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Paris Saint-Germain v Nantes : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 22nd Apr, 18:00 BST, Parc des Princes, Paris

Paris Saint-Germain and their manager Luis Enrique Martínez García will be hoping for victory against Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro and his Nantes side on Wednesday evening, as the pair go head to head at the Parc des Princes in the Ligue 1. All of the important stats for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: PSG to win

After looking at the bookmakers' odds and collated statistics regarding both teams ahead of this Ligue 1 fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for PSG to win and delight their home supporters is the way we would recommend bettors go. We predict they'll have too much for Nantes, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. It could be a tighter than we expect, but PSG winning is the bet come Sunday morning.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 73% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.18.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
73%
2/11-
Draw
16%
11/2
4%
-
Nantes
10%
12/1-
PSG 2-0
12%
7/1
7%
-
PSG 3-0
9%
7/1-
PSG 1-0
9%
11/1
9%
-
PSG 2-1
9%
9/1-
PSG 3-1
8%
9/1-
Draw 1-1
8%
12/1-
PSG 4-0
6%
10/1
10%
-
PSG 4-1
5%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
25/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Nantes 1-0
3%
40/1-
PSG 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
-
Nantes 2-1
3%
33/1-
PSG 5-0
3%
16/1-
PSG 5-1
2%
20/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1/3
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
12/5
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
61%
2/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
5/2
7%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
25/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - No
49%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
33%
7/5
4%
-
BTTS - Draw
12%
13/2-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
18/1
10%
-
Home/draw
90%
1/25-
Away/draw
27%
7/2-
Home/away
84%
1/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/10
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
6/1
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
4/5
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1/1
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
2/1
6%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/5
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
4/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/6-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/100-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
25/1
13%
-
Home DNB
85%
1/20-
Away DNB
22%
10/1-
PSG win to nil
41%
6/5
10%
-
Nantes win to nil
5%
22/1
12%
-
PSG / PSG
52%
4/7-
PSG / Nantes
2%
50/1-
PSG / Draw
4%
20/1-
Draw / PSG
20%
3/1-
Draw / Nantes
3%
25/1
10%
-
Draw / Draw
7%
11/1
9%
-
Nantes / PSG
5%
16/1-
Nantes / Nantes
4%
22/1-
Nantes / Draw
4%
22/1-
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

PSG have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. PSG have outscored their opponents by 61 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

PSG have played 13 games at home winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 34 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Nantes are in 17th position in the Ligue 1 on 19 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Nantes have conceded 43 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSG
Nantes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2720343863 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Apr 22
2
Lens2920272862 
w
 
2-0F
May 13
l
 
1-2A
May 9
3
Lille2916581553 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Marseille30164101852 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
May 1
w
 
0-2F
5
Lyon2915681451 
Apr 19
w
 
2-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
6
Rennes291487850 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
7
Monaco2915410749 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
3-5A
l
 
3-1A
8
Strasbourg2812791243 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
1-0A
9
Lorient3010119-441 
May 2
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
10
Toulouse3010713-137 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
3-6F
May 16
d
 
2-2F
11
Brest2810612-636 
May 9
w
 
0-3F
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
12
Paris FC2981110-835 
w
 
2-1F
May 16
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
13
Angers299614-1433 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
14
Le Havre2961112-1329 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
15
Nice297715-2228 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
16
Auxerre295915-1424 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Nantes284717-2119 
Apr 22
w
 
0-1F
-
-
18
Metz293620-3715 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
5
Nantes have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
3
Nantes have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
Nantes 17TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
PSG have not lost to Nantes in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at PSG since 2014
PSG
Nantes
Goals: Scored
31
9
Games: Scored
12 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
0 / 12
PSG
10
D
1
NAN
1
League games at Nantes since 2013
Nantes
PSG
Goals: Scored
10
26
Games: Scored
6 / 13
13 / 13
Clean sheets
0 / 13
7 / 13
PSG
10
D
1
NAN
2
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 6 consecutive Ligue 1 games. A PG of 2.5 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday evening.

With a PG of just 0.8, Nantes look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Paris Saint-Germain haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 matches, and it could be a long evening for L. Ferreira de Castro's men.

PSG 1st Nantes 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Nantes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
PSG’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
Nantes have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Nantes
2.5
0.8
Attack rating
53%
better
PSG
NAN
view stats
Games scored25
16
Failed to score2
12
Scored first23
7
Goals scored61
24
Avg. goals scored2.3
0.9
Avg. shots per game14
7
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for17
11
Avg. XG for2
1
KickOff rating
+53%
Defence rating
42%
better
PSG
NAN
view stats
Games conceded13
22
Clean sheets14
6
Conceded first4
18
Goals conceded23
45
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+42%

PSG v Nantes Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251074
W Zaïre-EmeryB BarcolaVitinhaA Hakimi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Zaïre-Emery MID2724
2
-
Vitinha MID2617
2
-
G Ramos FWD2561
2
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD2344
1
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF221
3
-
K Lee FWD2223
2
-
B Barcola FWD22101
2
-
W Pacho DEF20
-
N Mendes  DEF1945
1
-
L Hernández  DEF192
2
-
S. Mayulu MID1934
2
-
I. Mbaye FWD1912
-
D Doué FWD1852
-
L Chevalier GLK17
-
O Dembélé FWD17105
-
A Hakimi DEF1521
3
1
J Neves MID1551
-
L Beraldo DEF131
1
-
F Ruiz MID1312
1
-
Marquinhos DEF11
-
M Safonov GLK10
-
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD1011
1
-
Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27537
A LopesM AblineM AblineC Awaziem
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lopes GLK27
3
-
M Abline FWD2753
5
-
N Cozza DEF24
1
-
C Awaziem DEF2312
7
-
K Amian DEF231
3
-
D. Assoumani MID231
3
-
J Lepenant MID221
4
-
Y Arabi FWD223
-
M Mohamed FWD203
1
-
B. Guirassy FWD1921
2
-
L. Leroux MID1811
1
-
F Centonze DEF153
4
-
J Mwanga MID1511
2
1
F Coquelin MID14
2
-
K Hyeok-Kyu MID12
2
-
B. Deuff MID10
-
A. Camara FWD10
-
Y Benhattab FWD101
-
M. Lahdo FWD811
1
-
H Hyun-seok MID6
-
U Radakovic DEF4
-
P Carlgren GLK2
-
S. Doucouré DEF1
-