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RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 13th Sep, 14:30 BST, Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV take on one another at the Red Bull Arena on Sunday afternoon, with both Martín Gastón Demichelis and Merlin Polzin seeking a win in the Bundesliga. Recent form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all shown below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. Here we've gone for RB Leipzig to win, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?


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Best Tip: RB Leipzig to win

As the RB Leipzig players ready themselves for this match, the bookies have predicted a win for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Red Bull Arena has rarely been a successful away day for Hamburg in the past, and we expect more of the same come Sunday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
RB Leipzig
68%
1.42-
Draw
18%
4.50-
Hamburg
15%
6.50-
RB Leipzig 2-1
10%
8.50-
RB Leipzig 2-0
9%
9.00-
RB Leipzig 3-1
8%
11.00-
Draw 1-1
8%
9.50-
RB Leipzig 3-0
7%
11.00-
RB Leipzig 1-0
7%
11.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
RB Leipzig 4-1
5%
17.00-
RB Leipzig 4-0
4%
17.00-
RB Leipzig 3-2
4%
19.00-
Hamburg 2-1
4%
21.00-
Hamburg 1-0
3%
23.00-
Draw 0-0
3%
21.00-
RB Leipzig 4-2
3%
29.00-
RB Leipzig 5-1
2%
29.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
1.44-
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
2.75-
Home 1st Goal
58%
1.40-
Away 1st Goal
41%
2.88-
No 1st Goal
1%
21.00-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.62-
BTTS - No
40%
2.20-
BTTS - Home Win
36%
2.63-
BTTS - Draw
15%
5.50-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10.00-
Home/draw
85%
1.11-
Away/draw
32%
2.75-
Home/away
82%
1.18-
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1.14-
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
5.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
2.10-
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
1.73-
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
3.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
1.30-
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
6.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1.13-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.02-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
19.00-
Home DNB
80%
1.14-
Away DNB
27%
5.50-
RB Leipzig win to nil
31%
2.75-
Hamburg win to nil
6%
15.00-
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig
40%
2.05-
RB Leipzig / Hamburg
2%
34.00-
RB Leipzig / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / RB Leipzig
18%
4.50-
Draw / Hamburg
6%
15.00-
Draw / Draw
10%
8.00-
Hamburg / RB Leipzig
5%
17.00-
Hamburg / Hamburg
8%
11.00-
Hamburg / Draw
5%
17.00-
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
RB Leipzig
Hamburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Freiburg220046 
Apr 3
Nov 28
May 15
Jan 13
2
Dortmund220036 
Dec 19
Apr 24
Jan 23
l
 
2-0A
3
Elversberg220026 
Oct 24
Mar 3
Apr 24
Dec 19
4
Mainz211054 
Dec 5
Apr 10
l
 
0-5A
Jan 30
5
Bayern211044 
Feb 27
Oct 17
Nov 28
Apr 3
6
Leverkusen210133 
Feb 13
Sep 20
Jan 9
May 8
7
Augsburg110033 
Nov 7
Mar 13
Jan 16
May 22
8
RB Leipzig210113 
-
-
Feb 6
Sep 13
9
Stuttgart2101-13 
Jan 13
May 15
Oct 17
Feb 27
10
W.Bremen2101-13 
Jan 30
l
 
3-1A
Mar 20
Nov 21
11
Köln2101-23 
Apr 17
Dec 12
Sep 19
Feb 13
12
E.Frankfurt101001 
Oct 10
Feb 20
Mar 6
Oct 31
13
Paderborn2011-11 
May 8
Jan 9
Mar 3
Oct 24
14
Schalke2011-31 
Mar 6
Oct 31
Dec 12
Apr 17
15
Union Berlin2011-41 
Mar 20
Nov 21
Apr 10
Dec 5
16
Hoffenheim2002-20 
May 22
Jan 16
Feb 20
Oct 10
17
B. M'gladbach2002-40 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 23
Nov 7
Mar 13
18
Hamburg2002-70 
Sep 13
Feb 6
-
-
Win / draw / win form
6
RB Leipzig have won 6 consecutive home league games
RB Leipzig 8TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig3 - 0B. M'gladbach
RB Leipzig2 - 1St. Pauli
RB Leipzig3 - 1Union Berlin
RB Leipzig1 - 0B. M'gladbach
RB Leipzig5 - 0Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 1Augsburg
RB Leipzig2 - 2Dortmund
RB Leipzig2 - 2Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
RB Leipzig2 - 0Freiburg
RB Leipzig1 - 3Leverkusen
RB Leipzig6 - 0E.Frankfurt
RB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
RB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
RB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
RB Leipzig3 - 1Köln
RB Leipzig2 - 0Heidenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 3Stuttgart
RB Leipzig3 - 3Bayern
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARB Leipzig1 - 3W.Bremen
HRB Leipzig3 - 0B. M'gladbach
ARB Leipzig1 - 4Freiburg
HRB Leipzig2 - 1St. Pauli
ARB Leipzig1 - 4Leverkusen
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Union Berlin
ARB Leipzig3 - 1E.Frankfurt
HRB Leipzig1 - 0B. M'gladbach
ARB Leipzig2 - 1W.Bremen
HRB Leipzig5 - 0Hoffenheim
ARB Leipzig0 - 1Stuttgart
HRB Leipzig2 - 1Augsburg
ARB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
HRB Leipzig2 - 2Dortmund
HRB Leipzig2 - 2Wolfsburg
ARB Leipzig2 - 1Köln
HRB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
ARB Leipzig1 - 1St. Pauli
ARB Leipzig3 - 0Heidenheim
HRB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
Hamburg 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund2 - 0Hamburg
Leverkusen1 - 1Hamburg
E.Frankfurt1 - 2Hamburg
W.Bremen3 - 1Hamburg
Stuttgart4 - 0Hamburg
Dortmund3 - 2Hamburg
Wolfsburg1 - 2Hamburg
Mainz1 - 1Hamburg
Heidenheim0 - 2Hamburg
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
Freiburg2 - 1Hamburg
Hoffenheim4 - 1Hamburg
Augsburg1 - 0Hamburg
Köln4 - 1Hamburg
RB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
Union Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
Bayern5 - 0Hamburg
B. M'gladbach0 - 0Hamburg
Greuther3 - 2Hamburg
Darmstadt0 - 4Hamburg
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHamburg0 - 2Dortmund
AHamburg1 - 1Leverkusen
HHamburg3 - 2Freiburg
AHamburg2 - 1E.Frankfurt
HHamburg1 - 2Hoffenheim
AHamburg1 - 3W.Bremen
AHamburg0 - 4Stuttgart
HHamburg1 - 1Augsburg
AHamburg2 - 3Dortmund
HHamburg1 - 1Köln
AHamburg2 - 1Wolfsburg
HHamburg0 - 1Leverkusen
HHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
AHamburg1 - 1Mainz
HHamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
AHamburg2 - 0Heidenheim
HHamburg2 - 2Bayern
AHamburg0 - 0St. Pauli
HHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg1 - 2Freiburg
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at RB Leipzig since 2017
RB Leipzig
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
RBL
1
D
1
HSV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Hamburg
League games at Hamburg since 2016
Hamburg
RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
1
8
Games: Scored
1 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
2 / 3
RBL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
1 - 2RB Leipzig
0 - 2RB Leipzig
0 - 4RB Leipzig
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.5 is decent for RB Leipzig in their clash with Hamburger SV, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 61 consecutive Bundesliga outings.

RB Leipzig 8th Hamburg 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that RB Leipzig will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
RB Leipzig have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-16
Hamburg have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season
RB Leipzig
PG (predicted goals)
Hamburg
2.5
1.1
Attack rating
61%
better
RBL
HSV
view stats
Games scored1
0
Failed to score0
1
Scored first1
0
Goals scored3
0
Avg. goals scored1.5
0
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal7
0
Conversion rate for14
0
Avg. XG for3.9
0.8
KickOff rating
+61%
Defence rating
67%
better
RBL
HSV
view stats
Games conceded0
1
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first0
1
Goals conceded0
2
Avg. goals conceded0
2
Avg. shots/game conceded5
16
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
8
Conversion rate against0%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+67%

RB Leipzig v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2221
M VandevoordtR BakuT. GomisA Nusa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vandevoordt GLK2
-
R Baku DEF22
-
D Raum DEF2
-
W Orbán DEF2
-
E Banzuzi MID2
-
N Seiwald MID2
-
J Bakayoko FWD2
-
T. Gomis FWD22
-
A Nusa FWD21
1
-
C Nkunku  FWD21
-
M Estève DEF1
-
C Lukeba DEF1
-
B Henrichs DEF1
-
N Aynaoui MID1
-
B Gruda MID1
-
R Reitz MID11
-
A. Maksimović MID11
-
M Guiu FWD1
-
S. Konate FWD1
-
Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1001
D FernandesA Lokonga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK1
-
S Bornauw DEF1
-
J Torunarigha DEF1
-
N Capaldo  DEF1
-
L. Lemke DEF1
-
B Nadir MID1
-
M Adeline MID1
-
N Remberg MID1
-
B Jatta MID1
-
A Grönbaek MID1
-
A Lokonga MID1
1
-
P Daka FWD1
-
Y Poulsen FWD1
-
O. Emerson Stange FWD1
-
T Moffi FWD1
-