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Bayer Leverkusen v SC Paderborn 07 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Nov, 14:30 BST, BayArena, Leverkusen

the BayArena is the setting on Saturday afternoon, as Carles Martínez Novell's Bayer Leverkusen are visited by Ralf Kettemann's SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga. In this preview you'll find odds for seventeen different markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall records can be found, while there's also head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


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Best Tip: Leverkusen to win

We're predicting Leverkusen will come out on top after 90 minutes on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at BayArena.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leverkusen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 67% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leverkusen
67%
1/4-
Draw
19%
5/1
4%
-
Paderborn
14%
9/1-
Leverkusen 2-0
11%
8/1
10%
-
Leverkusen 1-0
10%
11/1
20%
-
Leverkusen 2-1
10%
17/2
5%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
12/1-
Leverkusen 3-0
8%
17/2
5%
-
Leverkusen 3-1
7%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
25/1
24%
-
Leverkusen 4-0
4%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
12%
-
Paderborn 1-0
4%
33/1
17%
-
Leverkusen 4-1
4%
12/1-
Paderborn 2-1
4%
28/1-
Leverkusen 3-2
3%
20/1
11%
-
Leverkusen 5-0
2%
20/1-
Paderborn 2-0
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1/3
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
12/5
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
59%
3/10
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
12/5
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
25/1
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/6
6%
-
BTTS - No
47%
11/10
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
31%
13/10
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
14%
11/2-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
14/1
15%
-
Home/draw
86%
1/16-
Away/draw
33%
11/4-
Home/away
81%
1/8-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/10
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
6/1
22%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
4/5
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1/1
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
7/4
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
4/9
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/2
4%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/5
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/200-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
25/1
24%
-
Home DNB
80%
1/14-
Away DNB
27%
8/1-
Leverkusen win to nil
36%
6/4
5%
-
Paderborn win to nil
6%
20/1
9%
-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
48%
8/11
4%
-
Leverkusen / Paderborn
2%
40/1-
Leverkusen / Draw
4%
18/1-
Draw / Leverkusen
19%
10/3-
Draw / Paderborn
4%
20/1-
Draw / Draw
8%
10/1
8%
-
Paderborn / Leverkusen
6%
14/1-
Paderborn / Paderborn
5%
16/1-
Paderborn / Draw
4%
20/1-
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Leverkusen have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Leverkusen have outscored their opponents by 18 goals to 6 goals.

Home League Performance

Leverkusen have played 4 games at home winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Paderborn are in 15th position in the Bundesliga on 9 points having played 8 matches so far this season. Paderborn are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 5 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Paderborn have conceded 9 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leverkusen
Paderborn
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern85301918 
May 15
Jan 13
Apr 10
Dec 4
2
Dortmund8530818 
Apr 3
Nov 29
Feb 6
l
 
3-0A
3
Freiburg8512816 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 27
l
 
0-1A
Jan 30
4
RB Leipzig85031115 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 13
Jan 9
May 8
5
W.Bremen8431315 
Apr 17
Dec 13
Feb 27
d
 
2-2F
6
Leverkusen8413213 
-
-
Mar 20
Nov 21
7
Elversberg8413013 
Jan 24
l
 
3-2A
Dec 12
Apr 17
8
Hamburg9405-1012 
May 8
Jan 10
w
 
1-0F
Mar 3
9
E.Frankfurt8323-511 
Dec 19
Apr 24
Nov 7
Mar 13
10
Mainz8314010 
Feb 20
w
 
3-4F
Jan 23
d
 
0-00-0
11
Augsburg823339 
Feb 6
d
 
2-2F
Apr 24
Dec 19
12
Stuttgart8305-19 
l
 
2-4A
Mar 6
l
 
0-2A
Feb 20
13
Hoffenheim8305-29 
Mar 3
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-1F
Feb 13
14
Köln8233-39 
Mar 13
Nov 8
Jan 16
May 22
15
Paderborn8233-39 
Nov 21
Mar 20
-
-
16
Union Berlin8143-127 
w
 
4-0F
Jan 30
May 15
Jan 13
17
Schalke8134-56 
Jan 17
May 22
Nov 28
Apr 3
18
B. M'gladbach9117-134 
Dec 5
Apr 10
Mar 6
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Leverkusen 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen2 - 4Stuttgart
Leverkusen2 - 1Freiburg
Leverkusen2 - 0RB Leipzig
Leverkusen4 - 0Union Berlin
Leverkusen1 - 1Hamburg
Leverkusen4 - 1RB Leipzig
Leverkusen1 - 2Augsburg
Leverkusen6 - 3Wolfsburg
Leverkusen1 - 1Bayern
Leverkusen1 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen4 - 0St. Pauli
Leverkusen1 - 0W.Bremen
Leverkusen1 - 4Stuttgart
Leverkusen2 - 0Köln
Leverkusen1 - 2Dortmund
Leverkusen6 - 0Heidenheim
Leverkusen2 - 0Freiburg
Leverkusen2 - 0Union Berlin
Leverkusen1 - 1B. M'gladbach
Leverkusen3 - 1E.Frankfurt
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeverkusen2 - 4Stuttgart
ALeverkusen0 - 3Hoffenheim
HLeverkusen2 - 1Freiburg
ALeverkusen4 - 3Mainz
HLeverkusen2 - 0RB Leipzig
ALeverkusen2 - 2Augsburg
HLeverkusen4 - 0Union Berlin
ALeverkusen2 - 3Elversberg
HLeverkusen1 - 1Hamburg
ALeverkusen1 - 3Stuttgart
HLeverkusen4 - 1RB Leipzig
ALeverkusen2 - 1Köln
HLeverkusen1 - 2Augsburg
ALeverkusen1 - 0Dortmund
HLeverkusen6 - 3Wolfsburg
ALeverkusen3 - 3Heidenheim
HLeverkusen1 - 1Bayern
ALeverkusen3 - 3Freiburg
ALeverkusen1 - 0Hamburg
HLeverkusen1 - 1Mainz
Paderborn 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
B. M'gladbach0 - 0Paderborn
W.Bremen2 - 2Paderborn
Dortmund3 - 0Paderborn
Mainz0 - 0Paderborn
Darmstadt0 - 2Paderborn
Elversberg5 - 1Paderborn
Hannover1 - 1Paderborn
Greuther0 - 2Paderborn
Arminia2 - 2Paderborn
Kaiserslautern1 - 2Paderborn
VfL Bochum0 - 0Paderborn
Dusseldorf2 - 1Paderborn
Holstein2 - 0Paderborn
Karlsruher0 - 4Paderborn
Schalke2 - 1Paderborn
Magdeburg0 - 1Paderborn
Dresden1 - 2Paderborn
E. Braun1 - 2Paderborn
H.Berlin0 - 2Paderborn
Nurnberg0 - 0Paderborn
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APaderborn0 - 0B. M'gladbach
HPaderborn1 - 0Hamburg
APaderborn2 - 2W.Bremen
HPaderborn0 - 2Stuttgart
HPaderborn3 - 1Hoffenheim
APaderborn0 - 3Dortmund
HPaderborn0 - 1Freiburg
APaderborn0 - 0Mainz
APaderborn2 - 0Darmstadt
HPaderborn2 - 2Karlsruher
APaderborn1 - 5Elversberg
HPaderborn2 - 3Schalke
APaderborn1 - 1Hannover
HPaderborn4 - 3Magdeburg
APaderborn2 - 0Greuther
HPaderborn2 - 1Dresden
APaderborn2 - 2Arminia
HPaderborn1 - 1E. Braun
APaderborn2 - 1Kaiserslautern
HPaderborn5 - 2H.Berlin
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is fairly strong for Bayer Leverkusen in their clash with SC Paderborn 07, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 47 consecutive Bundesliga games.

Leverkusen 6th Paderborn 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Leverkusen will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Paderborn scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Leverkusen have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
-14
Paderborn have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season
Leverkusen
PG (predicted goals)
Paderborn
2.2
0.9
Attack rating
%
better
B04
PAD
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
B04
PAD
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Leverkusen v Paderborn Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8743
M FlekkenP Schick M GutiérrezF Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Flekken GLK8
-
F Medina DEF81
3
-
M Gutiérrez DEF814
1
-
E Tapsoba DEF81
1
-
J Quansah DEF811
1
-
I Maza MID832
3
-
A García MID82
1
-
E Fernández MID81
2
-
P Schick  FWD872
1
-
A Moreira FWD81
1
-
M Tillman MID71
-
M Diaby FWD61
-
L Vázquez DEF5
-
J Hofmann MID5
-
R Andrich MID51
-
C. Kofane FWD42
-
L Badé DEF3
1
-
N Tella FWD3
-
V Boniface FWD2
-
M Terrier  FWD2
-
G Doué DEF1
1
-
Paderborn Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8212
N NollS TiggesL CurdaJ. ter Horst
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Noll GLK8
-
J. ter Horst DEF8
2
-
M Hansen DEF8
1
-
T. Scheller DEF8
2
-
L Ulrich MID8
2
-
L Curda MID81
1
-
S Castaneda MID81
1
-
R Obermair MID8
-
M Pieringer FWD8
1
-
G Vidović FWD8
-
S Tigges FWD821
-
S Marino FWD82
1
-
R Philippe FWD71
-
J. Sticker DEF51
-
T Baack MID5
1
-
F Götze DEF41
-
O Meier FWD3
-
C. Lippmann MID2
-
L. Đurić MID1
-
R. Müller MID1
-
Niklas Mohr MID1
-
S Michel FWD1
-