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Toulouse v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Mar, 20:05 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

We’ve Ligue 1 action to enjoy on Saturday night, as Carles Martínez Novell and his Toulouse side host Habib Beye’s Marseille at the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. Statistics power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
41%
--
Draw
24%
--
Marseille
35%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Toulouse 2-1
9%
--
Marseille 2-1
8%
--
Toulouse 1-0
8%
--
Marseille 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Toulouse 2-0
6%
--
Marseille 2-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Toulouse 3-1
5%
--
Marseille 3-1
4%
--
Toulouse 3-2
3%
--
Toulouse 3-0
3%
--
Marseille 3-2
3%
--
Marseille 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
60%
--
BTTS - No
40%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
--
Home/draw
65%
--
Away/draw
59%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
58%
--
Away DNB
52%
--
Toulouse win to nil
19%
--
Marseille win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Toulouse have conceded 17 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Toulouse have played 12 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Marseille lay in 4th place on 40 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 23 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 43 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Marseille have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Marseille have played 12 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lens2317152452 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 19
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
2
PSG2216333051 
l
 
3-6A
Apr 5
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
3
Lyon2214351645 
May 9
w
 
1-2A
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
4
Marseille2312471740 
Mar 7
d
 
2-2F
-
-
5
Lille221048434 
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
6
Monaco231049234 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
7
Rennes22976-134 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 28
May 16
l
 
1-0A
8
Strasbourg22949731 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
9
Toulouse23878631 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
Mar 7
10
Lorient22877-431 
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
11
Brest23869-330 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
12
Angers22859-529 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-5F
13
Le Havre22688-726 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
w
 
6-2A
May 9
14
Paris FC235810-1323 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
15
Nice226511-1323 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
16
Auxerre224513-1317 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
17
Nantes223514-2014 
d
 
2-2A
May 16
l
 
0-2A
May 3
18
Metz223415-2713 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Toulouse 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse0 - 0Auxerre
Toulouse5 - 1Nice
Toulouse0 - 3Lens
Toulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
Toulouse0 - 1Angers
Toulouse0 - 0Le Havre
Toulouse2 - 2Rennes
Toulouse4 - 0Metz
Toulouse2 - 2Nantes
Toulouse3 - 6PSG
Toulouse2 - 0Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Lens
Toulouse2 - 1Rennes
Toulouse1 - 2Lille
Toulouse2 - 4Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Monaco
Toulouse0 - 1PSG
Toulouse1 - 1Nice
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToulouse1 - 2Le Havre
AToulouse0 - 1Angers
HToulouse0 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse2 - 0Brest
HToulouse5 - 1Nice
HToulouse0 - 3Lens
AToulouse3 - 0Paris FC
HToulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse2 - 2Marseille
HToulouse0 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 1Lorient
HToulouse0 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse2 - 2Rennes
AToulouse0 - 1Monaco
HToulouse4 - 0Metz
AToulouse2 - 1Lyon
HToulouse2 - 2Nantes
AToulouse0 - 1Auxerre
AToulouse1 - 2Lille
HToulouse3 - 6PSG
Marseille 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brest2 - 0Marseille
PSG5 - 0Marseille
Paris FC2 - 2Marseille
Angers2 - 5Marseille
Lille1 - 0Marseille
Nice1 - 5Marseille
Auxerre0 - 1Marseille
Lens2 - 1Marseille
Metz0 - 3Marseille
Strasbourg1 - 2Marseille
Lyon1 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 0Marseille
Le Havre1 - 3Marseille
Lille1 - 1Marseille
Monaco3 - 0Marseille
Reims3 - 1Marseille
PSG3 - 1Marseille
Auxerre3 - 0Marseille
Angers0 - 2Marseille
Nice2 - 0Marseille
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille0 - 2Brest
HMarseille2 - 2Strasbourg
AMarseille0 - 5PSG
AMarseille2 - 2Paris FC
HMarseille3 - 1Lens
AMarseille5 - 2Angers
HMarseille0 - 2Nantes
HMarseille1 - 0Monaco
AMarseille0 - 1Lille
HMarseille2 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille5 - 1Nice
HMarseille3 - 0Brest
AMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
HMarseille2 - 2Angers
AMarseille1 - 2Lens
HMarseille6 - 2Le Havre
AMarseille3 - 0Metz
AMarseille2 - 1Strasbourg
HMarseille1 - 0PSG
HMarseille4 - 0Lorient
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toulouse since 2013
Toulouse
Marseille
Goals: Scored
11
25
Games: Scored
8 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
2 / 10
D
4
MAR
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
1 - 3Marseille
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Marseille
0 - 2Marseille
2 - 5Marseille
1 - 2Marseille
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 6Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
23
8
Games: Scored
9 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
2 / 11
D
5
MAR
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Draw2 - 2Draw
Marseille3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Marseille6 - 1
Marseille1 - 0
Marseille4 - 0
Marseille2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Toulouse's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Marseille have conceded in each of their last 7 Ligue 1 matches. A PG of 1.6 for C. Martínez Novell's side suggests that run should continue.

Toulouse 9th Marseille 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Toulouse’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-15
Marseille have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.6
1.4
Attack rating
%
better
TOU
MAR
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
TOU
MAR
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Toulouse v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22645
G. RestesY GbohoY GbohoC Cresswell
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK22
3
-
D Sidibé DEF2233
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF22
1
-
C Cresswell DEF2232
5
-
C Yepes MID211
5
-
Y Gboho FWD2164
1
-
M McKenzie DEF202
5
-
A Dönnum MID1934
5
-
D. Methalie DEF18
5
-
S Hidalgo FWD1842
3
-
F Magri FWD1751
3
-
M Sauer MID16
2
-
Emersonn FWD1632
3
1
A. Vossah MID1511
1
1
W Kamanzi DEF13
-
R. Messali MID12
2
-
N. Edjouma FWD12
-
J. Vignolo FWD91
-
A Francis MID8
2
-
S. Koumbassa DEF3
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201455
M Greenwood M Greenwood P AubameyangB Nadir
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Greenwood  FWD22144
1
-
P Höjbjerg MID2123
3
-
T Weah MID2022
2
-
I Paixão FWD2042
2
-
P Aubameyang FWD2065
1
-
G Rulli GLK19
2
-
B Pavard DEF1812
4
-
Emerson DEF183
2
-
B Nadir MID184
4
1
M Murillo DEF1621
4
-
L Balerdi DEF161
4
-
N Aguerd DEF151
3
-
M O'Riley MID1512
2
-
A Gomes MID143
4
-
R. Vaz FWD1442
2
-
A Vermeeren MID131
1
1
A Gouiri FWD1352
-
C Egan-Riley DEF9
1
F Medina DEF8
1
-
D. Bakola MID8
-
G Kondogbia MID6
2
-
H Traorè FWD611
1
-
J Lange GLK4
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
P Lirola DEF3
-
N Maupay FWD1
-