Monaco's team badge Lille's team badge

Monaco v Lille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 20:00 BST, Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

Monaco and Lille go head to head at the Stade Louis II on Sunday night, with both Sébastien Pocognoli and Bruno Génésio hoping for success in the Ligue 1. All of the key stats for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but good reason to think Monaco and Lille will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Sébastien Pocognoli or Bruno Génésio has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.18 equating to roughly a 80% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monaco are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monaco
38%
5/411/8
Draw
25%
13/527/10
Lille
37%
9/57/4
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
Monaco 2-1
8%
17/215/2
Lille 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Monaco 1-0
8%
10/117/2
Lille 1-0
8%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/19/1
Monaco 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Lille 2-0
6%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
5%
14/112/1
Monaco 3-1
4%
16/112/1
Lille 3-1
4%
20/114/1
Monaco 3-2
3%
20/116/1
Lille 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Monaco 3-0
3%
22/116/1
Lille 3-0
3%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/133/5
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
13/105/4
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/617/20
Away 1st Goal
48%
1/121/20
No 1st Goal
3%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
59%
8/1511/20
BTTS - No
41%
11/811/8
BTTS - Home Win
20%
3/114/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
20%
15/417/5
Home/draw
63%
2/54/9
Away/draw
62%
8/134/7
Home/away
75%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/52/11
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
7/217/5
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
13/829/20
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1/21/2
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
7/210/3
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/52/11
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
8/17/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/141/16
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/401/50
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/112/1
Home DNB
56%
8/117/10
Away DNB
54%
1/11/1
Monaco win to nil
18%
7/2-
Lille win to nil
17%
5/1-
Monaco / Monaco
22%
11/45/2
Monaco / Lille
4%
22/120/1
Monaco / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Monaco
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Lille
12%
6/111/2
Draw / Draw
14%
5/119/4
Lille / Monaco
4%
22/118/1
Lille / Lille
18%
7/216/5
Lille / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Monaco have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn zero and won 5. Monaco have conceded 16 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 1 match and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Monaco have played 16 games at home, winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 33 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Lille lay in 4th place on 58 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored 47 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lille have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Lille have played 16 away games, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Monaco
Lille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3122454370 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Lens3120472864 
l
 
1-4A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-0A
3
Lyon3218681860 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
4
Lille3217781658 
May 10
l
 
1-0A
-
-
5
Rennes3216881056 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
6
Monaco3216610854 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 10
7
Marseille32165111553 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
8
Strasbourg3113711946 
w
 
3-2F
May 17
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
9
Lorient32101210-542 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-7F
10
Toulouse3211813041 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-4F
11
Paris FC32101111-341 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-1F
12
Brest3110813-1038 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3F
13
Angers329716-1934 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
14
Le Havre3261412-1332 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
15
Nice3271015-2231 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
16
Auxerre3261016-1328 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
May 17
w
 
3-4F
17
Nantes325819-2223 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
3-5F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Metz323722-4016 
w
 
5-2A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
6-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
5
Lille have won 5 consecutive away league games
6
Monaco have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
6
Lille have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
Monaco 6TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Lille 4TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Monaco have not lost to Lille in 12 consecutive home league meetings
3
Monaco have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Lille
League games at Monaco since 2014
Monaco
Lille
Goals: Scored
16
6
Games: Scored
7 / 12
5 / 12
Clean sheets
7 / 12
5 / 12
MCO
4
D
8
League games at Lille since 2013
Lille
Monaco
Goals: Scored
19
18
Games: Scored
9 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
3 / 12
MCO
5
LIL
7
Goal Statistics

Monaco have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Lille on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Monaco 6th Lille 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Monaco will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Monaco’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Lille have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Monaco
PG (predicted goals)
Lille
1.5
1.5
Attack rating
11%
better
MCO
LIL
view stats
Games scored26
22
Failed to score6
9
Scored first14
16
Goals scored56
50
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
17
Avg. XG for1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
MCO
LIL
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
19
Clean sheets7
12
Conceded first16
13
Goals conceded48
34
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+18%

Monaco v Lille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261369
J TezeF BalogunM AklioucheT Kehrer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Teze DEF3112
8
-
M Biereth  FWD3022
-
M Akliouche FWD2966
3
-
F Balogun FWD28134
4
1
T Kehrer DEF26
7
2
A Golovin MID2455
3
1
M. Coulibaly MID2333
6
1
A Fati FWD2310
1
-
C Henrique DEF222
2
-
L Camara MID2214
5
-
D Zakaria MID2221
4
1
P Köhn GLK19
1
-
K Diatta MID181
2
-
C Mawissa DEF16
3
-
A. Bamba MID161
2
-
L Hradecky GLK15
1
-
K Ouattara DEF153
3
-
G Ilenikhena FWD152
-
T Minamino FWD1532
4
-
Vanderson DEF142
4
-
M Salisu DEF121
3
-
E Dier DEF91
-
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID811
-
P Pogba MID6
-
P. Brunner FWD6
1
-
L. Michal FWD2
-
Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
308510
B ÖzerH HaraldssonF CorreiaN Ngoy 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Correia FWD3245
2
-
B Özer GLK301
4
-
H Haraldsson MID3082
5
-
O Giroud FWD2971
2
-
R Perraud DEF2834
4
1
N Mukau MID281
3
-
N Ngoy  DEF2712
9
1
A Mandi DEF271
8
-
M Fernandez FWD2785
4
-
B André MID2522
8
-
T Meunier DEF2412
3
-
N Bentaleb MID2422
3
-
O Sahraoui FWD1712
-
C Verdonk DEF16
3
1
E. Mbappé Lottin FWD1631
1
-
T Santos DEF15
-
C Mbemba DEF13
2
-
I. Hamza FWD1351
2
-
M Broholm FWD1111
-
Alexsandro DEF8
1
A Bodart GLK3
-
A Gomes MID2
-
O. Touré DEF1
-
U Raghouber MID1
-