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Paris Saint-Germain v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Feb, 19:45 BST, Parc des Princes, Paris

We’ve Ligue 1 action to look forward to on Sunday evening, as Luis Enrique Martínez García and his Paris Saint-Germain side host Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille at the Parc des Princes. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Ligue 1 match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither PSG or Marseille are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 81% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
56%
9/201/2
Draw
22%
7/219/5
Marseille
22%
21/49/2
Draw 1-1
10%
8/115/2
PSG 2-1
10%
15/213/2
PSG 1-0
9%
9/18/1
PSG 2-0
9%
8/115/2
PSG 3-1
6%
10/117/2
Marseille 2-1
6%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
PSG 3-0
6%
10/19/1
Marseille 1-0
5%
22/114/1
Draw 0-0
5%
20/116/1
PSG 3-2
4%
18/114/1
PSG 4-1
3%
16/114/1
Marseille 2-0
3%
40/122/1
PSG 4-0
3%
18/114/1
Marseille 3-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
4/94/9
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
7/48/5
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/92/5
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/419/10
No 1st Goal
3%
20/116/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/133/5
BTTS - No
42%
6/56/5
BTTS - Home Win
29%
13/813/8
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/217/4
BTTS - Away Win
12%
17/27/1
Home/draw
78%
1/81/7
Away/draw
44%
13/86/4
Home/away
78%
2/112/11
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/72/15
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
9/217/4
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
6/511/10
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/64/6
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
11/45/2
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
2/72/7
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
11/25/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/91/10
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/501/80
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
18/116/1
Home DNB
71%
1/61/5
Away DNB
37%
4/116/5
PSG win to nil
27%
2/1-
Marseille win to nil
10%
12/1-
PSG / PSG
38%
11/1011/10
PSG / Marseille
3%
33/128/1
PSG / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / PSG
18%
7/218/5
Draw / Marseille
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Draw
10%
7/113/2
Marseille / PSG
5%
16/114/1
Marseille / Marseille
9%
9/113/2
Marseille / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

PSG have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 1 league table. PSG are unbeaten at home after 9 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 44 goals to 41 goals.

Home League Performance

PSG have played 9 games at home winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Marseille are in 3rd position in the Ligue 1 on 38 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 0 and won 2. Marseille have conceded 3 goals, scored 5, scored in every game and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSG
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG1914322645 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
2
Lens1914141743 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
3
Marseille1912252438 
Feb 8
l
 
1-0A
-
-
4
Lyon1911351236 
Apr 19
w
 
2-3F
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
5
Lille191027532 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
6
Rennes19874331 
w
 
5-0F
Feb 15
May 16
l
 
1-0A
7
Strasbourg19937930 
d
 
3-3F
Feb 1
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
8
Toulouse19856829 
Apr 5
w
 
3-6F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
9
Lorient19676-525 
May 3
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
10
Monaco19739-524 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
11
Angers19658-523 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-5F
12
Brest19649-722 
May 9
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
13
Nice196310-1121 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
14
Paris FC19559-820 
w
 
2-1F
May 16
w
 
5-2F
Jan 31
15
Le Havre19487-820 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
w
 
6-2A
May 9
16
Nantes193511-1614 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
May 3
17
Auxerre193313-1512 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
18
Metz193313-2412 
Feb 22
w
 
2-3F
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
5
PSG have won 5 consecutive home league games
10
PSG have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
PSG 2ND
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG3 - 0Lille
PSG2 - 1Paris FC
PSG5 - 0Rennes
PSG3 - 0Le Havre
PSG1 - 0Nice
PSG3 - 3Strasbourg
PSG2 - 0Auxerre
PSG2 - 0Lens
PSG1 - 0Angers
PSG3 - 1Auxerre
PSG1 - 3Nice
PSG2 - 1Le Havre
PSG1 - 0Angers
PSG3 - 1Marseille
PSG4 - 1Lille
PSG4 - 1Monaco
PSG1 - 1Reims
PSG2 - 1St Etienne
PSG3 - 1Lyon
PSG1 - 1Nantes
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APSG1 - 0Auxerre
HPSG3 - 0Lille
HPSG2 - 1Paris FC
APSG3 - 2Metz
HPSG5 - 0Rennes
APSG0 - 1Monaco
HPSG3 - 0Le Havre
APSG3 - 2Lyon
HPSG1 - 0Nice
APSG1 - 1Lorient
APSG3 - 0Brest
HPSG3 - 3Strasbourg
APSG1 - 1Lille
HPSG2 - 0Auxerre
APSG0 - 1Marseille
HPSG2 - 0Lens
APSG6 - 3Toulouse
HPSG1 - 0Angers
APSG1 - 0Nantes
HPSG3 - 1Auxerre
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
1
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Angers2 - 5Marseille
Lille1 - 0Marseille
Nice1 - 5Marseille
Auxerre0 - 1Marseille
Lens2 - 1Marseille
Metz0 - 3Marseille
Strasbourg1 - 2Marseille
Lyon1 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 0Marseille
Le Havre1 - 3Marseille
Lille1 - 1Marseille
Monaco3 - 0Marseille
Reims3 - 1Marseille
PSG3 - 1Marseille
Auxerre3 - 0Marseille
Angers0 - 2Marseille
Nice2 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 2Marseille
St Etienne0 - 2Marseille
Lens1 - 3Marseille
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille3 - 1Lens
AMarseille5 - 2Angers
HMarseille0 - 2Nantes
HMarseille1 - 0Monaco
AMarseille0 - 1Lille
HMarseille2 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille5 - 1Nice
HMarseille3 - 0Brest
AMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
HMarseille2 - 2Angers
AMarseille1 - 2Lens
HMarseille6 - 2Le Havre
AMarseille3 - 0Metz
AMarseille2 - 1Strasbourg
HMarseille1 - 0PSG
HMarseille4 - 0Lorient
AMarseille0 - 1Lyon
HMarseille5 - 2Paris FC
AMarseille0 - 1Rennes
HMarseille4 - 2Rennes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
PSG have beaten Marseille in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at PSG since 2014
PSG
Marseille
Goals: Scored
26
5
Games: Scored
10 / 12
5 / 12
Clean sheets
7 / 12
2 / 12
PSG
10
D
1
MAR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG3 - 1
PSG4 - 0
PSG1 - 0
PSG2 - 1
0 - 1Marseille
PSG4 - 0
PSG3 - 1
PSG3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
PSG2 - 1
PSG2 - 0
PSG2 - 0
League games at Marseille since 2013
Marseille
PSG
Goals: Scored
7
21
Games: Scored
5 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
6 / 11
PSG
8
D
2
MAR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille1 - 0
0 - 3PSG
0 - 2PSG
0 - 3PSG
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2PSG
0 - 2PSG
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2PSG
2 - 3PSG
1 - 2PSG
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.9 against Marseille on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

PSG 2nd Marseille 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that PSG will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
PSG’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Marseille’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
9%
better
PSG
MAR
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score2
4
Scored first17
11
Goals scored41
44
Avg. goals scored2.2
2.3
Avg. shots per game13
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
21
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
30%
better
PSG
MAR
view stats
Games conceded9
13
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first2
8
Goals conceded15
20
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against0.9
1
KickOff rating
+30%

PSG v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17773
W Zaïre-EmeryB BarcolaVitinhaI Zabarnyi 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Zaïre-Emery MID1912
1
-
G Ramos FWD194
2
-
Vitinha MID1817
1
-
L Chevalier GLK17
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF161
3
-
B Barcola FWD167
2
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD1633
1
-
S. Mayulu MID1522
1
-
I. Mbaye FWD1512
-
L Hernández  DEF141
2
-
K Lee MID1412
2
-
W Pacho DEF13
-
F Ruiz MID1312
1
-
N Mendes  DEF1222
1
-
O Dembélé FWD1153
-
L Beraldo DEF101
1
-
J Neves MID1051
-
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD1011
1
-
D Doué FWD1032
-
Marquinhos DEF9
-
A Hakimi DEF92
2
-
M Safonov GLK2
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
161254
M Greenwood M Greenwood P AubameyangM Murillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Greenwood  FWD18123
1
-
P Höjbjerg MID1723
2
-
P Aubameyang FWD1755
1
-
G Rulli GLK16
1
-
T Weah FWD1622
1
-
I Paixão FWD1642
1
-
B Pavard DEF1512
3
-
Emerson DEF153
1
-
M Murillo DEF1521
4
-
M O'Riley MID1512
2
-
L Balerdi DEF141
3
-
A Gomes MID143
4
-
B Nadir MID144
2
1
R. Vaz FWD1442
2
-
N Aguerd DEF121
2
-
A Vermeeren MID111
1
1
C Egan-Riley DEF9
1
A Gouiri FWD941
-
D. Bakola MID8
-
G Kondogbia MID6
2
-
F Medina DEF5
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
H Traorè FWD411
-
J Lange GLK3
-
P Lirola DEF3
-
N Maupay FWD1
-