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Lyon v Paris FC : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Mar, 19:45 BST, Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Stéphane Gilli pays counterpart Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca a visit on Sunday evening in the Ligue 1, as their Paris FC and Lyon charges face each other at the Groupama Stadium. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Ligue 1 match data, including head-to-head performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 75% chance of Lyon and Paris FC no more than 3 goals combined during this Ligue 1 clash according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lyon
54%
8/154/7
Draw
25%
29/103/1
Paris FC
21%
21/45/1
Lyon 1-0
13%
6/15/1
Draw 1-1
12%
13/26/1
Lyon 2-0
11%
13/211/2
Lyon 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
8%
11/18/1
Paris FC 1-0
7%
16/112/1
Lyon 3-0
6%
10/117/2
Paris FC 2-1
5%
18/114/1
Lyon 3-1
5%
11/110/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/114/1
Paris FC 2-0
3%
33/122/1
Lyon 3-2
2%
25/120/1
Lyon 4-0
2%
20/116/1
Lyon 4-1
2%
22/118/1
Paris FC 3-1
2%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
4/55/6
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1/110/11
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/94/9
Away 1st Goal
40%
15/811/5
No 1st Goal
5%
11/18/1
BTTS - Yes
48%
10/1119/20
BTTS - No
52%
10/114/5
BTTS - Home Win
22%
12/55/2
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/117/4
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/19/1
Home/draw
79%
1/81/8
Away/draw
46%
11/811/8
Home/away
75%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/42/7
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3/15/2
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
2/12/1
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/51/3
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
9/29/2
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/71/8
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/201/33
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/251/20
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
11/117/2
Home DNB
72%
2/112/11
Away DNB
38%
7/216/5
Lyon win to nil
32%
13/8-
Paris FC win to nil
12%
10/1-
Lyon / Lyon
35%
13/1013/10
Lyon / Paris FC
2%
40/133/1
Lyon / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Lyon
19%
10/310/3
Draw / Paris FC
7%
11/110/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Paris FC / Lyon
4%
20/118/1
Paris FC / Paris FC
9%
9/115/2
Paris FC / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lyon have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Lyon have outscored their opponents by 36 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Lyon have played 11 games at home winning 9, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Paris FC are in 15th position in the Ligue 1 on 23 points having played 23 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Paris FC have conceded 34 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lyon
Paris FC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2317333354 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 19
May 16
l
 
2-1A
2
Lens2317152452 
May 16
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-5A
l
 
2-1A
3
Lyon2214351645 
-
-
d
 
3-3A
Mar 8
4
Marseille2312471740 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
d
 
2-2A
l
 
5-2A
5
Lille231148537 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 26
l
 
4-2F
6
Rennes231076237 
May 3
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-1A
May 9
7
Monaco231049234 
Mar 22
w
 
1-3F
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
8
Lorient23887-432 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
9
Strasbourg22949731 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
2-3A
Mar 15
10
Toulouse23878631 
l
 
1-2F
May 9
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
11
Brest23869-330 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
1-2F
12
Angers238510-629 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
13
Le Havre23689-926 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
14
Nice236611-1324 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2A
Mar 1
d
 
1-1A
15
Paris FC235810-1323 
Mar 8
d
 
3-3F
-
-
16
Auxerre234514-1617 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Nantes234514-1817 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
18
Metz233416-3013 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-5F
w
 
3-2A
Apr 19
Win / draw / win form
5
Lyon have won 5 consecutive home league games
5
Lyon have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Lyon 3RD
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Paris FC 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Goal Statistics

Lyon have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Paris FC on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

With a PG of just 0.9, Paris FC look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Lyon haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 matches, and it could be a long evening for S. Gilli's men.

Lyon 3rd Paris FC 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Paris FC scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Lyon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Paris FC’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Lyon
PG (predicted goals)
Paris FC
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
%
better
LYN
PAR
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
LYN
PAR
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Lyon v Paris FC Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21966
C MataP SulcA MoreiraA Maitland-Niles
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Maitland-Niles DEF2113
5
1
C Mata DEF21
4
-
M Niakhaté DEF202
3
-
P Sulc MID2093
2
-
T Tessmann MID201
1
-
T Morton MID1922
3
1
C Tolisso MID1941
5
-
A Moreira FWD1926
2
-
D Greif GLK181
-
A Karabec MID171
2
-
Abner DEF153
4
1
K. Merah MID151
2
-
N Tagliafico DEF143
3
1
M Satriano FWD1121
1
-
H Hateboer DEF10
1
R Kluivert DEF1012
1
-
M. de Carvalho MID10
1
-
M Fofana FWD921
1
-
R Ghezzal  FWD7
-
R Descamps GLK4
-
O Mangala MID3
-
E. Honoré Molébé FWD1
-
Paris FC Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21849
I KebbalI KebbalI KebbalM López 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Mbow DEF211
3
-
J Krasso FWD2122
-
I Kebbal FWD2184
4
-
M López  MID203
9
-
O Silva DEF19
5
1
A. Camara MID191
5
-
M Simon FWD1932
-
W Geubbels FWD173
-
V Marchetti MID162
1
-
N. Sangui DEF15
-
T Smet DEF141
3
1
A Gory FWD141
-
S Chergui DEF121
1
-
P Lees-Melou MID1211
3
-
J Ikoné FWD121
1
-
K Trapp GLK11
-
O Nkambadio GLK11
-
H Traoré DEF111
3
-
T Kolodziejczak DEF11
2
-
T Ollila DEF8
-
N Dicko FWD811
-
M Cafaro FWD8
-
L Doucet MID51
2
-
J López FWD5
-
P Hamel FWD2
-