10
d
 
1-1F
Dec 5
Feb 27
15
Le Mans10154-78 
-
-
May 29
Nov 28
16
Angers10226-108 
Jan 23
Mar 20
May 16
w
 
0-2F
17
Troyes10226-108 
May 8
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
Feb 6
18
Le Havre10028-132 
Apr 24
Dec 12
w
 
1-0F
May 22
Win / draw / win form
Le Mans 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Le Mans1 - 1Monaco
Le Mans0 - 3Toulouse
Le Mans2 - 1Lorient
Le Mans2 - 2Lens
Le Mans2 - 2Brest
Le Mans1 - 1Reims
Le Mans1 - 0Clermont
Le Mans4 - 0Pau
Le Mans3 - 0Annecy
Le Mans1 - 1Guingamp
Le Mans1 - 1Lavallois
Le Mans1 - 0Dunkerque
Le Mans0 - 0St Etienne
Le Mans1 - 0Amiens
Le Mans0 - 0Red Star
Le Mans1 - 0Nancy
Le Mans1 - 0Boulogne
Le Mans2 - 2Troyes
Le Mans1 - 0Grenoble
Le Mans0 - 1Rodez
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLe Mans1 - 1Monaco
ALe Mans0 - 2Troyes
ALe Mans1 - 1Auxerre
HLe Mans0 - 3Toulouse
ALe Mans1 - 3PSG
HLe Mans2 - 1Lorient
HLe Mans2 - 2Lens
ALe Mans1 - 1Nice
ALe Mans2 - 3Rennes
HLe Mans2 - 2Brest
ALe Mans2 - 0Bastia
HLe Mans1 - 1Reims
ALe Mans1 - 1Grenoble
HLe Mans1 - 0Clermont
ALe Mans0 - 0Boulogne
HLe Mans4 - 0Pau
ALe Mans4 - 3Amiens
ALe Mans4 - 2Nancy
HLe Mans3 - 0Annecy
ALe Mans0 - 0Red Star
Lille 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rennes1 - 2Lille
Monaco1 - 1Lille
Nice2 - 1Lille
Toulouse0 - 1Lille
Angers0 - 2Lille
Monaco0 - 1Lille
Paris FC0 - 1Lille
Toulouse0 - 4Lille
Marseille1 - 2Lille
Rennes1 - 2Lille
Angers0 - 1Lille
Metz0 - 0Lille
Lyon1 - 0Lille
PSG3 - 0Lille
Auxerre3 - 4Lille
Le Havre0 - 1Lille
Strasbourg2 - 0Lille
Nice2 - 0Lille
Nantes0 - 2Lille
Lens3 - 0Lille
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALille2 - 1Rennes
HLille1 - 0Lens
ALille1 - 1Monaco
HLille1 - 1Brest
HLille1 - 0Le Havre
ALille1 - 2Nice
HLille2 - 0Troyes
ALille1 - 0Toulouse
HLille2 - 2PSG
ALille2 - 0Angers
HLille0 - 2Auxerre
ALille1 - 0Monaco
HLille1 - 1Le Havre
ALille1 - 0Paris FC
HLille0 - 0Nice
ALille4 - 0Toulouse
HLille3 - 0Lens
ALille2 - 1Marseille
ALille2 - 1Rennes
HLille1 - 1Lorient
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Le Mans of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday evening against Lille.

Lille have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Le Mans on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Le Mans 15th Lille 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Le Mans will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Le Mans’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
Lille have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2026/2027 season
Le Mans
PG (predicted goals)
Lille
1.1
1.6
Attack rating
%
better
LMS
LIL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
LMS
LIL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Le Mans v Lille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Le Mans Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10424
L MafoutaL MafoutaL CalodatN. Boissé
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Calodat DEF1012
-
L Mafouta FWD1041
1
-
D Gueye FWD101
1
-
N. Boissé DEF9
4
-
L. Bretelle MID92
-
J. Vercruysse MID91
1
-
N Kocik GLK8
1
-
S Yohou DEF8
2
-
R. Bamba DEF81
1
-
A Lauray MID8
4
-
A Rabillard FWD8
-
H. Voyer DEF7
1
-
H Diallo FWD71
1
-
Y Larouci DEF6
-
L Buadés DEF61
1
-
B Brahimi FWD6
1
-
D Sidibé DEF5
2
1
A. Bourabaa MID532
1
-
R Torrente DEF4
1
-
D Traoré MID4
-
W. Harhouz FWD4
-
E Hatfout GLK3
-
T. Eyoum DEF2
-
E. Colas FWD21
-
Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9323
N BentalebO GiroudO GiroudR Perraud
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Perraud DEF10
3
-
N Bentaleb MID101
-
H Haraldsson MID101
2
-
N Mukau MID10
-
B Özer GLK9
1
-
Alexsandro DEF9
-
N Ngoy  DEF91
1
-
E. Mbappé Lottin MID92
-
O Giroud FWD932
1
-
B André MID8
1
-
D Bakwa FWD821
-
C Verdonk DEF7
2
-
T Santos DEF62
-
M Kjaergaard MID62
3
-
G Perrin FWD5
-
M. Goffi DEF4
2
-
T Nianzou DEF41
1
B. Onal FWD4
-
O Sahraoui FWD4
-
S. Diaoune FWD412
-
A Ueda FWD42
-
I. Cossier DEF3
-
O Gill GLK1
-