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FC St. Pauli v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Oct, 16:30 BST, Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. Pauli and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim take on one another at the Millerntor-Stadion on Sunday afternoon, with both Alexander Blessin and Christian Ilzer hoping for success in the Bundesliga. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% probability of St. Pauli and Hoffenheim delivering a minimum of two goals in this Bundesliga clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Pauli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
St. Pauli 44%	2.25 2%	2.25 5%
Draw 24%	3.40 3%	3.40 3%
Hoffenheim 32%	3.10	3.10 3%
Draw 1-1 11%	6.50	6.50 8%
St. Pauli 2-1 9%	9.00 5%	8.00 6%
St. Pauli 1-0 8%	9.50 12%	8.00
Hoffenheim 2-1 8%	11.00	9.50
Hoffenheim 1-0 7%	12.00 9%	9.50 6%
St. Pauli 2-0 7%	12.00	10.00 9%
Draw 2-2 6%	12.00 8%	11.00
Draw 0-0 5%	12.00 9%	9.50 6%
St. Pauli 3-1 5%	17.00	13.00 13%
Hoffenheim 2-0 5%	17.00	13.00
St. Pauli 3-0 4%	21.00	17.00
Hoffenheim 3-1 3%	23.00	17.00
St. Pauli 3-2 3%	23.00 12%	19.00
Hoffenheim 3-2 3%	29.00	21.00
Hoffenheim 3-0 2%	34.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	1.80 6%	1.75 4%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	2.00 5%	1.95 2%
Home 1st Goal 51%	1.80 2%	1.83 4%
Away 1st Goal 46%	2.10	2.20 2%
No 1st Goal 3%	12.00 9%	9.50 6%
BTTS - Yes 59%	1.62 5%	1.65 1%
BTTS - No 41%	2.20 7%	2.15 2%
BTTS - Home Win 23%	4.00 11%	4.00 5%
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33	4.20
BTTS - Away Win 17%	5.50 8%	5.25 5%
Home/draw 68%	1.36	1.36 3%
Away/draw 56%	1.62 3%	1.62 3%
Home/away 76%	1.30 2%	1.30 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1.25 3%	1.25 3%
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	4.00 7%	3.60 3%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	3.00 6%	2.88 4%
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	1.40 3%	1.40 4%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	5.50 8%	5.25 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1.14 1%	1.14 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	11.00 15%	10.00 9%
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1.05 1%	1.04 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.05	1.04 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	11.00	9.50 6%
Home DNB 61%	1.62	1.60 4%
Away DNB 49%	2.20	2.20 7%
St. Pauli win to nil 21%	4.33 8%	-
Hoffenheim win to nil 15%	6.00 9%	-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli 22%	3.60 4%	3.50 5%
St. Pauli / Hoffenheim 3%	26.00 10%	23.00
St. Pauli / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / St. Pauli 14%	6.00 9%	5.25 5%
Draw / Hoffenheim 12%	7.00	6.50
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50	5.00 4%
Hoffenheim / St. Pauli 4%	23.00	19.00 10%
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim 17%	4.75	4.80 4%
Hoffenheim / Draw 6%	13.00 13%	12.00

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	St. Pauli Hoffenheim
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	6	6	0	0	22	18	Apr 11	Nov 29	l 1-4A	Feb 7
2	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	8	14	d 3-3A	Jan 17	Apr 18	Dec 6
3	RB Leipzig	6	4	1	1	0	13	Jan 10	May 9	Nov 8	Mar 21
4	Stuttgart	6	4	0	2	2	12	Feb 7	l 2-0A	May 2	Dec 20
5	Leverkusen	6	3	2	1	4	11	l 1-2A	Feb 14	Jan 17	w 1-2A
6	Köln	6	3	1	2	2	10	Apr 18	Dec 6	l 0-1A	Feb 21
7	E.Frankfurt	6	3	0	3	1	9	Mar 7	Oct 25	l 1-3A	Jan 24
8	Freiburg	6	2	2	2	0	8	Mar 21	Nov 9	Feb 14	d 1-1A
9	Hamburg	6	2	2	2	-2	8	Jan 24	w 0-2F	Dec 13	Apr 25
10	St. Pauli	6	2	1	3	-1	7	-	-	Feb 28	Oct 19
11	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	-3	7	Oct 19	Feb 28	-	-
12	W.Bremen	6	2	1	3	-5	7	Feb 21	l 1-0A	May 9	Jan 10
13	Union Berlin	6	2	1	3	-5	7	Nov 23	Apr 4	Jan 31	w 2-4F
14	Augsburg	6	2	0	4	-2	6	w 2-1A	Jan 31	Nov 29	Apr 11
15	Wolfsburg	6	1	2	3	-2	5	May 16	Jan 14	Mar 14	Nov 2
16	Mainz	6	1	1	4	-5	4	May 2	Dec 20	Apr 4	Nov 21
17	B. M'gladbach	6	0	3	3	-7	3	Nov 1	Mar 14	Jan 14	May 16
18	Heidenheim	6	1	0	5	-7	3	Dec 13	Apr 25	Oct 25	Mar 7

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

St. Pauli have lost 3 consecutive league games

Hoffenheim have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli	1 - 2	Leverkusen
St. Pauli	2 - 1	Augsburg
St. Pauli	3 - 3	Dortmund
St. Pauli	0 - 2	VfL Bochum
St. Pauli	0 - 1	Stuttgart
St. Pauli	1 - 1	Leverkusen
St. Pauli	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli	1 - 0	Hoffenheim
St. Pauli	0 - 2	Dortmund
St. Pauli	0 - 1	Freiburg
St. Pauli	1 - 1	Augsburg
St. Pauli	3 - 0	Union Berlin
St. Pauli	0 - 1	E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli	0 - 2	W.Bremen
St. Pauli	3 - 1	Holstein
St. Pauli	0 - 1	Bayern
St. Pauli	0 - 0	Wolfsburg
St. Pauli	0 - 3	Mainz
St. Pauli	0 - 0	RB Leipzig
St. Pauli	0 - 2	Heidenheim

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	St. Pauli	0 - 1	W.Bremen
H	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Leverkusen
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	Stuttgart
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Augsburg
A	St. Pauli	2 - 0	Hamburg
H	St. Pauli	3 - 3	Dortmund
H	St. Pauli	0 - 2	VfL Bochum
A	St. Pauli	2 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Stuttgart
A	St. Pauli	0 - 0	W.Bremen
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Leverkusen
A	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Holstein
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	St. Pauli	2 - 3	Bayern
H	St. Pauli	1 - 0	Hoffenheim
A	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	St. Pauli	0 - 2	Dortmund
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	Mainz
H	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Freiburg
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	RB Leipzig

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Freiburg	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
Union Berlin	2 - 4	Hoffenheim
Leverkusen	1 - 2	Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg	2 - 2	Hoffenheim
B. M'gladbach	4 - 4	Hoffenheim
Freiburg	3 - 2	Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Hoffenheim
St. Pauli	1 - 0	Hoffenheim
VfL Bochum	0 - 1	Hoffenheim
W.Bremen	1 - 3	Hoffenheim
Leverkusen	3 - 1	Hoffenheim
Holstein	1 - 3	Hoffenheim
Bayern	5 - 0	Hoffenheim
Dortmund	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
Mainz	2 - 0	Hoffenheim
Augsburg	0 - 0	Hoffenheim
Heidenheim	0 - 0	Hoffenheim
Stuttgart	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
Union Berlin	2 - 1	Hoffenheim
E.Frankfurt	3 - 1	Hoffenheim

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Hoffenheim	0 - 1	Köln
A	Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Freiburg
H	Hoffenheim	1 - 4	Bayern
A	Hoffenheim	4 - 2	Union Berlin
H	Hoffenheim	1 - 3	E.Frankfurt
A	Hoffenheim	2 - 1	Leverkusen
H	Hoffenheim	0 - 4	Bayern
A	Hoffenheim	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	Hoffenheim	4 - 4	B. M'gladbach
H	Hoffenheim	2 - 3	Dortmund
A	Hoffenheim	2 - 3	Freiburg
H	Hoffenheim	2 - 0	Mainz
A	Hoffenheim	1 - 3	RB Leipzig
H	Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Augsburg
A	Hoffenheim	0 - 1	St. Pauli
H	Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Hoffenheim	1 - 0	VfL Bochum
H	Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Stuttgart
A	Hoffenheim	3 - 1	W.Bremen
H	Hoffenheim	0 - 4	Union Berlin

Goal Statistics

FC St. Pauli's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have conceded in each of their last 11 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.6 for Alexander Blessin's side suggests that run should continue.

	St. Pauli 10th	Hoffenheim 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that St. Pauli will score 1 or more goals	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Hoffenheim will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-38 St. Pauli have scored 38% fewer goals at home than predicted	+13 Hoffenheim have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
	0.8 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

STP

TSG

21%

better

view stats

Games scored	3		4
Failed to score	1		0
Scored first	1		1
Goals scored	7		8
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots per game	6		7
Avg. shots per goal	5		5
Conversion rate for	20		19
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+21%

34%

better

STP

TSG

view stats

Games conceded	3		4
Clean sheets	1		0
Conceded first	3		3
Goals conceded	6		10
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		4
Conversion rate against	19%		24%
Avg. XG against	1.2		2
KickOff rating		+34%

St. Pauli v Hoffenheim Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	3	1	2
N Vasilj	A Hountondji	M Saliakas	E Smith

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Vasilj GLK	6			-
H Wahl DEF	6	1		-
E Smith DEF	6	1		2 -
M Saliakas DEF	6		1	-
L. Oppie DEF	6			-
J Fujita MID	6		1	1 -
J Sands MID	6			1 -
C Metcalfe MID	6			-
D Sinani MID	6	2	1	1 -
M Lage FWD	6		1	-
A Dzwigala DEF	5	1		2 -
L Ritzka DEF	5			-
A Pyrka DEF	5			2 -
M Kaars FWD	5			-
A Hountondji FWD	5	3		-
O Afolayan FWD	4			1 -
A. Ceesay FWD	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	1	3
A Hountondji	M Lage	M Saliakas	D Sinani

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Hountondji FWD	3	6
D Sinani MID	2	5	1	3
H Wahl DEF	1	2
E Smith DEF	1	2
A Dzwigala DEF	1	1
M Saliakas DEF		1	1
L. Oppie DEF		2
J Fujita MID			1	2
J Sands MID		2		1
C Metcalfe MID		1
M Lage FWD		6	1	1
A Pyrka DEF		1
M Kaars FWD		1
O Afolayan FWD		1
A. Ceesay FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
420	19	44
H Wahl	J Sands	J Sands

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H Wahl DEF	420	12	30
E Smith DEF	416	8	28
J Fujita MID	321	9	16
D Sinani MID	295	8	22
J Sands MID	250	19	44
N Vasilj GLK	217		3
L. Oppie DEF	212	14	22
A Dzwigala DEF	206	9	15
M Saliakas DEF	170	10	16
A Pyrka DEF	137	5	11
M Lage FWD	120	13	34
L Ritzka DEF	108	4	9
M Kaars FWD	56		5
A Hountondji FWD	52	3	10
C Metcalfe MID	45	2	7
A. Ceesay FWD	12		9
O Afolayan FWD	11	1	4

Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	4	1	2
O Baumann	F Asllani	V Coufal	U Tohumcu

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Baumann GLK	6			-
R Hranáč DEF	6			-
V Coufal DEF	6	1	1	1 -
Bernardo DEF	6			1 -
A Prass DEF	6			-
L Avdullahu MID	6		1	1 -
G Prömel MID	6	1		1 -
A Kramaric MID	6	1		1 -
B. Touré FWD	6		1	1 -
F Asllani FWD	6	4	1	1 -
W Burger MID	5			1 -
M Damar MID	5			-
T Lemperle FWD	5	2	1	-
A Hajdari DEF	4			-
A Chaves DEF	4			1 -
U Tohumcu MID	4			2 -
M. Moerstedt FWD	3			-
I Bebou FWD	3			-
K Akpoguma DEF	2			-
K Machida DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	7	1	3
F Asllani	F Asllani	V Coufal	T Lemperle

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Asllani FWD	4	7	1	1
T Lemperle FWD	2	6	1	3
V Coufal DEF	1	2	1	2
G Prömel MID	1	1
A Kramaric MID	1	4
A Prass DEF		1
L Avdullahu MID			1	1
B. Touré FWD		4	1	1
M Damar MID		4
A Hajdari DEF		1
I Bebou FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
307	21	48
L Avdullahu	Bernardo	Bernardo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Avdullahu MID	307	6	18
Bernardo DEF	296	21	48
R Hranáč DEF	265	8	22
W Burger MID	207	8	26
V Coufal DEF	199	11	26
O Baumann GLK	182		4
A Hajdari DEF	170	6	19
A Kramaric MID	154		9
B. Touré FWD	140	8	41
A Chaves DEF	130	7	19
F Asllani FWD	114	3	15
M Damar MID	85	3	6
T Lemperle FWD	77	5	20
G Prömel MID	66	6	8
A Prass DEF	64	6	9
U Tohumcu MID	40	3	6
K Machida DEF	36	1	2
M. Moerstedt FWD	17	2	5
K Akpoguma DEF	9	1	2
I Bebou FWD	5		1