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Hamburger SV v SV Werder Bremen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 7th Dec, 14:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SV are in Bundesliga action on Sunday afternoon, as Merlin Polzin attempts to outsmart Horst Steffen and his SV Werder Bremen side at the Volksparkstadion. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds are provided too.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 81% chance of Hamburg and W.Bremen scoring at least two goals in this Bundesliga match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it seems the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
49%
6/56/5
Draw
23%
27/1011/4
W.Bremen
28%
2/119/10
Draw 1-1
11%
13/26/1
Hamburg 2-1
10%
17/27/1
Hamburg 1-0
8%
10/117/2
Hamburg 2-0
7%
12/110/1
W.Bremen 2-1
7%
10/117/2
W.Bremen 1-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/19/1
Hamburg 3-1
6%
14/112/1
Draw 0-0
5%
16/111/1
Hamburg 3-0
4%
20/116/1
W.Bremen 2-0
4%
16/114/1
Hamburg 3-2
4%
20/116/1
W.Bremen 3-1
3%
20/116/1
W.Bremen 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Hamburg 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
8/134/7
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
13/105/4
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/54/5
Away 1st Goal
45%
21/2011/10
No 1st Goal
3%
16/111/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
1/28/15
BTTS - No
40%
6/411/8
BTTS - Home Win
26%
11/413/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
15%
15/47/2
Home/draw
72%
4/112/5
Away/draw
51%
4/613/20
Home/away
77%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/62/11
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4/117/5
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
6/47/5
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
8/158/15
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
10/316/5
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
2/91/5
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7/113/2
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/121/14
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/401/40
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/111/1
Home DNB
65%
8/138/13
Away DNB
44%
6/523/20
Hamburg win to nil
23%
7/2-
W.Bremen win to nil
12%
11/2-
Hamburg / Hamburg
23%
5/212/5
Hamburg / W.Bremen
4%
22/120/1
Hamburg / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Hamburg
14%
5/19/2
Draw / W.Bremen
11%
6/16/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/219/4
W.Bremen / Hamburg
4%
20/116/1
W.Bremen / W.Bremen
17%
15/47/2
W.Bremen / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hamburg have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league. Hamburg are winless in the 7 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 5 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 3 and won zero. Hamburg have conceded 13 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hamburg have played 5 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

W.Bremen lay in 9th place on 15 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 11 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. W.Bremen have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

W.Bremen have played 6 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
W.Bremen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1110103331 
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
Feb 14
l
 
4-0A
2
RB Leipzig11812925 
Feb 28
l
 
2-1A
Apr 4
l
 
2-0A
3
Leverkusen117221223 
Jan 13
May 16
d
 
3-3A
Jan 24
4
Dortmund11641922 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
May 16
Jan 13
5
Stuttgart11713522 
Nov 30
Apr 11
Dec 14
Apr 25
6
E.Frankfurt11623520 
Dec 20
May 2
Jan 16
l
 
4-1A
7
Hoffenheim11623520 
Apr 25
Dec 13
Jan 10
May 9
8
Union Berlin11434-315 
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
9
W.Bremen11434-515 
Dec 7
Apr 18
-
-
10
Köln11425114 
Mar 14
l
 
4-1A
Nov 29
Apr 11
11
Freiburg11344-513 
May 9
Jan 10
l
 
0-3A
Feb 7
12
B. M'gladbach11335-312 
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 31
w
 
0-4F
13
Augsburg11317-910 
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
May 2
Dec 20
14
Hamburg11236-89 
-
-
Apr 18
Dec 7
15
Wolfsburg11227-88 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 7
w
 
2-1A
Mar 21
16
St. Pauli11218-127 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 23
w
 
1-0F
Feb 21
17
Mainz11137-86 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 21
Mar 14
d
 
1-1A
18
Heidenheim11128-185 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 7
Feb 28
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Hamburg 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg1 - 1Dortmund
Hamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Hamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
Hamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
Hamburg6 - 1Ulm
Hamburg1 - 2Karlsruher
Hamburg2 - 4E. Braun
Hamburg0 - 0Elversberg
Hamburg4 - 1Dusseldorf
Hamburg3 - 0Kaiserslautern
Hamburg2 - 2Hannover
Hamburg1 - 0Köln
Hamburg5 - 0Greuther
Hamburg2 - 2Darmstadt
Hamburg2 - 2Schalke
Hamburg1 - 1Nurnberg
Hamburg3 - 1Magdeburg
Hamburg2 - 2Paderborn
Hamburg5 - 0Regensburg
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHamburg0 - 1Augsburg
HHamburg1 - 1Dortmund
AHamburg1 - 4Köln
HHamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
AHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
HHamburg4 - 0Mainz
AHamburg0 - 0Union Berlin
HHamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
AHamburg0 - 5Bayern
HHamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
AHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg2 - 3Greuther
HHamburg6 - 1Ulm
AHamburg4 - 0Darmstadt
HHamburg1 - 2Karlsruher
AHamburg2 - 2Schalke
HHamburg2 - 4E. Braun
AHamburg3 - 0Nurnberg
HHamburg0 - 0Elversberg
AHamburg3 - 0Magdeburg
W.Bremen 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
Mainz1 - 1W.Bremen
Heidenheim2 - 2W.Bremen
Bayern4 - 0W.Bremen
B. M'gladbach0 - 4W.Bremen
E.Frankfurt4 - 1W.Bremen
Heidenheim1 - 4W.Bremen
Union Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
Stuttgart1 - 2W.Bremen
Holstein0 - 3W.Bremen
Leverkusen0 - 2W.Bremen
Freiburg5 - 0W.Bremen
Bayern3 - 0W.Bremen
Dortmund2 - 2W.Bremen
RB Leipzig4 - 2W.Bremen
St. Pauli0 - 2W.Bremen
VfL Bochum0 - 1W.Bremen
E.Frankfurt1 - 0W.Bremen
B. M'gladbach4 - 1W.Bremen
Wolfsburg2 - 4W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AW.Bremen0 - 2RB Leipzig
HW.Bremen2 - 1Wolfsburg
AW.Bremen1 - 1Mainz
HW.Bremen1 - 0Union Berlin
AW.Bremen2 - 2Heidenheim
HW.Bremen1 - 0St. Pauli
AW.Bremen0 - 4Bayern
HW.Bremen0 - 3Freiburg
AW.Bremen4 - 0B. M'gladbach
HW.Bremen3 - 3Leverkusen
AW.Bremen1 - 4E.Frankfurt
AW.Bremen4 - 1Heidenheim
HW.Bremen0 - 0RB Leipzig
AW.Bremen2 - 2Union Berlin
HW.Bremen0 - 0St. Pauli
HW.Bremen1 - 0VfL Bochum
AW.Bremen2 - 1Stuttgart
HW.Bremen2 - 0E.Frankfurt
AW.Bremen3 - 0Holstein
HW.Bremen2 - 4B. M'gladbach
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hamburg since 2013
Hamburg
W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
HSV
3
D
2
SVW
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
2 - 3W.Bremen
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Hamburg2 - 1
Hamburg2 - 0
0 - 2W.Bremen
Hamburg3 - 2
League games at W.Bremen since 2012
W.Bremen
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
HSV
2
SVW
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT W.Bremen
0 - 2Hamburg
W.Bremen1 - 0
W.Bremen2 - 1
1 - 3Hamburg
W.Bremen1 - 0
W.Bremen2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Hamburg 14th W.Bremen 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that W.Bremen will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Hamburg have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+10
W.Bremen’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
W.Bremen
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
HSV
SVW
36%
better
view stats
Games scored5
8
Failed to score6
3
Scored first2
4
Goals scored9
15
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal12
7
Conversion rate for8
14
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
4%
better
HSV
SVW
view stats
Games conceded8
8
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded17
20
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded11
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+4%

Hamburg v W.Bremen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11324
D FernandesR PhilippeM MuheimN Remberg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK11
1
-
M Muheim DEF112
2
-
N Remberg MID111
4
-
R Philippe FWD113
2
-
R Königsdörffer FWD1111
-
W Mikelbrencis DEF10
-
M Dompé FWD102
-
L. Vušković DEF91
2
-
D Elfadli DEF9
2
-
N Capaldo  MID91
3
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF81
1
1
A Lokonga MID82
-
R Glatzel FWD8
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD7
-
F Vieira MID61
2
2
Y Poulsen FWD6
3
-
F. Uri Baldé FWD6
-
W Omari DEF5
-
G Ramos DEF5
-
J Torunarigha DEF4
-
I Pherai MID4
1
1
J Meffert MID3
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-
A. Souhmahoro DEF1
1
-
W.Bremen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11433
R SchmidJ StageY SugawaraM Grüll
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A. Coulibaly DEF111
2
-
R Schmid MID1122
1
-
M Grüll FWD1121
3
-
J Njinmah FWD112
1
-
Y Sugawara DEF103
-
M Friedl DEF10
3
-
S Lynen MID10
1
-
S. Mbangula FWD1031
-
M Backhaus GLK9
-
J Stage MID94
2
-
C Puertas MID9
3
-
V Boniface FWD92
1
-
P. Čović MID8
1
-
L Bittencourt MID7
1
-
K Topp FWD71
2
-
I Schmidt DEF61
1
-
F Agu DEF6
1
-
A Pieper DEF5
2
-
N Stark DEF4
2
1
K Hein GLK2
-
J Malatini DEF2
1
-
S Alvero MID2
-
I Hansen-Aaroen MID1
-