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Lorient v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Apr, 16:00 BST, Stade du Moustoir, Lorient

Habib Beye leads his Marseille troops to the Stade du Moustoir in the Ligue 1 on Saturday afternoon, with Olivier Pantaloni's Lorient their rivals. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lorient
47%
--
Draw
23%
--
Marseille
30%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Lorient 2-1
9%
--
Lorient 1-0
7%
--
Marseille 2-1
7%
--
Lorient 2-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Marseille 1-0
6%
--
Lorient 3-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Marseille 2-0
4%
--
Lorient 3-0
4%
--
Lorient 3-2
4%
--
Marseille 3-1
3%
--
Marseille 3-2
3%
--
Lorient 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
63%
--
BTTS - No
37%
--
BTTS - Home Win
26%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
70%
--
Away/draw
53%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
63%
--
Away DNB
46%
--
Lorient win to nil
21%
--
Marseille win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lorient have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won 6. Lorient have conceded 21 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lorient have played 13 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Marseille lay in 3rd place on 49 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 49 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Marseille have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Marseille have played 13 away games, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lorient
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2720343863 
d
 
1-1A
May 3
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
2
Lens2719263059 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
3
Marseille2715481949 
Apr 18
l
 
4-0A
-
-
4
Lyon2714581247 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
5
Lille271458847 
l
 
1-7A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
6
Monaco271449946 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
7
Rennes271287644 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
May 16
l
 
1-0A
8
Strasbourg2711791040 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
9
Toulouse2810711437 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
10
Lorient279108-437 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
Apr 18
11
Brest2710611-536 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
12
Angers279513-1332 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-5F
13
Paris FC2771010-1131 
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
14
Le Havre276912-1327 
May 16
d
 
1-1F
w
 
6-2A
May 9
15
Nice277614-2027 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
3-3A
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
16
Auxerre275715-1422 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Nantes264517-2117 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
May 3
18
Metz273519-3514 
d
 
1-1A
May 9
Apr 10
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Lorient 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lorient2 - 1Lens
Lorient2 - 2Auxerre
Lorient2 - 0Angers
Lorient2 - 1Nantes
Lorient1 - 1Metz
Lorient1 - 0Lyon
Lorient3 - 1Nice
Lorient1 - 1Toulouse
Lorient1 - 1PSG
Lorient3 - 3Brest
Lorient3 - 1Monaco
Lorient1 - 7Lille
Lorient4 - 0Rennes
Lorient5 - 1Martigues
Lorient4 - 0Caen
Lorient5 - 0Pau
Lorient4 - 0Bastia
Lorient3 - 1Rodez
Lorient0 - 1Lavallois
Lorient3 - 1Amiens
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALorient0 - 1Toulouse
HLorient2 - 1Lens
ALorient1 - 1Lille
HLorient2 - 2Auxerre
ALorient3 - 3Nice
HLorient2 - 0Angers
ALorient0 - 2Brest
HLorient2 - 1Nantes
ALorient2 - 0Rennes
ALorient3 - 1Monaco
HLorient1 - 1Metz
ALorient0 - 0Strasbourg
HLorient1 - 0Lyon
HLorient3 - 1Nice
ALorient1 - 1Nantes
HLorient1 - 1Toulouse
ALorient0 - 3Lens
HLorient1 - 1PSG
ALorient0 - 2Angers
HLorient3 - 3Brest
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse0 - 1Marseille
Brest2 - 0Marseille
PSG5 - 0Marseille
Paris FC2 - 2Marseille
Angers2 - 5Marseille
Lille1 - 0Marseille
Nice1 - 5Marseille
Auxerre0 - 1Marseille
Lens2 - 1Marseille
Metz0 - 3Marseille
Strasbourg1 - 2Marseille
Lyon1 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 0Marseille
Le Havre1 - 3Marseille
Lille1 - 1Marseille
Monaco3 - 0Marseille
Reims3 - 1Marseille
PSG3 - 1Marseille
Auxerre3 - 0Marseille
Angers0 - 2Marseille
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille1 - 2Lille
HMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
AMarseille1 - 0Toulouse
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Brest
HMarseille2 - 2Strasbourg
AMarseille0 - 5PSG
AMarseille2 - 2Paris FC
HMarseille3 - 1Lens
AMarseille5 - 2Angers
HMarseille0 - 2Nantes
HMarseille1 - 0Monaco
AMarseille0 - 1Lille
HMarseille2 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille5 - 1Nice
HMarseille3 - 0Brest
AMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
HMarseille2 - 2Angers
AMarseille1 - 2Lens
HMarseille6 - 2Le Havre
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lorient since 2013
Lorient
Marseille
Goals: Scored
5
16
Games: Scored
4 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
4 / 8
D
3
MAR
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lorient
2 - 4Marseille
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Marseille
0 - 1Marseille
1 - 4Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Marseille
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Lorient
Goals: Scored
24
11
Games: Scored
9 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
0 / 9
LOR
1
D
1
MAR
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille4 - 0
Marseille3 - 1
Marseille3 - 1
Marseille4 - 1
Marseille3 - 2
Marseille2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
3 - 5Lorient
Marseille1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Lorient's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Marseille have conceded in each of their last 5 Ligue 1 outings. A PG of 1.8 for O. Pantaloni's side suggests that run should continue.

Lorient 10th Marseille 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Lorient will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+45
Lorient have scored 45% more goals at home than predicted
-11
Marseille have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Lorient
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.8
1.4
Attack rating
%
better
LOR
MAR
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
LOR
MAR
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Lorient v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lorient Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25867
M TalbiP PagisK. KouassiA. Faye
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Bris MID2622
-
S Soumano FWD2642
2
-
K. Kouassi DEF2526
3
-
M Talbi DEF251
3
-
K Dermane MID2512
3
-
Y Mvogo  GLK24
-
A Avon MID2411
3
-
J Makengo MID2432
1
-
L Abergel MID231
6
-
N Cadiou MID2111
1
-
P Pagis FWD2181
1
-
B Meïté DEF203
3
-
D Yongwa DEF201
3
1
A Tosin  FWD204
1
-
Mohamed Bamba FWD1812
3
-
J Mvuka MID15
-
B Dieng FWD1571
3
-
I Silva DEF141
1
-
A. Faye DEF10
7
-
N Adjei DEF9
-
P Katseris MID9
2
-
B Kamara GLK3
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241555
M Greenwood M Greenwood I PaixãoB Nadir
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Greenwood  FWD26154
3
-
P Höjbjerg MID2524
3
-
T Weah MID2422
3
-
I Paixão FWD2455
3
-
P Aubameyang FWD2485
1
-
G Rulli GLK23
2
-
Emerson DEF223
2
-
B Pavard DEF2112
4
-
L Balerdi DEF191
4
-
B Nadir MID194
4
1
N Aguerd DEF161
4
-
M Murillo DEF1621
4
-
A Gouiri FWD1662
-
M O'Riley MID1512
2
-
A Vermeeren MID141
1
1
A Gomes MID143
4
-
R. Vaz FWD1442
2
-
F Medina DEF11
3
-
C Egan-Riley DEF10
1
1
G Kondogbia MID10
3
-
H Traorè FWD911
1
-
D. Bakola MID8
-
J Lange GLK4
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
P Lirola DEF3
-
N Maupay FWD1
-