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Marseille v Lyon : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Mar, 19:45 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

It's an away trip for Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca's Lyon side on Sunday evening, as they travel to the Stade Vélodrome for a Ligue 1 clash with Jacques Abardonado's Marseille. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.


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Best Tip: Both teams to score

After looking at the KickOff match predictions, bookmakers' odds and relevant stats, there's one market which catches the eye for this fixture: both teams to score. In Marseille and Lyon we have two sides going head-to-head with relative issues at both ends of the pitch, and we expect them to maintain that reputation on Sunday evening. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.62.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
50%
1/110/11
Draw
23%
13/527/10
Lyon
28%
23/1029/10
Draw 1-1
10%
6/111/2
Marseille 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Marseille 1-0
8%
17/27/1
Marseille 2-0
7%
9/18/1
Lyon 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/110/1
Marseille 3-1
6%
14/110/1
Lyon 1-0
6%
14/111/1
Marseille 3-0
4%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/110/1
Marseille 3-2
4%
20/116/1
Lyon 2-0
4%
20/116/1
Lyon 3-1
3%
28/120/1
Lyon 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Marseille 4-1
3%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
4/613/20
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
6/523/20
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/613/20
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/1029/20
No 1st Goal
2%
14/110/1
BTTS - Yes
62%
8/138/13
BTTS - No
38%
6/56/5
BTTS - Home Win
27%
5/223/10
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/15/1
Home/draw
72%
1/31/4
Away/draw
50%
4/510/11
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/51/5
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
7/216/5
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
13/88/5
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1/210/21
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
7/27/2
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/52/11
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
9/115/2
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/161/18
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/33
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/110/1
Home DNB
65%
2/52/5
Away DNB
44%
7/49/5
Marseille win to nil
22%
11/4-
Lyon win to nil
12%
7/1-
Marseille / Marseille
27%
2/19/5
Marseille / Lyon
3%
28/122/1
Marseille / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Marseille
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Lyon
10%
15/27/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Lyon / Marseille
4%
20/116/1
Lyon / Lyon
14%
5/119/4
Lyon / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn zero and won 2. Marseille have conceded 9 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Marseille have played 11 games at home, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 29 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Lyon lay in 3rd place on 45 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 33 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lyon have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Lyon have played 11 away games, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Lyon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lens2217142552 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
May 16
w
 
0-1F
2
PSG2216333051 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
l
 
2-3A
Apr 19
3
Lyon2214351645 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
-
-
4
Marseille2212461940 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
5
Lille221048434 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
6
Rennes22976-134 
May 16
l
 
1-0A
May 3
l
 
3-1F
7
Strasbourg22949731 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1A
Feb 22
8
Monaco22949131 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
Mar 22
w
 
1-3F
9
Lorient22877-431 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
10
Toulouse22868630 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 7
l
 
1-2F
May 9
11
Angers22859-529 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-5F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
12
Brest22769-527 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 20
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
13
Le Havre22688-726 
w
 
6-2A
May 9
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
14
Nice226511-1323 
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2A
15
Paris FC225710-1322 
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
Mar 8
d
 
3-3F
16
Auxerre224513-1317 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
17
Nantes223514-2014 
l
 
0-2A
May 3
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
Metz223415-2713 
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-5F
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Lyon 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Marseille have beaten Lyon in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Lyon
Goals: Scored
17
16
Games: Scored
8 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
4 / 12
MAR
5
D
4
LYN
3
League games at Lyon since 2013
Lyon
Marseille
Goals: Scored
21
13
Games: Scored
12 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
0 / 12
MAR
2
D
3
LYN
7
Goal Statistics
Marseille 4th Lyon 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 73% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+29
Marseille have scored 29% more goals at home than predicted
+8
Lyon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.8
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Lyon
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
2%
better
MAR
LYN
view stats
Games scored17
18
Failed to score5
3
Scored first13
15
Goals scored48
34
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
18
Avg. XG for1.7
1.8
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
MAR
LYN
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
10
Clean sheets6
11
Conceded first9
4
Goals conceded29
20
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+34%

Marseille v Lyon Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191454
M Greenwood M Greenwood P AubameyangB Pavard
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Greenwood  FWD21144
1
-
P Höjbjerg MID2023
2
-
T Weah MID1922
2
-
I Paixão FWD1942
2
-
P Aubameyang FWD1965
1
-
G Rulli GLK18
2
-
B Pavard DEF1712
4
-
Emerson DEF173
2
-
B Nadir MID174
3
1
M Murillo DEF1621
4
-
L Balerdi DEF161
4
-
M O'Riley MID1512
2
-
N Aguerd DEF141
3
-
A Gomes MID143
4
-
R. Vaz FWD1442
2
-
A Vermeeren MID121
1
1
A Gouiri FWD1252
-
C Egan-Riley DEF9
1
F Medina DEF8
1
-
D. Bakola MID8
-
G Kondogbia MID6
2
-
H Traorè FWD511
1
-
J Lange GLK4
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
P Lirola DEF3
-
N Maupay FWD1
-
Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21966
C MataP SulcA MoreiraA Maitland-Niles
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Maitland-Niles DEF2113
5
1
C Mata DEF21
4
-
M Niakhaté DEF202
3
-
P Sulc MID2093
2
-
T Tessmann MID201
1
-
T Morton MID1922
3
1
C Tolisso MID1941
5
-
A Moreira FWD1926
2
-
D Greif GLK181
-
A Karabec MID171
2
-
Abner DEF153
4
1
K. Merah MID151
2
-
N Tagliafico DEF143
3
1
M Satriano FWD1121
1
-
R Kluivert DEF1012
1
-
H Hateboer DEF10
1
M. de Carvalho MID10
1
-
M Fofana FWD921
1
-
R Ghezzal  FWD7
-
R Descamps GLK4
-
O Mangala MID3
-
E. Honoré Molébé FWD1
-