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Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 17:30 BST, Allianz Arena, München

The Bundesliga is the focus for both Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund on Saturday evening, as managers Vincent Kompany and Niko Kovač go head to head at the Allianz Arena. Stats drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Bayern to win

A Bundesliga victory in front of their own fans for Vincent Kompany's Bayern team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should have too much for their visitors. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Bayern win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 71% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
71%
4/117/20
1%
Draw
16%
17/4
5%
19/4
Dortmund
13%
6/1
7%
13/2
7%
Bayern 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Bayern 3-1
8%
9/18/1
Bayern 2-0
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Bayern 3-0
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
Draw 1-1
7%
10/19/1
Bayern 1-0
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
Bayern 4-1
5%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
Bayern 4-0
5%
16/112/1
Bayern 3-2
5%
16/112/1
Dortmund 2-1
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Bayern 4-2
3%
22/118/1
12%
Bayern 5-1
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Bayern 5-0
3%
28/118/1
Dortmund 1-0
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
1/3
2%
3/10
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
12/5
3%
23/10
3%
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/11
3%
7/20
1%
Away 1st Goal
41%
15/8
5%
11/5
3%
No 1st Goal
1%
28/118/1
10%
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/15
6%
8/15
3%
BTTS - No
37%
11/8
10%
7/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
40%
13/10
2%
6/5
BTTS - Draw
14%
5/1
9%
5/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/18/1
6%
Home/draw
87%
1/101/11
1%
Away/draw
29%
2/111/5
7%
Home/away
84%
1/62/15
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1/10
2%
1/12
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
6/1
13%
6/1
Over 3.5 Goals
53%
4/5
4%
3/4
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
47%
1/1
5%
1/1
Over 4.5 Goals
33%
2/1
9%
13/8
1%
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
2/5
3%
4/9
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
4/1
11%
10/3
3%
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1/6
3%
2/11
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/1501/1000
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
Home DNB
82%
1/81/9
2%
Away DNB
25%
5/119/4
10%
Bayern win to nil
30%
2/1
8%
-
Dortmund win to nil
5%
16/1
11%
-
Bayern / Bayern
42%
10/1110/11
Bayern / Dortmund
2%
40/128/1
Bayern / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Bayern
18%
7/210/3
2%
Draw / Dortmund
5%
16/112/1
Draw / Draw
9%
17/215/2
Dortmund / Bayern
5%
14/114/1
Dortmund / Dortmund
7%
11/19/1
5%
Dortmund / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Bayern
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern66002218 
-
-
Feb 28
Oct 18
2
Dortmund6420814 
Oct 18
Feb 28
-
-
3
RB Leipzig6411013 
w
 
6-0F
Jan 17
d
 
1-1A
Feb 21
4
Stuttgart6402212 
Apr 18
Dec 6
Nov 22
Apr 4
5
Leverkusen6321411 
Nov 1
Mar 14
Apr 11
Nov 29
6
Köln6312210 
May 16
Jan 14
Oct 25
Mar 7
7
E.Frankfurt630319 
Feb 21
w
 
0-3F
May 9
Jan 10
8
Freiburg622208 
Nov 22
Apr 4
Apr 25
Dec 13
9
Hamburg6222-28 
w
 
5-0F
Jan 31
Mar 21
Nov 8
10
St. Pauli6213-17 
Nov 29
Apr 11
Jan 17
d
 
3-3F
11
Hoffenheim6213-37 
Feb 7
w
 
1-4F
Dec 6
Apr 18
12
W.Bremen6213-57 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 14
Jan 14
May 16
13
Union Berlin6213-57 
Mar 21
Nov 8
w
 
3-0F
Jan 24
14
Augsburg6204-26 
Jan 24
w
 
2-3F
Mar 14
Oct 31
15
Wolfsburg6123-25 
Jan 10
May 9
w
 
1-0F
Feb 7
16
Mainz6114-54 
Dec 13
Apr 25
Feb 14
w
 
0-2F
17
B. M'gladbach6033-73 
Mar 7
Oct 25
Dec 20
May 2
18
Heidenheim6105-73 
May 2
Dec 20
Jan 31
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
8
Bayern have won 8 consecutive league games
15
Bayern have not lost in 15 consecutive league games
14
Dortmund have not lost in 14 consecutive league games
5
Bayern have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive home league games
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
68
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern4 - 0W.Bremen
Bayern5 - 0Hamburg
Bayern6 - 0RB Leipzig
Bayern2 - 0B. M'gladbach
Bayern3 - 0Mainz
Bayern2 - 2Dortmund
Bayern3 - 2St. Pauli
Bayern2 - 3VfL Bochum
Bayern4 - 0E.Frankfurt
Bayern3 - 0W.Bremen
Bayern4 - 3Holstein
Bayern3 - 2Wolfsburg
Bayern5 - 0Hoffenheim
Bayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern4 - 2Heidenheim
Bayern3 - 0Augsburg
Bayern3 - 0Union Berlin
Bayern4 - 0Stuttgart
Bayern1 - 1Leverkusen
Bayern2 - 0Freiburg
Goals: Scored
62
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABayern3 - 0E.Frankfurt
HBayern4 - 0W.Bremen
ABayern4 - 1Hoffenheim
HBayern5 - 0Hamburg
ABayern3 - 2Augsburg
HBayern6 - 0RB Leipzig
ABayern4 - 0Hoffenheim
HBayern2 - 0B. M'gladbach
ABayern3 - 3RB Leipzig
HBayern3 - 0Mainz
ABayern4 - 0Heidenheim
HBayern2 - 2Dortmund
ABayern3 - 1Augsburg
HBayern3 - 2St. Pauli
ABayern1 - 1Union Berlin
HBayern2 - 3VfL Bochum
ABayern3 - 1Stuttgart
HBayern4 - 0E.Frankfurt
ABayern0 - 0Leverkusen
HBayern3 - 0W.Bremen
Dortmund 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
14
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz0 - 2Dortmund
Heidenheim0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
Leverkusen2 - 4Dortmund
Hoffenheim2 - 3Dortmund
Bayern2 - 2Dortmund
Freiburg1 - 4Dortmund
RB Leipzig2 - 0Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
VfL Bochum2 - 0Dortmund
Heidenheim1 - 2Dortmund
E.Frankfurt2 - 0Dortmund
Holstein4 - 2Dortmund
Wolfsburg1 - 3Dortmund
B. M'gladbach1 - 1Dortmund
Mainz3 - 1Dortmund
Augsburg2 - 1Dortmund
Union Berlin2 - 1Dortmund
Stuttgart5 - 1Dortmund
W.Bremen0 - 0Dortmund
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig
ADortmund2 - 0Mainz
HDortmund1 - 0Wolfsburg
ADortmund2 - 0Heidenheim
HDortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
ADortmund3 - 3St. Pauli
HDortmund3 - 0Holstein
ADortmund4 - 2Leverkusen
HDortmund4 - 0Wolfsburg
ADortmund3 - 2Hoffenheim
HDortmund3 - 2B. M'gladbach
ADortmund2 - 2Bayern
ADortmund4 - 1Freiburg
HDortmund3 - 1Mainz
ADortmund0 - 2RB Leipzig
HDortmund0 - 1Augsburg
ADortmund2 - 0St. Pauli
HDortmund6 - 0Union Berlin
ADortmund0 - 2VfL Bochum
HDortmund1 - 2Stuttgart
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bayern since 2012
Bayern
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
40
16
Games: Scored
11 / 13
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
2 / 13
FCB
9
D
2
BVB
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bayern
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Dortmund
Bayern4 - 2
Bayern3 - 1
Bayern4 - 2
Bayern4 - 0
Bayern5 - 0
Bayern6 - 0
Bayern4 - 1
Bayern5 - 1
Bayern2 - 1
0 - 3Dortmund
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Dortmund since 2013
Dortmund
Bayern
Goals: Scored
13
24
Games: Scored
8 / 13
11 / 13
Clean sheets
2 / 13
5 / 13
FCB
7
D
4
BVB
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dortmund
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4Bayern
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Bayern
2 - 3Bayern
0 - 1Bayern
Dortmund3 - 2
1 - 3Bayern
Dortmund1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Bayern
0 - 3Bayern
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 14 consecutive Bundesliga matches. A PG of 2.7 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Bayern 1st Dortmund 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
18%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
20%
There is a 82% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Dortmund will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Bayern have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+3
Dortmund’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
3.4
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
2.7
1.1
Attack rating
18%
better
FCB
BVB
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score0
0
Scored first4
4
Goals scored18
9
Avg. goals scored3
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal3
4
Conversion rate for30
23
Avg. XG for2.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
FCB
BVB
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
1
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded3
3
Avg. goals conceded0.5
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded5
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
10
Conversion rate against10%
10%
Avg. XG against0.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+12%

Bayern v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
61143
M Neuer H KaneL Díaz L Díaz 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Neuer  GLK6
-
D Upamecano DEF6
1
-
K Laimer DEF612
2
-
J Tah DEF61
1
-
S Boey DEF6
1
-
J Kimmich MID61
2
-
S Gnabry FWD633
1
-
M Olise FWD632
2
-
H Kane FWD6113
-
L Díaz  FWD654
3
-
A Pavlović MID51
1
-
L Goretzka MID5
2
-
L. Karl FWD51
-
R Guerreiro DEF41
-
T Bischof MID41
-
N Jackson FWD4
-
J Stanisic DEF3
-
M Kim DEF21
-
W. Okpako Mike FWD1
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6422
G KobelS Guirassy J RyersonR Bensebaini
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK6
-
R Bensebaini DEF6
2
-
W Anton DEF61
-
D Svensson MID61
-
F Nmecha MID611
-
J Bellingham MID6
-
K Adeyemi  FWD621
1
-
Y Couto DEF511
2
-
J Ryerson DEF52
1
-
P Groß MID51
-
J Brandt MID512
-
M Sabitzer  MID51
1
-
M Beier FWD511
-
S Guirassy  FWD541
1
-
C Chukwuemeka MID4
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF3
1
-
S Özcan MID3
-
F. Mane DEF2
1
F Silva FWD2
-
A Anselmino DEF1
-
W Campbell FWD1
-