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Lille v Nantes : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Mar, 16:15 BST, Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Bruno Génésio and Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro pit their wits in the Ligue 1 on Sunday afternoon, as Lille face Nantes at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Ligue 1 match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Lille and Nantes will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Bruno Génésio or Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.22 equating to about a 79% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lille 56%	9/20	10/21
Draw 23%	31/10	10/3
Nantes 21%	6/1	11/2
Draw 1-1 11%	7/1	13/2
Lille 1-0 10%	13/2	11/2
Lille 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Lille 2-0 9%	6/1	11/2
Lille 3-1 6%	11/1	9/1
Nantes 1-0 6%	18/1	12/1
Lille 3-0 6%	9/1	8/1
Nantes 2-1 6%	20/1	14/1
Draw 0-0 6%	11/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	12/1
Lille 3-2 3%	25/1	18/1
Nantes 2-0 3%	40/1	22/1
Lille 4-1 3%	20/1	16/1
Lille 4-0 3%	18/1	14/1
Nantes 3-1 2%	50/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	8/11	7/10
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	11/10	21/20
Home 1st Goal 55%	2/5	2/5
Away 1st Goal 42%	21/10	23/10
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1	9/1
BTTS - Yes 55%	19/20	10/11
BTTS - No 45%	4/5	4/5
BTTS - Home Win 26%	9/4	11/5
BTTS - Draw 17%	9/2	17/4
BTTS - Away Win 11%	12/1	9/1
Home/draw 79%	1/10	1/9
Away/draw 44%	13/8	8/5
Home/away 77%	2/9	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	2/9	2/9
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	10/3	29/10
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	7/4	17/10
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	4/9	2/5
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	4/1	19/5
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/6	2/13
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	10/1	8/1
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/20	1/20
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/25	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	11/1	10/1
Home DNB 72%	1/7	2/13
Away DNB 37%	9/2	19/5
Lille win to nil 29%	11/8	-
Nantes win to nil 10%	12/1	-
Lille / Lille 37%	6/5	23/20
Lille / Nantes 2%	40/1	33/1
Lille / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Lille 19%	10/3	16/5
Draw / Nantes 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	5/1
Nantes / Lille 4%	20/1	16/1
Nantes / Nantes 8%	11/1	17/2
Nantes / Draw 5%	18/1	14/1

Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lille have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Lille have outscored their opponents by 35 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Lille have played 11 games at home winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 18 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Nantes are in 17th position in the Ligue 1 on 14 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Nantes have conceded 38 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Lille Nantes
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lens	22	17	1	4	25	52	Apr 5	l 3-0A	l 1-2A	May 9
2	PSG	22	16	3	3	30	51	d 1-1A	l 3-0A	l 0-1A	Mar 15
3	Lyon	22	14	3	5	16	45	l 0-1A	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	l 3-0A
4	Marseille	22	12	4	6	19	40	w 1-0F	Mar 22	May 3	w 0-2F
5	Lille	22	10	4	8	4	34	-	-	l 0-2A	Mar 1
6	Rennes	22	9	7	6	-1	34	l 0-2A	Mar 15	d 2-2A	Apr 26
7	Strasbourg	22	9	4	9	7	31	l 1-4A	l 2-0A	Mar 22	l 1-0A
8	Monaco	22	9	4	9	1	31	w 1-0F	May 9	l 3-5A	l 3-1A
9	Lorient	22	8	7	7	-4	31	Mar 8	w 1-7F	d 1-1A	l 2-1A
10	Toulouse	22	8	6	8	6	30	w 2-1A	Apr 12	May 16	d 2-2F
11	Angers	22	8	5	9	-5	29	w 1-0F	Feb 22	Mar 7	l 4-1A
12	Brest	22	7	6	9	-5	27	d 1-1A	d 3-3F	Apr 19	d 0-00-0
13	Le Havre	22	6	8	8	-7	26	May 3	w 0-1F	Feb 22	d 1-1F
14	Nice	22	6	5	11	-13	23	Apr 19	l 2-0A	l 1-4A	l 1-0A
15	Paris FC	22	5	7	10	-13	22	w 4-2A	Apr 26	l 1-2A	w 1-2F
16	Auxerre	22	4	5	13	-13	17	May 16	w 3-4F	w 1-0F	Apr 12
17	Nantes	22	3	5	14	-20	14	Mar 1	w 0-2F	-	-
18	Metz	22	3	4	15	-27	13	w 6-1F	d 0-00-0	l 0-2A	Apr 5

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Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lille	1 - 1	Brest
Lille	1 - 4	Strasbourg
Lille	0 - 2	Rennes
Lille	1 - 0	Marseille
Lille	4 - 2	Paris FC
Lille	1 - 0	Angers
Lille	6 - 1	Metz
Lille	1 - 1	PSG
Lille	0 - 1	Lyon
Lille	2 - 1	Toulouse
Lille	1 - 0	Monaco
Lille	2 - 1	Reims
Lille	1 - 1	Marseille
Lille	3 - 1	Auxerre
Lille	1 - 0	Lens
Lille	1 - 0	Montpellier
Lille	2 - 1	Monaco
Lille	1 - 2	Le Havre
Lille	4 - 1	St Etienne
Lille	2 - 1	Nice

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Lille	1 - 1	Brest
A	Lille	0 - 0	Metz
A	Lille	0 - 1	Lyon
H	Lille	1 - 4	Strasbourg
A	Lille	0 - 3	PSG
H	Lille	0 - 2	Rennes
A	Lille	4 - 3	Auxerre
H	Lille	1 - 0	Marseille
A	Lille	1 - 0	Le Havre
H	Lille	4 - 2	Paris FC
A	Lille	0 - 2	Strasbourg
H	Lille	1 - 0	Angers
A	Lille	0 - 2	Nice
H	Lille	6 - 1	Metz
A	Lille	2 - 0	Nantes
H	Lille	1 - 1	PSG
H	Lille	0 - 1	Lyon
A	Lille	0 - 3	Lens
H	Lille	2 - 1	Toulouse
A	Lille	7 - 1	Lorient

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monaco	3 - 1	Nantes
Lorient	2 - 1	Nantes
Marseille	0 - 2	Nantes
Angers	4 - 1	Nantes
Lyon	3 - 0	Nantes
Le Havre	1 - 1	Nantes
Paris FC	1 - 2	Nantes
Brest	0 - 0	Nantes
Toulouse	2 - 2	Nantes
Nice	1 - 0	Nantes
Strasbourg	1 - 0	Nantes
Auxerre	1 - 1	Nantes
Rennes	2 - 1	Nantes
Nice	1 - 2	Nantes
Le Havre	3 - 2	Nantes
Marseille	2 - 0	Nantes
Monaco	7 - 1	Nantes
Reims	1 - 2	Nantes
St Etienne	1 - 1	Nantes
Lille	1 - 1	Nantes

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Nantes	1 - 3	Monaco
H	Nantes	0 - 1	Lyon
A	Nantes	1 - 2	Lorient
H	Nantes	1 - 4	Nice
H	Nantes	1 - 2	Paris FC
A	Nantes	2 - 0	Marseille
A	Nantes	1 - 4	Angers
H	Nantes	1 - 2	Lens
A	Nantes	0 - 3	Lyon
H	Nantes	1 - 1	Lorient
A	Nantes	1 - 1	Le Havre
H	Nantes	0 - 2	Metz
H	Nantes	3 - 5	Monaco
A	Nantes	2 - 1	Paris FC
H	Nantes	0 - 2	Lille
A	Nantes	0 - 0	Brest
A	Nantes	2 - 2	Toulouse
H	Nantes	2 - 2	Rennes
A	Nantes	0 - 1	Nice
H	Nantes	1 - 0	Auxerre

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Lille have not lost to Nantes in 9 consecutive home league meetings

Lille

Nantes

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 12

6 / 12

Clean sheets

6 / 12

2 / 12

LIL

NAN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lille
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Lille	2 - 0
Lille	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Lille	2 - 0
Lille	2 - 1
Lille	2 - 1
Lille	3 - 0
Lille	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Nantes
Lille	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Nantes

Lille

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 13

11 / 13

Clean sheets

2 / 13

7 / 13

LIL

NAN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nantes
	0 - 2	Lille
Nantes	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Lille
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Lille
	0 - 2	Lille
	0 - 1	Lille
	2 - 3	Lille
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 3	Lille
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Lille

Goal Statistics

Lille's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Nantes have conceded in each of their last 5 Ligue 1 games. A PG of 1.8 for B. Génésio's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been an issue for Nantes of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Lille.

	Lille 5th	Nantes 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 12% There is a 84% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Nantes will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-3 Lille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-3 Nantes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season

24%

better

LIL

NAN

view stats

Games scored	14		14
Failed to score	8		8
Scored first	9		5
Goals scored	35		20
Avg. goals scored	1.6		0.9
Avg. shots per game	10		7
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	16		12
Avg. XG for	1.7		1
KickOff rating		+24%

17%

better

LIL

NAN

view stats

Games conceded	16		19
Clean sheets	6		3
Conceded first	12		16
Goals conceded	31		40
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		6
Conversion rate against	18%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.6
KickOff rating		+17%

Lille v Nantes Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	5	5	6
B Özer	H Haraldsson	F Correia	B André

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Correia FWD	22	3	5	1 -
B Özer GLK	20		1	1 -
H Haraldsson MID	20	5	1	4 -
O Giroud FWD	20	4	1	1 -
R Perraud DEF	19	2	3	4 1
N Ngoy DEF	18		1	3 1
A Mandi DEF	18	1		5 -
N Mukau MID	18	1		2 -
N Bentaleb MID	17	2	1	1 -
B André MID	17	2	1	6 -
M Fernandez FWD	17	3	3	4 -
O Sahraoui FWD	16	1	2	-
T Meunier DEF	15			2 -
I. Hamza FWD	13	5	1	2 -
E. Mbappé Lottin MID	11	3	1	-
M Broholm FWD	11	1	1	-
C Mbemba DEF	10			1 -
C Verdonk DEF	9			2 1
T Santos DEF	9			-
Alexsandro DEF	7			1
A Bodart GLK	2			-
A Gomes MID	2			-
O. Touré DEF	1			-
U Raghouber MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	17	5	9
H Haraldsson	M Fernandez	F Correia	F Correia

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Haraldsson MID	5	7	1	3
I. Hamza FWD	5	9	1	2
O Giroud FWD	4	12	1	1
F Correia FWD	3	6	5	9
M Fernandez FWD	3	17	3	5
E. Mbappé Lottin MID	3	6	1	1
R Perraud DEF	2	10	3	6
N Bentaleb MID	2	5	1	1
B André MID	2	3	1	1
A Mandi DEF	1	1
N Mukau MID	1	3
O Sahraoui FWD	1	5	2	2
M Broholm FWD	1	3	1
B Özer GLK			1
N Ngoy DEF		3	1	2
T Meunier DEF		1		3
C Mbemba DEF		3		1
C Verdonk DEF				1
T Santos DEF				1
Alexsandro DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1045	38	119
A Mandi	B André	B André

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Mandi DEF	1045	23	63
N Ngoy DEF	949	23	48
B André MID	910	38	119
R Perraud DEF	769	32	81
H Haraldsson MID	755	17	57
B Özer GLK	668	2	16
T Meunier DEF	599	19	39
N Bentaleb MID	567	7	29
F Correia FWD	549	12	46
C Mbemba DEF	520	14	33
Alexsandro DEF	450	11	38
M Fernandez FWD	389	14	53
N Mukau MID	311	13	33
O Giroud FWD	293	7	76
C Verdonk DEF	254	8	20
O Sahraoui FWD	240	5	43
T Santos DEF	146	7	25
E. Mbappé Lottin MID	145	10	18
I. Hamza FWD	127	8	32
M Broholm FWD	117	10	22
A Bodart GLK	68
O. Touré DEF	21	1	3
A Gomes MID	7		3
U Raghouber MID	6

Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	4	2	7
A Lopes	M Abline	M Abline	C Awaziem

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Abline FWD	22	4	2	5 -
A Lopes GLK	21			3 -
K Amian DEF	21		1	3 -
Y Arabi FWD	20	3		-
C Awaziem DEF	18	1	1	7 -
N Cozza DEF	18			-
D. Assoumani MID	18			2 -
M Mohamed FWD	18	3		1 -
J Lepenant MID	16		1	2 -
B. Guirassy FWD	16	2	1	1 -
J Mwanga MID	15	1	1	2 1
L. Leroux MID	14	1	1	1 -
K Hyeok-Kyu MID	12			2 -
F Centonze DEF	10	3		2 -
B. Deuff MID	10			-
A. Camara FWD	10			-
Y Benhattab FWD	10		1	-
F Coquelin MID	9			1 -
M. Lahdo FWD	8	1	1	1 -
H Hyun-seok MID	6			-
U Radakovic DEF	4			-
P Carlgren GLK	2			-
S. Doucouré DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	17	2	6
M Abline	M Abline	M Abline	M Abline

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Abline FWD	4	17	2	6
Y Arabi FWD	3	8		1
M Mohamed FWD	3	5		2
F Centonze DEF	3	3		1
B. Guirassy FWD	2	5	1	2
C Awaziem DEF	1	4	1	1
J Mwanga MID	1	3	1	2
L. Leroux MID	1	3	1
M. Lahdo FWD	1	1	1
A Lopes GLK		1
K Amian DEF		2	1	4
N Cozza DEF		1
D. Assoumani MID		2		2
J Lepenant MID		2	1	2
B. Deuff MID		2
Y Benhattab FWD		1	1	1
F Coquelin MID		2
H Hyun-seok MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1105	51	115
C Awaziem	J Lepenant	M Abline

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Awaziem DEF	1105	19	75
K Amian DEF	765	28	77
A Lopes GLK	653	1	18
J Mwanga MID	542	27	66
N Cozza DEF	516	21	53
J Lepenant MID	495	51	92
L. Leroux MID	356	25	47
D. Assoumani MID	289	24	61
M Abline FWD	288	18	115
K Hyeok-Kyu MID	221	15	33
Y Arabi FWD	207	6	46
B. Guirassy FWD	182	18	46
F Coquelin MID	178	7	21
M Mohamed FWD	151	8	72
Y Benhattab FWD	141	10	22
F Centonze DEF	138	15	28
M. Lahdo FWD	100	5	18
H Hyun-seok MID	74	9	13
B. Deuff MID	55	4	16
A. Camara FWD	50	4	8
P Carlgren GLK	30		1
S. Doucouré DEF	30		1
U Radakovic DEF	10		3