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1. FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern Munich : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Nov, 14:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

Bayern Munich are on the road on Saturday afternoon, as manager Vincent Kompany takes his side to visit 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Urs Fischer at the Mewa Arena in the Bundesliga. All of the key statistics for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across seventeen major markets are covered in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.


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Best Tip: Bayern to win

The turnout should be good at Mewa Arena on Saturday afternoon but, unfortunately, we predict most of those in attendance will be gutted come full time. The stats below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, are all pointing towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Bayern getting the better of hosts Mainz. An inquest will follow for home gaffer Urs Fischer but, in the meantime, we'd advise users make the most of best bookmaker odds of 1.38 to back the away win.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 64% chance of Bayern coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
17%
8.50
36%
-
Draw
18%
6.50
24%
-
Bayern
64%
1.27
8%
-
Bayern 2-1
9%
10.00-
Bayern 2-0
8%
11.00
15%
-
Draw 1-1
8%
15.00
15%
-
Bayern 3-1
8%
10.00-
Bayern 1-0
6%
17.00
11%
-
Bayern 3-0
6%
11.00
27%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
17.00
31%
-
Mainz 2-1
5%
26.00
24%
-
Bayern 4-1
5%
13.00-
Bayern 3-2
5%
17.00
13%
-
Bayern 4-0
4%
15.00
21%
-
Mainz 1-0
3%
41.00-
Bayern 4-2
3%
21.00
11%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
34.00-
Mainz 3-2
2%
41.00
41%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
1.25
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
4.00
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
43%
3.00
14%
-
Away 1st Goal
56%
1.36
6%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
34.00-
BTTS - Yes
64%
1.50
13%
-
BTTS - No
36%
2.50
23%
-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
11.00
38%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
6.50
18%
-
BTTS - Away Win
37%
2.05-
Home/draw
36%
3.75
25%
-
Away/draw
83%
1.08
4%
-
Home/away
82%
1.11
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1.07
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
9.00
18%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
1.62
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
50%
2.30
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
30%
2.38
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
70%
1.57
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
4.00
14%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
1.25
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.01-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
29.00
15%
-
Home DNB
30%
7.00
40%
-
Away DNB
77%
1.10
6%
-
Mainz win to nil
6%
21.00
11%
-
Bayern win to nil
27%
3.00
20%
-
Mainz / Mainz
6%
15.00
36%
-
Mainz / Bayern
6%
13.00-
Mainz / Draw
4%
21.00
24%
-
Draw / Mainz
4%
21.00
40%
-
Draw / Bayern
19%
4.50
5%
-
Draw / Draw
7%
12.00
9%
-
Bayern / Mainz
2%
41.00
21%
-
Bayern / Bayern
48%
1.73
11%
-
Bayern / Draw
4%
19.00
27%
-
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league. Mainz are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn zero and won 1. Mainz have conceded 14 goals, scored 12, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Mainz have played 4 games at home, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Bayern lay in 1st place on 18 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 8 matches. Bayern are unbeaten in 8 games against teams below them in the league and kept 2 clean sheets out of 8 games. Bayern are unbeaten away after 4 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bayern have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Bayern have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
Bayern
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern85301918 
Nov 7
Mar 13
-
-
2
Dortmund8530818 
May 8
Jan 8
d
 
2-2F
Mar 6
3
Freiburg8512816 
Dec 13
Apr 17
Mar 3
w
 
1-3F
4
RB Leipzig85031115 
Apr 10
Dec 5
w
 
6-1F
Feb 27
5
W.Bremen8431315 
l
 
2-3A
Mar 3
Dec 18
Apr 24
6
Leverkusen8413213 
l
 
3-4A
Feb 20
Jan 13
May 15
7
Elversberg8413013 
Mar 6
l
 
4-1A
Feb 6
w
 
1-2F
8
Hamburg9405-1012 
Jan 30
w
 
0-5F
Apr 3
Nov 28
9
E.Frankfurt8323-511 
l
 
1-3A
Feb 6
May 22
Jan 16
10
Mainz8314010 
-
-
Mar 13
Nov 7
11
Augsburg823339 
Mar 20
Nov 22
Feb 20
d
 
2-2A
12
Stuttgart8305-19 
May 22
Jan 15
w
 
5-1F
Jan 23
13
Hoffenheim8305-29 
Jan 12
May 15
Apr 17
Dec 13
14
Köln8233-39 
Dec 19
Apr 24
Nov 20
Mar 20
15
Paderborn8233-39 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 23
Dec 4
Apr 10
16
Union Berlin8143-127 
Nov 28
Apr 3
w
 
7-0F
Feb 13
17
Schalke8134-56 
Feb 27
w
 
0-1F
Jan 30
d
 
0-00-0
18
B. M'gladbach9117-134 
Feb 13
w
 
3-4A
May 8
Jan 9
Win / draw / win form
3
Mainz have lost 3 consecutive home league games
Mainz 10TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
58
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
Goals: Scored
67
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
Bayern
Goals: Scored
18
31
Games: Scored
10 / 14
14 / 14
Clean sheets
0 / 14
4 / 14
M05
4
FCB
10
League games at Bayern since 2012
Bayern
Mainz
Goals: Scored
54
15
Games: Scored
14 / 14
10 / 14
Clean sheets
4 / 14
0 / 14
M05
1
D
2
FCB
11
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 6 consecutive Bundesliga matches. A PG of 2.4 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Mainz 10th Bayern 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
2.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Mainz have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
Bayern have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
2.9
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
Bayern
1.2
2.4
Attack rating
M05
FCB
23%
better
view stats
Games scored7
7
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
6
Goals scored17
27
Avg. goals scored2.1
3.4
Avg. shots per game13
17
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
20
Avg. XG for2
3.1
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
M05
FCB
26%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
6
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first5
1
Goals conceded17
8
Avg. goals conceded2.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
6
Conversion rate against24%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.9
KickOff rating
+26%

Mainz v Bayern Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8542
A CaciP TietzS BeckerS Becker
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK3
-
D Costa DEF81
1
-
F. Gruber DEF5
-
K. Potulski DEF8
1
-
A Caci MID833
1
-
P Nebel MID3
-
K Sano MID82
1
-
N Amiri MID81
1
-
S Widmer  MID4
-
P Tietz FWD851
1
-
S Becker FWD824
2
-
Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7662
M OliseM OliseH KaneK Laimer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Neuer  GLK4
-
K Laimer DEF51
2
-
M Kim DEF5
1
-
H Ito DEF1
-
J Stanisic DEF7
1
-
N Brown DEF812
-
J Kimmich MID73
-
T Bischof MID72
-
M Olise MID864
-
L. Karl MID71
-
H Kane FWD846
-