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Marseille v Lille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 16:15 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Bruno Génésio is aiming for a crucial away win in the Ligue 1 on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his Lille side to the Stade Vélodrome to visit Marseille and Habib Beye. For every Ligue 1 match preview, KickOff explores the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Marseille and Lille will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 81%. The bookmakers have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
54%
19/2019/20
5%
Draw
23%
13/511/4
Lille
23%
5/213/5
8%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Marseille 2-1
10%
15/27/1
7%
Marseille 1-0
10%
15/213/2
Marseille 2-0
9%
9/18/1
6%
Lille 2-1
6%
11/110/1
Lille 1-0
6%
11/19/1
9%
Marseille 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/110/1
Marseille 3-0
5%
16/112/1
Lille 2-0
3%
18/114/1
Marseille 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Marseille 4-1
3%
28/122/1
10%
Marseille 4-0
2%
33/122/1
Lille 3-1
2%
25/120/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/53/4
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/11/1
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/64/6
3%
Away 1st Goal
43%
5/411/8
5%
No 1st Goal
3%
12/110/1
10%
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/67/10
BTTS - No
44%
11/1021/20
BTTS - Home Win
26%
11/413/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/25/1
8%
Home/draw
77%
2/72/7
3%
Away/draw
46%
4/55/6
4%
Home/away
77%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/42/9
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/114/5
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/19/5
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/52/5
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/217/4
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/71/7
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/19/1
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
Home DNB
70%
4/94/9
3%
Away DNB
39%
13/88/5
7%
Marseille win to nil
28%
11/4-
Lille win to nil
11%
11/2-
Marseille / Marseille
27%
21/1019/10
4%
Marseille / Lille
3%
28/122/1
12%
Marseille / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Marseille
16%
4/117/4
5%
Draw / Lille
10%
7/17/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Lille / Marseille
4%
20/116/1
Lille / Lille
14%
5/19/2
4%
Lille / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 52 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 12 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 32 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Lille are in 6th position in the Ligue 1 on 41 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Lille have conceded 11 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Lille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2518343257 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Lens2518252756 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
Apr 4
l
 
3-0A
3
Marseille2514471946 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
4
Lyon2514471346 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
5
Rennes251276743 
May 16
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Mar 15
6
Lille251258641 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
-
-
7
Monaco251249640 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
w
 
1-0F
May 9
8
Strasbourg251069936 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
9
Brest251069036 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3F
10
Lorient258107-434 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-7F
11
Angers259511-732 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-5F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
12
Toulouse258710431 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 12
13
Paris FC256910-1227 
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-2A
Apr 26
14
Le Havre256811-1226 
w
 
6-2A
May 9
May 3
w
 
0-1F
15
Nice256613-1824 
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
Apr 19
l
 
2-0A
16
Auxerre254714-1619 
Mar 13
w
 
0-1F
May 16
w
 
3-4F
17
Nantes254516-2017 
l
 
0-2A
May 3
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Metz253418-3413 
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
w
 
6-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
58
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille2 - 2Strasbourg
Marseille3 - 1Lens
Marseille0 - 2Nantes
Marseille1 - 0Monaco
Marseille2 - 2Toulouse
Marseille3 - 0Brest
Marseille2 - 2Angers
Marseille6 - 2Le Havre
Marseille1 - 0PSG
Marseille4 - 0Lorient
Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
Marseille4 - 2Rennes
Marseille4 - 1Brest
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille5 - 1St Etienne
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille1 - 0Toulouse
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Brest
HMarseille2 - 2Strasbourg
AMarseille0 - 5PSG
AMarseille2 - 2Paris FC
HMarseille3 - 1Lens
AMarseille5 - 2Angers
HMarseille0 - 2Nantes
HMarseille1 - 0Monaco
AMarseille0 - 1Lille
HMarseille2 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille5 - 1Nice
HMarseille3 - 0Brest
AMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
HMarseille2 - 2Angers
AMarseille1 - 2Lens
HMarseille6 - 2Le Havre
AMarseille3 - 0Metz
AMarseille2 - 1Strasbourg
Lille 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Angers0 - 1Lille
Metz0 - 0Lille
Lyon1 - 0Lille
PSG3 - 0Lille
Auxerre3 - 4Lille
Le Havre0 - 1Lille
Strasbourg2 - 0Lille
Nice2 - 0Lille
Nantes0 - 2Lille
Lens3 - 0Lille
Lorient1 - 7Lille
Brest3 - 3Lille
Brest2 - 0Lille
Angers0 - 2Lille
Toulouse1 - 2Lille
Lyon2 - 1Lille
Nantes1 - 0Lille
PSG4 - 1Lille
Rennes0 - 2Lille
Strasbourg2 - 1Lille
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLille1 - 1Lorient
HLille1 - 0Nantes
ALille1 - 0Angers
HLille1 - 1Brest
ALille0 - 0Metz
ALille0 - 1Lyon
HLille1 - 4Strasbourg
ALille0 - 3PSG
HLille0 - 2Rennes
ALille4 - 3Auxerre
HLille1 - 0Marseille
ALille1 - 0Le Havre
HLille4 - 2Paris FC
ALille0 - 2Strasbourg
HLille1 - 0Angers
ALille0 - 2Nice
HLille6 - 1Metz
ALille2 - 0Nantes
HLille1 - 1PSG
HLille0 - 1Lyon
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Marseille have not lost to Lille in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Lille
Goals: Scored
18
10
Games: Scored
10 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
2 / 12
MAR
5
D
6
LIL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Marseille2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille2 - 1
1 - 2Lille
Marseille5 - 1
Marseille2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Lille since 2013
Lille
Marseille
Goals: Scored
17
12
Games: Scored
10 / 13
7 / 13
Clean sheets
6 / 13
3 / 13
MAR
4
D
2
LIL
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lille
Lille1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lille3 - 1
Lille2 - 1
Lille2 - 0
Lille2 - 0
1 - 2Marseille
Lille3 - 0
0 - 1Marseille
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Marseille
0 - 4Marseille
Lille1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Lille of late. It has been 8 Ligue 1 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Marseille.

Marseille 3rd Lille 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Lille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+34
Marseille have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted
-5
Lille’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Lille
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
17%
better
MAR
LIL
view stats
Games scored19
17
Failed to score6
8
Scored first14
12
Goals scored52
38
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
16
Avg. XG for1.7
1.7
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
MAR
LIL
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
17
Clean sheets7
8
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded33
32
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+4%

Marseille v Lille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221555
M Greenwood M Greenwood P AubameyangB Nadir
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Greenwood  FWD24154
2
-
P Höjbjerg MID2324
3
-
T Weah MID2222
3
-
I Paixão FWD2254
2
-
P Aubameyang FWD2285
1
-
G Rulli GLK21
2
-
B Pavard DEF2012
4
-
Emerson DEF203
2
-
L Balerdi DEF181
4
-
B Nadir MID184
4
1
N Aguerd DEF161
4
-
M Murillo DEF1621
4
-
M O'Riley MID1512
2
-
A Vermeeren MID141
1
1
A Gomes MID143
4
-
R. Vaz FWD1442
2
-
A Gouiri FWD1452
-
C Egan-Riley DEF9
1
F Medina DEF9
2
-
G Kondogbia MID8
3
-
D. Bakola MID8
-
H Traorè FWD711
1
-
J Lange GLK4
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
P Lirola DEF3
-
N Maupay FWD1
-
Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23557
B ÖzerH HaraldssonF CorreiaB André
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Correia FWD2535
1
-
B Özer GLK231
2
-
H Haraldsson MID2351
4
-
O Giroud FWD2251
2
-
R Perraud DEF2123
4
1
N Ngoy  DEF2111
5
1
N Mukau MID211
2
-
A Mandi DEF201
6
-
N Bentaleb MID2022
2
-
B André MID2021
7
-
M Fernandez FWD2043
4
-
T Meunier DEF171
2
-
O Sahraoui FWD1612
-
I. Hamza FWD1351
2
-
T Santos DEF12
-
C Mbemba DEF11
1
-
C Verdonk DEF11
2
1
E. Mbappé Lottin MID1131
-
M Broholm FWD1111
-
Alexsandro DEF7
1
A Bodart GLK2
-
A Gomes MID2
-
O. Touré DEF1
-
U Raghouber MID1
-