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FC Union Berlin v RB Leipzig : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 12th Dec, 19:30 BST, An der Alten Forsterei, Berlin

We’ve Bundesliga action to look forward to on Friday evening, as Steffen Baumgart and his FC Union Berlin side host Ole Werner’s RB Leipzig at the An der Alten Forsterei. For every Bundesliga preview, KickOff explores the stats for all of the biggest markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then published alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but good reason to think Union Berlin and RB Leipzig will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Steffen Baumgart or Ole Werner has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.25 equating to roughly a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of RB Leipzig coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Union Berlin
35%
12/55/2
Draw
25%
13/55/2
RB Leipzig
41%
21/2021/20
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/2
RB Leipzig 2-1
9%
8/17/1
RB Leipzig 1-0
8%
8/17/1
Union Berlin 2-1
8%
11/19/1
Union Berlin 1-0
8%
11/19/1
RB Leipzig 2-0
6%
10/117/2
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/117/2
Union Berlin 2-0
5%
18/114/1
RB Leipzig 3-1
4%
14/112/1
Union Berlin 3-1
4%
25/118/1
RB Leipzig 3-0
3%
18/114/1
RB Leipzig 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Union Berlin 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Union Berlin 3-0
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/53/4
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/11/1
Home 1st Goal
47%
6/513/10
Away 1st Goal
50%
8/118/11
No 1st Goal
3%
12/117/2
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/613/20
BTTS - No
41%
11/1023/20
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5/119/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/216/5
BTTS - Away Win
21%
3/127/10
Home/draw
59%
8/118/11
Away/draw
65%
3/103/10
Home/away
75%
2/73/10
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/127/10
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/19/5
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/52/5
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/24/1
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/71/7
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/117/2
Home DNB
52%
6/429/20
Away DNB
58%
1/210/21
Union Berlin win to nil
16%
11/2-
RB Leipzig win to nil
20%
11/4-
Union Berlin / Union Berlin
15%
9/29/2
Union Berlin / RB Leipzig
4%
22/118/1
Union Berlin / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Union Berlin
11%
13/213/2
Draw / RB Leipzig
15%
9/24/1
Draw / Draw
15%
5/14/1
RB Leipzig / Union Berlin
3%
28/122/1
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig
25%
9/411/5
RB Leipzig / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Union Berlin have played 12 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Union Berlin have conceded 16 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Union Berlin have played 7 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

RB Leipzig lay in 2nd place on 26 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 12 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 22 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. RB Leipzig have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

RB Leipzig have played 7 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1211103534 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 21
Jan 17
l
 
6-0A
2
RB Leipzig12822926 
Dec 12
Apr 25
-
-
3
Dortmund127411025 
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
Feb 21
d
 
1-1F
4
Leverkusen127231123 
Feb 21
l
 
2-0A
Dec 20
May 2
5
Hoffenheim12723823 
l
 
2-4A
Jan 31
Mar 21
l
 
3-1F
6
Stuttgart12714422 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 18
w
 
3-1F
Mar 14
7
E.Frankfurt12633521 
Feb 7
w
 
3-4F
Dec 6
Apr 18
8
Freiburg12444-116 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
Jan 14
May 16
9
W.Bremen12444-516 
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 4
10
Köln12435115 
May 2
Dec 20
w
 
3-1F
Feb 7
11
Union Berlin12435-415 
-
-
Apr 25
Dec 12
12
B. M'gladbach12345-313 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
Apr 11
d
 
0-00-0
13
Hamburg12336-712 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 14
w
 
2-1F
Feb 28
14
Augsburg12318-1210 
May 16
Jan 15
Mar 7
w
 
0-6F
15
Wolfsburg12237-89 
Apr 18
Dec 6
Feb 14
w
 
0-1F
16
Heidenheim12228-178 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 11
w
 
2-0F
Jan 24
17
St. Pauli12219-147 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
May 9
Jan 10
18
Mainz12138-126 
Jan 10
May 9
Jan 31
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Union Berlin 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Union Berlin1 - 2Heidenheim
Union Berlin2 - 2Bayern
Union Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
Union Berlin3 - 1B. M'gladbach
Union Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
Union Berlin2 - 4Hoffenheim
Union Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
Union Berlin0 - 3Heidenheim
Union Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
Union Berlin4 - 4Stuttgart
Union Berlin1 - 0Wolfsburg
Union Berlin1 - 1Bayern
Union Berlin0 - 1Holstein
Union Berlin1 - 2B. M'gladbach
Union Berlin0 - 0RB Leipzig
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Union Berlin0 - 2Augsburg
Union Berlin1 - 1VfL Bochum
Union Berlin1 - 2Leverkusen
Union Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HUnion Berlin1 - 2Heidenheim
AUnion Berlin1 - 0St. Pauli
HUnion Berlin2 - 2Bayern
HUnion Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
AUnion Berlin0 - 1W.Bremen
HUnion Berlin3 - 1B. M'gladbach
AUnion Berlin0 - 2Leverkusen
HUnion Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
AUnion Berlin4 - 3E.Frankfurt
HUnion Berlin2 - 4Hoffenheim
AUnion Berlin0 - 3Dortmund
HUnion Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
AUnion Berlin2 - 1Augsburg
HUnion Berlin0 - 3Heidenheim
HUnion Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
AUnion Berlin1 - 1VfL Bochum
HUnion Berlin4 - 4Stuttgart
AUnion Berlin0 - 0Leverkusen
HUnion Berlin1 - 0Wolfsburg
AUnion Berlin2 - 1Freiburg
RB Leipzig 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
B. M'gladbach0 - 0RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim3 - 1RB Leipzig
Augsburg0 - 6RB Leipzig
Dortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg0 - 1RB Leipzig
Mainz0 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern6 - 0RB Leipzig
W.Bremen0 - 0RB Leipzig
E.Frankfurt4 - 0RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg2 - 3RB Leipzig
B. M'gladbach1 - 0RB Leipzig
Freiburg0 - 0RB Leipzig
Augsburg0 - 0RB Leipzig
Union Berlin0 - 0RB Leipzig
VfL Bochum3 - 3RB Leipzig
Stuttgart2 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
Holstein0 - 2RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim4 - 3RB Leipzig
Dortmund2 - 1RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARB Leipzig0 - 0B. M'gladbach
HRB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
ARB Leipzig1 - 3Hoffenheim
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
ARB Leipzig6 - 0Augsburg
HRB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
ARB Leipzig1 - 1Dortmund
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Wolfsburg
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Köln
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Mainz
HRB Leipzig2 - 0Heidenheim
ARB Leipzig0 - 6Bayern
HRB Leipzig2 - 3Stuttgart
ARB Leipzig0 - 0W.Bremen
HRB Leipzig3 - 3Bayern
ARB Leipzig0 - 4E.Frankfurt
HRB Leipzig1 - 1Holstein
ARB Leipzig3 - 2Wolfsburg
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Hoffenheim
ARB Leipzig0 - 1B. M'gladbach
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
RB Leipzig have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Union Berlin
League games at Union Berlin since 2015
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
7
11
Games: Scored
4 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
3 / 7
FCU
3
D
2
RBL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Union Berlin
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3RB Leipzig
Union Berlin2 - 1
Union Berlin2 - 1
Union Berlin2 - 1
0 - 4RB Leipzig
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at RB Leipzig since 2016
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
FCU
2
D
1
RBL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT RB Leipzig
Draw0 - 0Draw
RB Leipzig2 - 0
1 - 2Union Berlin
1 - 2Union Berlin
RB Leipzig1 - 0
RB Leipzig3 - 1
RB Leipzig3 - 0
Goal Statistics

RB Leipzig's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday evening, not least because FC Union Berlin have conceded in each of their last 8 Bundesliga games. A PG of 1.5 for O. Werner's side suggests that run should continue.

Union Berlin 11th RB Leipzig 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Union Berlin will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that RB Leipzig will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Union Berlin have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
RB Leipzig have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Union Berlin
PG (predicted goals)
RB Leipzig
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
FCU
RBL
28%
better
view stats
Games scored7
10
Failed to score5
2
Scored first6
10
Goals scored15
22
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
FCU
RBL
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
6
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first4
1
Goals conceded19
13
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+36%

Union Berlin v RB Leipzig Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12465
F RönnowD DoekhiA IlićR Khedira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Rönnow GLK12
-
D Köhn DEF12
2
-
L Querfeld DEF12
3
-
D Doekhi DEF124
1
-
J Haberer  MID121
4
-
R Khedira MID123
5
-
I Ansah FWD1242
-
T Rothe DEF111
1
1
C Trimmel  DEF111
5
-
O Burke FWD113
1
-
A Ilić FWD116
3
-
A Kemlein MID10
1
-
W Jeong MID10
-
T Skarke FWD10
-
D Leite DEF9
1
-
A Kral MID8
1
-
A Schäfer  MID8
-
R Skov MID3
-
J Juranovic DEF2
-
RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12543
P Gulácsi C BaumgartnerC BaumgartnerR Baku
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gulácsi  GLK12
-
R Baku DEF122
3
-
D Raum DEF1211
2
-
W Orbán DEF12
2
-
C Baumgartner MID1254
3
-
N Seiwald MID12
-
Y. Diomande FWD1232
2
-
C Lukeba DEF111
-
A Ouédraogo MID1133
-
E Banzuzi MID111
2
-
J Bakayoko FWD112
1
-
A Nusa FWD1111
-
C Harder FWD10
2
-
R Rômulo FWD1044
-
X Schlager MID81
2
-
L Klostermann DEF4
-
T. Gomis FWD4
-
A. Maksimović MID3
-
K Kampl MID3
-
K. Nedeljković DEF2
-
E Bitshiabu DEF2
-
M Finkgräfe DEF1
-
T Werner FWD1
-