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Monaco v Lille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

Lille, led by manager Bruno Génésio, visit Sébastien Pocognoli and his Monaco side at the Stade Louis II on Sunday night in the Ligue 1. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.

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Monaco's next match is v Strasbourg at 20:00 on Sunday 17th May
Lille's next match is v Auxerre at 20:00 on Sunday 17th May
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Monaco and Lille was on Sunday 10th May 2026
French Ligue 1
May 10th 2026
Monaco 0
1 Lille
 
72' (OG)D. Zakaria Lako Lado
 
MCO
LIL
Shots On
3
2
Shots Off
3
4
Corners
5
2
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
13
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
MonacoLille
 
L. Hradecký
J. Teze (M. Bieveth 80')
T. Kehrer (I. Touré 80')
D. Zakaria Lako Ladofootball icon
A. Golovin (A. Fati 59')
F. Balogun
M. Akliouche
C. Mawissa Elebi
L. Camara
A. Bamba (M. Coulibaly 58')
S. Adingra (W. Faes 58')
B. Özer
N. Ngoy
T. Meunier
(C. Verdonk 89') H. Haraldsson
M. Fernandez Pardo
(A. Souza Ribeiro 90') R. Perraud
A. Mandi
(E. Mbappé Lottin 62') N. Mukau
B. André
(N. Bentaleb 46') A. Bouaddi
(G. Perrin 71') F. Sanches Correia

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but good reason to think Monaco and Lille will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Sébastien Pocognoli or Bruno Génésio has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.18 equating to roughly a 80% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monaco are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monaco
37%
8/5150/1
Draw
25%
27/1020/1
Lille
38%
6/41/200
Draw 1-1
12%
6/16/1
Lille 2-1
8%
9/133/1
Monaco 2-1
8%
9/150/1
Lille 1-0
8%
10/12/9
Monaco 1-0
8%
10/119/5
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1150/1
Lille 2-0
6%
14/115/2
Monaco 2-0
6%
14/116/1
Draw 0-0
5%
14/121/20
Lille 3-1
4%
18/1150/1
Monaco 3-1
4%
18/1200/1
Lille 3-2
3%
22/1200/1
Monaco 3-2
3%
22/1200/1
Lille 3-0
3%
25/150/1
Monaco 3-0
3%
25/145/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/620/1
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
6/51/1000
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/2121/10
Away 1st Goal
49%
10/1111/5
No 1st Goal
3%
14/121/20
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/711/2
BTTS - No
41%
5/41/11
BTTS - Home Win
19%
7/240/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/36/1
BTTS - Away Win
20%
10/328/1
Home/draw
62%
1/26/1
Away/draw
63%
1/21/1000
Home/away
75%
2/71/14
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/93/1
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
10/32/9
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
7/480/1
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/91/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/61/50
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/161/50
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/257/10
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/111/10
Home DNB
54%
5/640/1
Away DNB
56%
5/61/200
Monaco win to nil
17%
9/2-
Lille win to nil
18%
4/1-
Monaco / Monaco
21%
10/317/2
Monaco / Lille
4%
22/128/1
Monaco / Draw
7%
12/118/1
Draw / Monaco
13%
11/211/4
Draw / Lille
12%
11/212/5
Draw / Draw
14%
5/12/1
Lille / Monaco
4%
22/133/1
Lille / Lille
20%
3/18/1
Lille / Draw
7%
12/118/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Monaco have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn zero and won 5. Monaco have conceded 16 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 1 match and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Monaco have played 16 games at home, winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 33 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Lille lay in 4th place on 58 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored 47 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lille have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Lille have played 16 away games, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Monaco
Lille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3324454676 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Lens3321482767 
l
 
1-4A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-0A
3
Lille3318781761 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
4
Lyon3318691760 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
5
Rennes3317881159 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
6
Marseille33175111656 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
7
Monaco3316611754 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
8
Strasbourg33148111050 
w
 
3-2F
May 17
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
9
Lorient33111210-145 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-7F
10
Toulouse3312813144 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-4F
11
Paris FC33101112-441 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-1F
12
Brest3310815-1238 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3F
13
Angers339816-1935 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
14
Le Havre3361413-1432 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
15
Auxerre3371016-1231 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
May 17
w
 
3-4F
16
Nice3371016-2331 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
17
Nantes335820-2323 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
3-5F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Metz333723-4416 
w
 
5-2A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
6-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Monaco 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monaco2 - 2Auxerre
Monaco2 - 1Marseille
Monaco2 - 0Brest
Monaco2 - 0Angers
Monaco3 - 1Nantes
Monaco4 - 0Rennes
Monaco1 - 3Lorient
Monaco1 - 3Lyon
Monaco1 - 0PSG
Monaco1 - 4Lens
Monaco0 - 1Paris FC
Monaco1 - 0Toulouse
Monaco2 - 2Nice
Monaco5 - 2Metz
Monaco3 - 2Strasbourg
Monaco3 - 1Le Havre
Monaco2 - 0Lyon
Monaco0 - 0Strasbourg
Monaco3 - 0Marseille
Monaco2 - 1Nice
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMonaco2 - 1Metz
AMonaco2 - 2Toulouse
HMonaco2 - 2Auxerre
AMonaco1 - 4Paris FC
HMonaco2 - 1Marseille
AMonaco2 - 1Lyon
HMonaco2 - 0Brest
AMonaco3 - 1PSG
HMonaco2 - 0Angers
AMonaco3 - 2Lens
HMonaco3 - 1Nantes
AMonaco0 - 0Nice
HMonaco4 - 0Rennes
AMonaco0 - 0Le Havre
HMonaco1 - 3Lorient
HMonaco1 - 3Lyon
AMonaco0 - 1Marseille
AMonaco0 - 1Brest
HMonaco1 - 0PSG
AMonaco1 - 4Rennes
Lille 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Paris FC0 - 1Lille
Toulouse0 - 4Lille
Marseille1 - 2Lille
Rennes1 - 2Lille
Angers0 - 1Lille
Metz0 - 0Lille
Lyon1 - 0Lille
PSG3 - 0Lille
Auxerre3 - 4Lille
Le Havre0 - 1Lille
Strasbourg2 - 0Lille
Nice2 - 0Lille
Nantes0 - 2Lille
Lens3 - 0Lille
Lorient1 - 7Lille
Brest3 - 3Lille
Brest2 - 0Lille
Angers0 - 2Lille
Toulouse1 - 2Lille
Lyon2 - 1Lille
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLille1 - 1Le Havre
ALille1 - 0Paris FC
HLille0 - 0Nice
ALille4 - 0Toulouse
HLille3 - 0Lens
ALille2 - 1Marseille
ALille2 - 1Rennes
HLille1 - 1Lorient
HLille1 - 0Nantes
ALille1 - 0Angers
HLille1 - 1Brest
ALille0 - 0Metz
ALille0 - 1Lyon
HLille1 - 4Strasbourg
ALille0 - 3PSG
HLille0 - 2Rennes
ALille4 - 3Auxerre
HLille1 - 0Marseille
ALille1 - 0Le Havre
HLille4 - 2Paris FC
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Monaco have not lost to Lille in 12 consecutive home league meetings
3
Monaco have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Lille
League games at Monaco since 2014
Monaco
Lille
Goals: Scored
16
6
Games: Scored
7 / 12
5 / 12
Clean sheets
7 / 12
5 / 12
MCO
4
D
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monaco
Draw0 - 0Draw
Monaco1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Monaco5 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Monaco2 - 1
Monaco4 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Lille since 2013
Lille
Monaco
Goals: Scored
19
18
Games: Scored
9 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
3 / 12
MCO
5
LIL
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lille
Lille1 - 0
Lille2 - 1
Lille2 - 0
Lille4 - 3
1 - 2Monaco
Lille2 - 1
0 - 1Monaco
0 - 4Monaco
1 - 4Monaco
Lille4 - 1
0 - 1Monaco
Lille2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Lille's defensive record is to be admired, B. Génésio's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Monaco makes sense in this context.

Lille's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Monaco have conceded in each of their last 6 Ligue 1 matches. A PG of 1.5 for B. Génésio's side suggests that run should continue.

Monaco 7th Lille 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Monaco will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Monaco’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Lille have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Monaco
PG (predicted goals)
Lille
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
8%
better
MCO
LIL
view stats
Games scored26
23
Failed to score6
9
Scored first14
17
Goals scored56
51
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
17
Avg. XG for1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
MCO
LIL
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
20
Clean sheets7
12
Conceded first16
13
Goals conceded48
35
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+17%

Monaco v Lille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271369
T KehrerF BalogunM AklioucheT Kehrer
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hradecky GLK16
1
-
D Zakaria DEF2321
4
1
T Kehrer DEF27
7
2
C Mawissa DEF17
3
-
J Teze MID3212
8
-
L Camara MID2314
5
-
A. Bamba MID171
2
-
S Adingra MID1331
-
M Akliouche FWD3066
3
-
A Golovin FWD2555
3
1
F Balogun FWD29134
4
1
Subs
P Köhn GLK19
1
-
E Dier DEF91
-
W Faes DEF13
3
-
P Pogba MID6
-
K Diatta MID181
2
-
M. Coulibaly MID2433
7
1
I. Touré MID1
-
M Biereth  FWD3122
-
A Fati FWD2410
1
-
Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
318510
B ÖzerH HaraldssonF CorreiaN Ngoy 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Özer GLK311
4
-
T Meunier DEF2512
3
-
N Ngoy  DEF2812
9
1
A Mandi DEF281
8
-
R Perraud DEF2934
4
1
A. Bouaddi MID291
7
1
B André MID2622
8
-
N Mukau MID291
3
-
H Haraldsson MID3182
5
-
F Correia MID3345
2
-
M Fernandez FWD2885
5
-
Subs
A Bodart GLK3
-
Alexsandro DEF9
1
C Mbemba DEF13
2
-
C Verdonk DEF17
3
1
N Bentaleb MID2522
3
-
E. Mbappé Lottin MID1731
1
-
O Giroud FWD2971
2
-
O Sahraoui FWD1712
-
G Perrin FWD111
2
-